|
MMA Handicapper Stats: MW MMA |
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MW MMA: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 28 (51%) Losing Events: 27 (49%)
Average Staked Per Event: 6.49 units Most Staked On One Event: 15.90 units Best Event: 13.00 units Worst Event: -10.55 units Average Event: 0.56 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 23.44 Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -19.46 |
MW MMA: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
250.5 |
21.4 |
9% |
1.4 / 111.2 (1%) |
|
5.5 / 30.95 (18%) |
21 / 19 (53%) |
0.53 |
2023 |
106.6 |
9.5 |
9% |
0.6 / 45.9 (1%) |
|
2.5 / 26.9 (9%) |
7 / 8 (47%) |
0.63 |
|
MW MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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MW MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
328.9 |
35.1 |
11% |
3.9 / 136.85 (3%) |
21.5 / 136 (16%) |
9.8 / 56.05 (17%) |
PFL |
4.75 |
-1.3 |
-27% |
-0.8 / 4.25 (-19%) |
-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) |
|
Other |
23.45 |
-2.9 |
-12% |
-1.0 / 16 (-6%) |
-0.1 / 5.65 (-2%) |
-1.8 / 1.8 (-100%) |
|
MW MMA: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
7 (7%) |
3 |
43 % |
19.40 |
-4.56 |
-0.65 |
-23% |
Slight Favorites |
23 (23%) |
12 |
52 % |
43.75 |
0.69 |
0.03 |
2% |
Slight Underdogs |
46 (46%) |
22 |
48 % |
68.05 |
15.44 |
0.34 |
23% |
Big Underdogs |
25 (25%) |
5 |
20 % |
25.90 |
-9.51 |
-0.38 |
-37% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
6 (6%) |
3 |
50 % |
10.00 |
3.10 |
0.52 |
31% |
Co-Main Event |
9 (9%) |
4 |
44 % |
11.75 |
0.98 |
0.11 |
8% |
Position 3-5 |
30 (30%) |
9 |
30 % |
45.25 |
-11.65 |
-0.39 |
-26% |
6+ (Undercard) |
56 (55%) |
26 |
46 % |
90.10 |
9.64 |
0.17 |
11% |
|
MW MMA: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
9 (9%) |
7 |
78 % |
11.75 |
8.19 |
0.91 |
70% |
Light Heavy |
5 (5%) |
1 |
20 % |
8.50 |
-5.34 |
-1.07 |
-63% |
Middleweight |
12 (12%) |
5 |
42 % |
19.75 |
4.99 |
0.42 |
25% |
Welterweight |
13 (13%) |
8 |
62 % |
22.40 |
9.16 |
0.70 |
41% |
Lightweight |
11 (11%) |
6 |
55 % |
21.40 |
3.47 |
0.32 |
16% |
Featherweight |
19 (19%) |
6 |
32 % |
31.05 |
-9.20 |
-0.48 |
-30% |
Bantamweight |
11 (11%) |
4 |
36 % |
17.50 |
-0.45 |
-0.04 |
-3% |
Flyweight |
8 (8%) |
3 |
38 % |
7.70 |
1.92 |
0.24 |
25% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
13 (13%) |
2 |
15 % |
17.05 |
-10.68 |
-0.82 |
-63% |
Bantamweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
1.50 |
-1.50 |
-1.50 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
7 (7%) |
1 |
14 % |
9.05 |
-5.63 |
-0.80 |
-62% |
Strawweight |
5 (5%) |
1 |
20 % |
6.50 |
-3.55 |
-0.71 |
-55% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
30 (77%) |
20 |
67 % |
Slight Favorites |
9 (23%) |
4 |
44 % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
39 |
24 |
62 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
32 (8%) |
26 |
81 % |
50-65% |
46 (12%) |
26 |
57 % |
35-50% |
46 (12%) |
21 |
46 % |
<35% chance |
263 (68%) |
37 |
14 % |
|
387 |
110 |
28 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail MW MMA's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
13 |
4.5 |
35% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,045.26 |
15th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 2 |
4.7 |
-2.0 |
-43% |
|
$10.45 |
$1,045.26 |
$1,024.36 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
11.3 |
2.4 |
21% |
|
$10.24 |
$1,024.36 |
$1,048.69 |
22nd Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 3 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$10.49 |
$1,048.69 |
$1,038.21 |
29th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 4 |
2.2 |
2.0 |
91% |
|
$10.38 |
$1,038.21 |
$1,058.97 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
4.2 |
-1.0 |
-24% |
|
$10.59 |
$1,058.97 |
$1,048.12 |
5th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 5 |
1.6 |
-1.6 |
-100% |
|
$10.48 |
$1,048.12 |
$1,031.35 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
15.9 |
-7.1 |
-45% |
|
$10.31 |
$1,031.35 |
$957.78 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
2.1 |
1.6 |
78% |
|
$9.58 |
$957.78 |
$973.47 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
12.3 |
1.9 |
15% |
|
$9.73 |
$973.47 |
$991.77 |
18th Nov |
Oktagon 49 |
2 |
-2.0 |
-100% |
|
$9.92 |
$991.77 |
$971.94 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
5.5 |
5.9 |
108% |
|
$9.72 |
$971.94 |
$1,029.73 |
2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
10.7 |
-0.8 |
-8% |
|
$10.30 |
$1,029.73 |
$1,021.31 |
9th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez |
12.4 |
-3.6 |
-29% |
|
$10.21 |
$1,021.31 |
$984.76 |
16th Dec |
UFC 296 |
7.7 |
10.3 |
134% |
|
$9.85 |
$984.76 |
$1,086.12 |
13th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker |
8.7 |
-6.6 |
-76% |
|
$10.86 |
$1,086.12 |
$1,014.71 |
20th Jan |
UFC 297 |
10 |
5.5 |
55% |
|
$10.15 |
$1,014.71 |
$1,071.02 |
27th Jan |
Oktagon 52 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
62% |
|
$10.71 |
$1,071.02 |
$1,087.62 |
3rd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov |
8.15 |
4.1 |
51% |
|
$10.88 |
$1,087.62 |
$1,132.76 |
4th Feb |
Road to UFC: Las Vegas |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$11.33 |
$1,132.76 |
$1,127.09 |
17th Feb |
UFC 298 |
14.6 |
3.2 |
22% |
|
$11.27 |
$1,127.09 |
$1,163.52 |
24th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval |
4.6 |
0.1 |
3% |
|
$11.64 |
$1,163.52 |
$1,164.92 |
2nd Mar |
Oktagon 54 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.65 |
$1,164.92 |
$1,153.27 |
2nd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev |
11.9 |
13.0 |
109% |
|
$11.53 |
$1,153.27 |
$1,303.19 |
7th Mar |
PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season |
1.5 |
2.0 |
130% |
|
$13.03 |
$1,303.19 |
$1,328.61 |
9th Mar |
UFC 299 |
15.35 |
8.5 |
55% |
|
$13.29 |
$1,328.61 |
$1,441.42 |
16th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura |
10.55 |
-3.1 |
-29% |
|
$14.41 |
$1,441.42 |
$1,397.09 |
23rd Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas |
8.3 |
-2.6 |
-32% |
|
$13.97 |
$1,397.09 |
$1,360.42 |
30th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot |
11.3 |
5.3 |
47% |
|
$13.60 |
$1,360.42 |
$1,432.84 |
4th Apr |
PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season |
0.75 |
-0.8 |
-100% |
|
$14.33 |
$1,432.84 |
$1,422.09 |
6th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II |
5.65 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
|
$14.22 |
$1,422.09 |
$1,421.92 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
12.25 |
4.0 |
33% |
|
$14.22 |
$1,421.92 |
$1,479.21 |
27th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez |
3.5 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
|
$14.79 |
$1,479.21 |
$1,479.21 |
4th May |
UFC 301 |
7.25 |
-4.4 |
-61% |
|
$14.79 |
$1,479.21 |
$1,414.12 |
11th May |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento |
7.65 |
-1.7 |
-22% |
|
$14.14 |
$1,414.12 |
$1,390.28 |
18th May |
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy |
2 |
1.0 |
48% |
|
$13.90 |
$1,390.28 |
$1,403.49 |
1st Jun |
UFC 302 |
7 |
1.6 |
22% |
|
$14.03 |
$1,403.49 |
$1,425.59 |
8th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov |
9.1 |
-3.3 |
-37% |
|
$14.26 |
$1,425.59 |
$1,378.19 |
9th Jun |
Rizin 47 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
|
$13.78 |
$1,378.19 |
$1,357.51 |
15th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira |
3.6 |
1.8 |
49% |
|
$13.58 |
$1,357.51 |
$1,381.27 |
22nd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov |
6.1 |
0.7 |
12% |
|
$13.81 |
$1,381.27 |
$1,391.63 |
29th Jun |
UFC 303 |
7.7 |
4.1 |
53% |
|
$13.92 |
$1,391.63 |
$1,448.09 |
13th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez |
4.9 |
-2.3 |
-46% |
|
$14.48 |
$1,448.09 |
$1,415.14 |
20th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba |
6.5 |
-0.7 |
-11% |
|
$14.15 |
$1,415.14 |
$1,404.81 |
27th Jul |
UFC 304 |
15.2 |
-10.5 |
-69% |
|
$14.05 |
$1,404.81 |
$1,256.60 |
2nd Aug |
PFL 7: 2024 Playoffs |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$12.57 |
$1,256.60 |
$1,225.19 |
3rd Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov |
3.4 |
-3.4 |
-100% |
|
$12.25 |
$1,225.19 |
$1,183.53 |
13th Aug |
Contender Series 2024: Week 1 |
2.2 |
1.0 |
44% |
|
$11.84 |
$1,183.53 |
$1,194.89 |
17th Aug |
UFC 305 |
7.8 |
5.0 |
64% |
|
$11.95 |
$1,194.89 |
$1,254.77 |
24th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho |
5 |
2.0 |
41% |
|
$12.55 |
$1,254.77 |
$1,280.37 |
7th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady |
3.8 |
-0.0 |
-0% |
|
$12.80 |
$1,280.37 |
$1,280.37 |
10th Sep |
Contender Series 2024: Week 5 |
2.45 |
0.4 |
16% |
|
$12.80 |
$1,280.37 |
$1,285.49 |
14th Sep |
UFC 306 |
5.7 |
-1.7 |
-29% |
|
$12.85 |
$1,285.49 |
$1,263.89 |
17th Sep |
Contender Series 2024: Week 6 |
1.8 |
1.8 |
100% |
|
$12.64 |
$1,263.89 |
$1,286.64 |
28th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis |
6.25 |
1.3 |
20% |
|
$12.87 |
$1,286.64 |
$1,303.05 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 30.30% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
MW MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Sep '24 |
Kyle Nelson |
Steve Garcia |
2.65 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (3:59) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Aug '24 |
Kaan Ofli |
Mairon Santos |
2.75 |
1.5 |
TKO, R2 (1:30) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Aug '24 |
Luana Santos |
Casey O'Neill |
1.76 |
1.4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Aug '24 |
Tyrell Fortune |
Sergey Billostenniy |
2.45 |
1.5 |
Sub, R1 (2:0) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Aug '24 |
Jena Bishop |
Dakota Ditcheva |
4.60 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (3:54) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Jul '24 |
Marcin Prachnio |
Modestas Bukauskas |
2.35 |
1.5 |
Sub, R3 (3:12) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Jul '24 |
Bobby Green |
Paddy Pimblett |
1.90 |
1.1 |
Sub, R1 (3:22) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Jul '24 |
Caolan Loughran |
Jake Hadley |
1.50 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Jul '24 |
Seung Woo Choi |
Steve Garcia |
2.25 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (1:36) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Jul '24 |
Preston Parsons |
Oban Elliott |
1.66 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Jun '24 |
Ikram Aliskerov |
Robert Whittaker |
2.35 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:49) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Jun '24 |
Long Xiao |
Chang Ho Lee |
1.90 |
1.1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Jun '24 |
Kyung Ho Kang |
Muin Gafurov |
2.35 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Jun '24 |
Carli Judice |
Gabriella Fernandes |
2.90 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Jun '24 |
Juan Archulata |
Kleber Koike Erbst |
1.76 |
1.5 |
Sub, R1 (2:8) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Jun '24 |
Charlie Radtke |
Carlos Prates |
2.95 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:47) |
No |
|
|
17. |
May '24 |
Jack Shore |
Joanderson Brito |
2.65 |
1 |
TKO, R2 (3:35) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Apr '24 |
Ariane Lipski |
Karine Silva |
2.35 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Apr '24 |
Calvin Kattar |
Aljamain Sterling |
2.45 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Apr '24 |
Yan Xiaonan |
Weili Zhang |
4.80 |
1 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
MW MMA: Progress Chart |
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