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MMA Handicapper Stats: Villa Picks

Villa Picks (VillaPicks)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Villa Picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 10 (48%) Right 5 (83%) Right 3 (25%) Right 2 (67%)
Wrong 11 (52%) Wrong 1 (17%) Wrong 9 (75%) Wrong 1 (33%)
Avg Odds 4.53 Avg Odds 2.40 Avg Odds 14.37 Avg Odds 2.31
Units Bet 13.2 Units Bet 8.5 Units Bet 3.2 Units Bet 1.5
Avg Bet 0.63 Avg Bet 1.42 Avg Bet 0.26 Avg Bet 0.50
Units Profit 14.12 Units Profit 2.46 Units Profit 11.10 Units Profit 0.56
ROI % 107% ROI % 29% ROI % 352% ROI % 37%
View Handicapper's Profile

Villa Picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
2nd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 2.5 1.8 71% 1.2 / 1 (122%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 1.1 / 1 (106%)
7th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 1.25 4.8 384% 3.3 / 1 (330%) 1.5 / 0.25 (600%)
26th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 8 1.9 0.0 2% 0.9 / 1 (94%) -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
23rd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 2 10.5 525% 10.5 / 2 (525%)
19th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 7 1.5 1.0 67% 1.0 / 1.5 (67%)


Winning Events: 5 (83%)
Losing Events: 1 (17%)

Average Staked Per Event: 2.19 units
Most Staked On One Event: 4.00 units
Best Event: 10.50 units
Worst Event: -4.00 units
Average Event: 2.35 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 18.12
Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -4.00

Villa Picks: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 6.5 -2.2 -34% -2.8 / 5 (-56%) 1.1 / 1 (106%) 1 / 1 (50%) -1.11
2023 6.65 16.3 246% 5.2 / 3.5 (150%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 4 / (100%) 4.09

Villa Picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Villa Picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 9.75 13.1 134% 0.5 / 6 (9%) 11.5 / 2.75 (418%) 1.1 / 1 (106%)
Other 3.4 1.0 31% 1.9 / 2.5 (78%) -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)

Villa Picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
Slight Favorites 2 (33%) 2 100 % 2.50 1.94 0.97 78%
Slight Underdogs 2 (33%) 1 50 % 5.00 -2.78 -1.39 -56%
Big Underdogs 2 (33%) 2 100 % 1.00 3.30 1.65 330%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 3 (50%) 3 100 % 2.50 4.06 1.35 163%
Co-Main Event 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
Position 3-5 2 (33%) 1 50 % 5.50 -3.00 -1.50 -55%
6+ (Undercard) 1 (17%) 1 100 % 0.50 1.40 1.40 280%

Villa Picks: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (17%) 1 100 % 1.00 1.22 1.22 122%
Welterweight 2 (33%) 1 50 % 5.00 -3.06 -1.53 -61%
Lightweight 2 (33%) 2 100 % 2.00 2.90 1.45 145%
               
Women's Fights 1 (17%) 1 100 % 0.50 1.40 1.40 280%
Strawweight 1 (17%) 1 100 % 0.50 1.40 1.40 280%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 3 (75%) 3 100 %
Slight Favorites 1 (25%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
4 3 75 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 4 (25%) 4 100 %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
35-50% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
<35% chance 12 (75%) 3 25 %
16 7 44 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by KO 1 (6%) 1 100 % 7.00 7.00Pick was correct 7.00Pick was correct 6.0 (600%)
Others 15 (94%) 6 40 % 4.19 48.01Pick was incorrect 1.29Pick was correct 40.6 (270%)
16 7 44 % 4.30     46.6 (291%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Villa Picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
19th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 7 1.5 1.0 67% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,010.00
23rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 2 10.5 525% $10.10 $1,010.00 $1,116.05
26th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 8 1.9 0.0 2% $11.16 $1,116.05 $1,116.53
7th Oct UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 1.25 4.8 384% $11.17 $1,116.53 $1,170.13
2nd Mar UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 2.5 1.8 71% $11.70 $1,170.13 $1,190.91
9th Mar UFC 299 4 -4.0 -100% $11.91 $1,190.91 $1,143.27


ROI % from starting bank balance: 14.33% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Villa Picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '24 Jairzinho Rozenstruik Shamil Gaziev 2.22 1 TKO, R4 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
2. Oct '23 Vanessa Demopoulos Kanako Murata 3.80 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Oct '23 Bobby Green Grant Dawson 4.80 0.5 TKO, R1 (0:33) MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '23 Danny Barlow Raheam Forest 1.94 1 TKO, R1 (1:19) MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '23 Kaynan Kruschewsky Dylan Mantello 1.67 1.5 Sub, R1 (2:52) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '24 Gilbert Burns Jack Della Maddalena 2.14 4 TKO, R3 (3:43) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Villa Picks: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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