MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6366
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2353

MMA Handicapper Stats: NOT a Degenerate Gambler

NOT a Degenerate Gambler (letgoofwhatis)

MMA MHandicapper - NOT a Degenerate Gambler

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	77 (33%)	Right	45 (42%)	Right	15 (20%)	Right	17 (35%)
Wrong	154 (67%)	Wrong	63 (58%)	Wrong	59 (80%)	Wrong	32 (65%)
Avg Odds	3.08	Avg Odds	2.36	Avg Odds	4.27	Avg Odds	4.09
Units Bet	162.1	Units Bet	111.2	Units Bet	27.3	Units Bet	23.7
Avg Bet	0.70	Avg Bet	1.03	Avg Bet	0.37	Avg Bet	0.48
Units Profit	3.09	Units Profit	-1.81	Units Profit	-4.61	Units Profit	9.50
ROI %	2%	ROI %	-2%	ROI %	-17%	ROI %	40%

NOT a Degenerate Gambler: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	11.85	-5.5	-46%	-5.0 / 7.81 (-64%)	1.4 / 2.17 (64%)	-1.9 / 1.87 (-100%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	8.35	0.0	0%	-2.6 / 2.6 (-100%)	1.0 / 3.74 (27%)	1.6 / 2.01 (79%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	11.94	-3.3	-28%	-0.3 / 6.75 (-4%)	-0.2 / 2.39 (-10%)	-2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	16.03	-2.6	-16%	-3.9 / 13.99 (-28%)	0.2 / 1.49 (11%)	1.1 / 0.55 (195%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	7.55	2.5	32%	3.1 / 6.4 (48%)	-0.7 / 1.15 (-57%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	12.02	7.3	61%	4.8 / 8.18 (58%)	0.5 / 2.26 (23%)	2.0 / 1.58 (129%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	4.24	0.9	21%	-0.7 / 3.74 (-19%)	1.6 / 0.5 (319%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	13.67	-2.6	-19%	-0.3 / 7.29 (-4%)	-3.9 / 3.89 (-100%)	1.6 / 2.49 (66%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	9.94	-4.0	-40%	-4.0 / 8.45 (-47%)	-0.1 / 1.49 (-3%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	11.76	8.3	71%	7.4 / 11.62 (63%)		1.0 / 0.14 (703%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	7.27	4.1	56%	3.2 / 6.77 (47%)	1.0 / 0.36 (281%)	-0.1 / 0.14 (-100%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	7.49	0.8	11%	1.5 / 6.82 (22%)	-0.4 / 0.37 (-100%)	-0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	4	3.5	87%	2.6 / 3 (86%)		0.9 / 1 (92%)
9th Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	2.65	-2.7	-100%	-1.2 / 1.21 (-100%)	-1.3 / 1.27 (-100%)	-0.2 / 0.17 (-100%)
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	6.17	-3.5	-57%	0.1 / 2.62 (2%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	-1.1 / 1.05 (-100%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	4.65	1.5	33%	-1.4 / 1.37 (-100%)	0.3 / 0.14 (210%)	2.6 / 3.14 (83%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	7.11	-2.5	-35%	-2.5 / 6.11 (-40%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	0.2 / 0.75 (32%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	4.1	1.3	31%	-0.3 / 2 (-15%)	0.0 / 0.31 (12%)	1.5 / 1.79 (85%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	4.59	0.6	13%	-0.9 / 2.3 (-37%)	-0.8 / 0.83 (-100%)	2.3 / 1.46 (156%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	3.3	0.8	25%		-0.9 / 1.61 (-55%)	1.7 / 1.69 (101%)
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	3.92	-1.9	-48%	-1.4 / 2.12 (-66%)	0.3 / 1.03 (29%)	-0.8 / 0.77 (-100%)

Winning Events: 12 (57%)
Losing Events: 9 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.74 units
Most Staked On One Event: 16.03 units
Best Event: 8.34 units
Worst Event: -5.49 units
Average Event: 0.15 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 16.73
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -6.59

NOT a Degenerate Gambler: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	126.11	9.4	7%	5.7 / 93.42 (6%)		3.1 / 12.88 (24%)	8 / 5 (62%)	0.72
2023	36.49	-6.3	-17%	-7.5 / 17.73 (-42%)		6.4 / 10.82 (59%)	4 / 4 (50%)	-0.78

NOT a Degenerate Gambler: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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NOT a Degenerate Gambler: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	162.6	3.1	2%	-1.8 / 111.15 (-2%)	-4.6 / 27.75 (-17%)	9.5 / 23.7 (40%)

NOT a Degenerate Gambler: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	3 (3%)	2	67 %	5.97	1.01	0.34	17%
Slight Favorites	23 (19%)	16	70 %	34.85	7.63	0.33	22%
Slight Underdogs	64 (53%)	26	41 %	55.26	-0.44	-0.01	-1%
Big Underdogs	30 (25%)	4	13 %	15.07	-10.00	-0.33	-66%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	10 (8%)	5	50 %	11.57	0.50	0.05	4%
Co-Main Event	11 (9%)	4	36 %	12.74	-2.23	-0.20	-18%
Position 3-5	36 (30%)	13	36 %	36.01	-3.74	-0.10	-10%
6+ (Undercard)	63 (53%)	26	41 %	50.83	3.67	0.06	7%

NOT a Degenerate Gambler: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (5%)	1	17 %	7.68	-3.59	-0.60	-47%
Light Heavy	7 (6%)	4	57 %	6.76	3.77	0.54	56%
Middleweight	14 (12%)	5	36 %	15.94	-1.13	-0.08	-7%
Welterweight	11 (9%)	5	45 %	10.24	-0.26	-0.02	-3%
Lightweight	20 (17%)	7	35 %	18.36	-0.21	-0.01	-1%
Featherweight	20 (17%)	13	65 %	19.16	8.36	0.42	44%
Bantamweight	15 (13%)	3	20 %	13.43	-7.48	-0.50	-56%
Flyweight	11 (9%)	3	27 %	6.25	-2.09	-0.19	-33%

Women's Fights	16 (13%)	7	44 %	13.33	0.82	0.05	6%
Featherweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	1.00	1.25	1.25	125%
Bantamweight	3 (3%)	1	33 %	2.00	0.68	0.23	34%
Flyweight	3 (3%)		0 %	2.12	-2.12	-0.71	-100%
Strawweight	9 (8%)	5	56 %	8.21	1.01	0.11	12%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	99 (65%)	78	79 %
Slight Favorites	35 (23%)	21	60 %
Slight Underdogs	16 (11%)	7	44 %
Big Underdogs	2 (1%)	0	0 %
	152	106	70 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	11 (9%)	5	45 %
50-65%	12 (10%)	3	25 %
35-50%	36 (30%)	13	36 %
<35% chance	61 (51%)	10	16 %
	120	31	26 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	11 (9%)	3	27 %	1.73	2.92	1.17	-2.1 (-19%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	6 (5%)	3	50 %	1.70	2.55	1.41	-0.9 (-15%)
X Wins by KO	3 (3%)	0	0 %	4.59	5.50	4.00	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	5 (4%)	1	20 %	5.55	12.00	4.00	1.5 (30%)
X Wins by Decision	7 (6%)	0	0 %	6.02	12.00	3.50	-7.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	50 (42%)	13	26 %	2.66	6.81	1.70	-11.7 (-23%)
X Wins in Round X	10 (8%)	2	20 %	14.31	32.98	8.47	12.9 (129%)
Others	28 (23%)	9	32 %	3.34	50.99	1.35	9.4 (33%)
	120	31	26 %	2.96			-0.9 (-1%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail NOT a Degenerate Gambler's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
7th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	3.92	-1.9	-48%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$981.35
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	3.3	0.8	25%		$9.81	$981.35	$989.38
21st Oct	UFC 294	4.59	0.6	13%		$9.89	$989.38	$995.25
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	4.1	1.3	31%		$9.95	$995.25	$1,007.83
11th Nov	UFC 295	7.11	-2.5	-35%		$10.08	$1,007.83	$982.95
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	4.65	1.5	33%		$9.83	$982.95	$998.03
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	6.17	-3.5	-57%		$9.98	$998.03	$963.20
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	2.65	-2.7	-100%		$9.63	$963.20	$937.67
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	4	3.5	87%		$9.38	$937.67	$970.37
20th Jan	UFC 297	7.49	0.8	11%		$9.70	$970.37	$978.60
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	7.27	4.1	56%		$9.79	$978.60	$1,018.28
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	11.76	8.3	71%		$10.18	$1,018.28	$1,103.16
17th Feb	UFC 298	9.94	-4.0	-40%		$11.03	$1,103.16	$1,058.76
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	13.67	-2.6	-19%		$10.59	$1,058.76	$1,031.55
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	4.24	0.9	21%		$10.32	$1,031.55	$1,040.74
9th Mar	UFC 299	12.02	7.3	61%		$10.41	$1,040.74	$1,117.21
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	7.55	2.5	32%		$11.17	$1,117.21	$1,144.60
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	16.03	-2.6	-16%		$11.45	$1,144.60	$1,114.36
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	11.94	-3.3	-28%		$11.14	$1,114.36	$1,077.14
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	8.35	0.0	0%		$10.77	$1,077.14	$1,077.15
13th Apr	UFC 300	11.85	-5.5	-46%		$10.77	$1,077.15	$1,018.02

ROI % from starting bank balance: 1.80% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

NOT a Degenerate Gambler: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '24	Max Holloway	Justin Gaethje	2.80	1	TKO, R5 (4:59)
2.	Mar '24	Ibo Aslan	Anton Turkalj	1.80	1.25	TKO, R3 (1:32)
3.	Mar '24	Nate Landwehr	Jamall Emmers	2.60	1	TKO, R1 (4:43)
4.	Mar '24	Chris Weidman	Bruno Silva	3.20	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Mar '24	Jarno Errens	Steven Nguyen	2.47	0.68	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Mar '24	Julian Erosa	Ricardo Ramos	2.50	0.67	Sub, R1 (2:15)
7.	Mar '24	Trey Ogden	Kurt Holobaugh	1.70	1.45	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Mar '24	Rose Namajunas	Amanda Ribas	1.55	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
9.	Mar '24	Rose Namajunas	Amanda Ribas	1.57	1.75	U Decision (5 rounds)
10.	Mar '24	Danny Silva	Joshua Culibao	2.52	0.66	Split Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Mar '24	Jaqueline Amorim	Cory McKenna	2.42	0.71	Sub, R1 (1:38)
12.	Mar '24	Chelsea Chandler	Josiane Nunes	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Mar '24	Christian Rodriguez	Isaac Dulgarian	2.45	0.69	Split Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Mar '24	Christian Rodriguez	Isaac Dulgarian	2.18	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Mar '24	Petr Yan	Yadong Song	1.83	1.2	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Mar '24	Curtis Blaydes	Jailton Junior	1.95	2.1	TKO, R2 (0:36)
17.	Mar '24	Philipe Lins	Ion Cutelaba	2.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Mar '24	Michael Page	Kevin Holland	2.02	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Mar '24	Dustin Poirier	Benoit Saint-Denis	2.55	1	TKO, R2 (2:32)
20.	Mar '24	Loik Radzhabov	Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady	2.37	0.73	TKO, R3 (0:49)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Calvin Kattar	Aljamain Sterling	2.37	0.9	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '24	Cody Garbrandt	Deiveson Figueiredo	3.45	0.41	Sub, R2 (4:2)	No
3.	Apr '24	Jalin Turner	Renato Moicano	1.40	1	TKO, R2 (4:11)	No
4.	Apr '24	Holly Holm	Kayla Harrison	4.35	0.3	Sub, R2 (1:47)	No
5.	Apr '24	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Jessica Andrade	1.95	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Apr '24	Yan Xiaonan	Weili Zhang	3.70	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
7.	Apr '24	Court McGee	Alex Morono	3.45	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Apr '24	Christos Giagos	Ignacio Bahamondes	3.50	1	TKO, R1 (3:34)	No
9.	Apr '24	Dan Argueta	Jean Matsumoto	2.67	0.6	Sub, R2 (4:59)	No
10.	Mar '24	Connor Matthews	Dennis Buzukja	2.07	1	TKO, R3 (0:22)	No
11.	Mar '24	Andre Petroski	Jacob Malkoun	3.00	0.5	TKO, R2 (0:39)	No
12.	Mar '24	Vicente Luque	Joaquin Buckley	1.90	2.5	TKO, R2 (3:17)	No
13.	Mar '24	Mohammed Usman	Michael Parkin	2.15	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Mar '24	Cody Gibson	Miles Johns	2.18	0.85	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Mar '24	Cameron Saaiman	Payton Talbott	2.32	0.4	TKO, R2 (0:21)	No
16.	Mar '24	Billy Quarantillo	Youssef Zalal	1.72	1.4	Sub, R2 (1:50)	No
17.	Apr '24	Cody Garbrandt	Deiveson Figueiredo	3.55	0.4	Sub, R2 (4:2)	No
18.	Apr '24	Calvin Kattar	Aljamain Sterling	2.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Mar '24	AJ Dobson	Edmen Shahbazyan	2.55	0.65	TKO, R1 (4:33)	No
20.	Mar '24	Cameron Saaiman	Payton Talbott	2.12	1.34	TKO, R2 (0:21)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

NOT a Degenerate Gambler: Progress Chart

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