MMA Handicapper Stats: The Favorite |
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The Favorite: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 9 (64%) Losing Events: 5 (36%)
Average Staked Per Event: 30.64 units Most Staked On One Event: 50.20 units Best Event: 9.80 units Worst Event: -11.80 units Average Event: -0.23 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 13.25 Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -11.80 |
The Favorite: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
308.71 |
-5.3 |
-2% |
-5.3 / 308.71 (-2%) |
|
|
6 / 4 (60%) |
-0.53 |
2023 |
120.3 |
2.1 |
2% |
2.1 / 120.3 (2%) |
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|
3 / 1 (75%) |
0.52 |
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The Favorite: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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The Favorite: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
429.01 |
-3.2 |
-1% |
-3.2 / 429.01 (-1%) |
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The Favorite: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
91 (54%) |
68 |
75 % |
313.58 |
1.29 |
0.01 |
0% |
Slight Favorites |
78 (46%) |
44 |
56 % |
115.43 |
-4.52 |
-0.06 |
-4% |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
14 (8%) |
8 |
57 % |
33.97 |
-2.37 |
-0.17 |
-7% |
Co-Main Event |
12 (7%) |
9 |
75 % |
24.40 |
3.85 |
0.32 |
16% |
Position 3-5 |
40 (24%) |
30 |
75 % |
109.25 |
7.30 |
0.18 |
7% |
6+ (Undercard) |
103 (61%) |
65 |
63 % |
261.39 |
-12.01 |
-0.12 |
-5% |
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The Favorite: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
11 (7%) |
6 |
55 % |
25.77 |
-0.62 |
-0.06 |
-2% |
Light Heavy |
10 (6%) |
5 |
50 % |
29.05 |
-8.75 |
-0.87 |
-30% |
Middleweight |
20 (12%) |
14 |
70 % |
46.92 |
2.35 |
0.12 |
5% |
Welterweight |
20 (12%) |
13 |
65 % |
43.41 |
0.35 |
0.02 |
1% |
Lightweight |
25 (15%) |
19 |
76 % |
66.87 |
2.73 |
0.11 |
4% |
Featherweight |
17 (10%) |
8 |
47 % |
38.55 |
-6.35 |
-0.37 |
-16% |
Bantamweight |
22 (13%) |
16 |
73 % |
71.97 |
-0.62 |
-0.03 |
-1% |
Flyweight |
19 (11%) |
15 |
79 % |
51.87 |
6.55 |
0.34 |
13% |
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Women's Fights |
25 (15%) |
16 |
64 % |
54.60 |
1.13 |
0.05 |
2% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
1.42 |
-1.42 |
-1.42 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
8 (5%) |
6 |
75 % |
16.45 |
3.03 |
0.38 |
18% |
Flyweight |
8 (5%) |
4 |
50 % |
17.26 |
-3.36 |
-0.42 |
-19% |
Strawweight |
8 (5%) |
6 |
75 % |
19.47 |
2.88 |
0.36 |
15% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
35-50% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
<35% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
nan |
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|
0.0 (nan%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail The Favorite's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
39.9 |
4.8 |
12% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,047.50 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
25.55 |
-5.1 |
-20% |
|
$10.48 |
$1,047.50 |
$993.87 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
27.74 |
2.3 |
8% |
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$9.94 |
$993.87 |
$1,016.43 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
27.11 |
0.2 |
1% |
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$10.16 |
$1,016.43 |
$1,018.36 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
38.2 |
1.6 |
4% |
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$10.18 |
$1,018.36 |
$1,034.66 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
26.5 |
-11.8 |
-45% |
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$10.35 |
$1,034.66 |
$912.57 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
24.7 |
0.7 |
3% |
|
$9.13 |
$912.57 |
$918.95 |
10th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer |
24.1 |
-0.7 |
-3% |
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$9.19 |
$918.95 |
$912.06 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
32.8 |
9.8 |
30% |
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$9.12 |
$912.06 |
$1,001.44 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
31.05 |
3.5 |
11% |
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$10.01 |
$1,001.44 |
$1,035.99 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
50.2 |
-3.4 |
-7% |
|
$10.36 |
$1,035.99 |
$1,001.29 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
31.15 |
1.0 |
3% |
|
$10.01 |
$1,001.29 |
$1,011.30 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
28.65 |
-9.2 |
-32% |
|
$10.11 |
$1,011.30 |
$918.26 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
21.36 |
3.2 |
15% |
|
$9.18 |
$918.26 |
$947.92 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -5.21% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
The Favorite: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
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1. |
Mar '24 |
Michael Parkin |
Mohammed Usman |
1.74 |
1.35 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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2. |
Mar '24 |
Andre Lima |
Igor da Silva |
1.62 |
1.62 |
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3. |
Mar '24 |
Dariya Zheleznyakova |
Montserrat Rendon |
1.45 |
2.2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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4. |
Mar '24 |
Miles Johns |
Cody Gibson |
1.71 |
1.4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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5. |
Mar '24 |
Fernando Padilla |
Luis Pajuelo |
1.61 |
1.65 |
Sub, R1 (2:45) |
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6. |
Mar '24 |
Payton Talbott |
Cameron Saaiman |
1.65 |
1.55 |
TKO, R2 (0:21) |
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7. |
Mar '24 |
Edmen Shahbazyan |
AJ Dobson |
1.52 |
1.92 |
TKO, R1 (4:33) |
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8. |
Mar '24 |
Karl Williams |
Justin Tafa |
1.56 |
1.8 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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9. |
Mar '24 |
Rose Namajunas |
Amanda Ribas |
1.48 |
2.1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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10. |
Mar '24 |
Thiago Moises |
Mitch Ramirez |
1.27 |
3.75 |
TKO, R3 (0:15) |
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11. |
Mar '24 |
Jafel Filho |
Ode Osbourne |
1.63 |
1.6 |
Sub, R1 (4:27) |
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12. |
Mar '24 |
Mike Davis |
Natan Levy |
1.22 |
4.5 |
Sub, R2 (1:43) |
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13. |
Mar '24 |
Gerald Meerschaert |
Bryan Barberena |
1.43 |
2.3 |
Sub, R2 (4:23) |
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14. |
Mar '24 |
Macy Chiasson |
Pannie Kianzad |
1.43 |
2.3 |
Sub, R1 (3:54) |
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15. |
Mar '24 |
Assu Almabaev |
Carlos Vergara |
1.18 |
5.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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16. |
Mar '24 |
Robelis Despaigne |
Josh Parisian |
1.30 |
3.3 |
TKO, R1 (0:18) |
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17. |
Mar '24 |
Michel Pereira |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
1.69 |
1.45 |
Sub, R1 (1:1) |
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18. |
Mar '24 |
Kyler Phillips |
Pedro Munhoz |
1.48 |
2.1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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19. |
Mar '24 |
Mateusz Gamrot |
Rafael dos Anjos |
1.31 |
3.25 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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20. |
Mar '24 |
Maycee Barber |
Katlyn Chookagian |
1.50 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
The Favorite: Progress Chart |
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