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Event Predictions

UFC Fight Night - Machida vs. Dollaway

Sao Paulo, Brazil
2014-12-20 19:00:00

Favourite wins: 9
Underdog wins: 3
$10 on all favourites nets: $8.90
$10 on all underdogs nets: $-24.00

Unit Betting
Units Bet: . Profit: 0.00
Total Unit Profit:

$10 Average Betting System
$10 on all our picks (raw): $19.10 (9 right, 3 wrong)
$10 on all our picks (weighted): $72.80 (10 right, 2 wrong)
Weighted betting profit: $101.48 (10 right, 2 wrong)
Value betting profit: $29.48 (4 right, 8 wrong)

Average Bet Rating: Moderate
Average Value Bet Rating: Good+
Key  
Bookies Odds Bookmaker Odds
Raw Picks Raw Picks
Raw Picks Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Weighted Crowd Prediction
Raw Picks Your Prediction
Raw Picks Your Confidence
Raw Picks Bookmaker Favourite
Raw Picks Crowd Weighted Pick
Raw Picks Your Pick
Raw Picks Value Pick

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Lyoto Machida vs C.B. Dollaway Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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85%
   
17%
120 (94)%
 
7 (6)%
95%
 
5%
76%
 
24%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #9 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.18 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @5.88
$10 Bet Profit: $1.8 #9 Ranked $7.69 Bet Profit: $1.38 #11 Ranked $7.69 Value Bet Profit: $-7.69

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Renan Barao vs Mitch Gagnon Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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88%
   
14%
109 (92)%
 
10 (8)%
92%
 
8%
75%
 
25%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #8 Very Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.14 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @7.14
$10 Bet Profit: $1.4 #8 Ranked $4.62 Bet Profit: $0.65 #10 Ranked $15.38 Value Bet Profit: $-15.38

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Patrick Cummins vs Antonio Carlos Junior Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
39%
51 (64)%
 
29 (36)%
68%
 
32%
60%
 
40%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #3 Low Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.64 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @2.56
$10 Bet Profit: $6.4 #3 Ranked $9.23 Bet Profit: $5.91 #4 Ranked $1.54 Value Bet Profit: $-1.54

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Rashid Magomedov vs Elias Silverio Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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61%
   
41%
52 (70)%
 
22 (30)%
69%
 
31%
79%
 
21%
WON
Pick Rating Moderate #4
LOST
@1.64 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.44
$10 Bet Profit: $6.4 #4 Ranked $12.31 Bet Profit: $7.88 #6 Ranked $4.62 Value Bet Profit: $2.96

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Erick Silva vs Mike Rhodes Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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78%
   
23%
92 (93)%
 
7 (7)%
93%
 
7%
68%
 
32%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Poor #7 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.28 No Unit Bet Suggested (No Value)   @4.35
$10 Bet Profit: $2.8 #7 Ranked $6.15 Bet Profit: $1.72 #9 Ranked $6.15 Value Bet Profit: $-6.15

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Antonio Dos Santos Jr. vs Daniel Sarafian Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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42%
   
60%
14 (41)%
 
20 (59)%
40%
 
60%
60%
 
40%
Bookies Favourite
LOST
Pick Rating Good #6
WON
@2.38 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.67
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #6 Ranked $13.85 Bet Profit: $-13.85 #8 Ranked $9.23 Value Bet Profit: $-9.23

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs Igor Pokrajac Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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75%
   
25%
38 (63)%
 
22 (37)%
68%
 
32%
63%
 
37%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #12 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.33 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @4.00
$10 Bet Profit: $3.3 #12 Ranked $3.08 Bet Profit: $1.02 #2 Ranked $12.31 Value Bet Profit: $-12.31

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tom Niinimaki vs Renato Moicano Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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52%
   
49%
17 (59)%
 
12 (41)%
67%
 
33%
47%
 
53%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#5 Low Pick Rating
WON
@1.92 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.04
$10 Bet Profit: $10.4 #5 Ranked $10.77 Bet Profit: $11.2 #7 Ranked $3.08 Value Bet Profit: $3.2

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Hacran Dias vs Darren Elkins Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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65%
   
36%
22 (37)%
 
38 (63)%
33%
 
67%
42%
 
58%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
WON
#10 Good+ Pick Rating
LOST
@1.54 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.78
$10 Bet Profit: $-10 #10 Ranked $15.38 Bet Profit: $-15.38 #12 Ranked $13.85 Value Bet Profit: $-13.85

Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Leandro Issa vs Yuta Sasaki Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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20%
   
82%
26 (49)%
 
27 (51)%
53%
 
47%
55%
 
45%
Bookies Favourite
WON
Pick Rating Fantastic #1
LOST
@5.00 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @1.22
$10 Bet Profit: $40 #1 Ranked $18.46 Bet Profit: $73.84 #1 Ranked $18.46 Value Bet Profit: $73.84

Bookies FavouriteCrowd Weighted Pick
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Tim Means vs Marcio Alexandre Jr. Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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68%
   
33%
40 (71)%
 
16 (29)%
76%
 
24%
51%
 
49%
Value Pick
WON
Pick Rating Very Poor #11 Good Anti-Pick
LOST
@1.47 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @3.03
$10 Bet Profit: $4.7 #11 Ranked $1.54 Bet Profit: $0.72 #5 Ranked $10.77 Value Bet Profit: $-10.77

Bookies Favourite
Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile Jake Collier vs Vitor Miranda Fighter Wikipedia Page Fighter Record on Sherdog UFC Fighter Profile
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63%
   
39%
9 (29)%
 
22 (71)%
33%
 
67%
29%
 
71%
Crowd Weighted PickValue Pick
LOST
#2 Extremely Good Pick Rating
WON
@1.59 No Unit Bet Suggested (Insufficient Predictions)   @2.56
$10 Bet Profit: $15.6 #2 Ranked $16.92 Bet Profit: $26.4 #3 Ranked $16.92 Value Bet Profit: $26.4


Chart

 

Unit Betting

$ bet per unit:

  % Chance Units
Bet 		Potential
Win 		Units
Profit 		Cash
Bet 		Cash
Profit 		ROI
Average Odds: @nan   0 0.00 0.00   $0.00 $0.00 nan%

Bet Every Fight: Bet Calculator
Total Bet Amount:

 

Weighted Betting

Based on a total bet of $120.00 over 12 fights
  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)		 Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Leandro Issa Yuta Sasaki $18.46 $73.84
 
$73.84
#2 Vitor Miranda Jake Collier $16.92 $26.40
 
$26.40
#3 Darren Elkins Hacran Dias $15.38 $27.38
 
-$15.38
#4 Antonio Dos Santos Jr. Daniel Sarafian $13.85 $19.11
 
-$13.85
#5 Rashid Magomedov Elias Silverio $12.31 $7.88
 
$7.88
#6 Renato Moicano Tom Niinimaki $10.77 $11.20
 
$11.20
#7 Patrick Cummins Antonio Carlos Junior $9.23 $5.91
 
$5.91
#8 Lyoto Machida C.B. Dollaway $7.69 $1.38
 
$1.38
#9 Erick Silva Mike Rhodes $6.15 $1.72
 
$1.72
#10 Renan Barao Mitch Gagnon $4.62 $0.65
 
$0.65
#11 Marcos Rogerio de Lima Igor Pokrajac $3.08 $1.02
 
$1.02
#12 Tim Means Marcio Alexandre Jr. $1.54 $0.72
 
$0.72
      $120.00 $177.20 (148%)   $101.48 (85%)

Value Betting

  Pick Opponent Bet Potential
Profit (ROI)		 Risk Actual
Result (ROI)
#1 Leandro Issa Yuta Sasaki $18.46 $73.84
 
$73.84
#2 Vitor Miranda Jake Collier $16.92 $26.40
 
$26.40
#3 Mitch Gagnon Renan Barao $15.38 $94.43
 
-$15.38
#4 Darren Elkins Hacran Dias $13.85 $24.65
 
-$13.85
#5 Igor Pokrajac Marcos Rogerio de Lima $12.31 $36.93
 
-$12.31
#6 Marcio Alexandre Jr. Tim Means $10.77 $21.86
 
-$10.77
#7 Antonio Dos Santos Jr. Daniel Sarafian $9.23 $12.74
 
-$9.23
#8 C.B. Dollaway Lyoto Machida $7.69 $37.53
 
-$7.69
#9 Mike Rhodes Erick Silva $6.15 $20.60
 
-$6.15
#10 Rashid Magomedov Elias Silverio $4.62 $2.96
 
$2.96
#11 Renato Moicano Tom Niinimaki $3.08 $3.20
 
$3.20
#12 Antonio Carlos Junior Patrick Cummins $1.54 $2.40
 
-$1.54
      $120.00 $357.54 (298%)   $29.48 (25%)
 
 
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