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MMA Handicapper Stats: John Felder

John Felder (John_Canelo)

MMA MHandicapper - John Felder

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 36 (55%) Right 27 (59%) Right 3 (30%) Right 6 (60%)
Wrong 30 (45%) Wrong 19 (41%) Wrong 7 (70%) Wrong 4 (40%)
Avg Odds 2.01 Avg Odds 1.79 Avg Odds 5.34 Avg Odds 1.87
Units Bet 165.8 Units Bet 135.5 Units Bet 4.1 Units Bet 26.2
Avg Bet 2.51 Avg Bet 2.95 Avg Bet 0.41 Avg Bet 2.62
Units Profit 43.29 Units Profit 26.20 Units Profit -0.57 Units Profit 17.67
ROI % 26% ROI % 19% ROI % -14% ROI % 67%
View Handicapper's Profile

John Felder: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
5th Oct '24 UFC 307 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
28th Sep '24 UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis 5.72 -5.7 -100% -5.7 / 5.72 (-100%)
14th Sep '24 UFC 306 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
7th Sep '24 UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
24th Aug '24 UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho 2.75 2.0 73% 2.0 / 2.75 (73%)
17th Aug '24 UFC 305 2 2.0 100% 2.0 / 2 (100%)
16th Aug '24 PFL 8: 2024 Playoffs 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
10th Aug '24 UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II 3.18 2.0 63% 2.0 / 3.18 (63%)
3rd Aug '24 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov 4.1 2.0 49% 2.0 / 4.1 (49%)
27th Jul '24 UFC 304 2.3 -2.3 -100% -2.3 / 2.3 (-100%)
13th Jul '24 UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
15th Jun '24 UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira 4 2.0 50% 2.0 / 4 (50%)
3rd Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 1.1 -1.1 -100% -1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)
20th Jan '24 UFC 297 3.27 1.8 54% 2.0 / 1.87 (109%) 0.9 / 0.25 (350%) -1.2 / 1.15 (-100%)
13th Jan '24 UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 1.67 1.0 60% 1.0 / 1.67 (60%)
9th Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
2nd Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 7.83 -1.4 -18% -1.2 / 7.58 (-16%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 10 -1.2 -12% -0.7 / 9.5 (-8%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
4th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 3 3.4 115% 1.1 / 1 (110%) 1.1 / 0.5 (210%) 1.3 / 1.5 (87%)
21st Oct '23 UFC 294 4.7 -4.7 -100% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) -1.7 / 1.7 (-100%)
14th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 1.5 1.0 67% 1.0 / 1.5 (67%)
7th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 11.75 4.6 39% 6.9 / 9.5 (72%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
23rd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 5 1.0 20% 1.0 / 5 (20%)
16th Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 7.5 4.0 54% 4.0 / 7.5 (54%)
9th Sep '23 UFC 293 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
2nd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 12.1 3.6 30% 2.6 / 11 (24%) 1.0 / 1.1 (91%)
26th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 30.1 5.9 19% 2.5 / 20 (12%) 0.7 / 0.1 (700%) 2.7 / 10 (27%)
19th Aug '23 UFC 292 26.2 39.5 151% 22.0 / 20 (110%) -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%) 17.7 / 6 (294%)


Winning Events: 15 (54%)
Losing Events: 13 (46%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.92 units
Most Staked On One Event: 30.10 units
Best Event: 39.46 units
Worst Event: -5.72 units
Average Event: 1.55 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 48.95
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -14.72

John Felder: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2024 43.09 -9.3 -22% -9.0 / 38.92 (-23%) -1.2 / 3.92 (-32%) 7 / 8 (47%) -0.62
2023 122.68 52.6 43% 35.2 / 96.58 (36%) 18.9 / 22.3 (85%) 8 / 5 (62%) 4.05

John Felder: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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John Felder: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 163.77 45.3 28% 28.2 / 133.5 (21%) -0.6 / 4.05 (-14%) 17.7 / 26.22 (67%)
PFL 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)

John Felder: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 15 (33%) 12 80 % 70.95 5.95 0.40 8%
Slight Favorites 13 (28%) 9 69 % 25.30 6.30 0.48 25%
Slight Underdogs 12 (26%) 4 33 % 14.75 -5.55 -0.46 -38%
Big Underdogs 6 (13%) 2 33 % 24.50 19.50 3.25 80%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 14 (30%) 7 50 % 54.02 10.67 0.76 20%
Co-Main Event 7 (15%) 5 71 % 15.88 4.72 0.67 30%
Position 3-5 12 (26%) 7 58 % 35.50 0.10 0.01 0%
6+ (Undercard) 13 (28%) 8 62 % 30.10 10.72 0.82 36%

John Felder: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (4%) 2 100 % 7.18 4.13 2.06 57%
Light Heavy 3 (7%) 1 33 % 11.10 -5.00 -1.67 -45%
Middleweight 5 (11%) 2 40 % 9.62 -3.49 -0.70 -36%
Welterweight 6 (13%) 5 83 % 18.20 4.85 0.81 27%
Lightweight 8 (17%) 3 38 % 17.65 -9.48 -1.19 -54%
Featherweight 4 (9%) 2 50 % 16.25 1.00 0.25 6%
Bantamweight 6 (13%) 4 67 % 30.00 21.25 3.54 71%
Flyweight 3 (7%) 1 33 % 7.50 -1.50 -0.50 -20%
               
Women's Fights 9 (20%) 7 78 % 18.00 14.44 1.60 80%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 0.75 1.03 1.03 138%
Flyweight 2 (4%) 1 50 % 3.00 -1.20 -0.60 -40%
Strawweight 6 (13%) 5 83 % 14.25 14.61 2.43 103%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 18 (86%) 13 72 %
Slight Favorites 1 (5%) 1 100 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 2 (10%) 2 100 %
21 16 76 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 0 (0%) 0 nan %
35-50% 1 (10%) 0 0 %
<35% chance 9 (90%) 3 33 %
10 3 30 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by KO 2 (20%) 0 0 % 3.89 26.00Pick was incorrect 2.10Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 5 (50%) 1 20 % 7.03 26.00Pick was incorrect 4.50Pick was correct -0.5 (-10%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (20%) 1 50 % 3.83 5.00Pick was incorrect 3.10Pick was correct 1.1 (55%)
X Wins in Round X 1 (10%) 1 100 % 8.00 8.00Pick was correct 8.00Pick was correct 7.0 (700%)
10 3 30 % 5.34     5.6 (56%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail John Felder's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
19th Aug UFC 292 26.2 39.5 151% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,394.58
26th Aug UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 30.1 5.9 19% $13.95 $1,394.58 $1,476.25
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 12.1 3.6 30% $14.76 $1,476.25 $1,529.90
9th Sep UFC 293 2 -2.0 -100% $15.30 $1,529.90 $1,499.30
16th Sep UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 7.5 4.0 54% $14.99 $1,499.30 $1,559.48
23rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 5 1.0 20% $15.59 $1,559.48 $1,575.07
7th Oct UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 11.75 4.6 39% $15.75 $1,575.07 $1,647.64
14th Oct UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 1.5 1.0 67% $16.48 $1,647.64 $1,664.12
21st Oct UFC 294 4.7 -4.7 -100% $16.64 $1,664.12 $1,585.90
4th Nov UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 3 3.4 115% $15.86 $1,585.90 $1,640.62
11th Nov UFC 295 10 -1.2 -12% $16.41 $1,640.62 $1,620.11
2nd Dec UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 7.83 -1.4 -18% $25 $16.20 $1,620.11 $1,571.86
9th Dec UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez 1 -1.0 -100% $25 $15.72 $1,571.86 $1,531.14
13th Jan UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 1.67 1.0 60% $15.31 $1,531.14 $1,546.49
20th Jan UFC 297 3.27 1.8 54% $25 $15.46 $1,546.49 $1,548.84
3rd Feb UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 1.1 -1.1 -100% $25 $15.49 $1,548.84 $1,506.81
15th Jun UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira 4 2.0 50% $25 $15.07 $1,506.81 $1,511.94
13th Jul UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez 2 -2.0 -100% $25 $15.12 $1,511.94 $1,456.70
27th Jul UFC 304 2.3 -2.3 -100% $25 $14.57 $1,456.70 $1,398.20
3rd Aug UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov 4.1 2.0 49% $13.98 $1,398.20 $1,426.16
10th Aug UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II 3.18 2.0 63% $25 $14.26 $1,426.16 $1,429.69
16th Aug PFL 8: 2024 Playoffs 2 -2.0 -100% $25 $14.30 $1,429.69 $1,376.09
17th Aug UFC 305 2 2.0 100% $25 $13.76 $1,376.09 $1,378.61
24th Aug UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho 2.75 2.0 73% $25 $13.79 $1,378.61 $1,381.29
7th Sep UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady 2 -2.0 -100% $25 $13.81 $1,381.29 $1,328.66
14th Sep UFC 306 2 -2.0 -100% $25 $13.29 $1,328.66 $1,277.09
28th Sep UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis 5.72 -5.7 -100% $25 $12.77 $1,277.09 $1,179.04
5th Oct UFC 307 5 -5.0 -100% $25 $11.79 $1,179.04 $1,095.09


ROI % from starting bank balance: 9.51% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

John Felder: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Aug '24 Paid Pick Tabatha Ricci Angela Hill 1.73 2.75 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '24 Paid Pick Dricus Du Plessis Israel Adesanya 2.00 2 Sub, R4 (3:38) MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '24 Paid Pick Sergey Spivak Marcin Tybura 1.63 3.18 Sub, R1 (1:44) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '24 Azamat Murzakanov Alonzo Menifield 1.49 4.1 TKO, R2 (3:18) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '24 Paid Pick Tatsuro Taira Alex Perez 1.50 4 TKO, R2 (2:59) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '24 Paid Pick Dricus Du Plessis Sean Strickland 1.90 1.12 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '24 Paid Pick Raquel Pennington Mayra Bueno Silva 2.38 0.75 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '23 Paid Pick Jalin Turner Bobby Green 1.53 1.88 TKO, R1 (2:49) MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '23 Paid Pick Jared Gooden Wellington Turman 2.63 0.5 Sub, R2 (1:11) MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '23 Paid Pick Sean Brady Kelvin Gastelum 1.83 1.2 Sub, R3 (1:43) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '23 Benoit Saint-Denis Matt Frevola 1.44 2.25 TKO, R1 (1:31) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '23 Lupita Godinez Tabatha Ricci 1.57 3.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '23 Angela Hill Denise Gomes 2.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '23 Christian Rodriguez Cameron Saaiman 1.67 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '23 Joaquin Buckley Alex Morono 1.57 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '23 Vanessa Demopoulos Kanako Murata 3.50 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '23 Bryce Mitchell Dan Ige 1.50 4 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '23 Tracy Cortez Jasmine Jasudavicius 1.80 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '23 Lupita Godinez Elise Reed 1.25 2 Sub, R2 (3:38) MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '23 Daniel Zellhuber Christos Giagos 1.36 1.5 Sub, R2 (3:26) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Oct '24 Paid Pick Khalil Rountree Alex Pereira 4.60 5 TKO, R4 (4:32) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '24 Paid Pick Benoit Saint-Denis Renato Moicano 1.35 5.72 TKO, R2 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '24 Paid Pick Sean O'Malley Merab Dvalishvili 1.97 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '24 Paid Pick Gilbert Burns Sean Brady 2.50 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '24 Paid Pick Clay Collard Brent Primus 2.60 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '24 Paid Pick Bobby Green Paddy Pimblett 1.87 2.3 Sub, R1 (3:22) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '24 Paid Pick Tracy Cortez Rose Namajunas 3.00 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '23 Paid Pick Su Mudaerji Tim Elliott 2.25 1 Sub, R1 (4:2) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Dec '23 Paid Pick Joe Solecki Drakkar Klose 2.10 1 TKO, R1 (1:41) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '23 Paid Pick Punahele Soriano Dustin Stoltzfus 1.33 3 Sub, R2 (4:10) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '23 Kyung Ho Kang John Castaneda 2.10 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '23 Pat Sabatini Diego Lopes 1.80 1.25 TKO, R1 (1:30) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '23 Jiri Prochazka Alex Pereira 2.00 2 TKO, R2 (4:8) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '23 Kamaru Usman Khamzat Chimaev 3.40 3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '23 Diana Belbita Karolina Kowalkiewicz 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '23 Abdul Razak Alhassan Joe Pyfer 3.75 0.5 Sub, R2 (2:5) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '23 Mateus Mendonca Nathan Maness 1.40 2.5 TKO, R1 (4:40) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '23 Rafael Fiziev Mateusz Gamrot 1.62 1 TKO, R2 (2:3) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '23 Yanis Ghemmouri William Gomis 2.75 1 TKO, R3 (2:20) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

John Felder: Progress Chart
Chart

 
 
 
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