MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: TOP NOTCH SPORTS

TOP NOTCH SPORTS (TopNotchSports)

MMA MHandicapper - TOP NOTCH SPORTS

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	13 (54%)	Right	13 (68%)	Right	0 (0%)	Right	0 (0%)
Wrong	11 (46%)	Wrong	6 (32%)	Wrong	3 (100%)	Wrong	2 (100%)
Avg Odds	1.74	Avg Odds	1.59	Avg Odds	1.95	Avg Odds	6.33
Units Bet	70.3	Units Bet	62.6	Units Bet	4.9	Units Bet	2.8
Avg Bet	2.93	Avg Bet	3.29	Avg Bet	1.62	Avg Bet	1.40
Units Profit	-5.09	Units Profit	2.56	Units Profit	-4.85	Units Profit	-2.80
ROI %	-7%	ROI %	4%	ROI %	-100%	ROI %	-100%

TOP NOTCH SPORTS: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	7.55	1.0	13%	2.5 / 6 (42%)		-1.6 / 1.55 (-100%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	22.15	-0.5	-2%	-0.5 / 22.15 (-2%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	20.25	0.5	2%	1.7 / 19 (9%)		-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	9.2	-3.0	-32%	-0.1 / 6.35 (-2%)	-2.9 / 2.85 (-100%)
3rd Oct '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 9	11.1	-3.1	-28%	-1.1 / 9.1 (-12%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Winning Events: 2 (40%)
Losing Events: 3 (60%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.05 units
Most Staked On One Event: 22.15 units
Best Event: 0.95 units
Worst Event: -3.10 units
Average Event: -1.02 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 0.95
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -6.05

TOP NOTCH SPORTS: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	70.25	-5.1	-7%	2.6 / 62.6 (4%)		-2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)	2 / 3 (40%)	-1.02

TOP NOTCH SPORTS: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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TOP NOTCH SPORTS: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	59.15	-2.0	-3%	3.7 / 53.5 (7%)	-2.9 / 2.85 (-100%)	-2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)
Other	11.1	-3.1	-28%	-1.1 / 9.1 (-12%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)

TOP NOTCH SPORTS: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	11 (58%)	7	64 %	48.10	-7.85	-0.71	-16%
Slight Favorites	2 (11%)	2	100 %	5.60	4.00	2.00	71%
Slight Underdogs	4 (21%)	3	75 %	6.90	5.01	1.25	73%
Big Underdogs	2 (11%)	1	50 %	2.00	1.40	0.70	70%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	4 (21%)	3	75 %	10.00	4.99	1.25	50%
Co-Main Event	4 (21%)	3	75 %	17.60	-2.19	-0.55	-12%
Position 3-5	6 (32%)	3	50 %	17.45	-4.29	-0.72	-25%
6+ (Undercard)	5 (26%)	4	80 %	17.55	4.05	0.81	23%

TOP NOTCH SPORTS: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (5%)	1	100 %	6.00	1.09	1.09	18%
Light Heavy	3 (16%)	3	100 %	8.00	6.98	2.33	87%
Middleweight	3 (16%)	3	100 %	11.60	3.31	1.10	29%
Welterweight	3 (16%)		0 %	13.35	-13.35	-4.45	-100%
Lightweight	3 (16%)	1	33 %	7.00	-2.00	-0.67	-29%
Featherweight	1 (5%)	1	100 %	2.00	2.00	2.00	100%
Bantamweight	2 (11%)	2	100 %	6.10	3.56	1.78	58%
Flyweight	1 (5%)	1	100 %	5.00	1.11	1.11	22%

Women's Fights	2 (11%)	1	50 %	3.55	-0.14	-0.07	-4%
Strawweight	2 (11%)	1	50 %	3.55	-0.14	-0.07	-4%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	7 (70%)	4	57 %
Slight Favorites	2 (20%)	2	100 %
Slight Underdogs	1 (10%)	1	100 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	10	7	70 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (33%)	0	0 %
50-65%	1 (33%)	0	0 %
35-50%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	1 (33%)	0	0 %
	3	0	0 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (33%)	0	0 %	1.80	1.80	1.80	-1.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (33%)	0	0 %	1.50	1.50	1.50	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (33%)	0	0 %	3.15	3.15	3.15	-1.0 (-100%)
	3	0	0 %	1.95			-3.0 (-100%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail TOP NOTCH SPORTS's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
3rd Oct	Contender Series 2023: Week 9	11.1	-3.1	-28%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$969.00
7th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	9.2	-3.0	-32%		$9.69	$969.00	$940.41
21st Oct	UFC 294	20.25	0.5	2%		$9.40	$940.41	$944.90
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	22.15	-0.5	-2%		$9.45	$944.90	$940.50
11th Nov	UFC 295	7.55	1.0	13%		$9.41	$940.50	$949.44

ROI % from starting bank balance: -5.06% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

TOP NOTCH SPORTS: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Nov '23	Diego Lopes	Pat Sabatini	2.00	2	TKO, R1 (1:30)
2.	Nov '23	Alex Pereira	Jiri Prochazka	2.25	2	TKO, R2 (4:8)
3.	Nov '23	Angela Hill	Denise Gomes	2.20	1.55	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Nov '23	Vitor Petrino	Modestas Bukauskas	1.42	5	TKO, R2 (1:3)
5.	Nov '23	Caio Borralho	Abusupiyan Magomedov	1.32	3.1	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Nov '23	Jailton Junior	Derrick Lewis	1.18	6	U Decision (5 rounds)
7.	Oct '23	Khamzat Chimaev	Kamaru Usman	1.30	3.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Oct '23	Said Nurmagomedov	Muin Gafurov	1.44	3.5	Sub, R1 (1:13)
9.	Oct '23	Muhammad Mokaev	Tim Elliott	1.22	5	Sub, R3 (3:3)
10.	Oct '23	Trevor Peek	Mohammad Yahya	1.67	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Oct '23	Joe Pyfer	Abdul Razak Alhassan	1.25	5	Sub, R2 (2:5)
12.	Oct '23	Victor Hugo Silva	Eduardo Matias Torres	1.77	2.6	Sub, R2 (2:16)
13.	Oct '23	Rodolfo Bellato	Murtaza Talha Ali	3.40	1	TKO, R2 (4:46)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Nov '23	Mackenzie Dern	Jessica Andrade	1.50	2	TKO, R2 (3:15)	No
2.	Nov '23	Gabriel Bonfim	Nicolas Dalby	1.16	6.5	TKO, R2 (4:33)	No
3.	Oct '23	Anshul Jubli	Mike Breeden	1.36	3	TKO, R3 (3:0)	No
4.	Oct '23	Alex Volkanovski	Islam Makhachev	3.10	1	TKO, R1 (3:6)	No
5.	Oct '23	Alex Morono	Joaquin Buckley	2.45	1.35	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Oct '23	Raimond Magomedaliev	Mauricio Ruffy	1.38	5.5	TKO, R3 (4:45)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

TOP NOTCH SPORTS: Progress Chart

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