|
MMA Handicapper Stats: Notorious MMA |
|
Notorious MMA: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 31 (58%) Losing Events: 22 (42%)
Average Staked Per Event: 9.02 units Most Staked On One Event: 31.41 units Best Event: 19.85 units Worst Event: -8.26 units Average Event: 1.35 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 33.24 Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -11.07 |
Notorious MMA: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
474.89 |
74.3 |
16% |
11.1 / 190.87 (6%) |
|
41.7 / 198.99 (21%) |
31 / 21 (60%) |
1.43 |
2023 |
3.02 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
-1.7 / 1.72 (-100%) |
|
-0.3 / 0.3 (-100%) |
/ 1 (0%) |
-3.02 |
|
Notorious MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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|
Notorious MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
459.79 |
73.7 |
16% |
8.3 / 182.33 (5%) |
21.8 / 84.33 (26%) |
43.6 / 193.13 (23%) |
Bellator |
4.27 |
-1.6 |
-38% |
-0.5 / 0.95 (-50%) |
-0.5 / 0.45 (-100%) |
-0.7 / 2.87 (-25%) |
PFL |
4.85 |
0.7 |
15% |
1.2 / 4.4 (27%) |
|
-0.5 / 0.45 (-100%) |
Other |
9 |
-1.5 |
-17% |
0.3 / 4.91 (6%) |
-0.8 / 1.25 (-65%) |
-1.0 / 2.84 (-36%) |
|
Notorious MMA: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
Slight Favorites |
76 (35%) |
55 |
72 % |
92.86 |
15.63 |
0.21 |
17% |
Slight Underdogs |
77 (35%) |
37 |
48 % |
72.05 |
-8.80 |
-0.11 |
-12% |
Big Underdogs |
65 (30%) |
16 |
25 % |
27.88 |
2.30 |
0.04 |
8% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
35 (16%) |
14 |
40 % |
25.53 |
-4.05 |
-0.12 |
-16% |
Co-Main Event |
25 (11%) |
14 |
56 % |
40.22 |
5.19 |
0.21 |
13% |
Position 3-5 |
55 (25%) |
26 |
47 % |
45.95 |
4.14 |
0.08 |
9% |
6+ (Undercard) |
103 (47%) |
54 |
52 % |
81.09 |
3.85 |
0.04 |
5% |
|
Notorious MMA: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
9 (4%) |
5 |
56 % |
9.22 |
2.81 |
0.31 |
30% |
Light Heavy |
15 (7%) |
6 |
40 % |
8.05 |
1.08 |
0.07 |
13% |
Middleweight |
22 (10%) |
12 |
55 % |
26.05 |
3.00 |
0.14 |
12% |
Welterweight |
20 (9%) |
7 |
35 % |
12.57 |
-6.19 |
-0.31 |
-49% |
Lightweight |
32 (15%) |
16 |
50 % |
36.42 |
10.08 |
0.32 |
28% |
Featherweight |
38 (17%) |
20 |
53 % |
38.16 |
2.13 |
0.06 |
6% |
Bantamweight |
30 (14%) |
15 |
50 % |
33.90 |
-4.58 |
-0.15 |
-14% |
Flyweight |
13 (6%) |
8 |
62 % |
7.78 |
1.95 |
0.15 |
25% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
39 (18%) |
19 |
49 % |
20.64 |
-1.14 |
-0.03 |
-6% |
Featherweight |
1 (0%) |
1 |
100 % |
0.25 |
0.31 |
0.31 |
125% |
Bantamweight |
6 (3%) |
3 |
50 % |
3.80 |
0.96 |
0.16 |
25% |
Flyweight |
10 (5%) |
5 |
50 % |
3.40 |
0.52 |
0.05 |
15% |
Strawweight |
22 (10%) |
10 |
45 % |
13.19 |
-2.93 |
-0.13 |
-22% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
384 (83%) |
313 |
82 % |
Slight Favorites |
48 (10%) |
28 |
58 % |
Slight Underdogs |
9 (2%) |
8 |
89 % |
Big Underdogs |
23 (5%) |
8 |
35 % |
|
464 |
357 |
77 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
388 (66%) |
326 |
84 % |
50-65% |
20 (3%) |
14 |
70 % |
35-50% |
32 (5%) |
17 |
53 % |
<35% chance |
144 (25%) |
24 |
17 % |
|
584 |
381 |
65 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Notorious MMA's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
31st Dec |
Rizin 45 |
3.02 |
-3.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$969.80 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
22.54 |
-0.4 |
-2% |
|
$9.70 |
$969.80 |
$965.78 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
23.07 |
2.3 |
10% |
|
$9.66 |
$965.78 |
$987.78 |
27th Jan |
Oktagon 52 |
1.06 |
0.3 |
24% |
|
$9.88 |
$987.78 |
$990.26 |
27th Jan |
LFA 175 |
0.22 |
-0.2 |
-100% |
|
$9.90 |
$990.26 |
$988.08 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
14.64 |
8.2 |
56% |
|
$9.88 |
$988.08 |
$1,069.07 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
28.15 |
-5.1 |
-18% |
|
$10.69 |
$1,069.07 |
$1,014.50 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
17.15 |
2.4 |
14% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,014.50 |
$1,038.39 |
24th Feb |
PFL vs. Bellator: Champs |
2.95 |
0.8 |
27% |
|
$10.38 |
$1,038.39 |
$1,046.60 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
24.83 |
-4.3 |
-17% |
|
$10.47 |
$1,046.60 |
$1,001.15 |
1st Mar |
One 166 |
0.25 |
-0.3 |
-100% |
|
$10.01 |
$1,001.15 |
$998.65 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
17.8 |
-3.8 |
-21% |
|
$9.99 |
$998.65 |
$960.47 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
31.41 |
19.8 |
63% |
|
$9.60 |
$960.47 |
$1,151.09 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
16.72 |
3.4 |
21% |
|
$11.51 |
$1,151.09 |
$1,190.74 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
7.36 |
-1.2 |
-16% |
|
$11.91 |
$1,190.74 |
$1,176.68 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
16.56 |
-4.9 |
-30% |
|
$11.77 |
$1,176.68 |
$1,118.51 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
2.47 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$11.19 |
$1,118.51 |
$1,090.89 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
19.44 |
12.4 |
64% |
|
$10.91 |
$1,090.89 |
$1,226.70 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
8.2 |
4.1 |
50% |
|
$12.27 |
$1,226.70 |
$1,276.55 |
4th May |
UFC 301 |
15.58 |
14.4 |
92% |
|
$12.77 |
$1,276.55 |
$1,460.00 |
11th May |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento |
10.81 |
2.4 |
22% |
|
$14.60 |
$1,460.00 |
$1,494.33 |
18th May |
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy |
6.11 |
-3.3 |
-54% |
|
$14.94 |
$1,494.33 |
$1,445.33 |
1st Jun |
UFC 302 |
10.89 |
6.1 |
56% |
|
$14.45 |
$1,445.33 |
$1,533.55 |
8th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov |
8.15 |
0.0 |
0% |
|
$15.34 |
$1,533.55 |
$1,533.84 |
15th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira |
9.95 |
-3.9 |
-39% |
|
$15.34 |
$1,533.84 |
$1,473.60 |
21st Jun |
PFL 5: 2024 Regular Season |
0.25 |
-0.3 |
-100% |
|
$14.74 |
$1,473.60 |
$1,469.91 |
22nd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov |
11.09 |
9.5 |
86% |
|
$14.70 |
$1,469.91 |
$1,609.50 |
22nd Jun |
Bellator Champions Series |
0.25 |
-0.3 |
-100% |
|
$16.10 |
$1,609.50 |
$1,605.48 |
28th Jun |
PFL 6: 2024 Regular Season |
1.35 |
0.5 |
37% |
|
$16.05 |
$1,605.48 |
$1,613.51 |
29th Jun |
UFC 303 |
15.07 |
1.4 |
9% |
|
$16.14 |
$1,613.51 |
$1,636.20 |
13th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez |
10.88 |
0.5 |
5% |
|
$16.36 |
$1,636.20 |
$1,644.34 |
20th Jul |
KSW 96 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
83% |
|
$16.44 |
$1,644.34 |
$1,648.44 |
20th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba |
12.23 |
8.5 |
69% |
|
$16.48 |
$1,648.44 |
$1,788.06 |
27th Jul |
UFC 304 |
17.97 |
-1.9 |
-11% |
|
$17.88 |
$1,788.06 |
$1,754.09 |
3rd Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov |
10.75 |
5.2 |
49% |
|
$17.54 |
$1,754.09 |
$1,846.15 |
10th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II |
4.48 |
2.8 |
61% |
|
$18.46 |
$1,846.15 |
$1,896.97 |
17th Aug |
UFC 305 |
11.08 |
0.9 |
8% |
|
$18.97 |
$1,896.97 |
$1,913.55 |
23rd Aug |
PFL 9: 2024 Playoffs |
0.3 |
-0.3 |
-100% |
|
$19.14 |
$1,913.55 |
$1,907.81 |
24th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho |
10.4 |
5.4 |
52% |
|
$19.08 |
$1,907.81 |
$2,010.62 |
27th Aug |
Contender Series 2024: Week 3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
106% |
|
$20.11 |
$2,010.62 |
$2,014.87 |
3rd Sep |
Contender Series 2024: Week 4 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
485% |
|
$20.15 |
$2,014.87 |
$2,034.42 |
7th Sep |
Cage Warriors 176 |
1 |
0.9 |
87% |
|
$20.34 |
$2,034.42 |
$2,052.14 |
7th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady |
8.39 |
3.4 |
40% |
|
$20.52 |
$2,052.14 |
$2,121.47 |
7th Sep |
Bellator Champions Series |
1.67 |
1.0 |
58% |
|
$21.21 |
$2,121.47 |
$2,141.98 |
10th Sep |
Contender Series 2024: Week 5 |
0.65 |
-0.2 |
-33% |
|
$21.42 |
$2,141.98 |
$2,137.42 |
14th Sep |
Bellator Champions Series |
2.35 |
-2.4 |
-100% |
|
$21.37 |
$2,137.42 |
$2,087.20 |
14th Sep |
UFC 306 |
14.8 |
-8.3 |
-56% |
|
$20.87 |
$2,087.20 |
$1,914.82 |
17th Sep |
Contender Series 2024: Week 6 |
0.25 |
-0.3 |
-100% |
|
$19.15 |
$1,914.82 |
$1,910.03 |
21st Sep |
Oktagon 61 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
17% |
|
$19.10 |
$1,910.03 |
$1,912.67 |
24th Sep |
Contender Series 2024: Week 7 |
0.6 |
-0.6 |
-100% |
|
$19.13 |
$1,912.67 |
$1,901.19 |
28th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis |
9.83 |
-4.0 |
-41% |
|
$19.01 |
$1,901.19 |
$1,824.52 |
29th Sep |
Rizin 48 |
0.45 |
0.3 |
72% |
|
$18.25 |
$1,824.52 |
$1,830.41 |
5th Oct |
UFC 307 |
10.99 |
4.4 |
40% |
|
$18.30 |
$1,830.41 |
$1,911.51 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 91.15% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Notorious MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Oct '24 |
Alex Pereira |
Khalil Rountree |
2.11 |
0.6 |
TKO, R4 (4:32) |
|
|
2. |
Sep '24 |
Yuki Motoya |
Shinobu Ota |
2.15 |
0.15 |
Sub, R3 (4:9) |
|
|
3. |
Sep '24 |
Naoki Inoue |
Soo Chul Kim |
2.25 |
0.2 |
TKO, R1 (3:55) |
|
|
4. |
Sep '24 |
Chris Duncan (2) |
Bolaji Oki |
2.75 |
0.2 |
Sub, R1 (3:34) |
|
|
5. |
Sep '24 |
Daniel Barez |
Victor Altamirano |
2.10 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Sep '24 |
Makhmud Muradov |
Scott Askham |
1.90 |
0.2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Sep '24 |
Lucie Pudilova |
Cecilie Bolander |
1.86 |
0.3 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Sep '24 |
Norma Dumont |
Irene Aldana |
2.10 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Sep '24 |
Lorenz Larkin |
Levan Chokheli |
1.90 |
0.25 |
TKO, R1 (1:53) |
|
|
10. |
Sep '24 |
George Hardwick |
Cristian Iorga |
1.77 |
0.5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Sep '24 |
Gabriel Santos |
Zha Yi |
2.00 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Sep '24 |
Yuneisy Duben |
Shannon Clark |
7.50 |
0.1 |
TKO, R1 (1:13) |
|
|
13. |
Sep '24 |
Djorden Santos |
Will Currie |
4.20 |
0.1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Aug '24 |
Cong Wang |
Victoria Leonardo |
1.72 |
0.3 |
TKO, R1 (1:2) |
|
|
15. |
Aug '24 |
Michael Morales |
Neil Magny |
1.75 |
0.25 |
TKO, R1 (4:39) |
|
|
16. |
Aug '24 |
Ryan Loder |
Robert Valentin |
2.55 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (1:49) |
|
|
17. |
Aug '24 |
Daniel Hooker |
Mateusz Gamrot |
4.25 |
0.25 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Aug '24 |
Dricus Du Plessis |
Israel Adesanya |
2.14 |
1 |
Sub, R4 (3:38) |
|
|
19. |
Aug '24 |
Michael Morales |
Neil Magny |
1.89 |
0.22 |
TKO, R1 (4:39) |
|
|
20. |
Aug '24 |
Jack Jenkins |
Herbert Burns |
1.83 |
0.5 |
TKO, R3 (0:48) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Notorious MMA: Progress Chart |
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