MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Davey Locks

Davey Locks (DaveyLocksMMA)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	151 (43%)	Right	88 (54%)	Right	42 (27%)	Right	21 (55%)
Wrong	204 (57%)	Wrong	76 (46%)	Wrong	111 (73%)	Wrong	17 (45%)
Avg Odds	2.48	Avg Odds	1.98	Avg Odds	3.75	Avg Odds	1.96
Units Bet	525.4	Units Bet	321.8	Units Bet	123.9	Units Bet	79.6
Avg Bet	1.48	Avg Bet	1.96	Avg Bet	0.81	Avg Bet	2.10
Units Profit	15.47	Units Profit	-1.45	Units Profit	13.61	Units Profit	3.30
ROI %	3%	ROI %	-0%	ROI %	11%	ROI %	4%

Davey Locks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	2.6	-0.5	-19%	-0.5 / 2.6 (-19%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	23.1	-5.4	-24%	-5.4 / 23.1 (-24%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	21.8	-5.9	-27%	-8.9 / 18.8 (-47%)		3.0 / 3 (101%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	12.7	2.3	18%	2.5 / 12.5 (20%)	-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	12	4.9	41%	4.9 / 12 (41%)
24th Feb '24	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	1	1.3	125%	1.3 / 1 (125%)
23rd Feb '24	Cage Warriors 166	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	16.25	9.1	56%	9.3 / 12.75 (73%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	1.3 / 2 (64%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	19.9	11.6	58%	12.3 / 16.5 (75%)	0.2 / 2.4 (10%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	19.2	-6.6	-35%	-10.9 / 17 (-64%)	5.3 / 1.2 (438%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	17.3	-5.8	-34%	-3.9 / 11.1 (-36%)	-0.9 / 5.2 (-16%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	13.85	5.6	41%	4.6 / 11.05 (42%)	0.2 / 1.8 (14%)	0.8 / 1 (76%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	19.28	9.6	50%	6.6 / 11.9 (56%)	-0.8 / 2.1 (-37%)	3.7 / 5.28 (70%)
9th Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	14.95	5.2	35%	4.3 / 7.95 (54%)	0.9 / 7 (12%)
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	15.65	1.0	7%	0.1 / 7.35 (2%)	0.9 / 8.3 (11%)
24th Nov '23	PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship	3	2.0	65%			2.0 / 3 (65%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	13.55	9.2	68%	0.7 / 3.55 (20%)	6.0 / 6.9 (87%)	2.5 / 3.1 (81%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	20.18	-5.4	-27%	-5.7 / 14.18 (-40%)	0.3 / 6 (5%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	14.75	-8.4	-57%	-2.6 / 2.63 (-100%)	-3.6 / 3.64 (-100%)	-2.2 / 8.48 (-25%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	38.26	-5.9	-16%	5.7 / 11.64 (49%)	-5.5 / 16.16 (-34%)	-6.2 / 10.46 (-60%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	15.92	-6.5	-41%	-8.7 / 13.12 (-66%)	2.2 / 2.8 (79%)
10th Oct '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 10	2.5	1.0	39%	1.0 / 2.5 (39%)
7th Oct '23	Bellator 300	0.1	-0.1	-100%	-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	21.1	14.3	68%	3.1 / 13.34 (23%)	10.2 / 6.76 (150%)	1.1 / 1 (106%)
3rd Oct '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 9	4.31	-1.5	-34%	1.8 / 1 (185%)	-2.6 / 2.56 (-100%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
26th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 8	1.7	-1.7	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)		-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	32.86	1.8	6%	-3.2 / 16.41 (-19%)	0.1 / 11.65 (1%)	4.9 / 4.8 (101%)
19th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 7	2.32	2.0	86%			2.0 / 2.32 (86%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	25.24	4.3	17%	-1.9 / 8.16 (-23%)	4.1 / 8.99 (46%)	2.0 / 8.09 (25%)
12th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 6	2	2.2	110%	2.2 / 2 (110%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	35.02	-1.0	-3%	1.7 / 16.53 (10%)	0.6 / 11.08 (5%)	-3.2 / 7.41 (-43%)
5th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	5.44	-0.1	-3%	2.5 / 2.8 (89%)		-2.6 / 2.64 (-100%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	18.44	10.9	59%	3.5 / 9.75 (36%)	5.4 / 6.59 (81%)	2.0 / 2.1 (95%)
29th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 4	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	26.7	-6.5	-24%	-3.8 / 19.55 (-19%)	-2.2 / 3.5 (-63%)	-0.6 / 3.65 (-15%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	27.97	-15.3	-55%	-11.7 / 16.48 (-71%)	-5.6 / 9.25 (-60%)	2.0 / 2.24 (88%)
15th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	4.12	-4.1	-100%			-4.1 / 4.12 (-100%)

Winning Events: 18 (49%)
Losing Events: 19 (51%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.24 units
Most Staked On One Event: 38.26 units
Best Event: 14.33 units
Worst Event: -15.31 units
Average Event: 0.42 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 32.59
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -26.96

Davey Locks: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	160.7	9.5	6%	4.2 / 139.4 (3%)		2.1 / 9 (23%)	6 / 6 (50%)	0.79
2023	366.36	6.0	2%	-5.7 / 182.44 (-3%)		1.2 / 70.64 (2%)	12 / 13 (48%)	0.24

Davey Locks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Davey Locks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	498.57	16.6	3%	-7.6 / 309.94 (-2%)	16.2 / 123.02 (13%)	8.0 / 65.61 (12%)
Bellator	0.1	-0.1	-100%	-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
PFL	4	3.2	80%	1.3 / 1 (125%)		2.0 / 3 (65%)
Other	24.39	-4.2	-17%	5.0 / 10.8 (47%)	-2.6 / 2.56 (-100%)	-6.7 / 11.03 (-61%)

Davey Locks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	21 (12%)	14	67 %	63.80	-11.26	-0.54	-18%
Slight Favorites	73 (42%)	46	63 %	159.75	21.95	0.30	14%
Slight Underdogs	52 (30%)	23	44 %	81.55	-5.28	-0.10	-6%
Big Underdogs	29 (17%)	7	24 %	16.74	-6.87	-0.24	-41%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	23 (13%)	11	48 %	47.92	-4.04	-0.18	-8%
Co-Main Event	17 (10%)	7	41 %	35.10	-8.74	-0.51	-25%
Position 3-5	44 (25%)	24	55 %	89.30	3.28	0.07	4%
6+ (Undercard)	91 (52%)	48	53 %	149.52	8.05	0.09	5%

Davey Locks: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	12 (7%)	6	50 %	16.96	0.14	0.01	1%
Light Heavy	10 (6%)	5	50 %	21.54	6.27	0.63	29%
Middleweight	24 (14%)	20	83 %	38.47	23.92	1.00	62%
Welterweight	22 (13%)	15	68 %	48.70	17.14	0.78	35%
Lightweight	31 (18%)	11	35 %	56.45	-14.38	-0.46	-25%
Featherweight	22 (13%)	9	41 %	41.05	-5.64	-0.26	-14%
Bantamweight	18 (10%)	8	44 %	41.33	-16.39	-0.91	-40%
Flyweight	13 (7%)	7	54 %	20.10	4.44	0.34	22%

Women's Fights	23 (13%)	9	39 %	37.24	-16.96	-0.74	-46%
Featherweight	1 (1%)		0 %	4.00	-4.00	-4.00	-100%
Bantamweight	7 (4%)	3	43 %	9.36	-4.60	-0.66	-49%
Flyweight	7 (4%)	3	43 %	12.75	-6.36	-0.91	-50%
Strawweight	8 (5%)	3	38 %	11.13	-2.00	-0.25	-18%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	71 (83%)	49	69 %
Slight Favorites	11 (13%)	8	73 %
Slight Underdogs	2 (2%)	0	0 %
Big Underdogs	2 (2%)	0	0 %
	86	57	66 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	9 (6%)	4	44 %
50-65%	17 (11%)	8	47 %
35-50%	24 (16%)	12	50 %
<35% chance	103 (67%)	17	17 %
	153	41	27 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	3 (2%)	3	100 %	1.34	1.87	1.13	1.2 (40%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	13 (8%)	8	62 %	1.97	4.00	1.51	3.5 (27%)
Goes to Decision	2 (1%)	0	0 %	2.15	2.40	1.95	-2.0 (-100%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	6 (4%)	4	67 %	1.80	2.00	1.53	1.8 (31%)
X Wins by KO	24 (16%)	4	17 %	4.11	14.99	1.44	-1.1 (-5%)
X Wins by Sub	19 (12%)	2	11 %	6.43	19.00	3.75	-8.8 (-46%)
X Wins by Decision	11 (7%)	1	9 %	4.49	13.00	2.10	-8.0 (-73%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (1%)	0	0 %	1.87	1.87	1.87	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins in Round X	10 (7%)	2	20 %	5.54	15.00	1.50	-2.5 (-25%)
Others	64 (42%)	17	27 %	4.46	55.99	1.37	38.7 (60%)
	153	41	27 %	3.73			21.9 (14%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Davey Locks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
15th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	4.12	-4.1	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$958.80
19th Aug	UFC 292	27.97	-15.3	-55%	$6	$9.59	$958.80	$806.02
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	26.7	-6.5	-24%	$6	$8.06	$806.02	$747.34
29th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 4	1	-1.0	-100%		$7.47	$747.34	$739.86
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	18.44	10.9	59%		$7.40	$739.86	$820.52
5th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	5.44	-0.1	-3%		$8.21	$820.52	$819.37
9th Sep	UFC 293	35.02	-1.0	-3%		$8.19	$819.37	$811.45
12th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 6	2	2.2	110%		$8.11	$811.45	$829.30
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	25.24	4.3	17%		$8.29	$829.30	$865.02
19th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 7	2.32	2.0	86%		$8.65	$865.02	$882.37
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	32.86	1.8	6%		$8.82	$882.37	$898.55
26th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 8	1.7	-1.7	-100%		$8.99	$898.55	$883.27
3rd Oct	Contender Series 2023: Week 9	4.31	-1.5	-34%		$8.83	$883.27	$870.37
7th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	21.1	14.3	68%		$8.70	$870.37	$995.12
7th Oct	Bellator 300	0.1	-0.1	-100%		$9.95	$995.12	$994.12
10th Oct	Contender Series 2023: Week 10	2.5	1.0	39%		$9.94	$994.12	$1,003.88
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	15.92	-6.5	-41%		$10.04	$1,003.88	$938.78
21st Oct	UFC 294	38.26	-5.9	-16%		$9.39	$938.78	$882.99
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	14.75	-8.4	-57%		$8.83	$882.99	$808.62
11th Nov	UFC 295	20.18	-5.4	-27%		$8.09	$808.62	$765.12
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	13.55	9.2	68%		$7.65	$765.12	$835.71
24th Nov	PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship	3	2.0	65%		$8.36	$835.71	$852.12
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	15.65	1.0	7%		$8.52	$852.12	$860.85
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	14.95	5.2	35%		$8.61	$860.85	$905.37
16th Dec	UFC 296	19.28	9.6	50%		$9.05	$905.37	$992.10
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	13.85	5.6	41%		$9.92	$992.10	$1,047.89
20th Jan	UFC 297	17.3	-5.8	-34%		$10.48	$1,047.89	$987.13
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	19.2	-6.6	-35%		$9.87	$987.13	$921.50
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	19.9	11.6	58%		$9.22	$921.50	$1,028.26
17th Feb	UFC 298	16.25	9.1	56%		$10.28	$1,028.26	$1,122.04
23rd Feb	Cage Warriors 166	1	-1.0	-100%		$11.22	$1,122.04	$1,110.82
24th Feb	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	1	1.3	125%		$11.11	$1,110.82	$1,124.70
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	12	4.9	41%		$11.25	$1,124.70	$1,180.19
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	12.7	2.3	18%		$11.80	$1,180.19	$1,206.91
9th Mar	UFC 299	21.8	-5.9	-27%		$12.07	$1,206.91	$1,135.89
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	23.1	-5.4	-24%		$11.36	$1,135.89	$1,074.06
13th Apr	UFC 300	2.6	-0.5	-19%		$10.74	$1,074.06	$1,068.69

ROI % from starting bank balance: 6.87% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Davey Locks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '24	Michel Pereira	Michal Oleksiejczuk	1.64	2.5	Sub, R1 (1:1)
2.	Mar '24	Petr Yan	Yadong Song	1.70	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Mar '24	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	Shamil Gaziev	2.64	1	TKO, R4 (5:0)
4.	Mar '24	Jack Della Maddalena	Gilbert Burns	1.82	1.3	TKO, R3 (3:43)
5.	Feb '24	Renan Ferreira	Ryan Bader	2.25	1	TKO, R1 (0:21)
6.	Feb '24	Manuel Torres	Chris Duncan (2)	1.87	3	Sub, R1 (1:46)
7.	Feb '24	Luis Rodriguez	Denys Bondar	2.06	5	Sub, R2 (4:59)
8.	Feb '24	Mingyang Zhang	Brendson Ribeiro	1.69	3	TKO, R1 (1:41)
9.	Feb '24	Jack Hermansson	Joe Pyfer	3.20	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
10.	Feb '24	Michael Johnson	Darrius Flowers	1.80	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Feb '24	Dan Ige	Andre Fili	1.59	2.5	TKO, R1 (2:43)
12.	Mar '24	Eryk Anders	Jamie Pickett	1.54	8	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Mar '24	Gerald Meerschaert	Bryan Barberena	1.77	3	Sub, R2 (4:23)
14.	Mar '24	Jaqueline Amorim	Cory McKenna	1.87	3	Sub, R1 (1:38)
15.	Mar '24	Jafel Filho	Ode Osbourne	1.95	2.1	Sub, R1 (4:27)
16.	Mar '24	Danny Silva	Joshua Culibao	2.64	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Feb '24	Luana Carolina	Julija Stoliarenko	2.15	0.5	TKO, R3 (4:52)
18.	Apr '24	Aljamain Sterling	Calvin Kattar	1.91	1.1	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Feb '24	Merab Dvalishvili	Henry Cejudo	1.57	1.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Jan '24	Jimmy Flick	Malcolm Gordon	2.80	0.25	Sub, R2 (1:17)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '24	Benoit Saint-Denis	Dustin Poirier	1.50	4	TKO, R2 (2:32)	No
2.	Mar '24	Kevin Holland	Michael Page	1.77	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Mar '24	Jamie Pickett	Eryk Anders	4.90	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Mar '24	Bernardo Sopai	Vinicius de Oliveira	2.25	0.5	TKO, R3 (4:41)	No
5.	Mar '24	Tai Tuivasa	Marcin Tybura	1.83	2	Sub, R1 (4:8)	No
6.	Feb '24	Carlos Elizarraraz	Miguel Peimbert	2.40	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Feb '24	Mateus Mendonca	Jesus Santos Aguilar	1.65	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Feb '24	Claudio Puelles	Fares Ziam	2.85	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Apr '24	Sodiq Yusuff	Diego Lopes	2.10	1	TKO, R1 (1:29)	No
10.	Feb '24	Zac Pauga	Bogdan Guskov	1.74	2	TKO, R1 (3:38)	No
11.	Mar '24	Shamil Gaziev	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	1.54	2	TKO, R4 (5:0)	No
12.	Mar '24	Isaac Dulgarian	Christian Rodriguez	2.20	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Mar '24	Josiane Nunes	Chelsea Chandler	2.05	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Mar '24	Charalampos Grigoriou	Chad Anheliger	1.70	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Feb '24	Drew Dober	Renato Moicano	2.54	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Feb '24	Pete Rodriguez	Themba Gorimbo	3.05	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:32)	No
17.	Feb '24	Drew Dober	Renato Moicano	2.20	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Feb '24	Landon Quiñones	Marquel Mederos	2.54	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Apr '24	Jim Miller	Bobby Green	2.70	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Jan '24	Johnny Walker	Magomed Ankalaev	4.50	0.25	TKO, R2 (2:42)	Yes

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Davey Locks: Progress Chart

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