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MMA Handicapper Profile: Positive Expectation

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Positive Expectation (skylightfoot)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	56 (39%)	Right	31 (40%)	Right	25 (38%)	Right	0 (nan%)
Wrong	87 (61%)	Wrong	47 (60%)	Wrong	40 (62%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)
Avg Odds	2.71	Avg Odds	2.31	Avg Odds	3.44	Avg Odds	nan
Units Bet	496.0	Units Bet	321.5	Units Bet	174.5	Units Bet	0.0
Avg Bet	3.47	Avg Bet	4.12	Avg Bet	2.68	Avg Bet	nan
Units Profit	67.18	Units Profit	-14.00	Units Profit	81.18	Units Profit	0.00
ROI %	14%	ROI %	-4%	ROI %	47%	ROI %	nan%

Straight Pick Stats

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	1 (1%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Slight Favorites	25 (32%)	12	48 %	115.00	-25.63	-1.03	-22%
Slight Underdogs	34 (44%)	16	47 %	153.00	31.52	0.93	21%
Big Underdogs	18 (23%)	3	17 %	52.50	-18.89	-1.05	-36%

Progress Chart

Chart

Click here to view breakdown of straight picks

Positive Expectation's MMA Handicapper Bio

consistently beating the closing line

all picks for free unless exceptional value.
ie off market lines. Price to purchase adjusted accordingly.

Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Positive Expectation

This handicapper has made no picks on upcoming fights.

Positive Expectation's MMA Handicapper's Pick History

Your $ bet per unit is set at $10. You can edit that value in your settings.

UFC 281, New York, 12th Nov '22
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Alex Pereira	Israel Adesanya	W	2.75	2	3.50	$35.00	175%
Michael Chandler	Dustin Poirier	L	2.87	3	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.81	5.00	0.50	$5.00	10%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Dustin Poirier vs Michael Chandler	Fight goes to decision	L	3.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Frankie Edgar vs Chris Gutierrez	Gutierrez wins inside distance	W	2.80

3.60

$36.00

180%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Israel Adesanya vs Alex Pereira	Fight goes to decision	L	1.99

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

4.00

1.60

$16.00

40%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

9.00

2.10

$21.00

23%

UFC Fight Night 168, Aukland, 22nd Feb '20
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Magomed Mustafaev	Brad Riddell	L	1.87	11	-11.00	$-110.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.87	11.00	-11.00	$-110.00	-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

11.00

-11.00

$-110.00

-100%

UFC 238, Chicago, 8th Jun '19
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Jimmie Rivera	Petr Yan	L	3.90	3	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			3.90	3.00	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Petr Yan vs Jimmie Rivera	Fight goes to decision	W	1.87

4.35

$43.50

87%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Valentina Shevchenko vs Jessica Eye	Fight goes to decision	L	2.25

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Tony Ferguson vs Donald Cerrone	Ferguson wins by submission	L	7.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Tai Tuivasa vs Blagoy Ivanov	Ivanov wins by KO/TKO or Sub	L	4.65

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

14.00

-4.65

$-46.50

-33%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

17.00

-7.65

$-76.50

-45%

UFC 229, Las Vegas, 6th Oct '18
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Conor McGregor	Khabib Nurmagomedov	L	2.64	3	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%
Jussier Formiga	Sergio Pettis	W	2.60	3	4.80	$48.00	160%
Lina Lansberg	Yana Santos	L	3.04	3	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%
Tonya Evinger	Aspen Ladd	L	2.60	6	-6.00	$-60.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.71	15.00	-7.20	$-72.00	-48%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Aspen Ladd vs Tonya Evinger	Evinger wins by KO/TKO or Sub	L	7.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

1.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

16.00

-8.20

$-82.00

-51%

UFC 228, Dallas, 8th Sep '18

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Tyron Woodley vs Darren Till	Woodley wins by (T)KO round 1	L	13.00

0.6

-0.60

$-6.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Tyron Woodley vs Darren Till	Woodley wins by (T)KO round 2	L	21.00

0.4

-0.40

$-4.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

1.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

1.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

UFC 223, Brooklyn, New York, 7th Apr '18
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Joanna Jedrzejczyk	Rose Namajunas	L	2.00	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.00	5.00	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Joe Lauzon vs Chris Gruetzemacher	Gruetzemacher wins by TKO/KO	W	4.50

10.50

$105.00

350%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

3.00

10.50

$105.00

350%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

8.00

5.50

$55.00

69%

UFC 221, Perth, Australia, 10th Feb '18
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Mark Hunt	Curtis Blaydes	L	2.45	2	-2.00	$-20.00	-100%
Jake Matthews	Li Jingliang	W	2.77	2	3.54	$35.40	177%
Jeremy Kennedy	Alex Volkanovski	L	2.65	2	-2.00	$-20.00	-100%
Ben Nguyen	Jussier Formiga	L	2.10	3	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%
Ross Pearson	Mizuto Hirota	W	1.77	3	2.31	$23.10	77%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.29	12.00	-1.15	$-11.50	-10%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

12.00

-1.15

$-11.50

-10%

UFC Fight Night 125, Belem, Brazil, 4th Feb '18

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Valentina Shevchenko vs Priscila Cachoeira	Under 2.5 rounds	W	1.73

2.19

$21.90

73%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

3.00

2.19

$21.90

73%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

3.00

2.19

$21.90

73%

UFC 220, Boston, Massacusetts, 20th Jan '18

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Daniel Cormier vs Volkan Oezdemir	Under 1.5 rounds	W	2.72

5.16

$51.60

172%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

3.00

5.16

$51.60

172%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

3.00

5.16

$51.60

172%

UFC 219, Las Vegas, 31st Dec '17

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Edson Barboza vs Khabib Nurmagomedov	Nurmagomedov wins inside distance	L	2.68

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

3.00

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

3.00

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos, Winnipeg, Canada, 16th Dec '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Robbie Lawler	Rafael dos Anjos	L	2.10	3	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%
Glover Teixeira	Misha Cirkunov	W	2.43	3	4.29	$42.90	143%
Jan Blachowicz	Jared Cannonier	W	2.65	5	8.25	$82.50	165%
Jordan Mein	Erick Silva	W	1.75	5	3.75	$37.50	75%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.18	16.00	13.29	$132.90	83%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Mike Perry	Over 1.5 rounds	W	2.45

14.50

$145.00

145%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Robbie Lawler vs Rafael dos Anjos	Over 2.5 rounds	W	1.75

3.75

$37.50

75%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Mike Perry	Fight goes to decision	W	4.33

9.99

$99.90

333%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Chad Laprise vs Galore Bofando	Over 1.5 rounds	L	1.75

-10.00

$-100.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

28.00

18.24

$182.40

65%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

44.00

31.53

$315.30

72%

UFC 218, Detroit, Michigan, 2nd Dec '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Alistair Overeem	Francis Ngannou	L	3.40	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Charles Oliveira	Paul Felder	L	2.15	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Cortney Casey	Felice Herrig	L	2.20	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.47	15.00	-15.00	$-150.00	-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Alistair Overeem vs Francis Ngannou	Over 1.5 rounds	L	2.22

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

5.00

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

20.00

-20.00

$-200.00

-100%

UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney, Sydney, Australia, 18th Nov '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Frank Camacho	Damien Brown	W	1.77	5	3.85	$38.50	77%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.77	5.00	3.85	$38.50	77%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Nadia Kassem vs Alex Chambers	Over 1.5 rounds	W	1.66

3.30

$33.00

66%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Nadia Kassem vs Alex Chambers	NOT Kassem wins by KO/TKO or Sub	W	1.53

1.59

$15.90

53%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Elias Theodorou vs Daniel Kelly	Kelly wins by decision	L	5.50

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

9.00

3.89

$38.90

43%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

14.00

7.74

$77.40

55%

UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia, Norfolk, Virginia, 11th Nov '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Dustin Poirier	Anthony Pettis	W	2.00	5	5.00	$50.00	100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.00	5.00	5.00	$50.00	100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

5.00

$50.00

100%

UFC 217, New York, 4th Nov '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Michael Bisping	Georges St-Pierre	L	2.30	6	-6.00	$-60.00	-100%
Paulo Costa	Johny Hendricks	W	2.62	10	16.20	$162.00	162%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.45	16.00	10.20	$102.00	64%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Michael Bisping vs Georges St-Pierre	Bisping wins by decision	L	4.30

2.5

-2.50

$-25.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Mickey Gall vs Randy Brown	Over 1.5 rounds	W	1.81

4.05

$40.50

81%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

7.50

1.55

$15.50

21%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

23.50

11.75

$117.50

50%

UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk, Gdansk, 21st Oct '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Donald Cerrone	Darren Till	L	1.68	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Nasrat Haqparast	Marcin Held	L	4.75	0.5	-0.50	$-5.00	-100%
Andre Fili	Artem Lobov	W	1.71	5	3.55	$35.50	71%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.16	10.50	-1.95	$-19.50	-19%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Donald Cerrone vs Darren Till	Cerrone wins by submission	L	5.50

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

1.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

11.50

-2.95

$-29.50

-26%

UFC 216, Las Vegas, Nevada, 7th Oct '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Poliana Botelho	Pearl Gonzalez	W	1.70	5	3.50	$35.00	70%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.70	5.00	3.50	$35.00	70%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Tony Ferguson vs Kevin Lee	Over 2.5 rounds	W	1.85

2.55

$25.50

85%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Tony Ferguson vs Kevin Lee	Lee wins by decision	L	7.60

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Tony Ferguson vs Kevin Lee	Lee wins by decision	L	7.60

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

5.00

0.55

$5.50

11%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

10.00

4.05

$40.50

40%

UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2, Saitama, Japan, 22nd Sep '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Gokhan Saki	Luis Henrique da Silva	W	1.70	3	2.10	$21.00	70%
Hyun Gyu Lim	Daichi Abe	L	1.79	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.74	8.00	-2.90	$-29.00	-36%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Hyun Gyu Lim vs Daichi Abe	Over 1.5 rounds	W	2.20

9.60

$96.00

120%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

8.00

9.60

$96.00

120%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

16.00

6.70

$67.00

42%

UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, 16th Sep '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Tony Martin	Olivier Aubin-Mercier	L	2.00	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.00	5.00	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

5.00

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

UFC 215, Edmonton, Canada, 9th Sep '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Valentina Shevchenko	Amanda Nunes	L	1.83	3	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%
Ilir Latifi	Tyson Pedro	W	2.25	3	3.75	$37.50	125%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.02	6.00	0.75	$7.50	13%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Amanda Nunes vs Valentina Shevchenko	Shevchenko wins in round 4	L	19.00

0.5

-0.50

$-5.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Amanda Nunes vs Valentina Shevchenko	Shevchenko wins in round 5	L	21.00

0.5

-0.50

$-5.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

1.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

7.00

-0.25

$-2.50

-4%

UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov, Rotterdam, Holland, 2nd Sep '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Bryan Barberena	Leon Edwards	L	3.34	3	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%
Felipe Silva	Mairbek Taisumov	L	5.20	0.5	-0.50	$-5.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			4.07	3.50	-3.50	$-35.00	-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Rustam Khabilov vs Desmond Green	Green wins by decision	L	5.50

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

1.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

4.50

-4.50

$-45.00

-100%

UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno, Mexico City, 5th Aug '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Randa Markos	Alexa Grasso	L	2.35	4	-4.00	$-40.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.35	4.00	-4.00	$-40.00	-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

4.00

-4.00

$-40.00

-100%

UFC 214, Anaheim, California, 29th Jul '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Daniel Cormier	Jon Jones	L	3.55	2	-2.00	$-20.00	-100%
Kailin Curran	Alexandra Albu	L	2.35	4	-4.00	$-40.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.83	6.00	-6.00	$-60.00	-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Cristiane Justino vs Tonya Evinger	Fight starts round 2	W	2.85

5.55

$55.50

185%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Kailin Curran vs Alexandra Albu	Curran wins in round 3	L	34.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Cristiane Justino vs Tonya Evinger	Over 1.5 rounds	W	3.65

7.95

$79.50

265%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Cristiane Justino vs Tonya Evinger	Justino wins in round 2	L	7.65

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Cristiane Justino vs Tonya Evinger	Evinger wins by submission	L	26.00

0.5

-0.50

$-5.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

8.50

11.00

$110.00

129%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

14.50

5.00

$50.00

34%

UFC 213, Las Vegas, Nevada, 8th Jul '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Robert Whittaker	Yoel Romero	W	2.35	10	13.50	$135.00	135%
Alistair Overeem	Fabricio Werdum	W	1.80	5	4.00	$40.00	80%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.04	15.00	17.50	$175.00	117%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

15.00

17.50

$175.00

117%

TUF Season 25 Finale, Las Vegas, Nevada, 7th Jul '17

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Michael Johnson vs Justin Gaethje	Johnson wins by decision	L	9.50

-2.00

$-20.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

2.00

-2.00

$-20.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

2.00

-2.00

$-20.00

-100%

UFC Fight Night 112, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, 25th Jun '17

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	B.J. Penn vs Dennis Siver	Penn wins by decision	L	6.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

1.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

1.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva, New York, 24th Jun '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Matt Mitrione	Fedor Emelianenko	W	1.80	3	2.40	$24.00	80%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.80	3.00	2.40	$24.00	80%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Aaron Pico vs Zach Freeman	Under 1.5 rounds	W	2.20

2.40

$24.00

120%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

2.00

2.40

$24.00

120%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

5.00

4.80

$48.00

96%

UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis, Auckland, New Zealand, 10th Jun '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Mark Hunt	Derrick Lewis	W	2.20	10	12.00	$120.00	120%
Damien Brown	Vinc Pichel	L	1.93	4	-4.00	$-40.00	-100%
Dominique Steele	Luke Jumeau	L	1.66	4	-4.00	$-40.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.90	18.00	4.00	$40.00	22%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Tim Elliott vs Ben Nguyen	Fight doesn't go to decision	W	2.80

9.00

$90.00

180%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

5.00

9.00

$90.00

180%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

23.00

13.00

$130.00

57%

UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 3rd Jun '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Jose Aldo	Max Holloway	L	1.93	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Oluwale Bamgbose	Paulo Costa	L	3.70	1.5	-1.50	$-15.00	-100%
Erick Silva	Yancy Medeiros	L	2.25	3	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%
Raphael Assuncao	Marlon Moraes	W	2.60	3	4.80	$48.00	160%
Johnny Eduardo	Matthew Lopez	L	2.91	3	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.55	15.50	-7.70	$-77.00	-50%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Jose Aldo vs Max Holloway	Aldo wins by decision	L	3.25

1.5

-1.50

$-15.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Erick Silva vs Yancy Medeiros	Over 1.5 rounds	L	1.63

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Vitor Belfort vs Nate Marquardt	Marquardt wins by TKO/KO	L	3.60

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

7.50

-7.50

$-75.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

23.00

-15.20

$-152.00

-66%

UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira, Stockholm, Sweden, 28th May '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Glover Teixeira	Alexander Gustafsson	L	3.79	3	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%
Omari Akhmedov	Abdul Razak Alhassan	W	3.31	3	6.93	$69.30	231%
Trevor Smith	Chris Camozzi	W	3.11	3	6.33	$63.30	211%
Joaquim Silva	Reza Madadi	W	1.57	5	2.85	$28.50	57%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.62	14.00	13.11	$131.10	94%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Alexander Gustafsson vs Glover Teixeira	NOT Gustafsson wins inside distance	L	1.83

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Marcin Held vs Damir Hadzovic	Held wins by submission	L	2.75

-3.00

$-30.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

6.00

-6.00

$-60.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

20.00

7.11

$71.10

36%

UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos, Dallas, Texas, 13th May '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Stipe Miocic	Junior dos Santos	W	1.90	5	4.50	$45.00	90%
Jessica Andrade	Joanna Jedrzejczyk	L	2.50	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Demian Maia	Jorge Masvidal	W	2.22	5	6.10	$61.00	122%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.18	15.00	5.60	$56.00	37%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

15.00

5.60

$56.00

37%

UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis, Kansas City, Missouri, 15th Apr '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Robert Whittaker	Ronaldo Souza	W	2.87	5	9.35	$93.50	187%
Patrick Williams	Tom Duquesnoy	L	7.60	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Augusto Mendes	Aljamain Sterling	L	4.65	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			4.32	15.00	-0.65	$-6.50	-4%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Tom Duquesnoy vs Patrick Williams	Williams wins by submission	L	15.65

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Ronaldo Souza vs Robert Whittaker	Whittaker wins by TKO/KO	W	5.50

4.50

$45.00

450%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

2.00

3.50

$35.00

175%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

17.00

2.85

$28.50

17%

UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2, Buffalo, New York, 8th Apr '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Anthony Johnson	Daniel Cormier	L	1.94	10	-10.00	$-100.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.94	10.00	-10.00	$-100.00	-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Gegard Mousasi vs Chris Weidman	Mousasi wins by decision	L	3.40

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

1.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

11.00

-11.00

$-110.00

-100%

UFC 209, Las Vegas, Nevada, 4th Mar '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Tyron Woodley	Stephen Thompson	W	2.40	5	7.00	$70.00	140%
Alistair Overeem	Mark Hunt	W	1.78	5	3.90	$39.00	78%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.04	10.00	10.90	$109.00	109%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Alistair Overeem vs Mark Hunt	Over 1.5 rounds	W	2.25

6.25

$62.50

125%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Alistair Overeem vs Mark Hunt	Overeem wins by decision	L	6.00

-2.00

$-20.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Mirsad Bektic vs Darren Elkins	Elkins wins by decision	L	10.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

8.00

3.25

$32.50

41%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

18.00

14.15

$141.50

79%

UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne, Halifax, Nova Scotia, 19th Feb '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Nordine Taleb	Santiago Ponzinibbio	L	4.30	3	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			4.30	3.00	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Sara McMann vs Gina Mazany	McMann wins in round 3	L	13.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Sara McMann vs Gina Mazany	McMann wins inside distance	W	2.60

6.40

$64.00

160%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Hector Lombard vs Johny Hendricks	Hendricks wins in round 3	L	26.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

6.00

4.40

$44.00

73%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

9.00

1.40

$14.00

16%

UFC 208, Brooklyn, New York, 11th Feb '17

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Anderson Silva vs Derek Brunson	Silva wins by decision	W	9.00

8.00

$80.00

800%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

1.00

8.00

$80.00

800%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

1.00

8.00

$80.00

800%

UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn, Phoenix, Arizona, 15th Jan '17
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Marcin Held	Joe Lauzon	L	2.10	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.10	5.00	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	B.J. Penn vs Yair Rodriguez	Over 2.5 rounds	L	1.90

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	B.J. Penn vs Yair Rodriguez	Penn wins by submission	L	8.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

6.00

-6.00

$-60.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

11.00

-11.00

$-110.00

-100%

UFC 206, Toronto, Canada, 10th Dec '16
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Kelvin Gastelum	Tim Kennedy	W	2.30	5	6.50	$65.00	130%
Valerie Letourneau	Viviane Pereira	L	1.78	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.01	10.00	1.50	$15.00	15%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Doo Ho Choi vs Cub Swanson	Swanson wins by submission	L	15.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Olivier Aubin-Mercier vs Drew Dober	Aubin-Mercier wins by submission	W	4.50

3.50

$35.00

350%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

2.00

2.50

$25.00

125%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

12.00

4.00

$40.00

33%

UFC Fight Night 102 Albany, Albany, New York, 9th Dec '16
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Anthony Hamilton	Francis Ngannou	L	5.35	1	-1.00	$-10.00	-100%
Saparbek Safarov	Gian Villante	L	2.70	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			3.59	6.00	-6.00	$-60.00	-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Saparbek Safarov vs Gian Villante	Over 1.5 rounds	W	2.10

5.50

$55.00

110%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Gerald Meerschaert vs Joseph Gigliotti	Fight ends by sub	W	3.00

4.00

$40.00

200%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

7.00

9.50

$95.00

136%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

13.00

3.50

$35.00

27%

UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale, Las Vegas, Nevada, 3rd Dec '16
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Gray Maynard	Ryan Hall	L	1.91	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.91	5.00	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

5.00

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

UFC Fight Night 101, Melbourne, Australia, 26th Nov '16
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Derek Brunson	Robert Whittaker	L	1.74	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Kyle Noke	Omari Akhmedov	L	2.62	5	-5.00	$-50.00	-100%
Marlon Vera	Ning Guangyou	W	2.30	5	6.50	$65.00	130%
Jenel Lausa	Zhuikui Yao	W	1.83	2	1.66	$16.60	83%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.06	17.00	-1.84	$-18.40	-11%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
Pr	Robert Whittaker vs Derek Brunson	Fight doesn't go to decision	W	2.75

17.50

$175.00

175%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

10.00

17.50

$175.00

175%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

27.00

15.66

$156.60

58%

UFC Fight Night 100 Bader vs. Nogueira 2, Sao Paulo, Brazil, 19th Nov '16
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Cezar Ferreira	Jack Hermansson	W	2.79	1	1.79	$17.90	179%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			2.79	1.00	1.79	$17.90	179%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

1.00

1.79

$17.90

179%

UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall, Belfast, Northern Ireland, 19th Nov '16
Pick	Opponent		Odds	Unit Bet	Unit Profit	Cash Profit	ROI
Ross Pearson	Stevie Ray	L	1.95	1	-1.00	$-10.00	-100%
Magnus Cedenblad	Jack Marshman	L	1.49	1	-1.00	$-10.00	-100%
Magomed Mustafaev	Kevin Lee	L	1.96	1	-1.00	$-10.00	-100%
Straight Pick Event Totals:			1.77	3.00	-3.00	$-30.00	-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Artem Lobov vs Teruto Ishihara	Ishihara wins by TKO/KO	L	7.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

	Fight	Pick		Odds
PrPi	Magnus Cedenblad vs Jack Marshman	Cedenblad wins by submission	L	4.00

-1.00

$-10.00

-100%

Prop & Parlay Event Totals:

2.00

-2.00

$-20.00

-100%

Event Totals (Props, Parlays & Straight Bets):

5.00

-5.00

$-50.00

-100%

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MMA Handicapper Profile: Positive Expectation

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Positive Expectation (skylightfoot)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

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Straight Pick Stats

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Picks on Upcoming MMA Fights by Positive Expectation

Positive Expectation's MMA Handicapper's Pick History

UFC 281, New York, 12th Nov '22

UFC Fight Night 168, Aukland, 22nd Feb '20

UFC 238, Chicago, 8th Jun '19

UFC 229, Las Vegas, 6th Oct '18

UFC 228, Dallas, 8th Sep '18

UFC 223, Brooklyn, New York, 7th Apr '18

UFC 221, Perth, Australia, 10th Feb '18

UFC Fight Night 125, Belem, Brazil, 4th Feb '18

UFC 220, Boston, Massacusetts, 20th Jan '18

UFC 219, Las Vegas, 31st Dec '17

UFC on Fox 26 Lawler vs. dos Anjos, Winnipeg, Canada, 16th Dec '17

UFC 218, Detroit, Michigan, 2nd Dec '17

UFC Fight Night 121 Sydney, Sydney, Australia, 18th Nov '17

UFC Fight Night 120 Virginia, Norfolk, Virginia, 11th Nov '17

UFC 217, New York, 4th Nov '17

UFC Fight Night 118 Gdansk, Gdansk, 21st Oct '17

UFC 216, Las Vegas, Nevada, 7th Oct '17

UFC Fight Night 117 St. Preux vs. Shogun 2, Saitama, Japan, 22nd Sep '17

UFC Fight Night 116 Rockhold vs. Branch, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, 16th Sep '17

UFC 215, Edmonton, Canada, 9th Sep '17

UFC Fight Night Struve vs. Volkov, Rotterdam, Holland, 2nd Sep '17

UFC Fight Night 114 Pettis vs. Moreno, Mexico City, 5th Aug '17

UFC 214, Anaheim, California, 29th Jul '17

UFC 213, Las Vegas, Nevada, 8th Jul '17

TUF Season 25 Finale, Las Vegas, Nevada, 7th Jul '17

UFC Fight Night 112, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, 25th Jun '17

Bellator 180 Sonnen vs. Silva, New York, 24th Jun '17

UFC Fight Night 110 Hunt vs. Lewis, Auckland, New Zealand, 10th Jun '17

UFC 212 Aldo vs Holloway, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 3rd Jun '17

UFC Fight Night 109 Gustafsson Vs Teixeira, Stockholm, Sweden, 28th May '17

UFC 211 - Miocic vs. Dos Santos, Dallas, Texas, 13th May '17

UFC on Fox 24 - Johnson vs Reis, Kansas City, Missouri, 15th Apr '17

UFC 210 - Cormier vs. Johnson 2, Buffalo, New York, 8th Apr '17

UFC 209, Las Vegas, Nevada, 4th Mar '17

UFC Fight Night 105 Lewis vs. Browne, Halifax, Nova Scotia, 19th Feb '17

UFC 208, Brooklyn, New York, 11th Feb '17

UFC Fight Night 103 Rodriguez vs. Penn, Phoenix, Arizona, 15th Jan '17

UFC 206, Toronto, Canada, 10th Dec '16

UFC Fight Night 102 Albany, Albany, New York, 9th Dec '16

UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 24 Finale, Las Vegas, Nevada, 3rd Dec '16

UFC Fight Night 101, Melbourne, Australia, 26th Nov '16

UFC Fight Night 100 Bader vs. Nogueira 2, Sao Paulo, Brazil, 19th Nov '16

UFC Fight Night 99 - Mousasi vs. Hall, Belfast, Northern Ireland, 19th Nov '16