MMA Handicapper Stats: Dawg MMA |
|
Dawg MMA: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 34 (51%) Losing Events: 33 (49%)
Average Staked Per Event: 9.29 units Most Staked On One Event: 26.50 units Best Event: 15.81 units Worst Event: -11.17 units Average Event: 0.30 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 25.59 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -19.06 |
Dawg MMA: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
622.75 |
20.3 |
3% |
-18.9 / 244.75 (-8%) |
|
35.4 / 297.75 (12%) |
34 / 33 (51%) |
0.30 |
|
Dawg MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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|
Dawg MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
560.5 |
8.6 |
2% |
-26.1 / 210.5 (-12%) |
3.2 / 79.25 (4%) |
31.5 / 270.75 (12%) |
Bellator |
3 |
1.9 |
64% |
|
|
1.9 / 3 (64%) |
PFL |
26.5 |
4.4 |
16% |
1.1 / 11 (10%) |
0.6 / 1 (63%) |
2.6 / 14.5 (18%) |
Other |
32.75 |
5.4 |
17% |
6.1 / 23.25 (26%) |
|
-0.7 / 9.5 (-7%) |
|
Dawg MMA: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
2 (1%) |
0 |
0 % |
4.00 |
-4.00 |
-2.00 |
-100% |
Slight Favorites |
22 (14%) |
8 |
36 % |
46.25 |
-13.79 |
-0.63 |
-30% |
Slight Underdogs |
101 (64%) |
44 |
44 % |
158.50 |
-2.29 |
-0.02 |
-1% |
Big Underdogs |
34 (21%) |
11 |
32 % |
36.00 |
1.19 |
0.03 |
3% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
26 (16%) |
9 |
35 % |
38.50 |
-3.65 |
-0.14 |
-9% |
Co-Main Event |
18 (11%) |
7 |
39 % |
28.00 |
-3.05 |
-0.17 |
-11% |
Position 3-5 |
38 (24%) |
19 |
50 % |
62.00 |
9.06 |
0.24 |
15% |
6+ (Undercard) |
77 (48%) |
28 |
36 % |
116.25 |
-21.27 |
-0.28 |
-18% |
|
Dawg MMA: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
9 (6%) |
3 |
33 % |
12.00 |
-3.62 |
-0.40 |
-30% |
Light Heavy |
9 (6%) |
3 |
33 % |
12.50 |
-5.80 |
-0.64 |
-46% |
Middleweight |
16 (10%) |
5 |
31 % |
23.50 |
-7.65 |
-0.48 |
-33% |
Welterweight |
15 (9%) |
7 |
47 % |
22.50 |
-0.80 |
-0.05 |
-4% |
Lightweight |
26 (16%) |
11 |
42 % |
39.25 |
1.98 |
0.08 |
5% |
Featherweight |
25 (16%) |
13 |
52 % |
40.00 |
13.23 |
0.53 |
33% |
Bantamweight |
20 (13%) |
7 |
35 % |
36.50 |
-11.82 |
-0.59 |
-32% |
Flyweight |
14 (9%) |
5 |
36 % |
20.00 |
-2.66 |
-0.19 |
-13% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
25 (16%) |
9 |
36 % |
38.50 |
-1.76 |
-0.07 |
-5% |
Featherweight |
2 (1%) |
1 |
50 % |
3.50 |
-0.42 |
-0.21 |
-12% |
Bantamweight |
7 (4%) |
3 |
43 % |
11.00 |
2.94 |
0.42 |
27% |
Flyweight |
8 (5%) |
4 |
50 % |
13.00 |
4.58 |
0.57 |
35% |
Strawweight |
8 (5%) |
1 |
13 % |
11.00 |
-8.85 |
-1.11 |
-80% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
156 (71%) |
128 |
82 % |
Slight Favorites |
57 (26%) |
31 |
54 % |
Slight Underdogs |
4 (2%) |
1 |
25 % |
Big Underdogs |
2 (1%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
219 |
160 |
73 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
59 (28%) |
42 |
71 % |
50-65% |
13 (6%) |
8 |
62 % |
35-50% |
19 (9%) |
7 |
37 % |
<35% chance |
121 (57%) |
14 |
12 % |
|
212 |
71 |
33 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Dawg MMA's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
19 |
2.7 |
14% |
$25 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,001.96 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
19 |
1.2 |
6% |
$25 |
$10.02 |
$1,001.96 |
$988.88 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
13.5 |
-4.8 |
-36% |
$25 |
$9.89 |
$988.88 |
$916.31 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
13.5 |
-1.3 |
-10% |
$25 |
$9.16 |
$916.31 |
$879.39 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
25 |
15.8 |
63% |
$25 |
$8.79 |
$879.39 |
$993.42 |
24th Feb |
PFL vs. Bellator: Champs |
3 |
2.6 |
88% |
$25 |
$9.93 |
$993.42 |
$994.50 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
12.5 |
7.2 |
57% |
$25 |
$9.94 |
$994.50 |
$1,040.65 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
8 |
-1.8 |
-22% |
$25 |
$10.41 |
$1,040.65 |
$997.44 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
25 |
6.0 |
24% |
$25 |
$9.97 |
$997.44 |
$1,031.87 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
23 |
0.7 |
3% |
$25 |
$10.32 |
$1,031.87 |
$1,014.21 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
16.5 |
-6.5 |
-39% |
$25 |
$10.14 |
$1,014.21 |
$923.31 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
18.75 |
6.4 |
34% |
$25 |
$9.23 |
$923.31 |
$957.70 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
20 |
7.5 |
38% |
$25 |
$9.58 |
$957.70 |
$1,004.56 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
26.5 |
-1.9 |
-7% |
$25 |
$10.05 |
$1,004.56 |
$960.96 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
11 |
4.2 |
38% |
$25 |
$9.61 |
$960.96 |
$976.42 |
4th May |
UFC 301 |
18 |
-0.2 |
-1% |
$25 |
$9.76 |
$976.42 |
$949.60 |
11th May |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento |
11.5 |
2.3 |
20% |
$25 |
$9.50 |
$949.60 |
$946.53 |
17th May |
Bellator Champions Series |
3 |
1.9 |
64% |
$25 |
$9.47 |
$946.53 |
$939.82 |
18th May |
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy |
10.5 |
-3.3 |
-32% |
$25 |
$9.40 |
$939.82 |
$883.47 |
1st Jun |
UFC 302 |
14 |
3.6 |
26% |
$25 |
$8.83 |
$883.47 |
$890.42 |
8th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov |
10 |
1.7 |
17% |
$25 |
$8.90 |
$890.42 |
$880.27 |
15th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira |
19 |
-9.6 |
-50% |
$25 |
$8.80 |
$880.27 |
$771.11 |
21st Jun |
PFL 5: 2024 Regular Season |
5 |
0.2 |
4% |
$25 |
$7.71 |
$771.11 |
$747.81 |
22nd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov |
13 |
1.0 |
8% |
$25 |
$7.48 |
$747.81 |
$730.21 |
29th Jun |
UFC 303 |
22.5 |
14.2 |
63% |
$25 |
$7.30 |
$730.21 |
$809.19 |
13th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez |
8.5 |
-1.3 |
-15% |
$25 |
$8.09 |
$809.19 |
$773.67 |
20th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba |
10 |
-1.6 |
-16% |
$25 |
$7.74 |
$773.67 |
$736.60 |
27th Jul |
UFC 304 |
17 |
-7.0 |
-41% |
$25 |
$7.37 |
$736.60 |
$660.37 |
2nd Aug |
PFL 7: 2024 Playoffs |
3 |
2.0 |
67% |
$25 |
$6.60 |
$660.37 |
$648.72 |
3rd Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov |
14.5 |
-11.2 |
-77% |
$25 |
$6.49 |
$648.72 |
$551.28 |
10th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II |
11 |
-0.9 |
-8% |
$25 |
$5.51 |
$551.28 |
$521.34 |
13th Aug |
Contender Series 2024: Week 1 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
$25 |
$5.21 |
$521.34 |
$485.92 |
16th Aug |
PFL 8: 2024 Playoffs |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
$25 |
$4.86 |
$485.92 |
$436.62 |
17th Aug |
UFC 305 |
17.5 |
2.9 |
16% |
$25 |
$4.37 |
$436.62 |
$424.12 |
20th Aug |
Contender Series 2024: Week 2 |
3 |
2.0 |
68% |
$25 |
$4.24 |
$424.12 |
$407.71 |
23rd Aug |
PFL 9: 2024 Playoffs |
4 |
-0.2 |
-5% |
$25 |
$4.08 |
$407.71 |
$381.93 |
23rd Aug |
LFA 190 |
4 |
-0.2 |
-5% |
$25 |
$3.82 |
$381.93 |
$356.24 |
23rd Aug |
Road to UFC: Las Vegas |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
$25 |
$3.56 |
$356.24 |
$325.90 |
24th Aug |
KSW 97 |
1 |
1.7 |
170% |
$25 |
$3.26 |
$325.90 |
$306.44 |
24th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho |
8.5 |
-0.2 |
-2% |
$25 |
$3.06 |
$306.44 |
$280.94 |
27th Aug |
Contender Series 2024: Week 3 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
$25 |
$2.81 |
$280.94 |
$251.73 |
30th Aug |
LFA 191 |
3 |
4.6 |
155% |
$25 |
$2.52 |
$251.73 |
$238.43 |
3rd Sep |
Contender Series 2024: Week 4 |
1.5 |
0.3 |
17% |
$25 |
$2.38 |
$238.43 |
$214.03 |
7th Sep |
Oktagon 60 |
3 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
$25 |
$2.14 |
$214.03 |
$182.61 |
7th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady |
11 |
-3.6 |
-32% |
$25 |
$1.83 |
$182.61 |
$151.10 |
10th Sep |
Contender Series 2024: Week 5 |
1 |
1.9 |
190% |
$25 |
$1.51 |
$151.10 |
$128.98 |
13th Sep |
LFA 192 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
$25 |
$1.29 |
$128.98 |
$102.04 |
14th Sep |
UFC 306 |
12.5 |
-4.0 |
-32% |
$25 |
$1.02 |
$102.04 |
$72.97 |
24th Sep |
Contender Series 2024: Week 7 |
1 |
1.1 |
115% |
$25 |
$0.73 |
$72.97 |
$48.81 |
27th Sep |
UAE Warriors 53 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$25 |
$0.49 |
$48.81 |
$23.32 |
28th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis |
12.5 |
-6.8 |
-54% |
$25 |
$0.23 |
$23.32 |
$0.00 |
Reloaded an additional $1000 |
4th Oct |
ACA 180 |
1.25 |
1.1 |
87% |
$25 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$985.88 |
5th Oct |
UFC 307 |
8.5 |
-5.6 |
-66% |
$25 |
$9.86 |
$985.88 |
$905.67 |
12th Oct |
Oktagon 62 |
1 |
0.2 |
15% |
$25 |
$9.06 |
$905.67 |
$882.02 |
12th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira |
8 |
3.2 |
40% |
$25 |
$8.82 |
$882.02 |
$884.94 |
15th Oct |
Contender Series 2024: Week 10 |
2.5 |
4.0 |
159% |
$25 |
$8.85 |
$884.94 |
$895.16 |
19th Oct |
KSW 99 |
1.5 |
-0.3 |
-18% |
$25 |
$8.95 |
$895.16 |
$867.70 |
19th Oct |
PFL Super Fights: Battle of the Giants |
3 |
2.8 |
94% |
$25 |
$8.68 |
$867.70 |
$867.21 |
19th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Hernandez |
9.5 |
0.9 |
10% |
$25 |
$8.67 |
$867.21 |
$850.27 |
22nd Oct |
UAE Warriors 55 |
1 |
0.0 |
0% |
$25 |
$8.50 |
$850.27 |
$825.27 |
26th Oct |
UFC 308 |
11 |
-4.8 |
-44% |
$25 |
$8.25 |
$825.27 |
$760.65 |
2nd Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi |
6 |
2.1 |
34% |
$25 |
$7.61 |
$760.65 |
$751.35 |
9th Nov |
Oktagon 63 |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
$25 |
$7.51 |
$751.35 |
$722.59 |
9th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates |
8 |
-1.8 |
-23% |
$25 |
$7.23 |
$722.59 |
$684.42 |
16th Nov |
UFC 309 |
12.75 |
-1.4 |
-11% |
$25 |
$6.84 |
$684.42 |
$649.52 |
23rd Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo |
4 |
4.4 |
110% |
$25 |
$6.50 |
$649.52 |
$652.98 |
29th Nov |
PFL 10: 2024 Championships |
3.5 |
1.9 |
53% |
$25 |
$6.53 |
$652.98 |
$640.11 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -135.99% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Dawg MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Nov '24 |
Taila Santos |
Dakota Ditcheva |
4.00 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:41) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Nov '24 |
Oleg Popov |
Denis Goltsov |
2.15 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (2:55) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Nov '24 |
Tabatha Ricci |
Yan Xiaonan |
2.70 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Nov '24 |
Michael Chandler |
Charles Oliveira |
3.25 |
0.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Nov '24 |
Jhonata Diniz |
Marcin Tybura |
2.13 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (5:0) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Nov '24 |
Damon Jackson |
Jim Miller |
1.87 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (2:44) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Nov '24 |
Hafeni Nafuka |
Ivan Buchinger |
2.10 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (3:23) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Nov '24 |
Klaudia Syguła |
Melissa Mullins |
3.00 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (1:20) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Nov '24 |
Garrett Armfield |
Serhiy Sidey |
2.40 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Oct '24 |
Raffael Cerqueira |
Ibo Aslan |
2.00 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (0:51) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Oct '24 |
Armen Petrosyan |
Sharabutdin Magomedov |
2.55 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (4:52) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Oct '24 |
Aigun Akhmedov |
Diego Dias |
2.12 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (4:28) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Oct '24 |
Max Holloway |
Ilia Topuria |
3.40 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (1:34) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Oct '24 |
Jake Hadley |
Cameron Smotherman |
1.50 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Oct '24 |
Michel Pereira |
Anthony Hernandez |
2.40 |
1 |
TKO, R5 (2:22) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Oct '24 |
Renan Ferreira |
Francis Ngannou |
3.50 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (3:32) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Oct '24 |
Daniel Torres |
Niko Samsonidse |
2.25 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (4:6) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Oct '24 |
Lucas Rocha |
Clayton Carpenter |
2.72 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (2:12) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Oct '24 |
Brad Tavares |
Jun Yong Park |
2.65 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Oct '24 |
Austin Hubbard |
Alexander Hernandez |
2.40 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Dawg MMA: Progress Chart |
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