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Total MMA Handicappers: 6366
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2353
 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Dawg MMA

Dawg MMA (Dawg_MMA2024)

MMA MHandicapper - Dawg MMA

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 58 (36%) Right 23 (50%) Right 13 (19%) Right 22 (48%)
Wrong 103 (64%) Wrong 23 (50%) Wrong 56 (81%) Wrong 24 (52%)
Avg Odds 3.17 Avg Odds 2.24 Avg Odds 6.79 Avg Odds 2.28
Units Bet 242.3 Units Bet 85.5 Units Bet 39.8 Units Bet 117.0
Avg Bet 1.50 Avg Bet 1.86 Avg Bet 0.58 Avg Bet 2.54
Units Profit 33.87 Units Profit 15.79 Units Profit 5.91 Units Profit 12.17
ROI % 14% ROI % 18% ROI % 15% ROI % 10%
View Handicapper's Profile

Dawg MMA: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 26.5 -1.9 -7% -0.6 / 10.5 (-5%) 2.1 / 1 (213%) -3.4 / 15 (-23%)
6th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 20 7.5 38% 4.9 / 8 (61%) 0.9 / 3 (30%) 1.7 / 9 (19%)
30th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 18.75 6.4 34% 7.0 / 8 (88%) -2.8 / 2.75 (-100%) 2.1 / 8 (27%)
23rd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 16.5 -6.5 -39% -2.2 / 6 (-36%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -3.3 / 9.5 (-35%)
16th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 23 0.7 3% 3.5 / 6 (59%) -2.8 / 5 (-57%) 0.0 / 12 (0%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 25 6.0 24% -2.0 / 10.5 (-19%) -1.5 / 5 (-30%) 9.4 / 9.5 (99%)
2nd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 8 -1.8 -22% 1.9 / 1.5 (125%) 0.9 / 2 (44%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
24th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 12.5 7.2 57% 0.7 / 4.5 (15%) 4.2 / 5 (84%) 2.3 / 3 (77%)
24th Feb '24 PFL vs. Bellator: Champs 3 2.6 88% 2.0 / 2 (100%) 0.6 / 1 (63%)
17th Feb '24 UFC 298 25 15.8 63% 0.7 / 5 (14%) 6.9 / 6 (115%) 8.2 / 14 (59%)
10th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 13.5 -1.3 -10% 1.7 / 3 (58%) -2.4 / 4.5 (-53%) -0.7 / 6 (-11%)
3rd Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 13.5 -4.8 -36% -3.6 / 7 (-51%) 4.2 / 1 (425%) -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%)
20th Jan '24 UFC 297 19 1.2 6% 3.0 / 6 (50%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -1.3 / 12.5 (-10%)
13th Jan '24 UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 19 2.7 14% -1.4 / 7.5 (-18%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 7.0 / 8.5 (83%)


Winning Events: 9 (64%)
Losing Events: 5 (36%)

Average Staked Per Event: 17.38 units
Most Staked On One Event: 26.50 units
Best Event: 15.81 units
Worst Event: -6.50 units
Average Event: 2.42 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 25.59
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -6.50

Dawg MMA: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2024 243.25 33.9 14% 15.8 / 85.5 (18%) 12.2 / 117 (10%) 9 / 5 (64%) 2.42

Dawg MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Dawg MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 240.25 31.2 13% 13.8 / 83.5 (17%) 5.3 / 39.75 (13%) 12.2 / 117 (10%)
PFL 3 2.6 88% 2.0 / 2 (100%) 0.6 / 1 (63%)

Dawg MMA: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (2%) 0 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Slight Favorites 11 (24%) 6 55 % 25.50 0.96 0.09 4%
Slight Underdogs 24 (52%) 15 63 % 45.00 19.74 0.82 44%
Big Underdogs 10 (22%) 2 20 % 13.00 -2.91 -0.29 -22%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 8 (17%) 5 63 % 14.50 8.01 1.00 55%
Co-Main Event 5 (11%) 4 80 % 10.00 8.29 1.66 83%
Position 3-5 12 (26%) 7 58 % 24.00 7.22 0.60 30%
6+ (Undercard) 21 (46%) 7 33 % 37.00 -7.73 -0.37 -21%

Dawg MMA: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 4 (9%) 2 50 % 7.50 -0.12 -0.03 -2%
Light Heavy 3 (7%) 1 33 % 4.50 -0.30 -0.10 -7%
Middleweight 5 (11%) 2 40 % 9.50 -1.04 -0.21 -11%
Welterweight 5 (11%) 3 60 % 8.50 3.25 0.65 38%
Lightweight 7 (15%) 4 57 % 13.50 4.75 0.68 35%
Featherweight 8 (17%) 7 88 % 18.00 15.80 1.97 88%
Bantamweight 6 (13%) 2 33 % 11.00 -3.58 -0.60 -33%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 7 (15%) 2 29 % 11.00 -0.96 -0.14 -9%
Bantamweight 4 (9%) 1 25 % 6.50 -1.70 -0.43 -26%
Flyweight 2 (4%) 1 50 % 2.50 2.74 1.37 110%
Strawweight 1 (2%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 56 (77%) 40 71 %
Slight Favorites 15 (21%) 9 60 %
Slight Underdogs 1 (1%) 1 100 %
Big Underdogs 1 (1%) 0 0 %
73 50 68 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 33 (28%) 22 67 %
50-65% 7 (6%) 6 86 %
35-50% 8 (7%) 2 25 %
<35% chance 70 (59%) 11 16 %
118 41 35 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 23 (19%) 19 83 % 1.31 1.60Pick was correct 1.15Pick was incorrect 2.3 (10%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 7 (6%) 6 86 % 1.36 1.50Pick was correct 1.25Pick was correct 1.2 (17%)
Does not go to Decision 1 (1%) 0 0 % 1.32 1.32Pick was incorrect 1.32Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 6 (5%) 2 33 % 2.85 4.50Pick was correct 1.53Pick was incorrect 1.1 (18%)
X Wins by Decision 10 (8%) 5 50 % 2.58 7.50Pick was incorrect 1.78Pick was correct 2.7 (27%)
X Wins in Round X 28 (24%) 3 11 % 8.80 31.00Pick was incorrect 3.00Pick was incorrect 5.2 (19%)
Others 43 (36%) 6 14 % 4.79 26.00Pick was incorrect 1.19Pick was incorrect 12.2 (28%)
118 41 35 % 2.83     23.7 (20%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Dawg MMA's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
13th Jan UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 19 2.7 14% $30 $10.00 $1,000.00 $996.96
20th Jan UFC 297 19 1.2 6% $30 $9.97 $996.96 $978.82
3rd Feb UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 13.5 -4.8 -36% $30 $9.79 $978.82 $901.74
10th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 13.5 -1.3 -10% $30 $9.02 $901.74 $860.00
17th Feb UFC 298 25 15.8 63% $30 $8.60 $860.00 $965.97
24th Feb PFL vs. Bellator: Champs 3 2.6 88% $30 $9.66 $965.97 $961.33
24th Feb UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 12.5 7.2 57% $30 $9.61 $961.33 $1,000.11
2nd Mar UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 8 -1.8 -22% $30 $10.00 $1,000.11 $952.60
9th Mar UFC 299 25 6.0 24% $30 $9.53 $952.60 $979.37
16th Mar UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 23 0.7 3% $30 $9.79 $979.37 $956.33
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 16.5 -6.5 -39% $30 $9.56 $956.33 $864.19
30th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 18.75 6.4 34% $30 $8.64 $864.19 $889.77
6th Apr UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 20 7.5 38% $30 $8.90 $889.77 $926.54
13th Apr UFC 300 26.5 -1.9 -7% $30 $9.27 $926.54 $879.39


ROI % from starting bank balance: -12.06% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Dawg MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '24 Paid Pick Jiri Prochazka Aleksandar Rakic 2.10 2 TKO, R2 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Paid Pick Victor Hugo Silva Pedro Falcao 1.80 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Paid Pick Max Holloway Justin Gaethje 2.87 2 TKO, R5 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 Paid Pick Jose Mariscal Morgan Charriere 2.50 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '24 Paid Pick César Almeida Dylan Budka 2.13 2 TKO, R2 (2:13) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '24 Paid Pick Manon Fiorot Erin Blanchfield 2.62 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '24 Paid Pick Nate Landwehr Jamall Emmers 2.70 2 TKO, R1 (4:43) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '24 Paid Pick Joaquin Buckley Vicente Luque 2.20 2 TKO, R2 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 Paid Pick Payton Talbott Cameron Saaiman 1.91 2 TKO, R2 (0:21) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '24 Paid Pick Danny Silva Joshua Culibao 2.61 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '24 Paid Pick Christian Rodriguez Isaac Dulgarian 2.15 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '24 Paid Pick Dustin Poirier Benoit Saint-Denis 2.90 1.5 TKO, R2 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '24 Paid Pick Michael Page Kevin Holland 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '24 Paid Pick Jairzinho Rozenstruik Shamil Gaziev 2.25 1.5 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '24 Paid Pick Renan Ferreira Ryan Bader 2.00 2 TKO, R1 (0:21) MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '24 Paid Pick Manuel Torres Chris Duncan (2) 1.72 3 Sub, R1 (1:46) MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '24 Paid Pick Ilia Topuria Alex Volkanovski 1.90 3 TKO, R2 (3:32) MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '24 Paid Pick Dan Ige Andre Fili 1.58 3 TKO, R1 (2:43) MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '24 Paid Pick Jung Young Lee Blake Bilder 1.72 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jan '24 Paid Pick Raquel Pennington Mayra Bueno Silva 2.40 2 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '24 Paid Pick Holly Holm Kayla Harrison 4.60 0.5 Sub, R2 (1:47) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '24 Paid Pick Marina Alcalde Rodriguez Jessica Andrade 2.17 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '24 Paid Pick Jim Miller Bobby Green 2.65 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '24 Paid Pick Charles Oliveira Arman Tsarukyan 3.11 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '24 Paid Pick Germaine de Randamie Norma Dumont 2.70 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '24 Paid Pick Andre Petroski Jacob Malkoun 3.00 2 TKO, R2 (0:39) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '24 Paid Pick Montserrat Rendon Dariya Zheleznyakova 2.60 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '24 Paid Pick Billy Quarantillo Youssef Zalal 1.72 2 Sub, R2 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 Paid Pick Tai Tuivasa Marcin Tybura 1.80 2 Sub, R1 (4:8) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '24 Paid Pick Ion Cutelaba Philipe Lins 1.79 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '24 Paid Pick Marlon Vera Sean O'Malley 3.25 1.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '24 Paid Pick Pedro Munhoz Kyler Phillips 3.21 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '24 Paid Pick Jailton Junior Curtis Blaydes 2.00 2 TKO, R2 (0:36) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Feb '24 Paid Pick Christian Quinonez Raoni Barcelos 2.62 1.5 Sub, R3 (2:4) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Feb '24 Paid Pick Roman Kopylov Anthony Hernandez 2.70 2 Sub, R2 (3:23) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Feb '24 Paid Pick Muslim Salikhov Randy Brown 3.10 1 TKO, R1 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Feb '24 Paid Pick Diana Belbita Molly McCann 3.00 0.5 Sub, R1 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '24 Paid Pick Drew Dober Renato Moicano 2.10 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '24 Paid Pick Gilbert Urbina Charlie Radtke 1.53 2 TKO, R1 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jan '24 Paid Pick Malcolm Gordon Jimmy Flick 1.72 2 Sub, R2 (1:17) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Dawg MMA: Progress Chart
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