MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6371
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Tapology: Wisdom of the Crowd [Kelly Criterion]

Tapology: Wisdom of the Crowd [Kelly Criterion] (TapologyWOTC_KC)

MMA MHandicapper - Tapology: Wisdom of the Crowd [Kelly Criterion]

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	25 (53%)	Right	25 (53%)	Right	0 (nan%)	Right	0 (nan%)
Wrong	22 (47%)	Wrong	22 (47%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)
Avg Odds	1.55	Avg Odds	1.55	Avg Odds	nan	Avg Odds	nan
Units Bet	235.6	Units Bet	235.6	Units Bet	0.0	Units Bet	0.0
Avg Bet	5.01	Avg Bet	5.01	Avg Bet	nan	Avg Bet	nan
Units Profit	-40.46	Units Profit	-40.46	Units Profit	0.00	Units Profit	0.00
ROI %	-17%	ROI %	-17%	ROI %	nan%	ROI %	nan%

Tapology: Wisdom of the Crowd [Kelly Criterion]: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	71.49	2.1	3%	2.1 / 71.49 (3%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	48.14	-22.0	-46%	-22.0 / 48.14 (-46%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	47.78	-28.4	-59%	-28.4 / 47.78 (-59%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	68.22	7.8	11%	7.8 / 68.22 (11%)

Winning Events: 2 (50%)
Losing Events: 2 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 58.91 units
Most Staked On One Event: 71.49 units
Best Event: 7.83 units
Worst Event: -28.40 units
Average Event: -10.11 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 7.83
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -50.42

Tapology: Wisdom of the Crowd [Kelly Criterion]: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	235.63	-40.5	-17%	-40.5 / 235.63 (-17%)			2 / 2 (50%)	-10.11

Tapology: Wisdom of the Crowd [Kelly Criterion]: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Tapology: Wisdom of the Crowd [Kelly Criterion]: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	235.63	-40.5	-17%	-40.5 / 235.63 (-17%)

Tapology: Wisdom of the Crowd [Kelly Criterion]: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	25 (53%)	16	64 %	132.71	-17.19	-0.69	-13%
Slight Favorites	17 (36%)	8	47 %	80.60	-14.49	-0.85	-18%
Slight Underdogs	5 (11%)	1	20 %	22.32	-8.77	-1.75	-39%
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	3 (6%)	1	33 %	9.49	-8.73	-2.91	-92%
Co-Main Event	2 (4%)	1	50 %	10.16	-1.26	-0.63	-12%
Position 3-5	10 (21%)	6	60 %	49.58	-0.62	-0.06	-1%
6+ (Undercard)	32 (68%)	17	53 %	166.40	-29.85	-0.93	-18%

Tapology: Wisdom of the Crowd [Kelly Criterion]: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (4%)	1	50 %	6.47	-4.42	-2.21	-68%
Light Heavy	2 (4%)	1	50 %	10.23	3.32	1.66	32%
Middleweight	8 (17%)	4	50 %	36.73	-10.01	-1.25	-27%
Welterweight	8 (17%)	3	38 %	30.07	-15.29	-1.91	-51%
Lightweight	6 (13%)	4	67 %	41.24	3.24	0.54	8%
Featherweight	6 (13%)	4	67 %	29.91	2.29	0.38	8%
Bantamweight	5 (11%)	2	40 %	29.34	-12.10	-2.42	-41%
Flyweight	3 (6%)	1	33 %	18.80	-5.56	-1.85	-30%

Women's Fights	7 (15%)	5	71 %	32.84	-1.93	-0.28	-6%
Bantamweight	2 (4%)	1	50 %	10.15	-3.28	-1.64	-32%
Flyweight	3 (6%)	2	67 %	14.30	-1.71	-0.57	-12%
Strawweight	2 (4%)	2	100 %	8.39	3.05	1.53	36%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
50-65%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
35-50%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
	0	0	nan %	nan			0.0 (nan%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Tapology: Wisdom of the Crowd [Kelly Criterion]'s bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	68.22	7.8	11%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,078.27
20th Jan	UFC 297	47.78	-28.4	-59%		$10.78	$1,078.27	$772.09
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	48.14	-22.0	-46%		$7.72	$772.09	$602.01
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	71.49	2.1	3%		$6.02	$602.01	$614.90

ROI % from starting bank balance: -38.51% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Tapology: Wisdom of the Crowd [Kelly Criterion]: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '24	Hyder Amil	Fernando Garcia	1.53	7.52	TKO, R2 (2:12)
2.	Feb '24	Bogdan Guskov	Zac Pauga	2.20	6.16	TKO, R1 (3:38)
3.	Feb '24	Loma Lookboonmee	Bruna Brasil	1.36	5.23	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Feb '24	Bolaji Oki	Timothy Cuamba	1.62	7.82	Split Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Feb '24	Carlos Prates	Trevin Giles	1.44	5.64	TKO, R2 (4:3)
6.	Feb '24	Michael Johnson	Darrius Flowers	1.73	2.38	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Feb '24	Gregory Rodrigues	Brad Tavares	1.44	5.28	TKO, R3 (0:55)
8.	Feb '24	Dan Ige	Andre Fili	1.62	5.51	TKO, R1 (2:43)
9.	Feb '24	Jung Young Lee	Blake Bilder	1.67	4.13	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Feb '24	Themba Gorimbo	Pete Rodriguez	1.44	0.27	TKO, R1 (0:32)
11.	Feb '24	Molly McCann	Diana Belbita	1.40	2.53	Sub, R1 (4:59)
12.	Feb '24	Natalia Cristina da Silva	Viviane Araujo	1.29	7.04	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Feb '24	Randy Brown	Muslim Salikhov	1.40	4.46	TKO, R1 (3:17)
14.	Jan '24	Chris Curtis	Marc-Andre Barriault	1.55	4.8	Split Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Jan '24	Dricus Du Plessis	Sean Strickland	1.95	0.39	Split Decision (5 rounds)
16.	Jan '24	Jasmine Jasudavicius	Priscila Cachoeira	1.25	5.5	Sub, R3 (4:21)
17.	Jan '24	Gillian Robertson	Polyana Viana	1.36	3.16	TKO, R2 (3:12)
18.	Jan '24	Joshua Van	Felipe Bunes	1.40	9.46	TKO, R2 (4:31)
19.	Jan '24	Farid Basharat	Taylor Lapilus	1.36	4.4	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Jan '24	Marcus McGhee	Gaston Bolanos	1.44	7.78	TKO, R2 (3:29)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '24	Jeremiah Wells	Max Griffin	1.63	4.42	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Feb '24	Devin Clark	Marcin Prachnio	1.50	4.07	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Feb '24	Armen Petrosyan	Rodolfo Vieira	2.00	4.4	Sub, R1 (4:48)	No
4.	Feb '24	Robert Bryczek	Ihor Potieria	1.63	6.71	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Feb '24	Joe Pyfer	Jack Hermansson	1.44	6.35	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
6.	Feb '24	Thomas Petersen	Jamal Pogues	1.63	4.71	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Feb '24	Landon Quiñones	Marquel Mederos	2.25	5.65	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Feb '24	Julija Stoliarenko	Luana Carolina	1.73	4.73	TKO, R3 (4:52)	No
9.	Feb '24	Azat Maksum	Charles Johnson	1.44	8.14	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Feb '24	Gilbert Urbina	Charlie Radtke	1.53	3.73	TKO, R1 (4:47)	No
11.	Feb '24	Roman Dolidze	Nassourdine Imavov	2.50	2.75	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
12.	Jan '24	Charles Jourdain	Sean Woodson	1.53	4.99	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Jan '24	Brad Katona	Garrett Armfield	1.53	8.47	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Jan '24	Arnold Allen	Movsar Evloev	2.62	3.36	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Jan '24	Malcolm Gordon	Jimmy Flick	1.53	1.2	Sub, R2 (1:17)	No
16.	Jan '24	Yohan Lainesse	Sam Patterson	1.73	1.07	Sub, R1 (2:3)	No
17.	Jan '24	Serhiy Sidey	Ramon Taveras	1.57	5.86	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Jan '24	Mike Malott	Neil Magny	1.30	4.33	TKO, R3 (4:45)	No
19.	Jan '24	Mayra Bueno Silva	Raquel Pennington	1.62	4.65	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
20.	Jan '24	Tom Nolan	Nikolas Motta	1.29	7.54	TKO, R1 (1:3)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Tapology: Wisdom of the Crowd [Kelly Criterion]: Progress Chart

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