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MMA Handicapper Stats: Cybil

Cybil (Riemann)

MMA MHandicapper - Cybil

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	54 (36%)	Right	25 (34%)	Right	26 (38%)	Right	3 (43%)
Wrong	95 (64%)	Wrong	49 (66%)	Wrong	42 (62%)	Wrong	4 (57%)
Avg Odds	2.80	Avg Odds	2.37	Avg Odds	3.62	Avg Odds	2.20
Units Bet	312.1	Units Bet	207.9	Units Bet	85.4	Units Bet	18.8
Avg Bet	2.09	Avg Bet	2.81	Avg Bet	1.26	Avg Bet	2.69
Units Profit	9.77	Units Profit	-30.71	Units Profit	36.46	Units Profit	4.01
ROI %	3%	ROI %	-15%	ROI %	43%	ROI %	21%

Cybil: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	36	-8.0	-22%	-4.0 / 32 (-13%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	6.75	-3.4	-50%	-1.1 / 3.5 (-33%)	-2.3 / 3.25 (-69%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	19.62	-1.5	-8%	-1.6 / 1.55 (-100%)	4.1 / 14 (29%)	-4.1 / 4.07 (-100%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	20	15.7	78%	11.3 / 14 (81%)	4.3 / 6 (72%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	4.45	-4.5	-100%	-4.2 / 4.2 (-100%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	11	-11.0	-100%	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	18	-5.4	-30%	-5.4 / 18 (-30%)
24th Nov '23	PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship	12	4.1	34%	4.1 / 12 (34%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	13.3	7.5	56%	-6.3 / 6.3 (-100%)	7.8 / 2 (390%)	6.0 / 5 (120%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	14.3	-5.8	-41%	-3.0 / 11.5 (-26%)	-2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	10.75	-8.0	-74%	-6.0 / 8.75 (-69%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	19.9	3.2	16%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	6.2 / 16.9 (37%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	11.4	-9.1	-79%	-8.6 / 10.9 (-78%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	25	14.0	56%	6.5 / 23 (28%)	7.5 / 2 (375%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	20.4	7.8	38%	9.7 / 10.9 (89%)	2.6 / 5 (52%)	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
23rd Sep '23	Bellator 299	2.6	-2.6	-100%	-2.6 / 2.6 (-100%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	19.62	9.1	47%	1.0 / 3.32 (30%)	8.1 / 16.3 (50%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	13.18	4.9	37%	0.0 / 6.6 (0%)	2.9 / 4.32 (67%)	2.0 / 2.26 (89%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	15.9	0.6	4%	-1.2 / 10.15 (-12%)	-2.8 / 2.75 (-100%)	4.6 / 3 (152%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	15.78	5.9	38%	-2.0 / 11.23 (-18%)	8.0 / 4.55 (175%)
23rd Aug '23	PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs	3.87	-3.9	-100%	-3.4 / 3.37 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)

Winning Events: 10 (48%)
Losing Events: 11 (52%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.94 units
Most Staked On One Event: 36.00 units
Best Event: 15.67 units
Worst Event: -11.00 units
Average Event: 0.47 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 21.77
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -20.80

Cybil: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	86.82	-1.7	-2%	0.4 / 55.25 (1%)		-4.1 / 4.07 (-100%)	1 / 4 (20%)	-0.34
2023	227	11.5	5%	-31.1 / 152.62 (-20%)		8.1 / 14.76 (55%)	9 / 7 (56%)	0.72

Cybil: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Cybil: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	295.35	12.1	4%	-28.9 / 189.9 (-15%)	37.0 / 86.62 (43%)	4.0 / 18.83 (21%)
Bellator	2.6	-2.6	-100%	-2.6 / 2.6 (-100%)
PFL	15.87	0.2	2%	0.7 / 15.37 (5%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)

Cybil: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	4 (5%)	3	75 %	23.60	5.78	1.45	25%
Slight Favorites	23 (29%)	11	48 %	78.52	-11.50	-0.50	-15%
Slight Underdogs	26 (33%)	9	35 %	55.00	-6.19	-0.24	-11%
Big Underdogs	27 (34%)	6	22 %	50.75	-18.80	-0.70	-37%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	6 (8%)	4	67 %	22.85	16.92	2.82	74%
Co-Main Event	7 (9%)	3	43 %	36.10	-14.25	-2.04	-39%
Position 3-5	23 (29%)	5	22 %	41.70	-21.69	-0.94	-52%
6+ (Undercard)	44 (55%)	17	39 %	107.22	-11.68	-0.27	-11%

Cybil: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	5 (6%)	4	80 %	14.73	6.45	1.29	44%
Light Heavy	2 (3%)		0 %	3.00	-3.00	-1.50	-100%
Middleweight	4 (5%)	1	25 %	16.00	-9.85	-2.46	-62%
Welterweight	9 (11%)	3	33 %	19.70	-6.65	-0.74	-34%
Lightweight	9 (11%)	2	22 %	20.70	10.27	1.14	50%
Featherweight	6 (8%)	1	17 %	13.60	-11.30	-1.88	-83%
Bantamweight	7 (9%)	2	29 %	7.40	-2.55	-0.36	-34%
Flyweight	6 (8%)		0 %	20.00	-20.00	-3.33	-100%

Women's Fights	32 (40%)	16	50 %	92.74	5.93	0.19	6%
Featherweight	4 (5%)		0 %	4.77	-4.77	-1.19	-100%
Bantamweight	7 (9%)	5	71 %	17.00	12.70	1.81	75%
Flyweight	9 (11%)	6	67 %	38.22	3.25	0.36	9%
Strawweight	12 (15%)	5	42 %	32.75	-5.25	-0.44	-16%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	13 (76%)	10	77 %
Slight Favorites	4 (24%)	2	50 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	17	12	71 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	3 (4%)	3	100 %
50-65%	8 (11%)	6	75 %
35-50%	11 (15%)	7	64 %
<35% chance	49 (69%)	11	22 %
	71	27	38 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (6%)	4	100 %	1.77	2.90	1.30	3.8 (96%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (1%)	1	100 %	2.00	2.00	2.00	1.0 (100%)
Does not go to Decision	4 (6%)	2	50 %	1.98	2.40	1.77	-0.4 (-10%)
Fight Starts Round X	1 (1%)	1	100 %	2.00	2.00	2.00	1.0 (100%)
X Wins by KO	4 (6%)	1	25 %	5.97	15.00	3.25	-0.7 (-19%)
X Wins by Sub	12 (17%)	2	17 %	6.30	21.00	2.30	4.8 (40%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (4%)	1	33 %	4.06	5.60	3.30	1.9 (63%)
X Wins Inside Distance	12 (17%)	5	42 %	3.87	10.00	1.76	6.0 (50%)
X Wins in Round X	12 (17%)	2	17 %	7.30	21.00	4.90	13.3 (110%)
Others	18 (25%)	8	44 %	2.77	40.00	1.17	-0.2 (-1%)
	71	27	38 %	3.58			30.5 (43%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Cybil's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
23rd Aug	PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs	3.87	-3.9	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$961.30
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	15.78	5.9	38%	$20	$9.61	$961.30	$998.50
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	15.9	0.6	4%	$20	$9.98	$998.50	$984.70
9th Sep	UFC 293	13.18	4.9	37%	$20	$9.85	$984.70	$1,012.81
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	19.62	9.1	47%	$20	$10.13	$1,012.81	$1,085.32
23rd Sep	Bellator 299	2.6	-2.6	-100%		$10.85	$1,085.32	$1,057.10
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	20.4	7.8	38%	$20	$10.57	$1,057.10	$1,119.56
7th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	25	14.0	56%	$20	$11.20	$1,119.56	$1,255.98
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	11.4	-9.1	-79%		$12.56	$1,255.98	$1,142.31
21st Oct	UFC 294	19.9	3.2	16%	$20	$11.42	$1,142.31	$1,158.87
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	10.75	-8.0	-74%	$20	$11.59	$1,158.87	$1,046.16
11th Nov	UFC 295	14.3	-5.8	-41%	$20	$10.46	$1,046.16	$965.06
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	13.3	7.5	56%	$20	$9.65	$965.06	$1,017.46
24th Nov	PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship	12	4.1	34%	$20	$10.17	$1,017.46	$1,039.35
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	18	-5.4	-30%	$20	$10.39	$1,039.35	$963.74
16th Dec	UFC 296	11	-11.0	-100%	$20	$9.64	$963.74	$837.73
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	4.45	-4.5	-100%		$8.38	$837.73	$800.45
20th Jan	UFC 297	20	15.7	78%	$20	$8.00	$800.45	$905.85
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	19.62	-1.5	-8%	$20	$9.06	$905.85	$872.08
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	6.75	-3.4	-50%	$20	$8.72	$872.08	$822.43
17th Feb	UFC 298	36	-8.0	-22%	$20	$8.22	$822.43	$736.64

ROI % from starting bank balance: -26.34% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Cybil: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '24	Miranda Maverick	Andrea Lee	1.56	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Feb '24	Miranda Maverick	Andrea Lee	1.56	7	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Feb '24	Max Griffin	Jeremiah Wells	2.35	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jan '24	Dricus Du Plessis	Sean Strickland	2.05	3	Split Decision (5 rounds)
5.	Jan '24	Gillian Robertson	Polyana Viana	1.33	5	TKO, R2 (3:12)
6.	Jan '24	Raquel Pennington	Mayra Bueno Silva	2.50	5	U Decision (5 rounds)
7.	Dec '23	Jared Gooden	Wellington Turman	2.65	3	Sub, R2 (1:11)
8.	Nov '23	Olivier Aubin-Mercier	Clay Collard	1.47	11	U Decision (5 rounds)
9.	Dec '23	Miesha Tate	Julia Avila	2.35	2	Sub, R3 (1:15)
10.	Nov '23	Jessica Andrade	Mackenzie Dern	2.90	1.5	TKO, R2 (3:15)
11.	Nov '23	Jessica Andrade	Mackenzie Dern	2.74	1.5	TKO, R2 (3:15)
12.	Nov '23	Nicolas Dalby	Gabriel Bonfim	5.50	0.5	TKO, R2 (4:33)
13.	Oct '23	Christian Rodriguez	Cameron Saaiman	1.74	1.35	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Oct '23	Bobby Green	Grant Dawson	4.95	3	TKO, R1 (0:33)
15.	Oct '23	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	Diana Belbita	1.71	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Oct '23	Vanessa Demopoulos	Kanako Murata	3.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Oct '23	J.J. Aldrich	Montana De La Rosa	2.25	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Sep '23	Montserrat Rendon	Tamires Vidal	3.10	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Sep '23	Miles Johns	Dan Argueta	2.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Sep '23	Montserrat Rendon	Tamires Vidal	3.10	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Feb '24	Mackenzie Dern	Amanda Lemos	2.10	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Feb '24	Henry Cejudo	Merab Dvalishvili	2.90	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Feb '24	Paulo Costa	Robert Whittaker	3.05	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Feb '24	Bruna Brasil	Loma Lookboonmee	3.45	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Feb '24	Trevin Giles	Carlos Prates	3.20	1	TKO, R2 (4:3)	No
6.	Feb '24	Darrius Flowers	Michael Johnson	2.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Feb '24	Thomas Petersen	Jamal Pogues	1.65	1.55	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Jan '24	Arnold Allen	Movsar Evloev	2.60	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jan '24	Matt Semelsberger	Preston Parsons	1.91	2.2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Jan '24	Johnny Walker	Magomed Ankalaev	4.75	2	TKO, R2 (2:42)	No
11.	Dec '23	Jamey Lyn-Horth	Veronica Macedo	1.77	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Dec '23	Jamey Lyn-Horth	Veronica Macedo	1.77	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Dec '23	Kelvin Gastelum	Sean Brady	2.15	3	Sub, R3 (1:43)	No
14.	Dec '23	Brandon Royval	Alexandre Pantoja	3.00	11	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
15.	Nov '23	Aspen Ladd	Kayla Harrison	6.75	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Nov '23	Marina Mokhnatkina	Larissa Pacheco	6.15	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
17.	Nov '23	Jake Matthews	Michael Morales	3.75	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Nov '23	Lucie Pudilova	Ailin Perez	2.60	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Nov '23	Jonathan Pearce	Joanderson Brito	1.87	2.3	Sub, R2 (3:54)	No
20.	Nov '23	Charles Johnson	Rafael Estevam	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Cybil: Progress Chart

Chart

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