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MMA Handicapper Stats: Joel

Joel (BigJuicyJoel)


MMA MHandicapper - Joel

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 59 (60%) Right 23 (77%) Right 23 (47%) Right 13 (65%)
Wrong 40 (40%) Wrong 7 (23%) Wrong 26 (53%) Wrong 7 (35%)
Avg Odds 1.90 Avg Odds 1.84 Avg Odds 1.93 Avg Odds 1.89
Units Bet 134.6 Units Bet 48.1 Units Bet 55.7 Units Bet 30.8
Avg Bet 1.36 Avg Bet 1.60 Avg Bet 1.14 Avg Bet 1.54
Units Profit 14.79 Units Profit 16.44 Units Profit -8.68 Units Profit 7.03
ROI % 11% ROI % 34% ROI % -16% ROI % 23%
View Handicapper's Profile

Joel : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
30th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 18.5 -4.6 -25% -0.3 / 6 (-5%) -2.7 / 8 (-34%) -1.6 / 4.5 (-35%)
23rd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 21.07 -0.3 -1% 1.0 / 14.62 (7%) 0.2 / 4.95 (4%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
22nd Mar '24 Bellator Champions Series 10.92 1.6 14% 5.7 / 6.77 (85%) -4.2 / 4.15 (-100%)
16th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 10 1.8 18% 1.7 / 5.5 (30%) 0.1 / 4.5 (3%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 17.95 7.9 44% 6.9 / 10.25 (67%) -0.1 / 5.7 (-3%) 1.1 / 2 (56%)
2nd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 16.17 -2.4 -15% -6.5 / 7.8 (-83%) 4.1 / 8.37 (48%)
24th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 14.8 0.6 4% -1.3 / 4.7 (-28%) 1.4 / 6.5 (21%) 0.5 / 3.6 (14%)
24th Feb '24 PFL vs. Bellator: Champs 15.15 5.1 34% 1.0 / 1 (100%) -0.5 / 9.15 (-5%) 4.6 / 5 (92%)
17th Feb '24 UFC 298 14.195 5.1 36% 3.4 / 4.8 (71%) 2.0 / 8.07 (25%) -0.3 / 1.325 (-24%)


Winning Events: 6 (67%)
Losing Events: 3 (33%)

Average Staked Per Event: 15.42 units
Most Staked On One Event: 21.07 units
Best Event: 7.85 units
Worst Event: -4.62 units
Average Event: 1.64 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 11.23
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -4.89

Joel : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 138.755 14.8 11% 16.4 / 48.14 (34%) 7.0 / 30.795 (23%) 6 / 3 (67%) 1.64

Joel : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Joel : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 112.685 8.1 7% 9.7 / 40.37 (24%) -4.1 / 46.52 (-9%) 2.4 / 25.795 (9%)
Bellator 10.92 1.6 14% 5.7 / 6.77 (85%) -4.2 / 4.15 (-100%)
PFL 15.15 5.1 34% 1.0 / 1 (100%) -0.5 / 9.15 (-5%) 4.6 / 5 (92%)

Joel : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (3%) 1 100 % 3.00 1.38 1.38 46%
Slight Favorites 21 (66%) 16 76 % 34.89 11.69 0.56 34%
Slight Underdogs 10 (31%) 6 60 % 10.25 3.38 0.34 33%
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (9%) 2 67 % 6.00 0.43 0.14 7%
Co-Main Event 5 (16%) 3 60 % 6.85 1.80 0.36 26%
Position 3-5 11 (34%) 9 82 % 17.37 8.69 0.79 50%
6+ (Undercard) 13 (41%) 9 69 % 17.92 5.53 0.43 31%

Joel : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (9%) 2 67 % 4.30 1.43 0.48 33%
Light Heavy 4 (13%) 3 75 % 5.50 2.13 0.53 39%
Middleweight 3 (9%) 2 67 % 4.35 1.26 0.42 29%
Welterweight 3 (9%) 3 100 % 4.75 4.28 1.43 90%
Lightweight 4 (13%) 3 75 % 5.27 3.60 0.90 68%
Featherweight 7 (22%) 3 43 % 10.35 -2.32 -0.33 -22%
Bantamweight 4 (13%) 4 100 % 6.50 5.14 1.29 79%
Flyweight 2 (6%) 2 100 % 2.12 1.55 0.78 73%
               
Women's Fights 2 (6%) 1 50 % 5.00 -0.62 -0.31 -12%
Flyweight 1 (3%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Strawweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 3.00 1.38 1.38 46%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 27 (96%) 23 85 %
Slight Favorites 1 (4%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
28 23 82 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 18 (26%) 14 78 %
50-65% 23 (33%) 9 39 %
35-50% 26 (38%) 12 46 %
<35% chance 2 (3%) 0 0 %
69 35 51 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 10 (14%) 10 100 % 1.79 2.05Pick was correct 1.22Pick was correct 8.3 (83%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 10 (14%) 6 60 % 1.46 2.05Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was incorrect -1.4 (-14%)
Does not go to Decision 3 (4%) 1 33 % 1.54 1.67Pick was incorrect 1.40Pick was correct -1.6 (-53%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (1%) 0 0 % 2.00 2.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (1%) 1 100 % 1.20 1.20Pick was correct 1.20Pick was incorrect 0.2 (20%)
X Wins by KO 3 (4%) 0 0 % 2.20 3.00Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 2 (3%) 0 0 % 2.15 2.20Pick was incorrect 2.10Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (1%) 0 0 % 1.61 1.61Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (3%) 2 100 % 2.20 2.30Pick was correct 2.10Pick was correct 2.4 (120%)
Others 36 (52%) 15 42 % 1.83 2.95Pick was incorrect 1.28Pick was correct -6.1 (-17%)
69 35 51 % 1.76     -5.2 (-8%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Joel 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
17th Feb UFC 298 14.195 5.1 36% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,051.15
24th Feb PFL vs. Bellator: Champs 15.15 5.1 34% $10.51 $1,051.15 $1,105.15
24th Feb UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 14.8 0.6 4% $11.05 $1,105.15 $1,111.68
2nd Mar UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 16.17 -2.4 -15% $11.12 $1,111.68 $1,085.09
9th Mar UFC 299 17.95 7.9 44% $10.85 $1,085.09 $1,170.29
16th Mar UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 10 1.8 18% $11.70 $1,170.29 $1,191.35
22nd Mar Bellator Champions Series 10.92 1.6 14% $11.91 $1,191.35 $1,210.16
23rd Mar UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 21.07 -0.3 -1% $12.10 $1,210.16 $1,206.92
30th Mar UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 18.5 -4.6 -25% $12.07 $1,206.92 $1,151.15


ROI % from starting bank balance: 15.11% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Joel : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '24 Ibo Aslan Anton Turkalj 1.80 1.5 TKO, R3 (1:32) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '24 Joaquin Buckley Vicente Luque 2.00 1.5 TKO, R2 (3:17) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '24 Rose Namajunas Amanda Ribas 1.46 3 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '24 Andre Lima Igor da Silva 1.62 1.62 MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '24 Fernando Padilla Luis Pajuelo 1.59 2 Sub, R1 (2:45) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '24 Patricio Freire Jeremy Kennedy 1.87 1.5 TKO, R3 (4:7) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '24 Fabian Edwards Aaron Jeffery 1.68 1.85 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '24 Manoel Sousa Tim Wilde 1.91 1.92 TKO, R1 (4:48) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '24 Luke Trainer Grant Neal 1.95 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '24 Payton Talbott Cameron Saaiman 1.83 1.5 TKO, R2 (0:21) MMA Bookmaker
11. Mar '24 Miles Johns Cody Gibson 1.82 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Mar '24 Dustin Poirier Benoit Saint-Denis 2.85 1 TKO, R2 (2:32) MMA Bookmaker
13. Mar '24 Michel Pereira Michal Oleksiejczuk 1.68 1.5 Sub, R1 (1:1) MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '24 Michael Page Kevin Holland 2.14 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '24 Curtis Blaydes Jailton Junior 1.95 1.5 TKO, R2 (0:36) MMA Bookmaker
16. Mar '24 Petr Yan Yadong Song 1.87 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Mar '24 Jack Della Maddalena Gilbert Burns 1.68 2 TKO, R3 (3:43) MMA Bookmaker
18. Feb '24 Jesus Santos Aguilar Mateus Mendonca 2.10 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Feb '24 Yoel Romero Thiago Santos 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Feb '24 Manuel Torres Chris Duncan (2) 1.74 1.35 Sub, R1 (1:46) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '24 Rhys McKee Chidi Njokuani 2.50 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '24 Erin Blanchfield Manon Fiorot 1.68 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '24 Billy Quarantillo Youssef Zalal 2.10 1 Sub, R2 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '24 Kurt Holobaugh Trey Ogden 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '24 Mohammed Usman Michael Parkin 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '24 Billy Quarantillo Youssef Zalal 1.68 2 Sub, R2 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '24 Ion Cutelaba Philipe Lins 1.74 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '24 Yair Rodriguez Brian Ortega 1.68 1 Sub, R3 (0:58) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '24 Yair Rodriguez Brian Ortega 1.54 1.85 Sub, R3 (0:58) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Joel : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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