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MMA Handicapper Stats: avitaly User

avitaly User (avitaly99)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	17 (52%)	Right	14 (56%)	Right	1 (25%)	Right	2 (50%)
Wrong	16 (48%)	Wrong	11 (44%)	Wrong	3 (75%)	Wrong	2 (50%)
Avg Odds	1.70	Avg Odds	1.56	Avg Odds	2.76	Avg Odds	2.13
Units Bet	28.5	Units Bet	25.0	Units Bet	2.0	Units Bet	1.5
Avg Bet	0.86	Avg Bet	1.00	Avg Bet	0.50	Avg Bet	0.38
Units Profit	-2.93	Units Profit	-2.63	Units Profit	-1.17	Units Profit	0.87
ROI %	-10%	ROI %	-11%	ROI %	-58%	ROI %	58%

avitaly User: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	6	3.0	51%	1.7 / 5 (34%)		1.4 / 1 (137%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	5	-1.2	-23%	-1.2 / 5 (-23%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	7	0.1	1%	1.3 / 5 (25%)	-1.2 / 2 (-58%)
10th Oct '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 10	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	5.25	-0.7	-14%	-0.5 / 5 (-10%)		-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
3rd Oct '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 9	2.25	-1.2	-52%	-0.9 / 2 (-46%)		-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)

Winning Events: 2 (33%)
Losing Events: 4 (67%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.75 units
Most Staked On One Event: 7.00 units
Best Event: 3.05 units
Worst Event: -3.00 units
Average Event: -0.49 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 3.05
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -4.91

avitaly User: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	28.5	-2.9	-10%	-2.6 / 25 (-11%)		0.9 / 1.5 (58%)	2 / 4 (33%)	-0.49

avitaly User: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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avitaly User: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	23.25	1.2	5%	1.3 / 20 (6%)	-1.2 / 2 (-58%)	1.1 / 1.25 (90%)
Other	5.25	-4.2	-79%	-3.9 / 5 (-78%)		-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)

avitaly User: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	12 (48%)	8	67 %	12.00	-1.67	-0.14	-14%
Slight Favorites	9 (36%)	4	44 %	9.00	-1.86	-0.21	-21%
Slight Underdogs	3 (12%)	2	67 %	3.00	1.90	0.63	63%
Big Underdogs	1 (4%)	0	0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	5 (20%)	2	40 %	5.00	-1.35	-0.27	-27%
Co-Main Event	2 (8%)	1	50 %	2.00	-0.73	-0.37	-37%
Position 3-5	9 (36%)	5	56 %	9.00	-1.77	-0.20	-20%
6+ (Undercard)	9 (36%)	6	67 %	9.00	1.23	0.14	14%

avitaly User: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.25	0.25	25%
Light Heavy	2 (8%)	1	50 %	2.00	-0.91	-0.46	-46%
Middleweight	2 (8%)	2	100 %	2.00	0.66	0.33	33%
Welterweight	2 (8%)	1	50 %	2.00	-0.04	-0.02	-2%
Lightweight	3 (12%)	1	33 %	3.00	-1.75	-0.58	-58%
Featherweight	5 (20%)	3	60 %	5.00	1.88	0.38	38%
Bantamweight	7 (28%)	2	29 %	7.00	-4.08	-0.58	-58%

Women's Fights	3 (12%)	3	100 %	3.00	1.36	0.45	45%
Bantamweight	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.64	0.64	64%
Strawweight	2 (8%)	2	100 %	2.00	0.72	0.36	36%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	9 (90%)	7	78 %
Slight Favorites	1 (10%)	1	100 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	10	8	80 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	1 (25%)	1	100 %
35-50%	1 (25%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	2 (50%)	0	0 %
	4	1	25 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by KO	3 (75%)	0	0 %	3.53	5.50	2.85	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (25%)	1	100 %	1.67	1.67	1.67	0.7 (67%)
	4	1	25 %	2.76			-2.3 (-58%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail avitaly User's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
3rd Oct	Contender Series 2023: Week 9	2.25	-1.2	-52%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$988.37
7th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	5.25	-0.7	-14%		$9.88	$988.37	$980.96
10th Oct	Contender Series 2023: Week 10	3	-3.0	-100%		$9.81	$980.96	$951.53
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	7	0.1	1%		$9.52	$951.53	$952.42
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	5	-1.2	-23%		$9.52	$952.42	$941.41
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	6	3.0	51%		$9.41	$941.41	$970.12

ROI % from starting bank balance: -2.99% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

avitaly User: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Nov '23	Ailin Perez	Lucie Pudilova	1.64	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Nov '23	Jose Johnson	Chad Anheliger	1.56	1	Sub, R3 (4:49)
3.	Nov '23	Myktybek Orolbai	Uros Medic	1.96	1	Sub, R2 (4:12)
4.	Nov '23	Amanda Ribas	Luana Pinheiro	1.52	1	TKO, R3 (3:53)
5.	Nov '23	Eduarda Moura	Montserrat Ruiz	1.20	1	TKO, R2 (2:14)
6.	Nov '23	Caio Borralho	Abusupiyan Magomedov	1.39	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Nov '23	Jailton Junior	Derrick Lewis	1.25	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
8.	Oct '23	Chris Gutierrez	Heili Alateng	1.36	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Oct '23	Darren Elkins	T.J. Brown	2.50	1	Sub, R3 (2:23)
10.	Oct '23	Edson Barboza	Sodiq Yusuff	2.40	1	U Decision (5 rounds)
11.	Oct '23	Bill Algeo	Alexander Hernandez	1.98	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Oct '23	Drew Dober	Rick Glenn	1.25	1	TKO, R1 (2:36)
13.	Oct '23	Joe Pyfer	Abdul Razak Alhassan	1.27	1	Sub, R2 (2:5)
14.	Oct '23	Magomed Gadzhiyasulov	Jose Daniel Medina	1.09	1	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Nov '23	Jonathan Pearce	Joanderson Brito	1.85	1	Sub, R2 (3:54)	No
2.	Nov '23	Kaynan Kruschewsky	Elves Brenner	2.94	1	TKO, R1 (4:1)	No
3.	Nov '23	Gabriel Bonfim	Nicolas Dalby	1.22	1	TKO, R2 (4:33)	No
4.	Oct '23	Cameron Saaiman	Christian Rodriguez	2.24	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Oct '23	Adrian Yanez	Jonathan Martinez	1.91	1	TKO, R2 (2:26)	No
6.	Oct '23	Cortavious Romious	Ramon Taveras	1.41	1	TKO, R1 (0:29)	No
7.	Oct '23	Jair Farias	Connor Matthews	1.54	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Oct '23	Davi Costa	Lucas Rocha	1.77	1	TKO, R2 (0:18)	No
9.	Oct '23	Johnny Munoz	Qileng Aori	1.91	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Oct '23	Grant Dawson	Bobby Green	1.20	1	TKO, R1 (0:33)	No
11.	Oct '23	Murtaza Talha Ali	Rodolfo Bellato	1.34	1	TKO, R2 (4:46)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

avitaly User: Progress Chart

Chart

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