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MMA Handicapper Stats: C Note

C Note (BetOnRedPicks)


MMA MHandicapper - C Note

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 28 (33%) Right 9 (36%) Right 12 (36%) Right 7 (25%)
Wrong 58 (67%) Wrong 16 (64%) Wrong 21 (64%) Wrong 21 (75%)
Avg Odds 2.84 Avg Odds 2.16 Avg Odds 2.99 Avg Odds 3.65
Units Bet 51.3 Units Bet 22.1 Units Bet 14.4 Units Bet 14.9
Avg Bet 0.60 Avg Bet 0.88 Avg Bet 0.43 Avg Bet 0.53
Units Profit -1.74 Units Profit -3.22 Units Profit 2.71 Units Profit -1.22
ROI % -3% ROI % -15% ROI % 19% ROI % -8%
View Handicapper's Profile

C Note: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 2 1.4 69% 1.4 / 2 (69%)
21st Oct '23 UFC 294 4.55 1.4 31% -0.0 / 1.8 (-3%) 0.3 / 1.65 (20%) 1.2 / 1.1 (105%)
14th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 7.65 -5.7 -75% -3.3 / 5.25 (-64%) -1.2 / 1.15 (-100%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
7th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 7.15 -6.7 -93% -2.8 / 2.75 (-100%) -1.9 / 2.4 (-79%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
30th Sep '23 PFL Europe 3: 2023 Playoffs 4 0.8 20% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 1.8 / 3 (60%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
29th Sep '23 Cage Warriors 160 4.5 4.1 92% 1.3 / 1.5 (87%) 3.3 / 2.5 (133%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
26th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 8 2.8 0.4 13% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 0.9 / 2.3 (38%)
23rd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 7.7 -3.7 -49% -1.4 / 3.25 (-44%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%) -1.1 / 3.2 (-33%)
16th Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 6.7 2.6 39% 0.9 / 2.5 (35%) 0.3 / 0.5 (63%) 1.4 / 3.7 (39%)
9th Sep '23 UFC 293 5.85 3.7 63% 1.8 / 2 (91%) 0.4 / 1.25 (29%) 1.5 / 2.6 (57%)


Winning Events: 7 (70%)
Losing Events: 3 (30%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.29 units
Most Staked On One Event: 7.70 units
Best Event: 4.14 units
Worst Event: -6.65 units
Average Event: -0.17 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 6.28
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -12.39

C Note: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2023 52.9 -1.7 -3% -3.2 / 22.05 (-15%) -1.2 / 14.85 (-8%) 7 / 3 (70%) -0.17

C Note: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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C Note: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 41.6 -7.0 -17% -3.5 / 19.55 (-18%) -3.3 / 8.2 (-40%) -0.2 / 13.85 (-2%)
PFL 4 0.8 20% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 1.8 / 3 (60%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
Other 7.3 4.5 62% 0.8 / 2 (40%) 4.2 / 4.8 (88%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)

C Note: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (4%) 1 100 % 1.25 0.66 0.66 53%
Slight Favorites 11 (44%) 4 36 % 12.75 -2.29 -0.21 -18%
Slight Underdogs 7 (28%) 2 29 % 5.00 -1.82 -0.26 -36%
Big Underdogs 6 (24%) 2 33 % 3.05 0.23 0.04 8%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 6 (24%) 2 33 % 7.00 -0.82 -0.14 -12%
Co-Main Event 2 (8%) 0 0 % 2.50 -2.50 -1.25 -100%
Position 3-5 5 (20%) 3 60 % 4.75 1.13 0.23 24%
6+ (Undercard) 12 (48%) 4 33 % 7.80 -1.03 -0.09 -13%

C Note: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Light Heavy 2 (8%) 2 100 % 3.25 2.57 1.28 79%
Middleweight 2 (8%) 1 50 % 1.55 0.36 0.18 23%
Welterweight 6 (24%) 1 17 % 3.75 -1.94 -0.32 -52%
Lightweight 2 (8%) 0 % 2.50 -2.50 -1.25 -100%
Featherweight 4 (16%) 4 100 % 3.00 4.46 1.11 149%
Bantamweight 4 (16%) 0 % 3.50 -3.50 -0.88 -100%
Flyweight 1 (4%) 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -1.50 -100%
               
Women's Fights 4 (16%) 1 25 % 3.00 -1.17 -0.29 -39%
Bantamweight 1 (4%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Flyweight 2 (8%) 1 50 % 1.50 0.33 0.17 22%
Strawweight 1 (4%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 58 (59%) 43 74 %
Slight Favorites 18 (18%) 10 56 %
Slight Underdogs 10 (10%) 5 50 %
Big Underdogs 12 (12%) 3 25 %
98 61 62 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 5 (11%) 2 40 %
50-65% 3 (7%) 2 67 %
35-50% 18 (39%) 8 44 %
<35% chance 20 (43%) 3 15 %
46 15 33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (13%) 2 33 % 1.61 2.60Pick was incorrect 1.29Pick was incorrect -3.1 (-51%)
X Wins by KO 8 (17%) 2 25 % 3.07 8.50Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was correct -4.0 (-50%)
X Wins by Sub 5 (11%) 3 60 % 2.87 6.75Pick was incorrect 2.30Pick was incorrect 2.9 (57%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (4%) 1 50 % 2.55 2.85Pick was correct 2.30Pick was incorrect 0.8 (42%)
X Wins Inside Distance 4 (9%) 0 0 % 2.63 3.50Pick was incorrect 2.15Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-75%)
X Wins in Round X 8 (17%) 4 50 % 3.69 10.00Pick was incorrect 2.15Pick was correct 3.5 (44%)
Others 13 (28%) 3 23 % 2.71 19.00Pick was incorrect 1.48Pick was incorrect -3.4 (-26%)
46 15 33 % 2.65     -6.2 (-14%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail C Note's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
9th Sep UFC 293 5.85 3.7 63% $10 $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,026.61
16th Sep UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 6.7 2.6 39% $10 $10.27 $1,026.61 $1,043.52
23rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 7.7 -3.7 -49% $10 $10.44 $1,043.52 $994.46
26th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 8 2.8 0.4 13% $9.94 $994.46 $998.16
29th Sep Cage Warriors 160 4.5 4.1 92% $10 $9.98 $998.16 $1,029.47
30th Sep PFL Europe 3: 2023 Playoffs 4 0.8 20% $10 $10.29 $1,029.47 $1,027.71
7th Oct UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 7.15 -6.7 -93% $10 $10.28 $1,027.71 $949.37
14th Oct UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 7.65 -5.7 -75% $10 $9.49 $949.37 $884.85
21st Oct UFC 294 4.55 1.4 31% $10 $8.85 $884.85 $887.47
11th Nov UFC 295 2 1.4 69% $10 $8.87 $887.47 $889.71


ROI % from starting bank balance: -11.03% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

C Note: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Oct '23 Paid Pick Muhammadjon Naimov Nathaniel Wood 3.50 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '23 Paid Pick Michel Pereira Andre Petroski 1.53 1.25 TKO, R1 (1:6) MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '23 Paid Pick James Hendin Tobias Harila 1.87 1.5 TKO, R3 (0:28) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '23 Paid Pick Alex Pereira Jiri Prochazka 1.69 2 TKO, R2 (4:8) MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '23 Tim Means Andre Fialho 2.41 0.75 TKO, R3 (1:15) MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '23 Paid Pick Kyle Nelson Fernando Padilla 3.06 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '23 Paid Pick Tracy Cortez Jasmine Jasudavicius 1.83 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '23 Tyson Pedro Anton Turkalj 1.95 1.25 TKO, R1 (2:12) MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '23 Jose Mariscal Jack Jenkins 2.75 0.5 TKO, R2 (3:19) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Oct '23 Paid Pick Abu Azaitar Sedriques Dumas 3.10 0.3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '23 Paid Pick Alex Volkanovski Islam Makhachev 3.05 1 TKO, R1 (3:6) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '23 Paid Pick Heili Alateng Chris Gutierrez 3.25 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '23 Paid Pick Irina Alekseeva Melissa Dixon 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Oct '23 Paid Pick Adrian Yanez Jonathan Martinez 1.95 1 TKO, R2 (2:26) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '23 Paid Pick Jennifer Maia Viviane Araujo 1.67 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '23 Paid Pick Diana Belbita Karolina Kowalkiewicz 2.30 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '23 Paid Pick Johnny Munoz Qileng Aori 1.87 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '23 Paid Pick Montana De La Rosa J.J. Aldrich 1.68 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '23 Paid Pick Alex Morono Joaquin Buckley 2.50 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '23 Jordan Zebo Cedric Doumbe 2.55 0.5 TKO, R0 (0:9) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '23 Raheam Forest Danny Barlow 1.91 0.5 TKO, R1 (1:19) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '23 Paid Pick Dan Argueta Miles Johns 1.58 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '23 Paid Pick Rafael Fiziev Mateusz Gamrot 1.66 1.5 TKO, R2 (2:3) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '23 Paid Pick Kevin Holland Jack Della Maddalena 2.25 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '23 Mike Mathetha Charlie Radtke 3.50 0.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

C Note: Progress Chart

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