MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Isildur

Isildur (Isildur)

MMA MHandicapper - Isildur

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	85 (50%)	Right	71 (55%)	Right	2 (25%)	Right	12 (36%)
Wrong	84 (50%)	Wrong	57 (45%)	Wrong	6 (75%)	Wrong	21 (64%)
Avg Odds	2.30	Avg Odds	2.15	Avg Odds	6.59	Avg Odds	2.61
Units Bet	737.9	Units Bet	621.4	Units Bet	8.5	Units Bet	108.0
Avg Bet	4.37	Avg Bet	4.85	Avg Bet	1.06	Avg Bet	3.27
Units Profit	98.54	Units Profit	113.17	Units Profit	3.50	Units Profit	-18.13
ROI %	13%	ROI %	18%	ROI %	41%	ROI %	-17%

Isildur : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
5th Oct '24	UFC 307	20	-4.7	-24%	-4.7 / 20 (-24%)
28th Sep '24	UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis	28	-17.8	-64%	0.2 / 10 (2%)		-18.0 / 18 (-100%)
14th Sep '24	UFC 306	22	-22.0	-100%	-22.0 / 22 (-100%)
7th Sep '24	UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady	20	24.1	120%	24.1 / 20 (120%)
3rd Sep '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 4	10	5.6	56%	5.6 / 10 (56%)
30th Aug '24	LFA 191	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
27th Aug '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 3	10	9.7	97%	9.7 / 10 (97%)
24th Aug '24	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho	16	-5.9	-37%	0.1 / 10 (1%)		-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
23rd Aug '24	Road to UFC: Las Vegas	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
20th Aug '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 2	10	6.3	63%	6.3 / 10 (63%)
17th Aug '24	UFC 305	40	-9.8	-24%	-9.8 / 40 (-24%)
16th Aug '24	PFL 8: 2024 Playoffs	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
13th Aug '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 1	10	6.1	61%	6.1 / 10 (61%)
10th Aug '24	UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II	22	8.5	38%	4.7 / 18 (26%)		3.8 / 4 (94%)
9th Aug '24	Invicta FC 56	2	1.7	83%	1.7 / 2 (83%)
3rd Aug '24	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov	27	-9.2	-34%	-11.0 / 20 (-55%)		1.9 / 7 (26%)
27th Jul '24	UFC 304	35.6	22.0	62%	23.6 / 34 (69%)	-1.6 / 1.6 (-100%)
20th Jul '24	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba	32.6	7.9	24%	7.9 / 32.6 (24%)
13th Jul '24	UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez	27.4	0.1	0%	1.0 / 15.4 (6%)		-0.9 / 12 (-8%)
29th Jun '24	UFC 303	19	4.2	22%	-3.8 / 12 (-32%)		8.0 / 7 (114%)
22nd Jun '24	UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov	32	-18.0	-56%	-18.0 / 32 (-56%)
15th Jun '24	UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira	28.6	-2.9	-10%	-2.9 / 28.6 (-10%)
8th Jun '24	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov	33	23.7	72%	28.7 / 28 (103%)		-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
7th Jun '24	LFA 185	2	-2.0	-100%			-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
1st Jun '24	UFC 302	32	-23.8	-74%	-20.0 / 20 (-100%)		-3.8 / 12 (-32%)
18th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy	16	18.9	118%	18.9 / 16 (118%)
11th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	35	-10.8	-31%	-5.8 / 30 (-19%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
4th May '24	UFC 301	36	27.7	77%	24.2 / 32 (75%)		3.6 / 4 (90%)
27th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	17	15.8	93%	16.8 / 16 (105%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Apr '24	Cage Warriors 171	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	26.9	0.7	3%	0.6 / 20 (3%)	5.1 / 1.9 (268%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
12th Apr '24	PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	25.5	10.6	42%	9.6 / 21.5 (45%)	4.0 / 1 (400%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
5th Apr '24	LFA 181	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	22	8.4	38%	10.4 / 20 (52%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	18	11.7	65%	7.1 / 15 (48%)		4.5 / 3 (151%)
22nd Mar '24	Bellator Champions Series	1	1.0	95%	1.0 / 1 (95%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	27.3	20.7	76%	17.5 / 18.3 (96%)		3.2 / 9 (36%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	14	10.2	73%	5.6 / 7 (79%)		4.7 / 7 (67%)

Winning Events: 22 (56%)
Losing Events: 17 (44%)

Average Staked Per Event: 18.92 units
Most Staked On One Event: 40.00 units
Best Event: 27.74 units
Worst Event: -23.82 units
Average Event: 2.53 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 51.96
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -44.56

Isildur : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	737.9	98.5	13%	113.2 / 621.4 (18%)		-18.1 / 108 (-17%)	22 / 17 (56%)	2.53

Isildur : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Isildur : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	672.9	90.3	13%	102.9 / 558.4 (18%)	3.5 / 8.5 (41%)	-16.1 / 106 (-15%)
Bellator	1	1.0	95%	1.0 / 1 (95%)
PFL	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
Other	59	12.3	21%	14.3 / 57 (25%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Isildur : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	6 (4%)	5	83 %	39.00	11.15	1.86	29%
Slight Favorites	59 (39%)	42	71 %	270.40	47.70	0.81	18%
Slight Underdogs	59 (39%)	32	54 %	216.50	66.37	1.12	31%
Big Underdogs	28 (18%)	8	29 %	95.50	-12.04	-0.43	-13%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	10 (7%)	4	40 %	54.00	-6.85	-0.69	-13%
Co-Main Event	13 (9%)	8	62 %	53.10	22.43	1.73	42%
Position 3-5	38 (25%)	25	66 %	164.10	50.91	1.34	31%
6+ (Undercard)	91 (60%)	50	55 %	350.20	46.69	0.51	13%

Isildur : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	9 (6%)	5	56 %	33.00	7.46	0.83	23%
Light Heavy	8 (5%)	5	63 %	30.00	28.04	3.51	93%
Middleweight	17 (11%)	8	47 %	88.00	-20.05	-1.18	-23%
Welterweight	12 (8%)	6	50 %	48.00	7.40	0.62	15%
Lightweight	32 (21%)	16	50 %	120.50	11.36	0.36	9%
Featherweight	25 (16%)	18	72 %	101.60	53.34	2.13	52%
Bantamweight	12 (8%)	7	58 %	46.60	5.08	0.42	11%
Flyweight	15 (10%)	8	53 %	74.70	-5.68	-0.38	-8%

Women's Fights	22 (14%)	14	64 %	79.00	26.22	1.19	33%
Featherweight	2 (1%)	1	50 %	7.00	-0.19	-0.10	-3%
Bantamweight	2 (1%)	2	100 %	6.50	5.19	2.60	80%
Flyweight	5 (3%)	3	60 %	23.00	-0.59	-0.12	-3%
Strawweight	13 (9%)	8	62 %	42.50	21.81	1.68	51%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	37 (60%)	26	70 %
Slight Favorites	17 (27%)	12	71 %
Slight Underdogs	8 (13%)	1	13 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	62	39	63 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (7%)	1	100 %
50-65%	2 (14%)	0	0 %
35-50%	2 (14%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	9 (64%)	2	22 %
	14	3	21 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (7%)	0	0 %	3.00	3.00	3.00	-1.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	6 (43%)	1	17 %	2.11	4.75	1.40	-4.6 (-77%)
X Wins by KO	4 (29%)	2	50 %	7.04	13.00	5.00	8.0 (200%)
X Wins in Round X	2 (14%)	0	0 %	23.23	26.00	21.00	-2.0 (-100%)
Others	1 (7%)	0	0 %	23.00	23.00	23.00	-1.0 (-100%)
	14	3	21 %	3.61			-0.6 (-4%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Isildur 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
9th Mar	UFC 299	14	10.2	73%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,102.28
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	27.3	20.7	76%		$11.02	$1,102.28	$1,330.30
22nd Mar	Bellator Champions Series	1	1.0	95%		$13.30	$1,330.30	$1,342.97
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	18	11.7	65%		$13.43	$1,342.97	$1,499.94
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	22	8.4	38%		$15.00	$1,499.94	$1,626.08
5th Apr	LFA 181	5	-5.0	-100%	$19.99	$16.26	$1,626.08	$1,524.79
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	25.5	10.6	42%	$19.99	$15.25	$1,524.79	$1,666.63
12th Apr	PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season	3	-3.0	-100%	$19.99	$16.67	$1,666.63	$1,596.64
13th Apr	UFC 300	26.9	0.7	3%	$19.99	$15.97	$1,596.64	$1,587.70
20th Apr	Cage Warriors 171	3	-3.0	-100%	$19.99	$15.88	$1,587.70	$1,520.08
27th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	17	15.8	93%	$19.99	$15.20	$1,520.08	$1,740.61
4th May	UFC 301	36	27.7	77%	$19.99	$17.41	$1,740.61	$2,203.53
11th May	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	35	-10.8	-31%	$19.99	$22.04	$2,203.53	$1,946.12
18th May	UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy	16	18.9	118%	$19.99	$19.46	$1,946.12	$2,293.95
1st Jun	UFC 302	32	-23.8	-74%	$19.99	$22.94	$2,293.95	$1,727.58
7th Jun	LFA 185	2	-2.0	-100%	$19.99	$17.28	$1,727.58	$1,673.04
8th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov	33	23.7	72%	$19.99	$16.73	$1,673.04	$2,049.80
15th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira	28.6	-2.9	-10%	$19.99	$20.50	$2,049.80	$1,969.46
22nd Jun	UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov	32	-18.0	-56%	$19.99	$19.69	$1,969.46	$1,594.96
29th Jun	UFC 303	19	4.2	22%	$19.99	$15.95	$1,594.96	$1,641.62
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez	27.4	0.1	0%	$19.99	$16.42	$1,641.62	$1,622.93
20th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba	32.6	7.9	24%	$19.99	$16.23	$1,622.93	$1,731.96
27th Jul	UFC 304	35.6	22.0	62%	$19.99	$17.32	$1,731.96	$2,092.52
3rd Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov	27	-9.2	-34%	$19.99	$20.93	$2,092.52	$1,880.49
9th Aug	Invicta FC 56	2	1.7	83%	$19.99	$18.80	$1,880.49	$1,891.84
10th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II	22	8.5	38%	$19.99	$18.92	$1,891.84	$2,031.74
13th Aug	Contender Series 2024: Week 1	10	6.1	61%	$19.99	$20.32	$2,031.74	$2,135.00
16th Aug	PFL 8: 2024 Playoffs	2	-2.0	-100%	$19.99	$21.35	$2,135.00	$2,072.31
17th Aug	UFC 305	40	-9.8	-24%	$19.99	$20.72	$2,072.31	$1,849.97
20th Aug	Contender Series 2024: Week 2	10	6.3	63%	$19.99	$18.50	$1,849.97	$1,945.91
23rd Aug	Road to UFC: Las Vegas	5	-5.0	-100%	$19.99	$19.46	$1,945.91	$1,828.63
24th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho	16	-5.9	-37%	$19.99	$18.29	$1,828.63	$1,701.44
27th Aug	Contender Series 2024: Week 3	10	9.7	97%	$19.99	$17.01	$1,701.44	$1,847.08
30th Aug	LFA 191	2	-2.0	-100%	$19.99	$18.47	$1,847.08	$1,790.15
3rd Sep	Contender Series 2024: Week 4	10	5.6	56%	$19.99	$17.90	$1,790.15	$1,869.61
7th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady	20	24.1	120%	$19.99	$18.70	$1,869.61	$2,299.65
14th Sep	UFC 306	22	-22.0	-100%	$19.99	$23.00	$2,299.65	$1,773.74
28th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis	28	-17.8	-64%	$19.99	$17.74	$1,773.74	$1,437.14
5th Oct	UFC 307	20	-4.7	-24%	$19.99	$14.37	$1,437.14	$1,349.47

ROI % from starting bank balance: 34.95% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Isildur : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Oct '24	Iasmin Lucindo	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	1.53	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Oct '24	Iasmin Lucindo	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	1.53	6	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Sep '24	Ion Cutelaba	Ivan Erslan	2.03	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Sep '24	Chris Padilla	Zhu Rong	3.10	4	TKO, R2 (4:14)
5.	Sep '24	Quillan Salkilld	Gauge Young	1.56	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Sep '24	Yanal Ashmoz	Trevor Peek	2.15	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Sep '24	Yanal Ashmoz	Trevor Peek	2.20	6	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Aug '24	Bogdan Grad	Michael Aswell	2.07	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Aug '24	Bogdan Grad	Michael Aswell	1.91	6	Split Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Sep '24	Steve Garcia	Kyle Nelson	1.65	6	TKO, R1 (3:59)
11.	Aug '24	Francis Marshall	Dennis Buzukja	1.69	6	Split Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Aug '24	Cody Haddon	Billy Brand	1.67	3.4	Sub, R1 (3:9)
13.	Aug '24	Cody Haddon	Billy Brand	1.61	6.6	Sub, R1 (3:9)
14.	Aug '24	Jesus Santos Aguilar	Stewart Nicoll	2.94	4	Sub, R1 (2:39)
15.	Aug '24	Valter Walker	Junior Tafa	2.05	5	Sub, R1 (4:56)
16.	Aug '24	Kenan Song	Rick Glenn	1.65	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Aug '24	Bruno Lopes	Mikheil Sazhiniani	1.59	5	TKO, R2 (4:14)
18.	Aug '24	Lone'er Kavanagh	An Ho	1.63	5	TKO, R1 (2:25)
19.	Aug '24	Ana Palacios	Flor Hernandez	1.83	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Aug '24	Sergey Spivak	Marcin Tybura	1.71	6	Sub, R1 (1:44)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Oct '24	Ihor Potieria	César Almeida	4.00	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Sep '24	Matt Frevola	Fares Ziam	2.12	5	TKO, R3 (2:59)	No
3.	Sep '24	Manuel Torres	Ignacio Bahamondes	1.81	2.8	TKO, R1 (4:2)	No
4.	Sep '24	Manuel Torres	Ignacio Bahamondes	1.83	7.2	TKO, R1 (4:2)	No
5.	Sep '24	Ode Osbourne	Luis Rodriguez	2.10	7	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Sep '24	Edgar Chairez	Joshua Van	2.80	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Aug '24	Wellinton Prado	Keweny Lopes	2.10	2	TKO, R1 (1:34)	No
8.	Aug '24	Masuto Kawana	Xie Bin	3.05	3	TKO, R1 (4:17)	No
9.	Aug '24	Masuto Kawana	Xie Bin	2.70	2	TKO, R1 (4:17)	No
10.	Aug '24	James Llontop	Viacheslav Borshchev	3.15	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Aug '24	Israel Adesanya	Dricus Du Plessis	1.91	6	Sub, R4 (3:38)	No
12.	Aug '24	Tai Tuivasa	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	3.10	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Aug '24	Elvin Espinoza	Mads Burnell	2.02	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Aug '24	Steve Erceg	Kai Kara-France	1.63	5	TKO, R1 (4:4)	No
15.	Aug '24	Joshua Culibao	Ricardo Ramos	1.63	6	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Aug '24	Luana Santos	Casey O'Neill	1.71	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Aug '24	Chelsea Chandler	Yana Santos	2.27	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Aug '24	Talita Alencar	Stephanie Luciano	2.38	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Aug '24	Michal Oleksiejczuk	Sharabutdin Magomedov	2.90	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Aug '24	Denis Tiuliulin	Sedriques Dumas	3.00	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Isildur : Progress Chart

Chart

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