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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6828
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2484

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats:

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 85 (27%) Right 25 (43%) Right 44 (20%) Right 16 (41%)
Wrong 231 (73%) Wrong 33 (57%) Wrong 175 (80%) Wrong 23 (59%)
Avg Odds 3.86 Avg Odds 2.48 Avg Odds 4.97 Avg Odds 2.70
Units Bet 483.0 Units Bet 152.7 Units Bet 245.1 Units Bet 85.2
Avg Bet 1.53 Avg Bet 2.63 Avg Bet 1.12 Avg Bet 2.18
Units Profit 60.73 Units Profit 19.02 Units Profit 43.99 Units Profit -2.27
ROI % 13% ROI % 12% ROI % 18% ROI % -3%
View Handicapper's Profile

: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 34.77 -29.4 -84% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -16.9 / 22.28 (-76%) -9.5 / 9.49 (-100%)
7th Mar '24 PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season 10 2.2 22% 2.2 / 10 (22%)
2nd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 43.5 5.2 12% 9.2 / 23.75 (39%) -0.7 / 8 (-9%) -3.3 / 11.75 (-28%)
24th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 24.75 -10.4 -42% -2.7 / 5.25 (-52%) -7.6 / 19.5 (-39%)
24th Feb '24 PFL vs. Bellator: Champs 8.25 13.0 157% -0.9 / 3.75 (-24%) 13.9 / 4.5 (308%)
17th Feb '24 UFC 298 25.55 11.5 45% 3.1 / 12 (26%) 10.6 / 11.3 (94%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
10th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 23.26 15.8 68% 4.7 / 2.25 (210%) 6.7 / 18.76 (36%) 4.3 / 2.25 (192%)
3rd Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 24.75 20.9 85% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) 24.7 / 21 (118%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
20th Jan '24 UFC 297 24.76 34.8 141% 6.2 / 12 (51%) 30.9 / 10.51 (294%) -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)
13th Jan '24 UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 20.25 -0.6 -3% 3.4 / 6 (56%) -2.4 / 12.75 (-19%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
16th Dec '23 UFC 296 30.13 9.5 32% 8.5 / 6.75 (126%) -7.3 / 18.13 (-40%) 8.3 / 5.25 (158%)
9th Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez 24.8 -6.4 -26% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -0.4 / 18.8 (-2%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
2nd Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 24.75 -15.8 -64% -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%) -10.5 / 19.5 (-54%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
18th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 24.75 5.0 20% -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) 6.3 / 14.25 (44%) 3.2 / 6 (53%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 27.4 -15.9 -58% -11.8 / 23.25 (-51%) -4.2 / 4.15 (-100%)
4th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 17.55 -7.7 -44% -7.9 / 13.55 (-58%) 0.2 / 4 (6%)
21st Oct '23 UFC 294 21.7 11.3 52% 2.5 / 5 (50%) 7.5 / 8 (93%) 1.3 / 8.7 (15%)
14th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 17.05 -1.6 -9% 2.8 / 8.15 (35%) -1.9 / 1.9 (-100%) -2.5 / 7 (-36%)
7th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 3 2.1 70% 2.1 / 3 (70%)
23rd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 16.25 5.1 31% 4.4 / 6 (73%) -0.9 / 8.25 (-11%) 1.6 / 2 (81%)
23rd Sep '23 Bellator 299 1.25 -1.3 -100% -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
16th Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 9 11.5 127% 1.4 / 2 (68%) 5.3 / 3 (178%) 4.8 / 4 (119%)
9th Sep '23 UFC 293 11 -0.9 -8% -1.4 / 3.75 (-36%) -2.0 / 4.5 (-44%) 2.5 / 2.75 (89%)
2nd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 17.5 2.6 15% 0.2 / 10 (2%) 0.8 / 5.5 (14%) 1.7 / 2 (84%)


Winning Events: 14 (58%)
Losing Events: 10 (42%)

Average Staked Per Event: 20.25 units
Most Staked On One Event: 43.50 units
Best Event: 34.79 units
Worst Event: -29.37 units
Average Event: 2.53 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 95.99
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -29.37

: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 239.84 63.0 26% 20.6 / 79.5 (26%) -16.7 / 31.74 (-53%) 7 / 3 (70%) 6.30
2023 246.13 -2.3 -1% -1.6 / 73.15 (-2%) 14.4 / 53.45 (27%) 7 / 7 (50%) -0.17

: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 466.47 46.9 10% 17.8 / 138.9 (13%) 30.1 / 243.63 (12%) -1.0 / 83.94 (-1%)
Bellator 1.25 -1.3 -100% -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
PFL 18.25 15.1 83% 1.3 / 13.75 (9%) 13.9 / 4.5 (308%)

: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 5 (8%) 4 80 % 30.65 9.83 1.97 32%
Slight Favorites 10 (16%) 9 90 % 27.50 15.10 1.51 55%
Slight Underdogs 23 (38%) 10 43 % 55.50 12.27 0.53 22%
Big Underdogs 23 (38%) 4 17 % 39.00 -18.19 -0.79 -47%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 10 (16%) 6 60 % 31.25 12.16 1.22 39%
Co-Main Event 6 (10%) 2 33 % 12.00 -1.76 -0.29 -15%
Position 3-5 27 (44%) 12 44 % 75.90 8.61 0.32 11%
6+ (Undercard) 18 (30%) 7 39 % 33.50 0.01 0.00 0%

: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (3%) 1 50 % 4.75 2.13 1.06 45%
Light Heavy 5 (8%) 2 40 % 10.00 -2.27 -0.45 -23%
Middleweight 9 (15%) 3 33 % 19.15 -0.59 -0.07 -3%
Welterweight 5 (8%) 2 40 % 10.75 -1.54 -0.31 -14%
Lightweight 12 (20%) 5 42 % 26.50 2.47 0.21 9%
Featherweight 9 (15%) 4 44 % 22.50 4.95 0.55 22%
Bantamweight 10 (16%) 4 40 % 25.50 2.85 0.28 11%
Flyweight 7 (11%) 4 57 % 29.00 6.98 1.00 24%
               
Women's Fights 2 (3%) 2 100 % 4.50 4.05 2.02 90%
Flyweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.50 2.43 2.43 162%
Strawweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 3.00 1.62 1.62 54%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 40 (82%) 33 83 %
Slight Favorites 7 (14%) 6 86 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 2 (4%) 0 0 %
49 39 80 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 16 (6%) 9 56 %
50-65% 24 (9%) 13 54 %
35-50% 34 (13%) 13 38 %
<35% chance 192 (72%) 29 15 %
266 64 24 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (1%) 2 67 % 1.45 1.58Pick was correct 1.32Pick was correct -0.1 (-3%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 11 (4%) 2 18 % 1.98 3.00Pick was incorrect 1.60Pick was incorrect -7.5 (-68%)
Does not go to Decision 15 (6%) 9 60 % 1.64 2.85Pick was correct 1.29Pick was correct -0.2 (-2%)
X Wins by KO 19 (7%) 5 26 % 4.30 6.75Pick was incorrect 2.25Pick was correct 1.6 (8%)
X Wins by Sub 46 (17%) 8 17 % 5.40 21.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect -0.9 (-2%)
X Wins by Decision 6 (2%) 2 33 % 4.26 9.75Pick was incorrect 2.75Pick was incorrect 1.9 (32%)
X Wins Inside Distance 50 (19%) 19 38 % 2.70 7.00Pick was incorrect 1.40Pick was correct 2.1 (4%)
X Wins in Round X 92 (35%) 9 10 % 9.55 34.00Pick was incorrect 2.20Pick was incorrect 16.3 (18%)
Others 24 (9%) 8 33 % 2.35 34.00Pick was incorrect 1.23Pick was correct -8.5 (-35%)
266 64 24 % 3.83     4.7 (2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 17.5 2.6 15% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,026.50
9th Sep UFC 293 11 -0.9 -8% $10.26 $1,026.50 $1,017.27
16th Sep UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 9 11.5 127% $10.17 $1,017.27 $1,133.82
23rd Sep Bellator 299 1.25 -1.3 -100% $11.34 $1,133.82 $1,119.64
23rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 16.25 5.1 31% $11.20 $1,119.64 $1,176.57
7th Oct UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 3 2.1 70% $11.77 $1,176.57 $1,201.36
14th Oct UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 17.05 -1.6 -9% $12.01 $1,201.36 $1,182.55
21st Oct UFC 294 21.7 11.3 52% $11.83 $1,182.55 $1,316.26
4th Nov UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 17.55 -7.7 -44% $13.16 $1,316.26 $1,215.17
11th Nov UFC 295 27.4 -15.9 -58% $12.15 $1,215.17 $1,021.96
18th Nov UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 24.75 5.0 20% $10.22 $1,021.96 $1,073.14
2nd Dec UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 24.75 -15.8 -64% $10.73 $1,073.14 $904.12
9th Dec UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez 24.8 -6.4 -26% $9.04 $904.12 $846.03
16th Dec UFC 296 30.13 9.5 32% $8.46 $846.03 $926.77
13th Jan UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 20.25 -0.6 -3% $9.27 $926.77 $921.56
20th Jan UFC 297 24.76 34.8 141% $9.22 $921.56 $1,242.19
3rd Feb UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 24.75 20.9 85% $12.42 $1,242.19 $1,502.13
10th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 23.26 15.8 68% $15.02 $1,502.13 $1,738.81
17th Feb UFC 298 25.55 11.5 45% $17.39 $1,738.81 $1,939.51
24th Feb PFL vs. Bellator: Champs 8.25 13.0 157% $19.40 $1,939.51 $2,191.16
24th Feb UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 24.75 -10.4 -42% $21.91 $2,191.16 $1,964.21
2nd Mar UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 43.5 5.2 12% $19.64 $1,964.21 $2,066.26
7th Mar PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season 10 2.2 22% $20.66 $2,066.26 $2,110.69
9th Mar UFC 299 34.77 -29.4 -84% $21.11 $2,110.69 $1,490.78


ROI % from starting bank balance: 49.08% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '24 Ignacio Capella Yazid Chouchane 2.10 3 TKO, R2 (2:31) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '24 Baissangour Chamsoudinov Cedric Doumbe 1.95 3 TKO, R3 (1:21) MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '24 Loik Radzhabov Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady 2.46 2.25 TKO, R3 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '24 Muhammad Mokaev Alex Perez 1.37 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '24 Muhammad Mokaev Alex Perez 1.37 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '24 Yoel Romero Thiago Santos 1.90 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '24 Brandon Royval Brandon Moreno 3.34 0.75 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '24 Ilia Topuria Alex Volkanovski 2.02 7.5 TKO, R2 (3:32) MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '24 Jack Hermansson Joe Pyfer 3.10 2.25 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jan '24 Jimmy Flick Malcolm Gordon 2.70 2.25 Sub, R2 (1:17) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jan '24 Garrett Armfield Brad Katona 2.70 2.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jan '24 Dricus Du Plessis Sean Strickland 2.00 3 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jan '24 Mario Bautista Ricky Simon 2.50 3.75 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '23 Alonzo Menifield Dustin Jacoby 3.25 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Dec '23 Ariane Lipski Casey O'Neill 2.62 1.5 Sub, R2 (1:18) MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '23 Josh Emmett Bryce Mitchell 2.87 2.25 TKO, R1 (1:57) MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '23 Lupita Godinez Tabatha Ricci 1.54 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '23 Tom Aspinall Sergey Pavlovich 1.72 4 TKO, R1 (1:9) MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '23 Said Nurmagomedov Muin Gafurov 1.50 5 Sub, R1 (1:13) MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '23 Jonathan Martinez Adrian Yanez 1.80 3 TKO, R2 (2:26) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '24 Michal Oleksiejczuk Michel Pereira 2.25 0.75 Sub, R1 (1:1) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '24 Marlon Vera Sean O'Malley 3.25 2.25 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '24 Younes Najid Kevin Del 2.65 2 Sub, R1 (1:10) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '24 Jack Grant Abdoul Abdouraguimov 3.80 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Mar '24 Bekzat Almakhan Umar Nurmagomedov 12.41 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '24 Impa Kasanganay Johnny Eblen 4.00 0.75 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Feb '24 Clay Collard A.J. McKee 3.20 1.5 Sub, R1 (1:10) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Feb '24 Erik Silva Muhammadjon Naimov 5.30 1.5 TKO, R1 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Feb '24 Daniel Lacerda Edgar Chairez 4.75 1.5 Sub, R1 (2:17) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '24 Francisco Prado Daniel Zellhuber 3.27 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Feb '24 Geoff Neal Ian Garry 2.93 2.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Feb '24 Paulo Costa Robert Whittaker 3.02 2.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Feb '24 Muslim Salikhov Randy Brown 3.25 1.5 TKO, R1 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jan '24 Arnold Allen Movsar Evloev 2.70 2.25 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jan '24 Marc-Andre Barriault Chris Curtis 2.62 2.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jan '24 Gabriel Benitez Jim Miller 2.10 2.25 Sub, R3 (3:25) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Dec '23 Tony Ferguson Paddy Pimblett 3.50 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Dec '23 Carlos Hernandez Tatsuro Taira 5.30 1.5 TKO, R2 (0:55) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Dec '23 Beneil Dariush Arman Tsarukyan 3.35 2.25 TKO, R1 (1:4) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Nov '23 Nick Aguirre Payton Talbott 6.50 2.25 Sub, R3 (0:58) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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