MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6728
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2451

MMA Handicapper Stats: m5mma

m5mma (m5mma)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	148 (51%)	Right	87 (59%)	Right	28 (31%)	Right	33 (60%)
Wrong	145 (49%)	Wrong	60 (41%)	Wrong	63 (69%)	Wrong	22 (40%)
Avg Odds	2.10	Avg Odds	1.68	Avg Odds	2.60	Avg Odds	3.16
Units Bet	1,372.1	Units Bet	818.1	Units Bet	184.9	Units Bet	369.1
Avg Bet	4.68	Avg Bet	5.57	Avg Bet	2.03	Avg Bet	6.71
Units Profit	198.45	Units Profit	-45.43	Units Profit	-45.74	Units Profit	289.62
ROI %	14%	ROI %	-6%	ROI %	-25%	ROI %	78%

m5mma : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
5th Oct '24	UFC 307	100.78	95.4	95%	8.2 / 15.98 (51%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)	93.2 / 78.8 (118%)
14th Sep '24	UFC 306	97	-79.4	-82%	-44.2 / 55.5 (-80%)	-3.7 / 10 (-37%)	-31.5 / 31.5 (-100%)
7th Sep '24	Bellator Champions Series	10.5	3.0	29%	3.0 / 10.5 (29%)
7th Sep '24	UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady	49	0.9	2%	-4.0 / 20.5 (-20%)	6.0 / 10.5 (57%)	-1.1 / 18 (-6%)
27th Aug '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 3	10.65	2.3	22%	2.3 / 10.65 (22%)
24th Aug '24	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho	22.2	-7.0	-32%	4.7 / 10.5 (44%)	-1.7 / 1.7 (-100%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
17th Aug '24	UFC 305	99.95	168.5	169%	9.5 / 10.4 (92%)	-5.6 / 5.55 (-100%)	164.5 / 84 (196%)
16th Aug '24	PFL 8: 2024 Playoffs	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Aug '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 1	0.75	0.2	29%	0.2 / 0.75 (29%)
10th Aug '24	UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II	33.5	12.6	38%	0.5 / 8.5 (6%)	-5.0 / 8 (-63%)	17.1 / 17 (101%)
3rd Aug '24	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov	29.25	19.8	68%	4.4 / 6.5 (67%)		15.4 / 22.75 (68%)
27th Jul '24	UFC 304	71.5	-16.8	-23%	-14.5 / 36.5 (-40%)	-4.8 / 17 (-28%)	2.5 / 18 (14%)
20th Jul '24	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba	79.5	19.8	25%	-10.1 / 58.5 (-17%)		29.8 / 21 (142%)
13th Jul '24	UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez	27.1	-16.6	-61%	-6.1 / 16.6 (-37%)		-10.5 / 10.5 (-100%)
29th Jun '24	UFC 303	82.25	33.1	40%	8.1 / 44.55 (18%)	17.7 / 21.7 (82%)	7.3 / 16 (45%)
22nd Jun '24	UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov	49.4	-23.1	-47%	-15.5 / 23.25 (-67%)	-5.2 / 5.15 (-100%)	-2.4 / 21 (-11%)
15th Jun '24	UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira	20.8	15.5	74%	0.2 / 0.3 (54%)		15.3 / 20.5 (75%)
8th Jun '24	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov	96.7	-35.4	-37%	-32.0 / 79 (-41%)	-3.4 / 17.7 (-19%)
1st Jun '24	UFC 302	90	1.7	2%	4.5 / 75.1 (6%)	-2.7 / 14.9 (-18%)
18th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy	17.4	4.3	25%	5.4 / 15.5 (35%)	-1.1 / 1.9 (-59%)
17th May '24	Bellator Champions Series	10.55	4.0	38%	4.0 / 10.55 (38%)
11th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	99.4	-4.4	-4%	10.5 / 73.5 (14%)	-14.9 / 25.9 (-58%)
4th May '24	UFC 301	94.3	8.4	9%	8.1 / 90.2 (9%)	0.3 / 4.1 (8%)
27th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	92.54	0.1	0%	17.3 / 66.75 (26%)	-17.2 / 25.79 (-67%)
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	15	-0.2	-1%	-5.7 / 10 (-57%)	5.5 / 5 (110%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	17.6	-12.8	-73%	-11.8 / 16.6 (-71%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	41.1	12.9	31%	12.9 / 41.1 (31%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	11.35	-6.2	-55%	-3.2 / 8.35 (-39%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Winning Events: 17 (61%)
Losing Events: 11 (39%)

Average Staked Per Event: 49.00 units
Most Staked On One Event: 100.78 units
Best Event: 168.52 units
Worst Event: -79.41 units
Average Event: 7.09 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 168.52
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -79.41

m5mma : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	1372.07	198.5	14%	-45.4 / 818.13 (-6%)		289.6 / 369.05 (78%)	17 / 11 (61%)	7.09

m5mma : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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m5mma : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	1337.62	191.0	14%	-52.9 / 783.68 (-7%)	-45.7 / 184.89 (-25%)	289.6 / 369.05 (78%)
Bellator	21.05	7.0	33%	7.0 / 21.05 (33%)
PFL	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
Other	11.4	2.5	22%	2.5 / 11.4 (22%)

m5mma : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	68 (38%)	53	78 %	322.18	0.21	0.00	0%
Slight Favorites	59 (33%)	32	54 %	309.40	-56.97	-0.97	-18%
Slight Underdogs	44 (24%)	20	45 %	162.20	25.71	0.58	16%
Big Underdogs	9 (5%)	2	22 %	24.35	-14.37	-1.60	-59%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	34 (19%)	19	56 %	154.45	-40.55	-1.19	-26%
Co-Main Event	14 (8%)	5	36 %	70.25	-23.72	-1.69	-34%
Position 3-5	42 (23%)	29	69 %	212.85	36.17	0.86	17%
6+ (Undercard)	90 (50%)	54	60 %	380.58	-17.33	-0.19	-5%

m5mma : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	16 (9%)	9	56 %	67.00	-9.83	-0.61	-15%
Light Heavy	15 (8%)	9	60 %	60.75	-8.35	-0.56	-14%
Middleweight	28 (16%)	18	64 %	129.70	18.60	0.66	14%
Welterweight	20 (11%)	14	70 %	102.83	8.83	0.44	9%
Lightweight	21 (12%)	11	52 %	121.65	-15.37	-0.73	-13%
Featherweight	18 (10%)	12	67 %	75.40	29.51	1.64	39%
Bantamweight	16 (9%)	11	69 %	92.35	-26.45	-1.65	-29%
Flyweight	14 (8%)	8	57 %	50.60	-6.59	-0.47	-13%

Women's Fights	32 (18%)	15	47 %	117.85	-35.78	-1.12	-30%
Featherweight	1 (1%)		0 %	0.75	-0.75	-0.75	-100%
Bantamweight	5 (3%)	2	40 %	14.85	-9.66	-1.93	-65%
Flyweight	11 (6%)	6	55 %	51.60	-12.06	-1.10	-23%
Strawweight	15 (8%)	7	47 %	50.65	-13.30	-0.89	-26%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	92 (62%)	83	90 %
Slight Favorites	32 (22%)	21	66 %
Slight Underdogs	22 (15%)	19	86 %
Big Underdogs	2 (1%)	0	0 %
	148	123	83 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	8 (8%)	5	63 %
50-65%	28 (28%)	13	46 %
35-50%	23 (23%)	9	39 %
<35% chance	41 (41%)	3	7 %
	100	30	30 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (5%)	1	20 %	1.60	2.15	1.29	-3.6 (-73%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.40	1.40	1.40	0.4 (40%)
X Wins by KO	23 (23%)	9	39 %	2.43	11.00	1.61	-4.7 (-21%)
X Wins by Sub	3 (3%)	1	33 %	3.95	13.00	2.00	-1.0 (-33%)
X Wins by Decision	8 (8%)	5	63 %	2.41	3.50	1.61	3.3 (41%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.40	1.40	1.40	0.4 (40%)
X Wins in Round X	4 (4%)	1	25 %	3.45	7.00	1.80	3.0 (75%)
Others	55 (55%)	11	20 %	2.70	80.97	1.40	-35.2 (-64%)
	100	30	30 %	2.52			-37.6 (-38%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail m5mma 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	11.35	-6.2	-55%	$5	$10.00	$1,000.00	$932.50
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	41.1	12.9	31%	$5	$9.33	$932.50	$1,047.98
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	17.6	-12.8	-73%	$5	$10.48	$1,047.98	$908.74
13th Apr	UFC 300	15	-0.2	-1%	$5	$9.09	$908.74	$901.85
27th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	92.54	0.1	0%	$5	$9.02	$901.85	$897.69
4th May	UFC 301	94.3	8.4	9%	$5	$8.98	$897.69	$968.25
11th May	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	99.4	-4.4	-4%	$5	$9.68	$968.25	$920.27
17th May	Bellator Champions Series	10.55	4.0	38%		$9.20	$920.27	$956.91
18th May	UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy	17.4	4.3	25%	$5	$9.57	$956.91	$993.16
1st Jun	UFC 302	90	1.7	2%	$5	$9.93	$993.16	$1,005.46
8th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov	96.7	-35.4	-37%	$5	$10.05	$1,005.46	$644.23
15th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira	20.8	15.5	74%	$5	$6.44	$644.23	$738.83
22nd Jun	UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov	49.4	-23.1	-47%	$5	$7.39	$738.83	$563.45
29th Jun	UFC 303	82.25	33.1	40%	$5	$5.63	$563.45	$744.70
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez	27.1	-16.6	-61%	$5	$7.45	$744.70	$615.85
20th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba	79.5	19.8	25%	$5	$6.16	$615.85	$732.57
27th Jul	UFC 304	71.5	-16.8	-23%	$5	$7.33	$732.57	$604.83
3rd Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov	29.25	19.8	68%	$5	$6.05	$604.83	$719.49
10th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II	33.5	12.6	38%	$5	$7.19	$719.49	$805.47
13th Aug	Contender Series 2024: Week 1	0.75	0.2	29%	$5	$8.05	$805.47	$802.19
16th Aug	PFL 8: 2024 Playoffs	2	-2.0	-100%	$5	$8.02	$802.19	$781.15
17th Aug	UFC 305	99.95	168.5	169%	$5	$7.81	$781.15	$2,092.51
24th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho	22.2	-7.0	-32%	$5	$20.93	$2,092.51	$1,940.34
27th Aug	Contender Series 2024: Week 3	10.65	2.3	22%	$5	$19.40	$1,940.34	$1,979.79
7th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady	49	0.9	2%	$5	$19.80	$1,979.79	$1,992.32
7th Sep	Bellator Champions Series	10.5	3.0	29%	$5	$19.92	$1,992.32	$2,047.09
14th Sep	UFC 306	97	-79.4	-82%	$5	$20.47	$2,047.09	$416.41
5th Oct	UFC 307	100.78	95.4	95%	$5	$4.16	$416.41	$808.68

ROI % from starting bank balance: -19.13% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

m5mma : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Oct '24	Alex Pereira	Khalil Rountree	1.22	0.3	TKO, R4 (4:32)
2.	Oct '24	Alex Pereira	Khalil Rountree	1.22	0.3	TKO, R4 (4:32)
3.	Oct '24	Joaquin Buckley	Stephen Thompson	1.46	0.23	TKO, R3 (2:17)
4.	Oct '24	Alex Pereira	Khalil Rountree	1.22	0.1	TKO, R4 (4:32)
5.	Oct '24	Mario Bautista	Jose Aldo	1.65	2.05	Split Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Oct '24	Roman Dolidze	Kevin Holland	2.30	5	TKO, R1 (5:0)
7.	Oct '24	Court McGee	Tim Means	2.70	3	Sub, R1 (3:19)
8.	Sep '24	Luis Rodriguez	Ode Osbourne	1.57	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Sep '24	Ignacio Bahamondes	Manuel Torres	2.10	5	TKO, R1 (4:2)
10.	Sep '24	Usman Nurmagomedov	Alexander Shabliy	1.29	10.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
11.	Sep '24	Steve Garcia	Kyle Nelson	1.57	10.5	TKO, R1 (3:59)
12.	Aug '24	Malcolm Wellmaker	Adam Bramhald	1.38	0.15	TKO, R1 (2:29)
13.	Aug '24	Marco Tulio Silva	Matthieu Duclos	1.21	10.5	TKO, R2 (2:38)
14.	Aug '24	Caio Borralho	Jared Cannonier	1.44	10.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
15.	Aug '24	Dricus Du Plessis	Israel Adesanya	1.95	0.25	Sub, R4 (3:38)
16.	Aug '24	Carlos Prates	Li Jingliang	1.27	0.7	TKO, R2 (4:2)
17.	Aug '24	Valter Walker	Junior Tafa	2.02	0.75	Sub, R1 (4:56)
18.	Aug '24	Mansur Abdul-Malik	Wesley Schultz	1.29	0.75	TKO, R2 (3:55)
19.	Aug '24	Karol Rosa	Pannie Kianzad	1.47	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Aug '24	Jose Mariscal	Damon Jackson	1.44	5.5	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Oct '24	Ovince St Preux	Ryan Spann	3.20	5	Sub, R1 (1:35)	No
2.	Sep '24	Irene Aldana	Norma Dumont	1.91	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Sep '24	Alexa Grasso	Valentina Shevchenko	1.71	10.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
4.	Sep '24	Edgar Chairez	Joshua Van	3.40	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Sep '24	Sean O'Malley	Merab Dvalishvili	1.91	10.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
6.	Sep '24	Sean O'Malley	Merab Dvalishvili	1.91	10.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
7.	Sep '24	Sean O'Malley	Merab Dvalishvili	1.91	10.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
8.	Sep '24	Felipe Dos Santos	Andre Lima	2.35	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Sep '24	Vanessa Demopoulos	Jaqueline Amorim	3.35	7	Sub, R1 (3:28)	No
10.	Aug '24	Steve Erceg	Kai Kara-France	1.56	0.7	TKO, R1 (4:4)	No
11.	Aug '24	Luana Santos	Casey O'Neill	1.70	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Aug '24	Rob Wilkinson	Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov	1.62	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Aug '24	Chelsea Chandler	Yana Santos	2.23	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Aug '24	Marcin Tybura	Sergey Spivak	2.30	1.5	Sub, R1 (1:44)	No
15.	Jul '24	Manel Kape	Muhammad Mokaev	2.40	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Jul '24	Preston Parsons	Oban Elliott	1.71	10.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Jul '24	Kaynan Kruschewsky	Kurt Holobaugh	1.77	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Jul '24	Mohammed Usman	Thomas Petersen	1.74	10.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Jul '24	Bill Algeo	Doo Ho Choi	1.60	5	TKO, R2 (3:38)	No
20.	Jul '24	Leon Edwards	Belal Muhammad	1.47	10.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

m5mma : Progress Chart

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