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Total MMA Handicappers: 6567
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2438

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Donz _

Donz _ (donz)


MMA MHandicapper - Donz _

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 25 (28%) Right 4 (33%) Right 10 (25%) Right 11 (30%)
Wrong 64 (72%) Wrong 8 (67%) Wrong 30 (75%) Wrong 26 (70%)
Avg Odds 3.96 Avg Odds 2.42 Avg Odds 3.71 Avg Odds 5.50
Units Bet 115.5 Units Bet 15.8 Units Bet 36.5 Units Bet 63.3
Avg Bet 1.30 Avg Bet 1.31 Avg Bet 0.91 Avg Bet 1.71
Units Profit 17.25 Units Profit -6.05 Units Profit 1.34 Units Profit 21.96
ROI % 15% ROI % -38% ROI % 4% ROI % 35%
View Handicapper's Profile

Donz _: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 8.5 -2.9 -34% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%) 0.3 / 5.25 (7%)
4th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 12.75 -2.2 -18% 0.1 / 1 (13%) -3.5 / 5.75 (-61%) 1.1 / 6 (19%)
21st Oct '23 UFC 294 12.25 -5.4 -44% -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%) -3.3 / 5.75 (-57%) -1.4 / 5.75 (-25%)
10th Oct '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 10 10 4.5 45% 1.6 / 1 (165%) 5.1 / 6.75 (75%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
3rd Oct '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 9 7.5 -0.2 -3% 4.3 / 3 (144%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
26th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 8 14 -14.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -5.5 / 5.5 (-100%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
23rd Sep '23 Bellator 299 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
19th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 7 12 7.2 60% 4.4 / 6 (73%) 2.8 / 6 (47%)
16th Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 13 -1.4 -11% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -2.5 / 3.5 (-71%) 3.1 / 7.5 (42%)
12th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 6 11.25 32.2 287% 0.4 / 2.5 (17%) 4.1 / 2 (205%) 27.7 / 6.75 (411%)
9th Sep '23 UFC 293 11.25 6.0 53% -1.0 / 4 (-25%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 8.0 / 6.25 (128%)
5th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 5 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)


Winning Events: 4 (33%)
Losing Events: 8 (67%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.92 units
Most Staked On One Event: 14.00 units
Best Event: 32.25 units
Worst Event: -14.00 units
Average Event: 1.44 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 38.26
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -15.69

Donz _: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2023 119 17.2 14% -6.0 / 15.75 (-38%) 22.0 / 63.25 (35%) 4 / 8 (33%) 1.44

Donz _: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Donz _: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 57.75 -5.9 -10% -6.1 / 10.25 (-60%) -11.0 / 16.75 (-66%) 11.2 / 30.75 (36%)
Bellator 1.5 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
Other 59.75 24.7 41% 0.1 / 5.5 (1%) 12.3 / 23.25 (53%) 12.3 / 31 (40%)

Donz _: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
Slight Favorites 1 (8%) 1 100 % 1.50 1.43 1.43 95%
Slight Underdogs 8 (67%) 3 38 % 10.50 -3.72 -0.47 -35%
Big Underdogs 3 (25%) 0 0 % 3.75 -3.75 -1.25 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 1 (8%) 0 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Co-Main Event 1 (8%) 0 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Position 3-5 4 (33%) 2 50 % 7.00 -1.43 -0.36 -20%
6+ (Undercard) 6 (50%) 2 33 % 5.75 -1.62 -0.27 -28%

Donz _: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (8%) 0 % 2.50 -2.50 -2.50 -100%
Light Heavy 1 (8%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%
Middleweight 1 (8%) 0 % 0.75 -0.75 -0.75 -100%
Welterweight 1 (8%) 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Lightweight 1 (8%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Featherweight 3 (25%) 2 67 % 4.50 1.15 0.38 26%
Bantamweight 2 (17%) 1 50 % 2.50 0.43 0.21 17%
               
Women's Fights 2 (17%) 1 50 % 2.00 -0.87 -0.44 -44%
Strawweight 2 (17%) 1 50 % 2.00 -0.87 -0.44 -44%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 39 (64%) 25 64 %
Slight Favorites 9 (15%) 1 11 %
Slight Underdogs 11 (18%) 3 27 %
Big Underdogs 2 (3%) 0 0 %
61 29 48 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 17 (16%) 9 53 %
50-65% 13 (12%) 6 46 %
35-50% 29 (27%) 11 38 %
<35% chance 50 (46%) 12 24 %
109 38 35 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (5%) 4 80 % 2.47 4.00Pick was correct 1.61Pick was incorrect 8.1 (161%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 6 (6%) 1 17 % 1.78 6.00Pick was incorrect 1.50Pick was incorrect -2.5 (-42%)
X Wins by KO 20 (18%) 8 40 % 2.41 4.50Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was correct -4.7 (-23%)
X Wins by Sub 20 (18%) 6 30 % 3.30 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.57Pick was incorrect 12.8 (64%)
X Wins by Decision 8 (7%) 3 38 % 2.35 4.75Pick was correct 1.73Pick was incorrect 2.9 (36%)
X Wins Inside Distance 9 (8%) 2 22 % 2.45 5.00Pick was incorrect 1.30Pick was incorrect -4.3 (-48%)
X Wins in Round X 5 (5%) 0 0 % 6.71 19.00Pick was incorrect 3.20Pick was incorrect -5.0 (-100%)
Others 36 (33%) 14 39 % 2.30 23.00Pick was incorrect 1.25Pick was incorrect -8.2 (-23%)
109 38 35 % 2.52     -0.9 (-1%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Donz _'s bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
5th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 5 5 -5.0 -100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $950.00
9th Sep UFC 293 11.25 6.0 53% $9.50 $950.00 $1,007.09
12th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 6 11.25 32.2 287% $10.07 $1,007.09 $1,331.86
16th Sep UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 13 -1.4 -11% $13.32 $1,331.86 $1,313.45
19th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 7 12 7.2 60% $13.13 $1,313.45 $1,407.53
23rd Sep Bellator 299 1.5 -1.5 -100% $14.08 $1,407.53 $1,386.41
26th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 8 14 -14.0 -100% $13.86 $1,386.41 $1,192.32
3rd Oct Contender Series 2023: Week 9 7.5 -0.2 -3% $11.92 $1,192.32 $1,190.08
10th Oct Contender Series 2023: Week 10 10 4.5 45% $11.90 $1,190.08 $1,243.34
21st Oct UFC 294 12.25 -5.4 -44% $12.43 $1,243.34 $1,175.82
4th Nov UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 12.75 -2.2 -18% $11.76 $1,175.82 $1,149.40
11th Nov UFC 295 8.5 -2.9 -34% $11.49 $1,149.40 $1,116.07


ROI % from starting bank balance: 11.61% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Donz _: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Nov '23 Angela Hill Denise Gomes 2.25 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '23 Connor Matthews Jair Farias 2.65 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '23 Jean Matsumoto Kasey Tanner 1.95 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '23 Gabriel Miranda Shane Young 2.00 1.5 Sub, R1 (0:59) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Nov '23 Kyung Ho Kang John Castaneda 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '23 Tabatha Ricci Lupita Godinez 2.40 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '23 Modestas Bukauskas Vitor Petrino 3.00 0.5 TKO, R2 (1:3) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Oct '23 Bruno Silva Sharabutdin Magomedov 3.40 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '23 Angel Pacheco Danny Silva 2.70 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '23 Kevin Holland Jack Della Maddalena 2.25 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '23 Malik Lewis James Llontop 2.45 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '23 Austen Lane Justin Tafa 2.88 2.5 TKO, R1 (1:22) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Donz _: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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