MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6371
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2341

MMA Handicapper Stats: Notorious MMA

Notorious MMA (Notorious MMA)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	123 (40%)	Right	34 (47%)	Right	27 (28%)	Right	62 (45%)
Wrong	183 (60%)	Wrong	38 (53%)	Wrong	69 (72%)	Wrong	76 (55%)
Avg Odds	2.72	Avg Odds	2.20	Avg Odds	4.31	Avg Odds	2.40
Units Bet	253.1	Units Bet	106.8	Units Bet	49.3	Units Bet	97.0
Avg Bet	0.83	Avg Bet	1.48	Avg Bet	0.51	Avg Bet	0.70
Units Profit	27.91	Units Profit	-7.25	Units Profit	17.89	Units Profit	17.27
ROI %	11%	ROI %	-7%	ROI %	36%	ROI %	18%

Notorious MMA: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
27th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	8.2	4.1	50%	3.2 / 4.35 (74%)	-0.4 / 0.35 (-100%)	1.2 / 3.5 (34%)
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	19.44	12.4	64%	9.2 / 11.21 (82%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	3.5 / 7.98 (43%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	2.47	-2.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-2.0 / 1.97 (-100%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	16.56	-4.9	-30%	-0.8 / 5.7 (-13%)	-1.3 / 2.46 (-54%)	-2.8 / 8.4 (-34%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	7.36	-1.2	-16%	0.9 / 3.48 (26%)	-1.4 / 1.4 (-100%)	-0.7 / 2.48 (-28%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	16.72	3.4	21%	5.1 / 6.68 (76%)	0.3 / 4.15 (8%)	-2.0 / 5.89 (-34%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	31.41	19.8	63%	-4.0 / 17.31 (-23%)	6.8 / 6.44 (105%)	17.1 / 7.66 (223%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	17.8	-3.8	-21%	-4.1 / 4.06 (-100%)	6.1 / 5.76 (106%)	-5.9 / 7.98 (-73%)
1st Mar '24	One 166	0.25	-0.3	-100%			-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	24.83	-4.3	-17%	-7.6 / 9.92 (-76%)	1.2 / 2.46 (47%)	2.1 / 12.45 (17%)
24th Feb '24	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	2.95	0.8	27%	0.8 / 2.95 (27%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	17.15	2.4	14%	-4.9 / 7.05 (-70%)	2.1 / 4.22 (50%)	5.2 / 5.88 (88%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	28.15	-5.1	-18%	-1.9 / 11.84 (-16%)	0.6 / 5.86 (10%)	-3.8 / 10.45 (-36%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	14.64	8.2	56%	5.2 / 7.44 (70%)	4.0 / 1.5 (263%)	-0.9 / 5.7 (-16%)
27th Jan '24	LFA 175	0.22	-0.2	-100%			-0.2 / 0.22 (-100%)
27th Jan '24	Oktagon 52	1.06	0.3	24%	0.0 / 0.84 (6%)		0.2 / 0.22 (92%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	23.07	2.3	10%	1.0 / 4.51 (22%)	2.4 / 8.62 (28%)	-1.1 / 9.94 (-11%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	22.54	-0.4	-2%	-7.3 / 7.26 (-100%)	0.8 / 7.6 (10%)	6.1 / 7.68 (79%)
31st Dec '23	Rizin 45	3.02	-3.0	-100%	-1.7 / 1.72 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)

Winning Events: 9 (47%)
Losing Events: 10 (53%)

Average Staked Per Event: 13.57 units
Most Staked On One Event: 31.41 units
Best Event: 19.85 units
Worst Event: -5.10 units
Average Event: 1.47 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 23.29
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -8.59

Notorious MMA: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	254.82	30.9	12%	-5.5 / 105.1 (-5%)		17.6 / 96.68 (18%)	9 / 9 (50%)	1.72
2023	3.02	-3.0	-100%	-1.7 / 1.72 (-100%)		-0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)	/ 1 (0%)	-3.02

Notorious MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Notorious MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	250.34	30.4	12%	-6.4 / 101.31 (-6%)	18.9 / 53.04 (36%)	17.8 / 95.99 (19%)
PFL	2.95	0.8	27%	0.8 / 2.95 (27%)
Other	4.55	-3.2	-71%	-1.7 / 2.56 (-65%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.6 / 0.99 (-57%)

Notorious MMA: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Favorites	39 (44%)	24	62 %	68.64	2.29	0.06	3%
Slight Underdogs	30 (34%)	13	43 %	28.15	-11.50	-0.38	-41%
Big Underdogs	19 (22%)	5	26 %	10.03	1.96	0.10	20%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	16 (18%)	5	31 %	12.08	-5.18	-0.32	-43%
Co-Main Event	10 (11%)	4	40 %	27.54	-5.11	-0.51	-19%
Position 3-5	16 (18%)	8	50 %	22.36	4.05	0.25	18%
6+ (Undercard)	46 (52%)	25	54 %	44.84	-1.01	-0.02	-2%

Notorious MMA: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (5%)	1	25 %	5.10	-4.48	-1.12	-88%
Light Heavy	5 (6%)	3	60 %	2.75	1.12	0.22	41%
Middleweight	7 (8%)	3	43 %	14.20	-1.41	-0.20	-10%
Welterweight	6 (7%)	2	33 %	4.55	-2.40	-0.40	-53%
Lightweight	15 (17%)	8	53 %	27.87	7.27	0.48	26%
Featherweight	17 (19%)	8	47 %	24.83	-2.37	-0.14	-10%
Bantamweight	16 (18%)	7	44 %	19.01	-6.37	-0.40	-33%
Flyweight	6 (7%)	2	33 %	3.53	-0.97	-0.16	-28%

Women's Fights	12 (14%)	8	67 %	4.98	2.35	0.20	47%
Featherweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	0.25	0.31	0.31	125%
Flyweight	4 (5%)	2	50 %	1.70	-0.05	-0.01	-3%
Strawweight	7 (8%)	5	71 %	3.03	2.09	0.30	69%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	203 (80%)	156	77 %
Slight Favorites	25 (10%)	14	56 %
Slight Underdogs	6 (2%)	5	83 %
Big Underdogs	19 (8%)	7	37 %
	253	182	72 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	156 (59%)	124	79 %
50-65%	10 (4%)	7	70 %
35-50%	15 (6%)	8	53 %
<35% chance	82 (31%)	16	20 %
	263	155	59 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	54 (21%)	50	93 %	1.29	6.30	1.14	17.2 (32%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	61 (23%)	42	69 %	1.24	5.00	1.11	-3.1 (-5%)
Does not go to Decision	21 (8%)	13	62 %	1.39	3.00	1.18	-2.3 (-11%)
Fight Starts Round X	18 (7%)	15	83 %	1.22	1.41	1.13	0.4 (2%)
X Wins by KO	3 (1%)	0	0 %	4.50	5.00	3.75	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	6 (2%)	1	17 %	7.00	10.50	4.50	3.5 (58%)
X Wins by Decision	17 (6%)	3	18 %	4.80	11.50	2.00	-7.2 (-43%)
X Wins Inside Distance	27 (10%)	12	44 %	2.25	7.50	1.47	-2.3 (-9%)
X Wins in Round X	33 (13%)	5	15 %	9.25	34.00	2.80	-1.6 (-5%)
Others	23 (9%)	14	61 %	2.39	46.00	1.15	32.5 (141%)
	263	155	59 %	1.74			34.0 (13%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Notorious MMA's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
31st Dec	Rizin 45	3.02	-3.0	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$969.80
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	22.54	-0.4	-2%		$9.70	$969.80	$965.78
20th Jan	UFC 297	23.07	2.3	10%		$9.66	$965.78	$987.78
27th Jan	Oktagon 52	1.06	0.3	24%		$9.88	$987.78	$990.26
27th Jan	LFA 175	0.22	-0.2	-100%		$9.90	$990.26	$988.08
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	14.64	8.2	56%		$9.88	$988.08	$1,069.07
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	28.15	-5.1	-18%		$10.69	$1,069.07	$1,014.50
17th Feb	UFC 298	17.15	2.4	14%		$10.15	$1,014.50	$1,038.39
24th Feb	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	2.95	0.8	27%		$10.38	$1,038.39	$1,046.60
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	24.83	-4.3	-17%		$10.47	$1,046.60	$1,001.15
1st Mar	One 166	0.25	-0.3	-100%		$10.01	$1,001.15	$998.65
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	17.8	-3.8	-21%		$9.99	$998.65	$960.47
9th Mar	UFC 299	31.41	19.8	63%		$9.60	$960.47	$1,151.09
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	16.72	3.4	21%		$11.51	$1,151.09	$1,190.74
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	7.36	-1.2	-16%		$11.91	$1,190.74	$1,176.68
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	16.56	-4.9	-30%		$11.77	$1,176.68	$1,118.51
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	2.47	-2.5	-100%		$11.19	$1,118.51	$1,090.89
13th Apr	UFC 300	19.44	12.4	64%		$10.91	$1,090.89	$1,226.70
27th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	8.2	4.1	50%		$12.27	$1,226.70	$1,276.55

ROI % from starting bank balance: 27.65% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Notorious MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '24	David Onama	Jonathan Pearce	2.45	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Apr '24	Hayisaer Maheshate	Gabriel Benitez	1.87	0.43	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Apr '24	Hayisaer Maheshate	Gabriel Benitez	1.86	2.32	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Apr '24	Jiri Prochazka	Aleksandar Rakic	2.00	0.8	TKO, R2 (3:17)
5.	Apr '24	Alex Pereira	Jamahal Hill	1.77	1	TKO, R1 (3:14)
6.	Apr '24	Aljamain Sterling	Calvin Kattar	1.95	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Mar '24	Nate Landwehr	Jamall Emmers	2.87	0.5	TKO, R1 (4:43)
8.	Mar '24	Manon Fiorot	Erin Blanchfield	2.62	0.4	U Decision (5 rounds)
9.	Mar '24	Virna Jandiroba	Lupita Godinez	2.95	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Mar '24	Julio Arce	Herbert Burns	1.96	0.5	TKO, R2 (2:0)
11.	Mar '24	Youssef Zalal	Billy Quarantillo	2.40	1.5	Sub, R2 (1:50)
12.	Mar '24	Rose Namajunas	Amanda Ribas	2.06	0.38	U Decision (5 rounds)
13.	Mar '24	Jafel Filho	Ode Osbourne	1.62	0.96	Sub, R1 (4:27)
14.	Mar '24	Chelsea Chandler	Josiane Nunes	2.25	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Mar '24	Jaqueline Amorim	Cory McKenna	2.45	0.3	Sub, R1 (1:38)
16.	Apr '24	Bobby Green	Jim Miller	1.91	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Mar '24	Chad Anheliger	Charalampos Grigoriou	2.62	0.62	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Apr '24	Aljamain Sterling	Calvin Kattar	1.96	1.1	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Mar '24	Petr Yan	Yadong Song	1.91	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Mar '24	Mike Davis	Natan Levy	1.70	4.3	Sub, R2 (1:43)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Ariane Lipski	Karine Silva	2.50	0.6	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '24	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Jessica Andrade	2.14	0.25	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Apr '24	Jalin Turner	Renato Moicano	1.86	0.56	TKO, R2 (4:11)	No
4.	Apr '24	Yan Xiaonan	Weili Zhang	4.80	0.4	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
5.	Apr '24	Charles Oliveira	Arman Tsarukyan	2.90	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Apr '24	Dan Argueta	Jean Matsumoto	2.62	0.5	Sub, R2 (4:59)	No
7.	Mar '24	Herbert Burns	Julio Arce	13.00	0.6	TKO, R2 (2:0)	Yes
8.	Mar '24	Vicente Luque	Joaquin Buckley	1.91	2.7	TKO, R2 (3:17)	No
9.	Mar '24	Luis Pajuelo	Fernando Padilla	2.50	0.1	Sub, R1 (2:45)	No
10.	Mar '24	Rhys McKee	Chidi Njokuani	2.87	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Mar '24	Luis Pajuelo	Fernando Padilla	2.50	0.25	Sub, R1 (2:45)	No
12.	Mar '24	Igor da Silva	Andre Lima	2.50	0.25		No
13.	Mar '24	Cameron Saaiman	Payton Talbott	2.40	1	TKO, R2 (0:21)	No
14.	Mar '24	Mitch Ramirez	Thiago Moises	4.10	0.25	TKO, R3 (0:15)	No
15.	Mar '24	Pedro Munhoz	Kyler Phillips	3.00	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	Yes
16.	Mar '24	Rafael dos Anjos	Mateusz Gamrot	4.50	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Mar '24	Jailton Junior	Curtis Blaydes	2.00	4	TKO, R2 (0:36)	No
18.	Mar '24	Javid Basharat	Aiemann Zahabi	2.24	0.56	U Decision (3 rounds)	Yes
19.	Feb '24	Brandon Moreno	Brandon Royval	4.62	0.12	Split Decision (5 rounds)	Yes
20.	Feb '24	Ryan Bader	Renan Ferreira	2.00	0.7	TKO, R1 (0:21)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

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