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MMA Handicapper Stats: Le Ghost

Le Ghost (LeGhost)

MMA MHandicapper - Le Ghost

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	159 (46%)	Right	85 (56%)	Right	45 (31%)	Right	29 (59%)
Wrong	188 (54%)	Wrong	67 (44%)	Wrong	101 (69%)	Wrong	20 (41%)
Avg Odds	2.35	Avg Odds	1.92	Avg Odds	3.50	Avg Odds	1.84
Units Bet	718.0	Units Bet	441.5	Units Bet	147.3	Units Bet	129.1
Avg Bet	2.07	Avg Bet	2.90	Avg Bet	1.01	Avg Bet	2.64
Units Profit	76.95	Units Profit	60.15	Units Profit	12.29	Units Profit	4.51
ROI %	11%	ROI %	14%	ROI %	8%	ROI %	3%

Le Ghost: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
26th Apr '24	LFA 182	47.91	12.0	25%	7.2 / 32 (22%)	2.1 / 11.75 (18%)	2.7 / 4.16 (65%)
20th Apr '24	Oktagon 56	28	12.7	45%	12.7 / 28 (45%)
20th Apr '24	Cage Warriors 171	61.33	-1.3	-2%	-1.3 / 61.33 (-2%)
19th Apr '24	PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season	52.36	-12.1	-23%	-13.2 / 22.71 (-58%)	-1.9 / 9.65 (-19%)	2.9 / 20 (15%)
19th Apr '24	ACA 174	41.65	1.1	3%	3.2 / 38.05 (8%)		-2.1 / 3.6 (-58%)
18th Apr '24	Ares FC 20	32.5	1.8	5%	0.9 / 26.9 (4%)		0.8 / 5.6 (15%)
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	64.82	17.4	27%	5.3 / 24.8 (21%)	1.2 / 13.91 (9%)	10.9 / 26.11 (42%)
12th Apr '24	CFFC 131	5	-5.0	-100%			-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th Apr '24	PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season	26.53	9.9	37%	4.8 / 17.25 (28%)	4.1 / 8.13 (50%)	1.1 / 1.15 (99%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	38	-19.4	-51%	-3.4 / 8.75 (-39%)	-4.0 / 17.25 (-23%)	-12.0 / 12 (-100%)
6th Apr '24	KSW 93	28.28	9.6	34%	6.5 / 24.28 (27%)		3.1 / 4 (78%)
6th Apr '24	Cage Warriors 170	33.6	12.0	36%	-1.7 / 13 (-13%)	7.0 / 8 (87%)	6.7 / 12.6 (53%)
5th Apr '24	LFA 181	8.45	0.5	6%	-0.1 / 4.4 (-2%)	1.0 / 1.15 (87%)	-0.4 / 2.9 (-15%)
4th Apr '24	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	61.9	3.4	5%	8.3 / 24.38 (34%)	-0.8 / 15.52 (-5%)	-4.1 / 22 (-18%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	54.1	5.7	11%	-1.1 / 25.8 (-4%)	5.0 / 20.3 (24%)	1.9 / 8 (23%)
30th Mar '24	Cage Warriors 169	13.7	7.1	52%	7.1 / 13.7 (52%)
29th Mar '24	LFA 180	5.6	-0.6	-11%	-0.6 / 5.6 (-11%)
29th Mar '24	ACA 173	6.4	-6.4	-100%	-6.4 / 6.4 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	47.9	20.9	44%	15.9 / 28.3 (56%)	4.9 / 19.6 (25%)
23rd Mar '24	LFA 179	1.1	1.7	150%	1.7 / 1.1 (150%)
23rd Mar '24	Oktagon 55	5.5	7.5	137%	7.5 / 5.5 (137%)
22nd Mar '24	Rizin Landmark 9	5	2.7	53%	2.7 / 5 (53%)
22nd Mar '24	Bellator Champions Series	34.32	-5.7	-17%	5.0 / 20.5 (24%)	-10.7 / 13.82 (-78%)

Winning Events: 16 (70%)
Losing Events: 7 (30%)

Average Staked Per Event: 30.61 units
Most Staked On One Event: 64.82 units
Best Event: 20.86 units
Worst Event: -19.44 units
Average Event: 3.27 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 38.18
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -19.44

Le Ghost: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	703.95	75.1	11%	60.9 / 437.75 (14%)		6.5 / 127.12 (5%)	16 / 7 (70%)	3.27

Le Ghost: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Le Ghost: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	204.82	24.5	12%	16.7 / 87.65 (19%)	7.1 / 71.06 (10%)	0.8 / 46.11 (2%)
Bellator	34.32	-5.7	-17%	5.0 / 20.5 (24%)	-10.7 / 13.82 (-78%)
PFL	140.79	1.2	1%	-0.2 / 64.34 (-0%)	1.4 / 33.3 (4%)	-0.0 / 43.15 (-0%)
Other	324.02	55.2	17%	39.4 / 265.26 (15%)	10.1 / 20.9 (48%)	5.8 / 37.86 (15%)

Le Ghost: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	30 (18%)	28	93 %	164.35	50.11	1.67	30%
Slight Favorites	65 (38%)	35	54 %	165.01	-6.55	-0.10	-4%
Slight Underdogs	57 (34%)	27	47 %	95.59	17.56	0.31	18%
Big Underdogs	17 (10%)	4	24 %	16.55	-0.97	-0.06	-6%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	10 (6%)	4	40 %	24.20	-4.82	-0.48	-20%
Co-Main Event	19 (11%)	11	58 %	49.07	3.48	0.18	7%
Position 3-5	44 (26%)	26	59 %	111.75	28.01	0.64	25%
6+ (Undercard)	96 (57%)	53	55 %	256.48	33.48	0.35	13%

Le Ghost: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	18 (11%)	10	56 %	34.33	5.17	0.29	15%
Light Heavy	13 (8%)	7	54 %	26.40	4.20	0.32	16%
Middleweight	13 (8%)	7	54 %	43.65	1.89	0.15	4%
Welterweight	16 (9%)	6	38 %	39.25	2.50	0.16	6%
Lightweight	27 (16%)	19	70 %	74.46	24.43	0.90	33%
Featherweight	37 (22%)	18	49 %	90.11	10.82	0.29	12%
Bantamweight	23 (14%)	14	61 %	63.15	4.30	0.19	7%
Flyweight	10 (6%)	7	70 %	30.00	3.12	0.31	10%

Women's Fights	12 (7%)	6	50 %	40.15	3.71	0.31	9%
Bantamweight	2 (1%)	1	50 %	7.25	1.63	0.81	22%
Flyweight	6 (4%)	2	33 %	17.10	-6.60	-1.10	-39%
Strawweight	4 (2%)	3	75 %	15.80	8.68	2.17	55%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	75 (90%)	59	79 %
Slight Favorites	5 (6%)	5	100 %
Slight Underdogs	3 (4%)	1	33 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	83	65	78 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	22 (13%)	19	86 %
50-65%	21 (12%)	14	67 %
35-50%	39 (23%)	14	36 %
<35% chance	89 (52%)	15	17 %
	171	62	36 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	8 (5%)	5	63 %	1.92	3.04	1.48	1.0 (13%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	36 (21%)	14	39 %	2.06	3.01	1.35	-9.4 (-26%)
Goes to Decision	1 (1%)	0	0 %	2.60	2.60	2.60	-1.0 (-100%)
Does not go to Decision	10 (6%)	7	70 %	1.43	2.00	1.10	-0.3 (-3%)
Fight Starts Round X	2 (1%)	2	100 %	2.04	9.50	1.14	8.6 (432%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	2 (1%)	0	0 %	3.77	5.50	2.87	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	9 (5%)	2	22 %	4.13	10.00	2.20	2.0 (22%)
X Wins by Sub	32 (19%)	7	22 %	5.37	26.00	2.05	2.7 (8%)
X Wins by Decision	9 (5%)	4	44 %	4.01	7.50	2.55	4.2 (47%)
X Wins Inside Distance	17 (10%)	9	53 %	2.26	5.00	1.12	4.1 (24%)
X Wins in Round X	17 (10%)	2	12 %	7.04	19.00	3.60	5.5 (32%)
Others	28 (16%)	10	36 %	3.19	36.00	1.10	4.5 (16%)
	171	62	36 %	2.87			20.0 (12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Le Ghost's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
22nd Mar	Bellator Champions Series	34.32	-5.7	-17%	$10	$10.00	$1,000.00	$932.63
22nd Mar	Rizin Landmark 9	5	2.7	53%	$10	$9.33	$932.63	$947.35
23rd Mar	Oktagon 55	5.5	7.5	137%	$10	$9.47	$947.35	$1,008.54
23rd Mar	LFA 179	1.1	1.7	150%	$10	$10.09	$1,008.54	$1,015.18
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	47.9	20.9	44%	$10	$10.15	$1,015.18	$1,216.96
29th Mar	ACA 173	6.4	-6.4	-100%	$10	$12.17	$1,216.96	$1,129.08
29th Mar	LFA 180	5.6	-0.6	-11%	$10	$11.29	$1,129.08	$1,112.42
30th Mar	Cage Warriors 169	13.7	7.1	52%	$10	$11.12	$1,112.42	$1,181.25
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	54.1	5.7	11%	$10	$11.81	$1,181.25	$1,238.60
4th Apr	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	61.9	3.4	5%	$10	$12.39	$1,238.60	$1,270.38
5th Apr	LFA 181	8.45	0.5	6%	$10	$12.70	$1,270.38	$1,266.60
6th Apr	Cage Warriors 170	33.6	12.0	36%	$10	$12.67	$1,266.60	$1,408.10
6th Apr	KSW 93	28.28	9.6	34%	$10	$14.08	$1,408.10	$1,532.83
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	38	-19.4	-51%	$10	$15.33	$1,532.83	$1,224.90
12th Apr	PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season	26.53	9.9	37%	$10	$12.25	$1,224.90	$1,336.76
12th Apr	CFFC 131	5	-5.0	-100%	$10	$13.37	$1,336.76	$1,259.92
13th Apr	UFC 300	64.82	17.4	27%	$10	$12.60	$1,259.92	$1,468.76
18th Apr	Ares FC 20	32.5	1.8	5%	$10	$14.69	$1,468.76	$1,484.75
19th Apr	ACA 174	41.65	1.1	3%	$10	$14.85	$1,484.75	$1,491.08
19th Apr	PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season	52.36	-12.1	-23%	$10	$14.91	$1,491.08	$1,300.22
20th Apr	Cage Warriors 171	61.33	-1.3	-2%	$10	$13.00	$1,300.22	$1,273.30
20th Apr	Oktagon 56	28	12.7	45%	$10	$12.73	$1,273.30	$1,425.15
26th Apr	LFA 182	47.91	12.0	25%	$10	$14.25	$1,425.15	$1,585.99

ROI % from starting bank balance: 58.60% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Le Ghost: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '24	Kendra McIntyre	Katarina Legorreta	1.47	10	TKO, R3 (3:0)
2.	Apr '24	Khasein Shaikhaev	Michel Lima	1.45	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Apr '24	Jeff Nielsen	Zeb Vincent	1.77	3	TKO, R1 (2:17)
4.	Apr '24	Don'tale Mayes	Caio Machado (2)	2.00	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Apr '24	Nate Smith	Christian Ynastrilla	2.62	1	TKO, R1 (0:34)
6.	Apr '24	Shad Walters	Nicholas Gjelaj	2.05	1	TKO, R1 (0:11)
7.	Apr '24	Aidan Stephen	Gianluca Scottoli	1.62	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Apr '24	Jan Quaeyhaegens	Konstantinos Ntelis	1.65	6	Sub, R2 (4:11)
9.	Apr '24	Michael Blair	Dec Dean	1.35	9	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Apr '24	James Hendin	Jakub Dohnal	1.44	6	TKO, R2 (4:43)
11.	Apr '24	Ammari Diedrick	Daniel Hromek	1.52	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Apr '24	Sam Creasey	Aaron Aby	1.33	5	U Decision (5 rounds)
13.	Apr '24	George Staines	Tomas Ciganik	1.25	6.3	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Apr '24	Sean Clancy Jr.	Lucas Rodrigues	1.36	4	TKO, R2 (4:4)
15.	Apr '24	Don Madge	Brennan Ward	1.58	3	Sub, R1 (1:2)
16.	Apr '24	Gabriel Alves Braga	Justin Gonzales	1.60	3	TKO, R1 (4:59)
17.	Apr '24	Mick Stanton	Kamil Wojciechowski	1.80	1.25	TKO, R3 (4:1)
18.	Apr '24	Michael Blair	Dec Dean	1.36	2.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Apr '24	Ivan Soloviev	Evgeniy Galochkin	1.44	8	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Apr '24	Mikhail Dolgov	Chris Honeycutt	1.48	5	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Christian Ynastrilla	Nate Smith	1.71	3	TKO, R1 (0:34)	No
2.	Apr '24	Nicholas Gjelaj	Shad Walters	1.61	3	TKO, R1 (0:11)	No
3.	Apr '24	Katarina Legorreta	Kendra McIntyre	2.85	0.5	TKO, R3 (3:0)	No
4.	Apr '24	Michel Lima	Khasein Shaikhaev	3.00	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Apr '24	Thomas Hepburn	Cornellius Aritonang	2.40	1	Sub, R1 (1:5)	No
6.	Apr '24	Alberth Dias	Paull McBain	1.87	2	TKO, R2 (5:0)	No
7.	Apr '24	Mush Aslani	Khadim Dia	2.80	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Apr '24	Pav Sahota	Iain Postlethwaite	1.66	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Apr '24	Reece McEwan	Cameron Else	1.36	7	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Apr '24	Jack Eglin	Daan Duijs	1.57	6	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Apr '24	Otto Rodrigues	Tyler Diamond	1.77	2.4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Apr '24	Andrey Koreshkov	Magomed Umalatov	2.40	0.8	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Apr '24	Bubba Jenkins	Kai Kamaka	1.68	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Apr '24	Otto Rodrigues	Tyler Diamond	1.77	1.3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Apr '24	Thomas Hepburn	Cornellius Aritonang	2.65	1	Sub, R1 (1:5)	No
16.	Apr '24	Azamat Dzhigkaev	Ivan Bogdanov	1.63	5	TKO, R1 (4:35)	No
17.	Apr '24	Neiman Gracie	Goiti Yamauchi	3.10	0.7	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Apr '24	Bubba Jenkins	Kai Kamaka	1.70	2.86	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Apr '24	Alberth Dias	Paull McBain	1.71	1.4	TKO, R2 (5:0)	No
20.	Apr '24	Evgeniy Galochkin	Ivan Soloviev	3.10	0.6	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Le Ghost: Progress Chart

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