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MMA Handicapper Stats: Denim Chicken |
|
Denim Chicken: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 27 (55%) Losing Events: 22 (45%)
Average Staked Per Event: 15.56 units Most Staked On One Event: 36.14 units Best Event: 23.17 units Worst Event: -21.50 units Average Event: 0.58 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 49.30 Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -26.78 |
Denim Chicken: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
762.265 |
28.2 |
4% |
-3.8 / 414.53 (-1%) |
|
10.9 / 70.37 (15%) |
27 / 22 (55%) |
0.58 |
|
Denim Chicken: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
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Denim Chicken: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
687.755 |
37.6 |
5% |
8.2 / 372.59 (2%) |
19.4 / 250.065 (8%) |
10.1 / 65.1 (15%) |
Bellator |
12.1 |
2.0 |
16% |
-0.5 / 5.95 (-8%) |
2.4 / 6.15 (40%) |
|
PFL |
54.64 |
-6.8 |
-12% |
-10.3 / 31.59 (-32%) |
1.5 / 18.95 (8%) |
2.0 / 4.1 (48%) |
Other |
7.77 |
-4.6 |
-59% |
-1.3 / 4.4 (-28%) |
-2.2 / 2.2 (-100%) |
-1.2 / 1.17 (-100%) |
|
Denim Chicken: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
25 (9%) |
17 |
68 % |
67.52 |
-3.32 |
-0.13 |
-5% |
Slight Favorites |
64 (23%) |
34 |
53 % |
114.22 |
-24.97 |
-0.39 |
-22% |
Slight Underdogs |
119 (43%) |
60 |
50 % |
168.30 |
45.47 |
0.38 |
27% |
Big Underdogs |
69 (25%) |
11 |
16 % |
64.49 |
-20.96 |
-0.30 |
-33% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
24 (9%) |
8 |
33 % |
41.83 |
-20.34 |
-0.85 |
-49% |
Co-Main Event |
21 (8%) |
11 |
52 % |
26.10 |
11.40 |
0.54 |
44% |
Position 3-5 |
78 (28%) |
30 |
38 % |
119.97 |
-22.07 |
-0.28 |
-18% |
6+ (Undercard) |
154 (56%) |
73 |
47 % |
226.63 |
27.23 |
0.18 |
12% |
|
Denim Chicken: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
28 (10%) |
17 |
61 % |
44.25 |
26.15 |
0.93 |
59% |
Light Heavy |
18 (6%) |
3 |
17 % |
20.34 |
-14.38 |
-0.80 |
-71% |
Middleweight |
33 (12%) |
14 |
42 % |
47.51 |
-2.28 |
-0.07 |
-5% |
Welterweight |
25 (9%) |
10 |
40 % |
34.74 |
-1.42 |
-0.06 |
-4% |
Lightweight |
43 (16%) |
19 |
44 % |
63.61 |
-13.90 |
-0.32 |
-22% |
Featherweight |
38 (14%) |
23 |
61 % |
56.68 |
10.63 |
0.28 |
19% |
Bantamweight |
33 (12%) |
12 |
36 % |
65.01 |
-6.27 |
-0.19 |
-10% |
Flyweight |
25 (9%) |
6 |
24 % |
30.11 |
-5.56 |
-0.22 |
-18% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
34 (12%) |
18 |
53 % |
52.28 |
3.25 |
0.10 |
6% |
Featherweight |
1 (0%) |
1 |
100 % |
0.50 |
0.57 |
0.57 |
115% |
Bantamweight |
4 (1%) |
1 |
25 % |
4.42 |
-1.82 |
-0.46 |
-41% |
Flyweight |
13 (5%) |
7 |
54 % |
25.28 |
6.90 |
0.53 |
27% |
Strawweight |
16 (6%) |
9 |
56 % |
22.08 |
-2.40 |
-0.15 |
-11% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
80 (66%) |
64 |
80 % |
Slight Favorites |
26 (21%) |
19 |
73 % |
Slight Underdogs |
11 (9%) |
4 |
36 % |
Big Underdogs |
5 (4%) |
2 |
40 % |
|
122 |
89 |
73 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
17 (3%) |
10 |
59 % |
50-65% |
85 (16%) |
53 |
62 % |
35-50% |
60 (11%) |
32 |
53 % |
<35% chance |
368 (69%) |
44 |
12 % |
|
530 |
139 |
26 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Denim Chicken's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
20.94 |
2.0 |
10% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,019.96 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
21.22 |
22.5 |
106% |
|
$10.20 |
$1,019.96 |
$1,249.59 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
29.31 |
18.8 |
64% |
|
$12.50 |
$1,249.59 |
$1,484.79 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
17.79 |
1.3 |
7% |
|
$14.85 |
$1,484.79 |
$1,504.53 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
22.44 |
4.6 |
21% |
|
$15.05 |
$1,504.53 |
$1,574.25 |
24th Feb |
PFL vs. Bellator: Champs |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.74 |
$1,574.25 |
$1,558.51 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
9.06 |
0.8 |
8% |
|
$15.59 |
$1,558.51 |
$1,570.36 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
18.73 |
-4.1 |
-22% |
|
$15.70 |
$1,570.36 |
$1,505.70 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
36.135 |
12.2 |
34% |
|
$15.06 |
$1,505.70 |
$1,689.17 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
11.1 |
4.2 |
38% |
|
$16.89 |
$1,689.17 |
$1,759.65 |
22nd Mar |
Bellator Champions Series |
1.1 |
-1.1 |
-100% |
|
$17.60 |
$1,759.65 |
$1,740.29 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
19.76 |
-3.3 |
-16% |
|
$17.40 |
$1,740.29 |
$1,683.71 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
15.51 |
-0.5 |
-3% |
|
$16.84 |
$1,683.71 |
$1,675.55 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
14.8 |
0.5 |
3% |
|
$16.76 |
$1,675.55 |
$1,683.21 |
12th Apr |
PFL 2: 2024 Regular Season |
13.54 |
-12.3 |
-91% |
|
$16.83 |
$1,683.21 |
$1,475.67 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
27.28 |
6.9 |
25% |
|
$14.76 |
$1,475.67 |
$1,577.04 |
19th Apr |
PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season |
2.68 |
1.1 |
41% |
|
$15.77 |
$1,577.04 |
$1,594.16 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
19.42 |
8.6 |
44% |
|
$15.94 |
$1,594.16 |
$1,731.55 |
4th May |
UFC 301 |
26.83 |
-6.0 |
-22% |
|
$17.32 |
$1,731.55 |
$1,627.63 |
11th May |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento |
26.56 |
-11.4 |
-43% |
|
$16.28 |
$1,627.63 |
$1,442.16 |
17th May |
Bellator Champions Series |
1.9 |
1.3 |
67% |
|
$14.42 |
$1,442.16 |
$1,460.62 |
18th May |
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy |
18.35 |
-5.9 |
-32% |
|
$14.61 |
$1,460.62 |
$1,375.18 |
1st Jun |
UFC 302 |
13.42 |
4.6 |
34% |
|
$13.75 |
$1,375.18 |
$1,438.19 |
8th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov |
23.78 |
-21.5 |
-90% |
|
$14.38 |
$1,438.19 |
$1,128.98 |
15th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira |
21.77 |
2.5 |
12% |
|
$11.29 |
$1,128.98 |
$1,157.72 |
21st Jun |
PFL 5: 2024 Regular Season |
13.57 |
10.1 |
75% |
|
$11.58 |
$1,157.72 |
$1,274.95 |
22nd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov |
19.86 |
-6.1 |
-31% |
|
$12.75 |
$1,274.95 |
$1,196.59 |
22nd Jun |
Bellator Champions Series |
1.7 |
1.6 |
96% |
|
$11.97 |
$1,196.59 |
$1,216.04 |
22nd Jun |
LFA 186 |
2.15 |
1.0 |
47% |
|
$12.16 |
$1,216.04 |
$1,228.20 |
28th Jun |
PFL 6: 2024 Regular Season |
3 |
0.5 |
17% |
|
$12.28 |
$1,228.20 |
$1,234.49 |
29th Jun |
UFC 303 |
22.9 |
6.0 |
26% |
|
$12.34 |
$1,234.49 |
$1,308.93 |
13th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez |
23.15 |
4.0 |
17% |
|
$13.09 |
$1,308.93 |
$1,361.00 |
20th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba |
21.23 |
23.2 |
109% |
|
$13.61 |
$1,361.00 |
$1,676.41 |
27th Jul |
UFC 304 |
27.36 |
-12.2 |
-44% |
|
$16.76 |
$1,676.41 |
$1,472.65 |
2nd Aug |
PFL 7: 2024 Playoffs |
8.5 |
-0.5 |
-6% |
|
$14.73 |
$1,472.65 |
$1,465.29 |
2nd Aug |
Fury FC 95 |
3.17 |
-3.2 |
-100% |
|
$14.65 |
$1,465.29 |
$1,418.84 |
3rd Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov |
24.67 |
-0.8 |
-3% |
|
$14.19 |
$1,418.84 |
$1,407.60 |
10th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II |
18.89 |
-1.4 |
-8% |
|
$14.08 |
$1,407.60 |
$1,387.65 |
16th Aug |
PFL 8: 2024 Playoffs |
6.35 |
-0.8 |
-13% |
|
$13.88 |
$1,387.65 |
$1,376.32 |
17th Aug |
UFC 305 |
21.31 |
18.9 |
89% |
|
$13.76 |
$1,376.32 |
$1,636.44 |
23rd Aug |
PFL 9: 2024 Playoffs |
6 |
-3.8 |
-64% |
|
$16.36 |
$1,636.44 |
$1,573.44 |
24th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho |
7.58 |
0.7 |
9% |
|
$15.73 |
$1,573.44 |
$1,584.34 |
7th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady |
15.27 |
-9.2 |
-60% |
|
$15.84 |
$1,584.34 |
$1,438.97 |
7th Sep |
Bellator Champions Series |
2.15 |
0.0 |
0% |
|
$14.39 |
$1,438.97 |
$1,438.97 |
14th Sep |
Bellator Champions Series |
5.25 |
0.2 |
3% |
|
$14.39 |
$1,438.97 |
$1,441.13 |
14th Sep |
UFC 306 |
25.86 |
2.0 |
8% |
|
$14.41 |
$1,441.13 |
$1,469.72 |
24th Sep |
Contender Series 2024: Week 7 |
2.45 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$14.70 |
$1,469.72 |
$1,433.71 |
28th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis |
21.35 |
-14.6 |
-68% |
|
$14.34 |
$1,433.71 |
$1,224.29 |
5th Oct |
UFC 307 |
24.12 |
-9.7 |
-40% |
|
$12.24 |
$1,224.29 |
$1,105.29 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 10.53% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Denim Chicken: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Oct '24 |
Stephen Thompson |
Joaquin Buckley |
2.80 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (2:17) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Oct '24 |
Kevin Holland |
Roman Dolidze |
1.64 |
1.57 |
TKO, R1 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Oct '24 |
Jose Aldo |
Mario Bautista |
2.43 |
3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Oct '24 |
Carla Esparza |
Tecia Torres |
2.50 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
Yes |
|
|
5. |
Sep '24 |
Matt Frevola |
Fares Ziam |
2.12 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (2:59) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Sep '24 |
Kevin Jousset |
Bryan Battle |
2.40 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:47) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Sep '24 |
Kevin Jousset |
Bryan Battle |
2.50 |
2 |
TKO, R2 (3:47) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Sep '24 |
Cam Teague |
Kevin Vallejos |
5.00 |
0.25 |
TKO, R1 (2:23) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Oct '24 |
Kevin Holland |
Roman Dolidze |
1.69 |
2.9 |
TKO, R1 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Sep '24 |
Joanderson Brito |
William Gomis |
1.40 |
4 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Sep '24 |
Irene Aldana |
Norma Dumont |
1.95 |
1.05 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Sep '24 |
Brian Ortega |
Diego Lopes |
2.60 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Sep '24 |
Brian Ortega |
Diego Lopes |
2.70 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Sep '24 |
Manoel Sousa |
Archie Colgan |
2.79 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Sep '24 |
Zhu Rong |
Chris Padilla |
1.40 |
2.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:14) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Sep '24 |
Douglas Lima |
Aaron Jeffery |
2.45 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Sep '24 |
Matt Schnell |
Cody Durden |
3.65 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (0:29) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Sep '24 |
Sean O'Malley |
Merab Dvalishvili |
1.91 |
2.75 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Sep '24 |
Felipe Dos Santos |
Andre Lima |
2.65 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Sep '24 |
Manuel Torres |
Ignacio Bahamondes |
2.20 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:2) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Denim Chicken: Progress Chart |
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