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MMA Handicapper Stats: dnjg

dnjg (critchance)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - dnjg

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 16 (27%) Right 4 (29%) Right 8 (21%) Right 4 (67%)
Wrong 43 (73%) Wrong 10 (71%) Wrong 31 (79%) Wrong 2 (33%)
Avg Odds 3.04 Avg Odds 2.00 Avg Odds 4.08 Avg Odds 2.11
Units Bet 48.6 Units Bet 21.0 Units Bet 19.0 Units Bet 8.5
Avg Bet 0.82 Avg Bet 1.50 Avg Bet 0.49 Avg Bet 1.42
Units Profit -8.35 Units Profit -7.35 Units Profit -3.57 Units Profit 2.57
ROI % -17% ROI % -35% ROI % -19% ROI % 30%
View Handicapper's Profile

dnjg : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
16th Dec '23 UFC 296 2.5 1.9 74% 1.9 / 2.5 (74%)
23rd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 13.39 -8.6 -65% -4.7 / 6.99 (-68%) -3.9 / 6.4 (-61%)
19th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 7 2.06 -0.0 -1% -1.0 / 1.02 (-100%) 1.0 / 1.04 (96%)
16th Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 4.91 -2.4 -49% -2.9 / 2.91 (-100%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%) 1.2 / 1.25 (98%)
12th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 6 1 1.5 151% 1.5 / 1 (151%)
9th Sep '23 UFC 293 7.84 -0.0 -0% 0.1 / 3.63 (2%) 1.1 / 2.96 (38%) -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
5th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 5 1.75 -1.8 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
2nd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 8.41 1.4 17% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 1.4 / 4.41 (31%) 2.1 / 2 (104%)
26th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 6.75 -0.3 -4% 1.4 / 2 (68%) 0.4 / 2.75 (14%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)


Winning Events: 3 (33%)
Losing Events: 6 (67%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.40 units
Most Staked On One Event: 13.39 units
Best Event: 1.85 units
Worst Event: -8.65 units
Average Event: -0.93 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 1, Units: 1.85
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -11.10

dnjg : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2023 48.61 -8.3 -17% -7.3 / 21.03 (-35%) 2.6 / 8.54 (30%) 3 / 6 (33%) -0.93

dnjg : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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dnjg : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 43.8 -8.1 -18% -6.3 / 20.03 (-32%) -1.8 / 17.27 (-10%) 0.1 / 6.5 (1%)
Other 4.81 -0.3 -5% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) -1.8 / 1.77 (-100%) 2.5 / 2.04 (123%)

dnjg : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 1 (7%) 1 100 % 2.50 1.22 1.22 49%
Slight Favorites 7 (50%) 3 43 % 12.62 -2.66 -0.38 -21%
Slight Underdogs 5 (36%) 0 0 % 5.25 -5.25 -1.05 -100%
Big Underdogs 1 (7%) 0 0 % 0.66 -0.66 -0.66 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 2 (14%) 1 50 % 5.50 -1.15 -0.57 -21%
Co-Main Event 4 (29%) 1 25 % 5.75 -2.03 -0.51 -35%
Position 3-5 3 (21%) 1 33 % 4.13 -0.76 -0.25 -18%
6+ (Undercard) 5 (36%) 1 20 % 5.65 -3.41 -0.68 -60%

dnjg : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (14%) 2 100 % 3.74 2.22 1.11 59%
Light Heavy 1 (7%) 0 % 1.13 -1.13 -1.13 -100%
Middleweight 2 (14%) 0 % 1.66 -1.66 -0.83 -100%
Welterweight 3 (21%) 1 33 % 5.50 -1.15 -0.38 -21%
Lightweight 1 (7%) 0 % 3.00 -3.00 -3.00 -100%
Featherweight 1 (7%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (7%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
               
Women's Fights 3 (21%) 1 33 % 4.00 -0.63 -0.21 -16%
Flyweight 3 (21%) 1 33 % 4.00 -0.63 -0.21 -16%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 8 (89%) 5 63 %
Slight Favorites 1 (11%) 1 100 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
9 6 67 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 3 (7%) 2 67 %
50-65% 8 (18%) 5 63 %
35-50% 5 (11%) 2 40 %
<35% chance 28 (64%) 3 11 %
44 12 27 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (7%) 2 67 % 1.86 2.00Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was correct 0.6 (20%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (5%) 1 50 % 1.88 1.98Pick was incorrect 1.79Pick was correct -0.2 (-10%)
X Wins by KO 1 (2%) 0 0 % 3.10 3.10Pick was incorrect 3.10Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (2%) 1 100 % 4.40 4.40Pick was correct 4.40Pick was correct 3.4 (340%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (5%) 0 0 % 5.69 7.00Pick was incorrect 4.80Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 6 (14%) 3 50 % 2.40 4.20Pick was incorrect 1.30Pick was correct -0.4 (-7%)
X Wins in Round X 6 (14%) 0 0 % 14.20 20.00Pick was incorrect 11.00Pick was incorrect -6.0 (-100%)
Others 23 (52%) 5 22 % 3.49 21.00Pick was incorrect 1.17Pick was correct -8.5 (-37%)
44 12 27 % 3.36     -14.2 (-32%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail dnjg 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
26th Aug UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 6.75 -0.3 -4% $10.00 $1,000.00 $997.45
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 8.41 1.4 17% $9.97 $997.45 $1,011.67
5th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 5 1.75 -1.8 -100% $10.12 $1,011.67 $993.96
9th Sep UFC 293 7.84 -0.0 -0% $9.94 $993.96 $993.61
12th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 6 1 1.5 151% $9.94 $993.61 $1,008.66
16th Sep UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 4.91 -2.4 -49% $10.09 $1,008.66 $984.15
19th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 7 2.06 -0.0 -1% $9.84 $984.15 $983.95
23rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 13.39 -8.6 -65% $9.84 $983.95 $898.84
16th Dec UFC 296 2.5 1.9 74% $8.99 $898.84 $915.48


ROI % from starting bank balance: -8.45% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

dnjg : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '23 Leon Edwards Colby Covington 1.74 2.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '23 Mohammed Usman Jake Collier 1.81 1.24 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '23 Alexander Volkov Tai Tuivasa 1.49 2.5 Sub, R2 (4:37) MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '23 Erin Blanchfield Taila Santos 1.68 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '23 Andre Fialho Tim Means 1.61 1.75 TKO, R3 (1:15) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '23 Rafael Fiziev Mateusz Gamrot 1.68 3 TKO, R2 (2:3) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '23 Dan Ige Bryce Mitchell 2.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '23 Josh Fremd Roman Kopylov 3.60 0.66 TKO, R2 (4:44) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '23 Kevin Holland Jack Della Maddalena 2.24 1.25 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '23 Jasmine Jasudavicius Tracy Cortez 2.12 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '23 Chad Hanekom Dylan Budka 1.98 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '23 Anton Turkalj Tyson Pedro 1.88 1.13 TKO, R1 (2:12) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '23 Caolan Loughran Taylor Lapilus 2.48 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '23 Rose Namajunas Manon Fiorot 2.64 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

dnjg : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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