MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: John Felder

John Felder (John_Canelo)

MMA MHandicapper - John Felder

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	31 (57%)	Right	22 (65%)	Right	3 (30%)	Right	6 (60%)
Wrong	23 (43%)	Wrong	12 (35%)	Wrong	7 (70%)	Wrong	4 (40%)
Avg Odds	2.02	Avg Odds	1.74	Avg Odds	5.34	Avg Odds	1.87
Units Bet	128.7	Units Bet	98.5	Units Bet	4.1	Units Bet	26.2
Avg Bet	2.38	Avg Bet	2.90	Avg Bet	0.41	Avg Bet	2.62
Units Profit	54.31	Units Profit	37.21	Units Profit	-0.57	Units Profit	17.67
ROI %	42%	ROI %	38%	ROI %	-14%	ROI %	67%

John Felder: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	1.1	-1.1	-100%			-1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	3.27	1.8	54%	2.0 / 1.87 (109%)	0.9 / 0.25 (350%)	-1.2 / 1.15 (-100%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	1.67	1.0	60%			1.0 / 1.67 (60%)
9th Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	7.83	-1.4	-18%	-1.2 / 7.58 (-16%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	10	-1.2	-12%	-0.7 / 9.5 (-8%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	3	3.4	115%	1.1 / 1 (110%)	1.1 / 0.5 (210%)	1.3 / 1.5 (87%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	4.7	-4.7	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)		-1.7 / 1.7 (-100%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	1.5	1.0	67%	1.0 / 1.5 (67%)
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	11.75	4.6	39%	6.9 / 9.5 (72%)	-0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	5	1.0	20%	1.0 / 5 (20%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	7.5	4.0	54%	4.0 / 7.5 (54%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	2	-2.0	-100%		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	12.1	3.6	30%	2.6 / 11 (24%)		1.0 / 1.1 (91%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	30.1	5.9	19%	2.5 / 20 (12%)	0.7 / 0.1 (700%)	2.7 / 10 (27%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	26.2	39.5	151%	22.0 / 20 (110%)	-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)	17.7 / 6 (294%)

Winning Events: 10 (63%)
Losing Events: 6 (38%)

Average Staked Per Event: 8.05 units
Most Staked On One Event: 30.10 units
Best Event: 39.46 units
Worst Event: -4.70 units
Average Event: 3.39 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 48.95
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -4.70

John Felder: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	6.04	1.7	28%	2.0 / 1.87 (109%)		-1.2 / 3.92 (-32%)	2 / 1 (67%)	0.56
2023	122.68	52.6	43%	35.2 / 96.58 (36%)		18.9 / 22.3 (85%)	8 / 5 (62%)	4.05

John Felder: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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John Felder: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	128.72	54.3	42%	37.2 / 98.45 (38%)	-0.6 / 4.05 (-14%)	17.7 / 26.22 (67%)

John Felder: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	12 (35%)	10	83 %	57.13	7.67	0.64	13%
Slight Favorites	9 (26%)	7	78 %	15.07	6.59	0.73	44%
Slight Underdogs	9 (26%)	3	33 %	8.75	-3.55	-0.39	-41%
Big Underdogs	4 (12%)	2	50 %	17.50	26.50	6.63	151%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	6 (18%)	4	67 %	28.12	21.39	3.56	76%
Co-Main Event	6 (18%)	4	67 %	13.13	2.71	0.45	21%
Position 3-5	10 (29%)	7	70 %	31.20	4.40	0.44	14%
6+ (Undercard)	12 (35%)	7	58 %	26.00	8.72	0.73	34%

John Felder: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	4.00	2.13	2.13	53%
Light Heavy	1 (3%)		0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%
Middleweight	4 (12%)	1	25 %	7.62	-5.49	-1.37	-72%
Welterweight	5 (15%)	5	100 %	16.20	6.85	1.37	42%
Lightweight	5 (15%)	3	60 %	7.63	0.54	0.11	7%
Featherweight	4 (12%)	2	50 %	16.25	1.00	0.25	6%
Bantamweight	5 (15%)	4	80 %	28.00	23.25	4.65	83%
Flyweight	2 (6%)		0 %	3.50	-3.50	-1.75	-100%

Women's Fights	7 (21%)	6	86 %	13.25	14.44	2.06	109%
Bantamweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	0.75	1.03	1.03	138%
Flyweight	1 (3%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.80	0.80	80%
Strawweight	5 (15%)	4	80 %	11.50	12.60	2.52	110%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	18 (86%)	13	72 %
Slight Favorites	1 (5%)	1	100 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	2 (10%)	2	100 %
	21	16	76 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (0%)	0	nan %
50-65%	0 (0%)	0	nan %
35-50%	1 (10%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	9 (90%)	3	33 %
	10	3	30 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by KO	2 (20%)	0	0 %	3.89	26.00	2.10	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	5 (50%)	1	20 %	7.03	26.00	4.50	-0.5 (-10%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (20%)	1	50 %	3.83	5.00	3.10	1.1 (55%)
X Wins in Round X	1 (10%)	1	100 %	8.00	8.00	8.00	7.0 (700%)
	10	3	30 %	5.34			5.6 (56%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail John Felder's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
19th Aug	UFC 292	26.2	39.5	151%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,394.58
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	30.1	5.9	19%		$13.95	$1,394.58	$1,476.25
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	12.1	3.6	30%		$14.76	$1,476.25	$1,529.90
9th Sep	UFC 293	2	-2.0	-100%		$15.30	$1,529.90	$1,499.30
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	7.5	4.0	54%		$14.99	$1,499.30	$1,559.48
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	5	1.0	20%		$15.59	$1,559.48	$1,575.07
7th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	11.75	4.6	39%		$15.75	$1,575.07	$1,647.64
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	1.5	1.0	67%		$16.48	$1,647.64	$1,664.12
21st Oct	UFC 294	4.7	-4.7	-100%		$16.64	$1,664.12	$1,585.90
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	3	3.4	115%		$15.86	$1,585.90	$1,640.62
11th Nov	UFC 295	10	-1.2	-12%		$16.41	$1,640.62	$1,620.11
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	7.83	-1.4	-18%	$25	$16.20	$1,620.11	$1,571.86
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	1	-1.0	-100%	$25	$15.72	$1,571.86	$1,531.14
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	1.67	1.0	60%		$15.31	$1,531.14	$1,546.49
20th Jan	UFC 297	3.27	1.8	54%	$25	$15.46	$1,546.49	$1,548.84
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	1.1	-1.1	-100%	$25	$15.49	$1,548.84	$1,506.81

ROI % from starting bank balance: 50.68% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

John Felder: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jan '24	Dricus Du Plessis	Sean Strickland	1.90	1.12	Split Decision (5 rounds)
2.	Jan '24	Raquel Pennington	Mayra Bueno Silva	2.38	0.75	U Decision (5 rounds)
3.	Dec '23	Jalin Turner	Bobby Green	1.53	1.88	TKO, R1 (2:49)
4.	Dec '23	Jared Gooden	Wellington Turman	2.63	0.5	Sub, R2 (1:11)
5.	Dec '23	Sean Brady	Kelvin Gastelum	1.83	1.2	Sub, R3 (1:43)
6.	Nov '23	Benoit Saint-Denis	Matt Frevola	1.44	2.25	TKO, R1 (1:31)
7.	Nov '23	Lupita Godinez	Tabatha Ricci	1.57	3.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Nov '23	Angela Hill	Denise Gomes	2.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Oct '23	Christian Rodriguez	Cameron Saaiman	1.67	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Oct '23	Joaquin Buckley	Alex Morono	1.57	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Oct '23	Vanessa Demopoulos	Kanako Murata	3.50	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Sep '23	Bryce Mitchell	Dan Ige	1.50	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Sep '23	Tracy Cortez	Jasmine Jasudavicius	1.80	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Sep '23	Lupita Godinez	Elise Reed	1.25	2	Sub, R2 (3:38)
15.	Sep '23	Daniel Zellhuber	Christos Giagos	1.36	1.5	Sub, R2 (3:26)
16.	Sep '23	Jack Della Maddalena	Kevin Holland	1.72	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Sep '23	Ciryl Gane	Sergey Spivak	1.53	4	TKO, R2 (3:44)
18.	Sep '23	Farid Basharat	Kleydson Rodrigues	1.25	6	Sub, R1 (4:15)
19.	Aug '23	Rinya Nakamura	Fernando Garcia	1.12	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Aug '23	Max Holloway	Chan Sung Jung	1.12	10	TKO, R3 (0:23)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Dec '23	Su Mudaerji	Tim Elliott	2.25	1	Sub, R1 (4:2)	No
2.	Dec '23	Joe Solecki	Drakkar Klose	2.10	1	TKO, R1 (1:41)	No
3.	Dec '23	Punahele Soriano	Dustin Stoltzfus	1.33	3	Sub, R2 (4:10)	No
4.	Nov '23	Kyung Ho Kang	John Castaneda	2.10	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Nov '23	Pat Sabatini	Diego Lopes	1.80	1.25	TKO, R1 (1:30)	No
6.	Nov '23	Jiri Prochazka	Alex Pereira	2.00	2	TKO, R2 (4:8)	No
7.	Oct '23	Kamaru Usman	Khamzat Chimaev	3.40	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Oct '23	Diana Belbita	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	2.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Oct '23	Abdul Razak Alhassan	Joe Pyfer	3.75	0.5	Sub, R2 (2:5)	No
10.	Oct '23	Mateus Mendonca	Nathan Maness	1.40	2.5	TKO, R1 (4:40)	No
11.	Sep '23	Rafael Fiziev	Mateusz Gamrot	1.62	1	TKO, R2 (2:3)	No
12.	Sep '23	Yanis Ghemmouri	William Gomis	2.75	1	TKO, R3 (2:20)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

John Felder: Progress Chart

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