MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6371
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2341

MMA Handicapper Stats: LCM

LCM (LCM)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	61 (24%)	Right	17 (35%)	Right	24 (17%)	Right	20 (32%)
Wrong	190 (76%)	Wrong	31 (65%)	Wrong	116 (83%)	Wrong	43 (68%)
Avg Odds	3.10	Avg Odds	2.05	Avg Odds	3.79	Avg Odds	3.04
Units Bet	272.6	Units Bet	90.7	Units Bet	95.7	Units Bet	86.3
Avg Bet	1.09	Avg Bet	1.89	Avg Bet	0.68	Avg Bet	1.37
Units Profit	-82.21	Units Profit	-28.46	Units Profit	-36.35	Units Profit	-17.40
ROI %	-30%	ROI %	-31%	ROI %	-38%	ROI %	-20%

LCM : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	9	-9.0	-100%	-9.0 / 9 (-100%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	11.41	-11.4	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-3.4 / 3.41 (-100%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
4th Apr '24	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	3.25	-0.9	-28%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	1.1 / 1.25 (88%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	18.5	-13.6	-74%	-6.5 / 10 (-65%)	-1.2 / 2.5 (-47%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	21.65	-9.3	-43%	-6.5 / 16.65 (-39%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	1.2 / 1 (121%)
22nd Mar '24	Bellator Champions Series	1.862	-1.9	-100%		-1.9 / 1.862 (-100%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	7.5	1.0	13%		3.3 / 3 (109%)	-2.3 / 4.5 (-51%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	27.561	-10.7	-39%	-1.1 / 10.5 (-11%)	-9.6 / 9.561 (-100%)	0.0 / 7.5 (1%)
7th Mar '24	PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season	3.25	-0.1	-4%	0.1 / 3 (5%)		-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	31.5	-10.6	-34%	1.6 / 6 (26%)	-6.2 / 15.5 (-40%)	-6.0 / 10 (-60%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	20.9	8.2	39%	5.2 / 6 (87%)	-1.3 / 7.4 (-17%)	4.2 / 7.5 (56%)
23rd Feb '24	LFA 177	3	-3.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Feb '24	Cage Warriors 166	0.5	-0.5	-100%			-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	31.55	8.9	28%	-3.9 / 10.5 (-37%)	-1.3 / 13.05 (-10%)	14.1 / 8 (176%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	21.5	-4.4	-21%	1.7 / 2 (83%)	-2.5 / 7.5 (-33%)	-3.7 / 12 (-30%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	21.5	-18.3	-85%	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)	-5.8 / 9 (-65%)	-5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	21.995	-12.1	-55%	3.0 / 4 (74%)	-9.0 / 8.995 (-100%)	-6.1 / 9 (-68%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	17.33	5.6	32%		5.3 / 9.83 (54%)	0.3 / 7.5 (5%)

Winning Events: 4 (22%)
Losing Events: 14 (78%)

Average Staked Per Event: 15.21 units
Most Staked On One Event: 31.55 units
Best Event: 8.87 units
Worst Event: -18.32 units
Average Event: -4.57 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 8.87
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -46.06

LCM : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	273.758	-82.2	-30%	-28.5 / 90.65 (-31%)		-17.4 / 86.25 (-20%)	4 / 14 (22%)	-4.57

LCM : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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LCM : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	261.896	-75.8	-29%	-24.6 / 83.65 (-29%)	-35.6 / 93.746 (-38%)	-15.7 / 84.5 (-19%)
Bellator	1.862	-1.9	-100%		-1.9 / 1.862 (-100%)
PFL	6.5	-1.0	-16%	-1.9 / 5 (-37%)	1.1 / 1.25 (88%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
Other	3.5	-3.5	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)

LCM : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	2 (4%)	2	100 %	4.12	2.05	1.03	50%
Slight Favorites	21 (42%)	10	48 %	42.53	-6.46	-0.31	-15%
Slight Underdogs	22 (44%)	6	27 %	38.00	-18.06	-0.82	-48%
Big Underdogs	5 (10%)	0	0 %	6.00	-6.00	-1.20	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	10 (20%)	2	20 %	17.12	-11.40	-1.14	-67%
Co-Main Event	3 (6%)	2	67 %	3.50	3.45	1.15	99%
Position 3-5	11 (22%)	3	27 %	23.50	-13.42	-1.22	-57%
6+ (Undercard)	26 (52%)	11	42 %	46.53	-7.09	-0.27	-15%

LCM : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	5 (10%)	3	60 %	9.50	0.74	0.15	8%
Light Heavy	3 (6%)	1	33 %	6.00	-2.46	-0.82	-41%
Middleweight	4 (8%)	2	50 %	6.50	-1.62	-0.41	-25%
Welterweight	10 (20%)		0 %	11.50	-11.50	-1.15	-100%
Lightweight	6 (12%)	4	67 %	14.00	-0.40	-0.07	-3%
Featherweight	6 (12%)		0 %	12.78	-12.78	-2.13	-100%
Bantamweight	6 (12%)	2	33 %	11.25	-2.73	-0.45	-24%
Flyweight	2 (4%)	2	100 %	4.00	3.83	1.91	96%

Women's Fights	8 (16%)	4	50 %	15.12	-1.53	-0.19	-10%
Bantamweight	3 (6%)	2	67 %	5.00	1.95	0.65	39%
Flyweight	2 (4%)		0 %	4.00	-4.00	-2.00	-100%
Strawweight	3 (6%)	2	67 %	6.12	0.52	0.17	8%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	77 (76%)	54	70 %
Slight Favorites	21 (21%)	9	43 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (2%)	1	50 %
Big Underdogs	1 (1%)	0	0 %
	101	64	63 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	15 (7%)	12	80 %
50-65%	40 (19%)	17	43 %
35-50%	52 (25%)	13	25 %
<35% chance	99 (48%)	13	13 %
	206	55	27 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	17 (8%)	13	76 %	1.56	3.75	1.33	2.8 (16%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	36 (17%)	13	36 %	1.80	3.29	1.33	-12.0 (-33%)
X Wins by KO	39 (19%)	8	21 %	2.64	5.80	1.50	-19.4 (-50%)
X Wins by Sub	38 (18%)	8	21 %	3.17	21.00	1.91	-13.7 (-36%)
X Wins by Decision	7 (3%)	4	57 %	2.35	4.25	1.80	3.2 (45%)
X Wins Inside Distance	12 (6%)	5	42 %	2.31	5.00	1.77	-1.7 (-15%)
X Wins in Round X	6 (3%)	1	17 %	6.26	17.00	3.50	-1.7 (-29%)
Others	51 (25%)	3	6 %	8.45	75.99	1.87	-35.0 (-69%)
	206	55	27 %	2.83			-77.7 (-38%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail LCM 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	17.33	5.6	32%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,056.16
20th Jan	UFC 297	21.995	-12.1	-55%		$10.56	$1,056.16	$927.88
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	21.5	-18.3	-85%		$9.28	$927.88	$757.89
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	21.5	-4.4	-21%		$7.58	$757.89	$724.25
17th Feb	UFC 298	31.55	8.9	28%		$7.24	$724.25	$788.46
23rd Feb	LFA 177	3	-3.0	-100%		$7.88	$788.46	$764.80
23rd Feb	Cage Warriors 166	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$7.65	$764.80	$760.98
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	20.9	8.2	39%		$7.61	$760.98	$823.22
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	31.5	-10.6	-34%		$8.23	$823.22	$735.93
7th Mar	PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season	3.25	-0.1	-4%		$7.36	$735.93	$735.10
9th Mar	UFC 299	27.561	-10.7	-39%		$7.35	$735.10	$656.70
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	7.5	1.0	13%		$6.57	$656.70	$663.08
22nd Mar	Bellator Champions Series	1.862	-1.9	-100%		$6.63	$663.08	$650.74
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	21.65	-9.3	-43%		$6.51	$650.74	$590.48
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	18.5	-13.6	-74%		$5.90	$590.48	$510.01
4th Apr	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	3.25	-0.9	-28%		$5.10	$510.01	$505.42
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	11.41	-11.4	-100%		$5.05	$505.42	$447.75
13th Apr	UFC 300	9	-9.0	-100%		$4.48	$447.75	$407.46

ROI % from starting bank balance: -59.25% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

LCM : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '24	Ibo Aslan	Anton Turkalj	1.77	2	TKO, R3 (1:32)
2.	Mar '24	Miles Johns	Cody Gibson	1.67	2.25	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Mar '24	Trey Ogden	Kurt Holobaugh	1.66	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Mar '24	Rose Namajunas	Amanda Ribas	1.47	2.12	U Decision (5 rounds)
5.	Mar '24	Ignacio Capella	Yazid Chouchane	1.93	1	TKO, R2 (2:31)
6.	Mar '24	Kevin Del	Younes Najid	2.42	0.5	Sub, R1 (1:10)
7.	Mar '24	Curtis Blaydes	Jailton Junior	1.83	2.5	TKO, R2 (0:36)
8.	Mar '24	Petr Yan	Yadong Song	1.91	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Mar '24	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	Shamil Gaziev	2.60	1	TKO, R4 (5:0)
10.	Mar '24	Loik Radzhabov	Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady	2.49	2	TKO, R3 (0:49)
11.	Feb '24	Jesus Santos Aguilar	Mateus Mendonca	2.10	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Feb '24	Luis Rodriguez	Denys Bondar	1.81	2	Sub, R2 (4:59)
13.	Feb '24	Manuel Torres	Chris Duncan (2)	1.69	2	Sub, R1 (1:46)
14.	Feb '24	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	Junior Tafa	1.53	2	TKO, R2 (1:14)
15.	Feb '24	Amanda Lemos	Mackenzie Dern	1.76	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Feb '24	Rodolfo Vieira	Armen Petrosyan	1.83	2	Sub, R1 (4:48)
17.	Jan '24	Raquel Pennington	Mayra Bueno Silva	2.30	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
18.	Jan '24	Raquel Pennington	Mayra Bueno Silva	2.35	1	U Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Germaine de Randamie	Norma Dumont	2.15	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '24	Ante Delija	Valentin Moldavsky	2.30	2	TKO, R1 (2:17)	No
3.	Apr '24	Sodiq Yusuff	Diego Lopes	2.05	2	TKO, R1 (1:29)	No
4.	Mar '24	Connor Matthews	Dennis Buzukja	1.95	2	TKO, R3 (0:22)	No
5.	Mar '24	Lupita Godinez	Virna Jandiroba	1.55	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Mar '24	Sedriques Dumas	Nursulton Ruziboev	3.10	2	TKO, R1 (3:18)	No
7.	Mar '24	Erin Blanchfield	Manon Fiorot	1.67	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
8.	Mar '24	Cameron Saaiman	Payton Talbott	2.20	2	TKO, R2 (0:21)	No
9.	Apr '24	Aleksandar Rakic	Jiri Prochazka	1.79	2	TKO, R2 (3:17)	No
10.	Mar '24	Billy Quarantillo	Youssef Zalal	1.63	2	Sub, R2 (1:50)	No
11.	Mar '24	Ricardo Ramos	Julian Erosa	1.66	2.28	Sub, R1 (2:15)	No
12.	Mar '24	Luis Pajuelo	Fernando Padilla	2.40	2	Sub, R1 (2:45)	No
13.	Mar '24	Cameron Saaiman	Payton Talbott	2.34	2	TKO, R2 (0:21)	No
14.	Mar '24	Marlon Vera	Sean O'Malley	3.11	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
15.	Mar '24	Gilbert Burns	Jack Della Maddalena	2.45	1.5	TKO, R3 (3:43)	No
16.	Mar '24	Jack Grant	Abdoul Abdouraguimov	3.55	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Mar '24	Cedric Doumbe	Baissangour Chamsoudinov	2.10	1	TKO, R3 (1:21)	No
18.	Mar '24	Kevin Holland	Michael Page	1.82	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Mar '24	Bernardo Sopai	Vinicius de Oliveira	2.13	1	TKO, R3 (4:41)	No
20.	Mar '24	Shamil Gaziev	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	1.69	2	TKO, R4 (5:0)	Yes

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

LCM : Progress Chart

Chart

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