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MMA Handicapper Stats: Shady

Shady (Arroyo)


MMA MHandicapper - Shady

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 64 (45%) Right 38 (57%) Right 24 (34%) Right 2 (50%)
Wrong 77 (55%) Wrong 29 (43%) Wrong 46 (66%) Wrong 2 (50%)
Avg Odds 2.43 Avg Odds 2.08 Avg Odds 2.93 Avg Odds 1.93
Units Bet 259.6 Units Bet 181.0 Units Bet 53.7 Units Bet 25.0
Avg Bet 1.84 Avg Bet 2.70 Avg Bet 0.77 Avg Bet 6.25
Units Profit 9.77 Units Profit 17.37 Units Profit -0.71 Units Profit -6.88
ROI % 4% ROI % 10% ROI % -1% ROI % -28%
View Handicapper's Profile

Shady : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
27th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 32.48 -5.0 -15% 1.1 / 23.73 (5%) -1.1 / 3.75 (-30%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
19th Apr '24 PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season 3.6 -3.6 -100% -3.6 / 3.6 (-100%)
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 26.79 7.7 29% 6.6 / 21.09 (31%) 1.2 / 5.7 (20%)
6th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 36.43 3.1 8% 12.8 / 19.43 (66%) 0.3 / 7 (4%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
30th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 31.73 -7.9 -25% -3.8 / 25.73 (-15%) -4.1 / 6 (-68%)
23rd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 23.23 7.2 31% 3.8 / 19.03 (20%) 3.4 / 4.2 (80%)
16th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 15.88 -4.2 -26% -3.4 / 11.38 (-30%) -0.8 / 4.5 (-18%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 22.02 -3.8 -17% -1.7 / 18.42 (-9%) -2.1 / 3.6 (-58%)
2nd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 13.58 3.1 23% -0.4 / 3.28 (-13%) -0.7 / 5.3 (-13%) 4.3 / 5 (85%)
24th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 29.77 2.9 10% -3.0 / 17.17 (-18%) 2.1 / 7.6 (28%) 3.9 / 5 (77%)
17th Feb '24 UFC 298 24.11 10.3 43% 9.1 / 18.11 (50%) 1.2 / 6 (20%)


Winning Events: 6 (55%)
Losing Events: 5 (45%)

Average Staked Per Event: 23.60 units
Most Staked On One Event: 36.43 units
Best Event: 10.27 units
Worst Event: -7.91 units
Average Event: 0.89 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 16.32
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -8.59

Shady : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 259.62 9.8 4% 17.4 / 180.97 (10%) -6.9 / 25 (-28%) 6 / 5 (55%) 0.89

Shady : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Shady : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 256.02 13.4 5% 21.0 / 177.37 (12%) -0.7 / 53.65 (-1%) -6.9 / 25 (-28%)
PFL 3.6 -3.6 -100% -3.6 / 3.6 (-100%)

Shady : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 4 (6%) 2 50 % 36.16 -9.83 -2.46 -27%
Slight Favorites 32 (44%) 22 69 % 93.34 10.08 0.31 11%
Slight Underdogs 26 (36%) 17 65 % 40.26 24.74 0.95 61%
Big Underdogs 10 (14%) 1 10 % 11.21 -7.63 -0.76 -68%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 10 (14%) 7 70 % 42.49 10.27 1.03 24%
Co-Main Event 8 (11%) 4 50 % 15.35 -3.64 -0.45 -24%
Position 3-5 20 (28%) 12 60 % 59.50 5.36 0.27 9%
6+ (Undercard) 34 (47%) 19 56 % 63.63 5.37 0.16 8%

Shady : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (8%) 4 67 % 20.16 4.47 0.75 22%
Light Heavy 7 (10%) 6 86 % 15.80 12.20 1.74 77%
Middleweight 8 (11%) 4 50 % 31.96 -0.51 -0.06 -2%
Welterweight 3 (4%) 1 33 % 6.88 -2.49 -0.83 -36%
Lightweight 9 (13%) 4 44 % 21.15 -5.27 -0.59 -25%
Featherweight 16 (22%) 10 63 % 35.39 6.77 0.42 19%
Bantamweight 7 (10%) 4 57 % 10.74 1.05 0.15 10%
Flyweight 5 (7%) 3 60 % 14.76 -6.82 -1.36 -46%
               
Women's Fights 11 (15%) 6 55 % 24.13 7.95 0.72 33%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 2.09 2.61 2.61 125%
Bantamweight 3 (4%) 2 67 % 6.88 2.71 0.90 39%
Flyweight 3 (4%) 2 67 % 6.88 7.22 2.41 105%
Strawweight 4 (6%) 1 25 % 8.28 -4.58 -1.15 -55%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 6 (75%) 5 83 %
Slight Favorites 2 (25%) 1 50 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
8 6 75 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 21 (30%) 12 57 %
35-50% 10 (14%) 3 30 %
<35% chance 39 (56%) 9 23 %
70 24 34 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (9%) 3 50 % 1.85 2.30Pick was correct 1.65Pick was incorrect -0.1 (-1%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.65 1.65Pick was correct 1.65Pick was correct 0.6 (65%)
Goes to Decision 2 (3%) 1 50 % 1.77 1.77Pick was correct 1.77Pick was correct -0.2 (-12%)
X Wins by KO 4 (6%) 1 25 % 2.67 12.00Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was correct -2.2 (-55%)
X Wins by Sub 6 (9%) 1 17 % 4.98 8.50Pick was incorrect 2.80Pick was incorrect -0.0 (-0%)
X Wins by Decision 27 (39%) 7 26 % 3.27 8.50Pick was incorrect 1.69Pick was correct -6.5 (-24%)
X Wins Inside Distance 6 (9%) 4 67 % 2.18 4.50Pick was incorrect 1.74Pick was correct 1.8 (30%)
X Wins in Round X 13 (19%) 4 31 % 4.85 21.00Pick was incorrect 1.77Pick was incorrect 5.5 (42%)
Others 5 (7%) 2 40 % 2.00 2.55Pick was incorrect 1.77Pick was incorrect -1.3 (-26%)
70 24 34 % 2.93     -2.4 (-3%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Shady 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
17th Feb UFC 298 24.11 10.3 43% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,102.68
24th Feb UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 29.77 2.9 10% $11.03 $1,102.68 $1,134.92
2nd Mar UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 13.58 3.1 23% $11.35 $1,134.92 $1,170.44
9th Mar UFC 299 22.02 -3.8 -17% $11.70 $1,170.44 $1,125.61
16th Mar UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 15.88 -4.2 -26% $11.26 $1,125.61 $1,078.75
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 23.23 7.2 31% $10.79 $1,078.75 $1,156.15
30th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 31.73 -7.9 -25% $11.56 $1,156.15 $1,064.75
6th Apr UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 36.43 3.1 8% $10.65 $1,064.75 $1,097.23
13th Apr UFC 300 26.79 7.7 29% $10.97 $1,097.23 $1,181.83
19th Apr PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season 3.6 -3.6 -100% $11.82 $1,181.83 $1,139.28
27th Apr UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 32.48 -5.0 -15% $11.39 $1,139.28 $1,082.41


ROI % from starting bank balance: 8.24% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Shady : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '24 Jhonata Diniz Austen Lane 1.40 10 TKO, R2 (2:12) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Alex Perez Matheus Nicolau 2.55 1.19 TKO, R2 (2:16) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Bogdan Guskov Ryan Spann 2.75 1.19 TKO, R2 (3:16) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 Karine Silva Ariane Lipski 2.18 2.09 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '24 Jiri Prochazka Aleksandar Rakic 1.95 2.09 TKO, R2 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '24 Alex Pereira Jamahal Hill 1.83 4.45 TKO, R1 (3:14) MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '24 Max Holloway Justin Gaethje 2.70 1.19 TKO, R5 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '24 Diego Lopes Sodiq Yusuff 1.74 3.6 TKO, R1 (1:29) MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '24 Norma Dumont Germaine de Randamie 1.74 3.6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '24 Damon Jackson Alexander Hernandez 2.70 0.9 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '24 Damon Jackson Alexander Hernandez 2.75 1.19 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '24 César Almeida Dylan Budka 2.51 1.19 TKO, R2 (2:13) MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '24 Jose Mariscal Morgan Charriere 2.35 2.09 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Apr '24 Brendan Allen Chris Curtis 1.53 8.08 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '24 Chidi Njokuani Rhys McKee 1.70 2.09 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '24 Kyle Nelson Bill Algeo 3.01 1.19 TKO, R1 (4:0) MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '24 Nate Landwehr Jamall Emmers 2.55 1.19 TKO, R1 (4:43) MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '24 Ibo Aslan Anton Turkalj 1.83 1.19 TKO, R3 (1:32) MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '24 Manon Fiorot Erin Blanchfield 2.65 3.6 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '24 Michael Parkin Mohammed Usman 1.77 2.09 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '24 Michal Figlak Austin Hubbard 1.65 3.6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Tim Means Uros Medic 3.70 1.19 TKO, R1 (2:9) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Bubba Jenkins Kai Kamaka 1.69 3.6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 Caio Machado (2) Don'tale Mayes 2.45 1.19 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '24 Gabriel Benitez Hayisaer Maheshate 3.00 1.19 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '24 Jonathan Pearce David Onama 1.80 2.09 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '24 Calvin Kattar Aljamain Sterling 2.45 1.19 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '24 Yan Xiaonan Weili Zhang 4.90 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Apr '24 Charles Oliveira Arman Tsarukyan 2.90 1.19 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Apr '24 Marina Alcalde Rodriguez Jessica Andrade 2.19 2.09 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Apr '24 Trevor Peek Charlie Campbell 2.90 1.19 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Apr '24 Dan Argueta Jean Matsumoto 2.55 1.19 Sub, R2 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '24 Bruno Silva Chris Weidman 1.50 8.08 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '24 Sedriques Dumas Nursulton Ruziboev 3.10 1.19 TKO, R1 (3:18) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '24 Billy Quarantillo Youssef Zalal 1.95 1.99 Sub, R2 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '24 Igor da Silva Andre Lima 2.55 1.19 No MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '24 Lupita Godinez Virna Jandiroba 1.56 3.6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Mar '24 Vicente Luque Joaquin Buckley 1.69 3.6 TKO, R2 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Mar '24 Billy Quarantillo Youssef Zalal 1.69 3.6 Sub, R2 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Mar '24 Tai Tuivasa Marcin Tybura 1.82 3.6 Sub, R1 (4:8) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Shady : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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