MMA Handicapper Stats: The Computer |
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The Computer: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
17th Feb '24 |
UFC 298 |
67 |
-16.3 |
-24% |
-20.8 / 30 (-69%) |
-5.2 / 32 (-16%) |
9.7 / 5 (194%) |
17th Feb '24 |
KSW 91 |
10 |
3.0 |
30% |
3.0 / 10 (30%) |
|
|
16th Feb '24 |
Octagon 55 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
|
|
3rd Feb '24 |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
82 |
-82.0 |
-100% |
-12.0 / 12 (-100%) |
-65.0 / 65 (-100%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
28th Jan '24 |
One 165 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
27th Jan '24 |
Oktagon 52 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
21st Jan '24 |
Fury FC 85 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
20th Jan '24 |
UFC 297 |
51 |
37.1 |
73% |
21.0 / 10 (210%) |
8.7 / 30 (29%) |
7.3 / 11 (67%) |
13th Jan '24 |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
51 |
-28.5 |
-56% |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
-23.5 / 46 (-51%) |
|
12th Jan '24 |
LFA 174 |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
12th Jan '24 |
One Fight Night 18 |
5 |
6.5 |
130% |
6.5 / 5 (130%) |
|
|
24th Dec '23 |
ACA 168 |
25 |
-3.2 |
-13% |
1.8 / 20 (9%) |
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
16th Dec '23 |
UFC 296 |
63 |
46.6 |
74% |
18.3 / 10 (183%) |
28.3 / 53 (53%) |
|
15th Dec '23 |
LFA 173 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
|
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
9th Dec '23 |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
72 |
-72.0 |
-100% |
-15.0 / 15 (-100%) |
-52.0 / 52 (-100%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
8th Dec '23 |
PFL Europe 4: 2023 Championships |
15 |
65.0 |
433% |
10.0 / 5 (200%) |
55.0 / 10 (550%) |
|
8th Dec '23 |
ACA 167 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
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|
25th Nov '23 |
Cage Warriors 164 |
3 |
0.2 |
7% |
0.2 / 3 (7%) |
|
|
25th Nov '23 |
FCR 18 |
3 |
1.7 |
57% |
1.7 / 3 (57%) |
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|
25th Nov '23 |
Brave CF 76 |
3 |
0.4 |
12% |
0.4 / 3 (12%) |
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24th Nov '23 |
PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship |
15 |
-7.3 |
-48% |
-7.3 / 15 (-48%) |
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11th Nov '23 |
UFC 295 |
53 |
-22.1 |
-42% |
2.8 / 18 (16%) |
-23.8 / 34 (-70%) |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
11th Nov '23 |
KSW 88 |
9 |
21.0 |
233% |
6.0 / 6 (100%) |
15.0 / 3 (500%) |
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9th Nov '23 |
EFC 109 |
12 |
1.6 |
14% |
1.6 / 12 (14%) |
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|
Winning Events: 10 (42%) Losing Events: 14 (58%)
Average Staked Per Event: 24.54 units Most Staked On One Event: 82.00 units Best Event: 65.00 units Worst Event: -82.00 units Average Event: -4.10 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 65.00 Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -112.00 |
The Computer: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
306 |
-120.2 |
-39% |
-27.3 / 92 (-30%) |
|
-8.0 / 41 (-19%) |
3 / 8 (27%) |
-10.93 |
2023 |
283 |
22.0 |
8% |
15.5 / 115 (13%) |
|
-16.0 / 16 (-100%) |
7 / 6 (54%) |
1.69 |
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The Computer: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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The Computer: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
439 |
-137.2 |
-31% |
-10.7 / 100 (-11%) |
-132.5 / 312 (-42%) |
6.0 / 27 (22%) |
PFL |
30 |
57.7 |
192% |
2.7 / 20 (14%) |
55.0 / 10 (550%) |
|
Other |
120 |
-18.8 |
-16% |
-3.8 / 87 (-4%) |
15.0 / 3 (500%) |
-30.0 / 30 (-100%) |
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The Computer: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
10 (21%) |
8 |
80 % |
30.00 |
-0.02 |
-0.00 |
-0% |
Slight Favorites |
7 (15%) |
5 |
71 % |
23.00 |
5.96 |
0.85 |
26% |
Slight Underdogs |
17 (35%) |
8 |
47 % |
84.00 |
2.50 |
0.15 |
3% |
Big Underdogs |
14 (29%) |
3 |
21 % |
70.00 |
-20.25 |
-1.45 |
-29% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
6 (13%) |
4 |
67 % |
22.00 |
0.60 |
0.10 |
3% |
Co-Main Event |
5 (10%) |
1 |
20 % |
21.00 |
-10.50 |
-2.10 |
-50% |
Position 3-5 |
19 (40%) |
11 |
58 % |
83.00 |
7.02 |
0.37 |
8% |
6+ (Undercard) |
18 (38%) |
8 |
44 % |
81.00 |
-8.93 |
-0.50 |
-11% |
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The Computer: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
3 (6%) |
|
0 % |
11.00 |
-11.00 |
-3.67 |
-100% |
Light Heavy |
6 (13%) |
4 |
67 % |
24.00 |
-1.08 |
-0.18 |
-5% |
Middleweight |
5 (10%) |
1 |
20 % |
26.00 |
-22.80 |
-4.56 |
-88% |
Welterweight |
7 (15%) |
3 |
43 % |
35.00 |
0.63 |
0.09 |
2% |
Lightweight |
9 (19%) |
5 |
56 % |
35.00 |
-9.20 |
-1.02 |
-26% |
Featherweight |
6 (13%) |
4 |
67 % |
26.00 |
19.75 |
3.29 |
76% |
Bantamweight |
4 (8%) |
2 |
50 % |
20.00 |
8.00 |
2.00 |
40% |
Flyweight |
2 (4%) |
2 |
100 % |
6.00 |
3.59 |
1.79 |
60% |
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|
|
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|
|
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Women's Fights |
6 (13%) |
3 |
50 % |
24.00 |
0.30 |
0.05 |
1% |
Featherweight |
2 (4%) |
1 |
50 % |
6.00 |
-2.70 |
-1.35 |
-45% |
Flyweight |
2 (4%) |
1 |
50 % |
10.00 |
3.50 |
1.75 |
35% |
Strawweight |
2 (4%) |
1 |
50 % |
8.00 |
-0.50 |
-0.25 |
-6% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
32 (74%) |
28 |
88 % |
Slight Favorites |
8 (19%) |
1 |
13 % |
Slight Underdogs |
3 (7%) |
0 |
0 % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
43 |
29 |
67 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
2 (2%) |
1 |
50 % |
50-65% |
4 (5%) |
2 |
50 % |
35-50% |
22 (27%) |
5 |
23 % |
<35% chance |
55 (66%) |
10 |
18 % |
|
83 |
18 |
22 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail The Computer's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
ROI % from starting bank balance: -99.66% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
The Computer: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
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1. |
Feb '24 |
Mingyang Zhang |
Brendson Ribeiro |
1.85 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:41) |
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2. |
Feb '24 |
Mariusz Joniak |
Tobiasz Le |
2.60 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:5) |
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3. |
Jan '24 |
Neil Magny |
Mike Malott |
4.00 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (4:45) |
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4. |
Jan '24 |
Sam Patterson |
Yohan Lainesse |
2.20 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (2:3) |
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5. |
Jan '24 |
Artem Belakh |
Enkh-Orgil Baatarkhuu |
2.30 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (4:55) |
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6. |
Dec '23 |
Ali Bagov |
Artem Reznikov |
2.10 |
5 |
TKO, R4 (4:13) |
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7. |
Dec '23 |
Islam Meshev |
Levan Makashvili |
2.25 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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8. |
Dec '23 |
Josh Emmett |
Bryce Mitchell |
2.95 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:57) |
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9. |
Dec '23 |
Ariane Lipski |
Casey O'Neill |
2.70 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (1:18) |
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10. |
Dec '23 |
Weslley Maia |
Lewis McGrillen-Evans |
3.00 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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11. |
Nov '23 |
Darren Stewart |
Antonio Zovak |
1.07 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (1:43) |
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12. |
Nov '23 |
Jonny Touma |
Rohullah Yousofi |
1.57 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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13. |
Nov '23 |
Windri Patilima |
Mhar John Manahan |
1.12 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (2:45) |
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14. |
Nov '23 |
Impa Kasanganay |
Joshua Silveira |
1.48 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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15. |
Nov '23 |
Larissa Pacheco |
Marina Mokhnatkina |
1.10 |
3 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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16. |
Nov '23 |
Mateusz Rebecki |
Roosevelt Roberts |
1.15 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (3:8) |
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17. |
Nov '23 |
Marcin Wojcik |
Luis Henrique da Silva |
1.25 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (0:31) |
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18. |
Nov '23 |
Patryk Kaczmarczyk |
Daniel Rutkowski |
2.75 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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19. |
Nov '23 |
Vuyo Jula |
Johannes Rudolph |
1.63 |
3 |
Sub, R1 (4:23) |
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20. |
Nov '23 |
Jailson Sousa |
Khulekani Hlongwa |
1.54 |
3 |
Sub, R3 (2:31) |
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Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Feb '24 |
Andrea Lee |
Miranda Maverick |
2.70 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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|
2. |
Feb '24 |
Josh Quinlan |
Danny Barlow |
2.75 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (1:18) |
No |
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|
3. |
Feb '24 |
Junior Tafa |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
2.84 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (1:14) |
No |
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|
4. |
Feb '24 |
Roman Kopylov |
Anthony Hernandez |
2.80 |
10 |
Sub, R2 (3:23) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Feb '24 |
Michal Sobiech |
Lukasz Charzewski |
3.00 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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6. |
Feb '24 |
Kamariddin Hasanov |
Marsel Nurlanbek uulu |
5.00 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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7. |
Feb '24 |
Pete Rodriguez |
Themba Gorimbo |
3.05 |
6 |
TKO, R1 (0:32) |
No |
|
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8. |
Feb '24 |
Muslim Salikhov |
Randy Brown |
3.35 |
6 |
TKO, R1 (3:17) |
No |
|
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9. |
Jan '24 |
Itsuki Hirata |
Ayaka Miura |
2.05 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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10. |
Jan '24 |
Matthew Bonner |
Matej Penaz |
4.25 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (4:43) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Jan '24 |
Gaston Bolanos |
Marcus McGhee |
3.10 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (3:29) |
No |
|
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12. |
Jan '24 |
Maurice Morris |
Wesley Schultz |
4.00 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:52) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Dec '23 |
Mikhail Mokhnatkin |
Faridun Odilov |
3.00 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (1:30) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Dec '23 |
Javier Basurto |
Viktor Makarenko |
4.25 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Dec '23 |
Jamie Mullarkey |
Nasrat Haqparast |
2.65 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:44) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Dec '23 |
Anthony Smith |
Khalil Rountree |
2.65 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (0:56) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Dec '23 |
Chris Gutierrez |
Yadong Song |
4.00 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Dec '23 |
Ciro Rodrigues |
Ivan Soloviev |
2.40 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Nov '23 |
Ray Cooper III |
Derek Brunson |
1.86 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Nov '23 |
Aspen Ladd |
Kayla Harrison |
6.50 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
The Computer: Progress Chart |
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