MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6894
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2473

MMA Handicapper Stats: m5mma

m5mma (m5mma)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	189 (51%)	Right	108 (58%)	Right	36 (34%)	Right	45 (57%)
Wrong	182 (49%)	Wrong	79 (42%)	Wrong	69 (66%)	Wrong	34 (43%)
Avg Odds	2.08	Avg Odds	1.69	Avg Odds	2.57	Avg Odds	2.93
Units Bet	1,851.6	Units Bet	1,024.6	Units Bet	228.9	Units Bet	598.1
Avg Bet	4.99	Avg Bet	5.48	Avg Bet	2.18	Avg Bet	7.57
Units Profit	222.88	Units Profit	-75.82	Units Profit	-28.49	Units Profit	327.19
ROI %	12%	ROI %	-7%	ROI %	-12%	ROI %	55%

m5mma : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
11th Jan '25	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas II	27.5	3.5	13%	5.8 / 23.75 (24%)	-2.3 / 3.75 (-62%)
14th Dec '24	UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley	47	32.0	68%	0.4 / 26.5 (2%)	15.0 / 10 (150%)	16.5 / 10.5 (157%)
7th Dec '24	UFC 310	21	24.1	115%			24.1 / 21 (115%)
23rd Nov '24	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo	31.5	-17.1	-54%	-17.1 / 31.5 (-54%)
16th Nov '24	UFC 309	58	-33.0	-57%	-8.1 / 16 (-51%)		-24.8 / 42 (-59%)
9th Nov '24	UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates	58.8	5.3	9%	-5.2 / 27 (-19%)	0.7 / 7.8 (9%)	9.8 / 24 (41%)
2nd Nov '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi	48	-2.3	-5%	-10.7 / 37.5 (-29%)	8.4 / 10.5 (80%)
26th Oct '24	UFC 308	96	72.6	76%	-0.9 / 18.5 (-5%)	-1.5 / 9 (-17%)	75.0 / 68.5 (109%)
19th Oct '24	UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Hernandez	91.75	-60.6	-66%	5.4 / 25.75 (21%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-63.0 / 63 (-100%)
5th Oct '24	UFC 307	100.78	95.4	95%	8.2 / 15.98 (51%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)	93.2 / 78.8 (118%)
14th Sep '24	UFC 306	97	-79.4	-82%	-44.2 / 55.5 (-80%)	-3.7 / 10 (-37%)	-31.5 / 31.5 (-100%)
7th Sep '24	Bellator Champions Series	10.5	3.0	29%	3.0 / 10.5 (29%)
7th Sep '24	UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady	49	0.9	2%	-4.0 / 20.5 (-20%)	6.0 / 10.5 (57%)	-1.1 / 18 (-6%)
27th Aug '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 3	10.65	2.3	22%	2.3 / 10.65 (22%)
24th Aug '24	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho	22.2	-7.0	-32%	4.7 / 10.5 (44%)	-1.7 / 1.7 (-100%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
17th Aug '24	UFC 305	99.95	168.5	169%	9.5 / 10.4 (92%)	-5.6 / 5.55 (-100%)	164.5 / 84 (196%)
16th Aug '24	PFL 8: 2024 Playoffs	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Aug '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 1	0.75	0.2	29%	0.2 / 0.75 (29%)
10th Aug '24	UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II	33.5	12.6	38%	0.5 / 8.5 (6%)	-5.0 / 8 (-63%)	17.1 / 17 (101%)
3rd Aug '24	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov	29.25	19.8	68%	4.4 / 6.5 (67%)		15.4 / 22.75 (68%)
27th Jul '24	UFC 304	71.5	-16.8	-23%	-14.5 / 36.5 (-40%)	-4.8 / 17 (-28%)	2.5 / 18 (14%)
20th Jul '24	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba	79.5	19.8	25%	-10.1 / 58.5 (-17%)		29.8 / 21 (142%)
13th Jul '24	UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez	27.1	-16.6	-61%	-6.1 / 16.6 (-37%)		-10.5 / 10.5 (-100%)
29th Jun '24	UFC 303	82.25	33.1	40%	8.1 / 44.55 (18%)	17.7 / 21.7 (82%)	7.3 / 16 (45%)
22nd Jun '24	UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov	49.4	-23.1	-47%	-15.5 / 23.25 (-67%)	-5.2 / 5.15 (-100%)	-2.4 / 21 (-11%)
15th Jun '24	UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira	20.8	15.5	74%	0.2 / 0.3 (54%)		15.3 / 20.5 (75%)
8th Jun '24	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov	96.7	-35.4	-37%	-32.0 / 79 (-41%)	-3.4 / 17.7 (-19%)
1st Jun '24	UFC 302	90	1.7	2%	4.5 / 75.1 (6%)	-2.7 / 14.9 (-18%)
18th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy	17.4	4.3	25%	5.4 / 15.5 (35%)	-1.1 / 1.9 (-59%)
17th May '24	Bellator Champions Series	10.55	4.0	38%	4.0 / 10.55 (38%)
11th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	99.4	-4.4	-4%	10.5 / 73.5 (14%)	-14.9 / 25.9 (-58%)
4th May '24	UFC 301	94.3	8.4	9%	8.1 / 90.2 (9%)	0.3 / 4.1 (8%)
27th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	92.54	0.1	0%	17.3 / 66.75 (26%)	-17.2 / 25.79 (-67%)
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	15	-0.2	-1%	-5.7 / 10 (-57%)	5.5 / 5 (110%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	17.6	-12.8	-73%	-11.8 / 16.6 (-71%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	41.1	12.9	31%	12.9 / 41.1 (31%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	11.35	-6.2	-55%	-3.2 / 8.35 (-39%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)

Winning Events: 22 (59%)
Losing Events: 15 (41%)

Average Staked Per Event: 50.04 units
Most Staked On One Event: 100.78 units
Best Event: 168.52 units
Worst Event: -79.41 units
Average Event: 6.02 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 168.52
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -79.41

m5mma : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2025	27.5	3.5	13%	5.8 / 23.75 (24%)	-2.3 / 3.75 (-62%)		1 / (100%)	3.50
2024	1824.12	219.4	12%	-81.6 / 1000.88 (-8%)	-26.2 / 225.19 (-12%)	327.2 / 598.05 (55%)	21 / 15 (58%)	6.09

m5mma : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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m5mma : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	1817.17	215.4	12%	-83.3 / 990.18 (-8%)	-28.5 / 228.94 (-12%)	327.2 / 598.05 (55%)
Bellator	21.05	7.0	33%	7.0 / 21.05 (33%)
PFL	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
Other	11.4	2.5	22%	2.5 / 11.4 (22%)

m5mma : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	86 (39%)	66	77 %	414.93	8.79	0.10	2%
Slight Favorites	69 (31%)	38	55 %	359.40	-53.56	-0.78	-15%
Slight Underdogs	51 (23%)	21	41 %	201.20	-6.92	-0.14	-3%
Big Underdogs	14 (6%)	3	21 %	49.10	-24.12	-1.72	-49%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	40 (18%)	23	58 %	199.45	-51.87	-1.30	-26%
Co-Main Event	17 (8%)	6	35 %	86.75	-25.22	-1.48	-29%
Position 3-5	50 (23%)	34	68 %	259.35	35.93	0.72	14%
6+ (Undercard)	113 (51%)	65	58 %	479.08	-34.66	-0.31	-7%

m5mma : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	21 (10%)	10	48 %	81.50	-23.75	-1.13	-29%
Light Heavy	19 (9%)	11	58 %	89.75	-5.37	-0.28	-6%
Middleweight	34 (15%)	21	62 %	163.20	6.08	0.18	4%
Welterweight	25 (11%)	18	72 %	140.33	14.97	0.60	11%
Lightweight	21 (10%)	11	52 %	121.65	-15.37	-0.73	-13%
Featherweight	19 (9%)	13	68 %	78.40	31.45	1.66	40%
Bantamweight	24 (11%)	15	63 %	130.35	-20.11	-0.84	-15%
Flyweight	17 (8%)	10	59 %	69.60	-13.56	-0.80	-19%

Women's Fights	40 (18%)	19	48 %	149.85	-50.16	-1.25	-33%
Featherweight	1 (0%)		0 %	0.75	-0.75	-0.75	-100%
Bantamweight	6 (3%)	3	50 %	15.10	-9.56	-1.59	-63%
Flyweight	14 (6%)	7	50 %	77.60	-30.89	-2.21	-40%
Strawweight	19 (9%)	9	47 %	56.40	-8.96	-0.47	-16%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	154 (69%)	142	92 %
Slight Favorites	38 (17%)	23	61 %
Slight Underdogs	30 (13%)	21	70 %
Big Underdogs	2 (1%)	0	0 %
	224	186	83 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	10 (9%)	7	70 %
50-65%	32 (28%)	16	50 %
35-50%	26 (23%)	12	46 %
<35% chance	46 (40%)	3	7 %
	114	38	33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (4%)	1	20 %	1.60	2.15	1.29	-3.6 (-73%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.40	1.40	1.40	0.4 (40%)
X Wins by KO	30 (26%)	16	53 %	2.25	11.00	1.25	2.1 (7%)
X Wins by Sub	4 (4%)	1	25 %	4.32	13.00	2.00	-2.0 (-50%)
X Wins by Decision	10 (9%)	5	50 %	2.40	3.50	1.61	1.3 (13%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.40	1.40	1.40	0.4 (40%)
X Wins in Round X	5 (4%)	1	20 %	3.68	7.00	1.80	2.0 (40%)
Others	58 (51%)	12	21 %	2.69	80.97	1.40	-36.7 (-63%)
	114	38	33 %	2.48			-36.2 (-32%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail m5mma 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	11.35	-6.2	-55%	$5	$10.00	$1,000.00	$932.50
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	41.1	12.9	31%	$5	$9.33	$932.50	$1,047.98
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	17.6	-12.8	-73%	$5	$10.48	$1,047.98	$908.74
13th Apr	UFC 300	15	-0.2	-1%	$5	$9.09	$908.74	$901.85
27th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	92.54	0.1	0%	$5	$9.02	$901.85	$897.69
4th May	UFC 301	94.3	8.4	9%	$5	$8.98	$897.69	$968.25
11th May	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	99.4	-4.4	-4%	$5	$9.68	$968.25	$920.27
17th May	Bellator Champions Series	10.55	4.0	38%		$9.20	$920.27	$956.91
18th May	UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy	17.4	4.3	25%	$5	$9.57	$956.91	$993.16
1st Jun	UFC 302	90	1.7	2%	$5	$9.93	$993.16	$1,005.46
8th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov	96.7	-35.4	-37%	$5	$10.05	$1,005.46	$644.23
15th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira	20.8	15.5	74%	$5	$6.44	$644.23	$738.83
22nd Jun	UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov	49.4	-23.1	-47%	$5	$7.39	$738.83	$563.45
29th Jun	UFC 303	82.25	33.1	40%	$5	$5.63	$563.45	$744.70
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez	27.1	-16.6	-61%	$5	$7.45	$744.70	$615.85
20th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba	79.5	19.8	25%	$5	$6.16	$615.85	$732.57
27th Jul	UFC 304	71.5	-16.8	-23%	$5	$7.33	$732.57	$604.83
3rd Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov	29.25	19.8	68%	$5	$6.05	$604.83	$719.49
10th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II	33.5	12.6	38%	$5	$7.19	$719.49	$805.47
13th Aug	Contender Series 2024: Week 1	0.75	0.2	29%	$5	$8.05	$805.47	$802.19
16th Aug	PFL 8: 2024 Playoffs	2	-2.0	-100%	$5	$8.02	$802.19	$781.15
17th Aug	UFC 305	99.95	168.5	169%	$5	$7.81	$781.15	$2,092.51
24th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho	22.2	-7.0	-32%	$5	$20.93	$2,092.51	$1,940.34
27th Aug	Contender Series 2024: Week 3	10.65	2.3	22%	$5	$19.40	$1,940.34	$1,979.79
7th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady	49	0.9	2%	$5	$19.80	$1,979.79	$1,992.32
7th Sep	Bellator Champions Series	10.5	3.0	29%	$5	$19.92	$1,992.32	$2,047.09
14th Sep	UFC 306	97	-79.4	-82%	$5	$20.47	$2,047.09	$416.41
5th Oct	UFC 307	100.78	95.4	95%	$5	$4.16	$416.41	$808.68
19th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Hernandez	91.75	-60.6	-66%	$5	$8.09	$808.68	$313.24
26th Oct	UFC 308	96	72.6	76%	$5	$3.13	$313.24	$535.51
2nd Nov	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi	48	-2.3	-5%	$5	$5.36	$535.51	$518.22
9th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates	58.8	5.3	9%	$5	$5.18	$518.22	$540.87
16th Nov	UFC 309	58	-33.0	-57%	$5	$5.41	$540.87	$357.41
23rd Nov	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo	31.5	-17.1	-54%	$5	$3.57	$357.41	$291.26
7th Dec	UFC 310	21	24.1	115%	$5	$2.91	$291.26	$356.47
14th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley	47	32.0	68%	$5	$3.56	$356.47	$465.45
11th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas II	27.5	3.5	13%	$5	$4.65	$465.45	$476.73

ROI % from starting bank balance: -52.33% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

m5mma : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jan '25	Mackenzie Dern	Amanda Ribas	2.55	2.5	Sub, R3 (4:56)
2.	Jan '25	Roman Kopylov	Chris Curtis	1.46	7.5	TKO, R3 (4:59)
3.	Jan '25	Jacobe Smith	Preston Parsons	1.17	10.5	TKO, R1 (1:13)
4.	Dec '24	Felipe Lima	Miles Johns	1.42	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Dec '24	Sean Woodson	Fernando Padilla	1.65	3	TKO, R1 (4:58)
6.	Dec '24	Joaquin Buckley	Colby Covington	1.42	10.5	TKO, R3 (4:42)
7.	Nov '24	Carlos Ulberg	Volkan Oezdemir	1.37	10.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Nov '24	Jon Jones	Stipe Miocic	1.15	0.5	TKO, R3 (4:29)
9.	Nov '24	Marcus McGhee	Jonathan Martinez	1.74	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Nov '24	Oban Elliott	Bassil Hafez	1.56	3	TKO, R3 (0:40)
11.	Nov '24	Mansur Abdul-Malik	Dusko Todorovic	1.21	5	TKO, R1 (2:44)
12.	Nov '24	Tresean Gore	Antonio Trocoli	1.59	2.5	Sub, R1 (1:23)
13.	Nov '24	Carlos Prates	Neil Magny	1.12	10.5	TKO, R1 (4:50)
14.	Nov '24	Jasmine Jasudavicius	Ariane Lipski	1.43	5	Sub, R3 (2:28)
15.	Nov '24	Aiemann Zahabi	Pedro Munhoz	1.87	10.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Oct '24	Elise Reed	Jessica Penne	1.49	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Oct '24	Assu Almabaev	Matheus Nicolau	1.44	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Oct '24	Joselyne Edwards	Tamires Vidal	1.40	0.25	Sub, R3 (4:33)
19.	Oct '24	Charles Johnson	Su Mudaerji	1.40	5.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Oct '24	Rob Font	Kyler Phillips	5.00	3	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jan '25	Magomed Gadzhiyasulov	Bruno Lopes	1.36	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Jan '25	Viktoriya Dudakova	Fatima Kline	6.25	0.25	TKO, R2 (4:27)	No
3.	Dec '24	Ramon Taveras	Davey Grant	1.95	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Dec '24	Vitor Petrino	Dustin Jacoby	1.34	5	TKO, R3 (3:44)	No
5.	Nov '24	Nyamjargal Tumendemberel	Carlos Hernandez	2.20	10.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Nov '24	Deiveson Figueiredo	Petr Yan	3.20	10.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
7.	Nov '24	Jhonata Diniz	Marcin Tybura	1.80	0.5	TKO, R2 (5:0)	No
8.	Nov '24	Cortavious Romious	Gaston Bolanos	1.40	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Nov '24	Matt Semelsberger	Charlie Radtke	2.42	3	TKO, R1 (0:51)	No
10.	Nov '24	Veronica Macedo	Eduarda Moura	1.65	10.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Nov '24	Gerald Meerschaert	Reinier de Ridder	3.35	3	Sub, R3 (1:44)	No
12.	Nov '24	Marc-Andre Barriault	Dustin Stoltzfus	1.49	5	TKO, R1 (4:28)	No
13.	Nov '24	Rose Namajunas	Erin Blanchfield	2.10	10.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
14.	Nov '24	Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira	Alexander Romanov	1.87	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Nov '24	Garrett Armfield	Serhiy Sidey	2.20	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Oct '24	Chris Barnett	Kennedy Nzechukwu	6.25	8	TKO, R1 (4:27)	No
17.	Oct '24	Robelis Despaigne	Austen Lane	1.27	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Oct '24	Alice Ardelean	Melissa Martinez	2.20	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Oct '24	Michel Pereira	Anthony Hernandez	2.35	10.5	TKO, R5 (2:22)	No
20.	Oct '24	Ovince St Preux	Ryan Spann	3.20	5	Sub, R1 (1:35)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

m5mma : Progress Chart

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