MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6366
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2353

MMA Handicapper Stats: MW MMA

MW MMA (MakeWeight)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	80 (30%)	Right	27 (40%)	Right	35 (22%)	Right	18 (49%)
Wrong	183 (70%)	Wrong	41 (60%)	Wrong	123 (78%)	Wrong	19 (51%)
Avg Odds	3.78	Avg Odds	2.33	Avg Odds	6.08	Avg Odds	2.57
Units Bet	225.4	Units Bet	110.5	Units Bet	65.9	Units Bet	49.1
Avg Bet	0.86	Avg Bet	1.63	Avg Bet	0.42	Avg Bet	1.33
Units Profit	42.36	Units Profit	0.81	Units Profit	31.02	Units Profit	10.54
ROI %	19%	ROI %	1%	ROI %	47%	ROI %	21%

MW MMA: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	12.25	4.0	33%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	9.5 / 6.75 (141%)	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	5.65	-0.0	-0%	-0.6 / 3.45 (-16%)	0.5 / 2.2 (25%)
4th Apr '24	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	0.75	-0.8	-100%	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	11.3	5.3	47%	-2.8 / 5.45 (-52%)	2.7 / 1.9 (141%)	5.5 / 3.95 (139%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	8.3	-2.6	-32%	-1.2 / 4.5 (-27%)	0.8 / 1.6 (48%)	-2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	10.55	-3.1	-29%	-1.4 / 5.25 (-27%)	-0.1 / 3.8 (-4%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	15.35	8.5	55%	2.6 / 9.75 (27%)	-1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)	6.9 / 4.5 (154%)
7th Mar '24	PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season	1.5	2.0	130%	2.0 / 1.5 (130%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	11.9	13.0	109%	6.9 / 9 (77%)	6.1 / 2.9 (210%)
2nd Mar '24	Oktagon 54	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	4.6	0.1	3%	-0.2 / 2.45 (-9%)	0.4 / 2.15 (16%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	14.6	3.2	22%	-1.3 / 6 (-21%)	-0.4 / 4.2 (-10%)	4.9 / 4.4 (112%)
4th Feb '24	Road to UFC: Las Vegas	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	8.15	4.1	51%	2.6 / 1.5 (170%)	1.6 / 6.65 (24%)
27th Jan '24	Oktagon 52	2.5	1.6	62%	1.6 / 2.5 (62%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	10	5.5	55%	0.4 / 5 (7%)	5.2 / 5 (104%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	8.7	-6.6	-76%	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-0.5 / 2.6 (-18%)	-2.1 / 2.1 (-100%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	7.7	10.3	134%	5.2 / 3.2 (163%)		5.1 / 4.5 (113%)
9th Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	12.4	-3.6	-29%	-3.9 / 3.9 (-100%)	0.9 / 5.9 (15%)	-0.6 / 2.6 (-22%)
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	10.7	-0.8	-8%	-1.0 / 6.2 (-15%)	-1.1 / 3.5 (-33%)	1.3 / 1 (129%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	5.5	5.9	108%	1.0 / 1.2 (87%)	2.8 / 2.3 (122%)	2.1 / 2 (105%)
18th Nov '23	Oktagon 49	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	12.3	1.9	15%	1.4 / 7.4 (19%)	0.5 / 4.9 (9%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	2.1	1.6	78%	1.6 / 2.1 (78%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	15.9	-7.1	-45%	0.2 / 3.5 (5%)	-1.8 / 1.8 (-100%)	-5.5 / 10.6 (-52%)
5th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	1.6	-1.6	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		-0.6 / 0.6 (-100%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	4.2	-1.0	-24%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)	0.3 / 2.9 (9%)
29th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 4	2.2	2.0	91%	2.2 / 2 (110%)	-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
22nd Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 3	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	11.3	2.4	21%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	4.4 / 9.3 (47%)
15th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	4.7	-2.0	-43%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	0.2 / 2.5 (8%)	-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	13	4.5	35%	1.8 / 8.4 (21%)	1.1 / 3.1 (35%)	1.6 / 1.5 (110%)

Winning Events: 17 (53%)
Losing Events: 15 (47%)

Average Staked Per Event: 7.32 units
Most Staked On One Event: 15.90 units
Best Event: 13.00 units
Worst Event: -7.13 units
Average Event: 1.32 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 23.44
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -9.76

MW MMA: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	127.6	32.9	26%	0.2 / 64.6 (0%)		8.0 / 22.15 (36%)	10 / 7 (59%)	1.93
2023	106.6	9.5	9%	0.6 / 45.9 (1%)		2.5 / 26.9 (9%)	7 / 8 (47%)	0.63

MW MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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MW MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	216.45	45.7	21%	2.4 / 97.25 (2%)	31.0 / 71.95 (43%)	12.3 / 47.25 (26%)
PFL	2.25	1.2	53%	1.2 / 2.25 (53%)
Other	15.5	-4.5	-29%	-2.7 / 11 (-25%)	-0.0 / 2.7 (-0%)	-1.8 / 1.8 (-100%)

MW MMA: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	6 (9%)	3	50 %	17.40	-2.56	-0.43	-15%
Slight Favorites	13 (19%)	7	54 %	25.65	0.81	0.06	3%
Slight Underdogs	31 (45%)	16	52 %	47.55	16.67	0.54	35%
Big Underdogs	19 (28%)	2	11 %	19.90	-14.11	-0.74	-71%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	4 (6%)	2	50 %	7.50	0.95	0.24	13%
Co-Main Event	6 (9%)	3	50 %	8.75	0.97	0.16	11%
Position 3-5	20 (29%)	5	25 %	29.15	-10.21	-0.51	-35%
6+ (Undercard)	39 (57%)	18	46 %	65.10	9.10	0.23	14%

MW MMA: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	5 (7%)	4	80 %	6.75	4.94	0.99	73%
Light Heavy	3 (4%)		0 %	5.00	-5.00	-1.67	-100%
Middleweight	10 (14%)	4	40 %	17.25	3.89	0.39	23%
Welterweight	9 (13%)	6	67 %	14.90	7.71	0.86	52%
Lightweight	9 (13%)	5	56 %	18.80	3.37	0.37	18%
Featherweight	13 (19%)	4	31 %	21.05	-7.01	-0.54	-33%
Bantamweight	6 (9%)	3	50 %	10.40	3.05	0.51	29%
Flyweight	5 (7%)	1	20 %	4.20	-1.40	-0.28	-33%

Women's Fights	9 (13%)	1	11 %	12.15	-8.73	-0.97	-72%
Bantamweight	1 (1%)		0 %	1.50	-1.50	-1.50	-100%
Flyweight	4 (6%)	1	25 %	5.15	-1.73	-0.43	-34%
Strawweight	4 (6%)		0 %	5.50	-5.50	-1.38	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	27 (77%)	19	70 %
Slight Favorites	8 (23%)	4	50 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	35	23	66 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	27 (12%)	22	81 %
50-65%	25 (11%)	17	68 %
35-50%	24 (11%)	11	46 %
<35% chance	145 (66%)	24	17 %
	221	74	33 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	17 (8%)	15	88 %	1.68	11.50	1.20	16.5 (97%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	17 (8%)	12	71 %	1.54	2.62	1.19	1.3 (8%)
Goes to Decision	3 (1%)	2	67 %	1.86	2.46	1.35	0.8 (27%)
Does not go to Decision	4 (2%)	1	25 %	1.70	2.45	1.37	-2.5 (-63%)
Fight Starts Round X	7 (3%)	5	71 %	1.81	2.60	1.44	2.1 (30%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (0%)	1	100 %	1.90	1.90	1.90	0.9 (90%)
X Wins by KO	8 (4%)	1	13 %	3.26	12.00	1.60	-5.4 (-68%)
X Wins by Sub	18 (8%)	3	17 %	6.32	17.00	3.00	6.0 (33%)
X Wins by Decision	7 (3%)	3	43 %	3.51	10.00	1.75	-0.7 (-9%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (0%)	1	100 %	1.96	1.96	1.96	1.0 (96%)
X Wins in Round X	40 (18%)	7	18 %	9.79	41.00	2.50	39.3 (98%)
Others	98 (44%)	23	23 %	4.98	90.99	1.20	84.3 (86%)
	221	74	33 %	3.62			143.5 (65%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail MW MMA's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	13	4.5	35%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,045.26
15th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	4.7	-2.0	-43%		$10.45	$1,045.26	$1,024.36
19th Aug	UFC 292	11.3	2.4	21%		$10.24	$1,024.36	$1,048.69
22nd Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 3	1	-1.0	-100%		$10.49	$1,048.69	$1,038.21
29th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 4	2.2	2.0	91%		$10.38	$1,038.21	$1,058.97
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	4.2	-1.0	-24%		$10.59	$1,058.97	$1,048.12
5th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	1.6	-1.6	-100%		$10.48	$1,048.12	$1,031.35
9th Sep	UFC 293	15.9	-7.1	-45%		$10.31	$1,031.35	$957.78
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	2.1	1.6	78%		$9.58	$957.78	$973.47
11th Nov	UFC 295	12.3	1.9	15%		$9.73	$973.47	$991.77
18th Nov	Oktagon 49	2	-2.0	-100%		$9.92	$991.77	$971.94
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	5.5	5.9	108%		$9.72	$971.94	$1,029.73
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	10.7	-0.8	-8%		$10.30	$1,029.73	$1,021.31
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	12.4	-3.6	-29%		$10.21	$1,021.31	$984.76
16th Dec	UFC 296	7.7	10.3	134%		$9.85	$984.76	$1,086.12
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	8.7	-6.6	-76%		$10.86	$1,086.12	$1,014.71
20th Jan	UFC 297	10	5.5	55%		$10.15	$1,014.71	$1,071.02
27th Jan	Oktagon 52	2.5	1.6	62%		$10.71	$1,071.02	$1,087.62
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	8.15	4.1	51%		$10.88	$1,087.62	$1,132.76
4th Feb	Road to UFC: Las Vegas	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$11.33	$1,132.76	$1,127.09
17th Feb	UFC 298	14.6	3.2	22%		$11.27	$1,127.09	$1,163.52
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	4.6	0.1	3%		$11.64	$1,163.52	$1,164.92
2nd Mar	Oktagon 54	1	-1.0	-100%		$11.65	$1,164.92	$1,153.27
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	11.9	13.0	109%		$11.53	$1,153.27	$1,303.19
7th Mar	PFL Europe 1: 2024 Regular Season	1.5	2.0	130%		$13.03	$1,303.19	$1,328.61
9th Mar	UFC 299	15.35	8.5	55%		$13.29	$1,328.61	$1,441.42
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	10.55	-3.1	-29%		$14.41	$1,441.42	$1,397.09
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	8.3	-2.6	-32%		$13.97	$1,397.09	$1,360.42
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	11.3	5.3	47%		$13.60	$1,360.42	$1,432.84
4th Apr	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	0.75	-0.8	-100%		$14.33	$1,432.84	$1,422.09
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	5.65	-0.0	-0%		$14.22	$1,422.09	$1,421.92
13th Apr	UFC 300	12.25	4.0	33%		$14.22	$1,421.92	$1,479.21

ROI % from starting bank balance: 47.92% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

MW MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '24	Lukasz Brzeski	Valter Walker	3.85	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Mar '24	Joaquin Buckley	Vicente Luque	2.10	1.25	TKO, R2 (3:17)
3.	Mar '24	Youssef Zalal	Billy Quarantillo	2.20	1.5	Sub, R2 (1:50)
4.	Mar '24	Gerald Meerschaert	Bryan Barberena	1.53	2.5	Sub, R2 (4:23)
5.	Mar '24	Baissangour Chamsoudinov	Cedric Doumbe	2.30	1.5	TKO, R3 (1:21)
6.	Mar '24	Petr Yan	Yadong Song	1.90	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Mar '24	Dustin Poirier	Benoit Saint-Denis	2.90	1	TKO, R2 (2:32)
8.	Mar '24	Curtis Blaydes	Jailton Junior	1.90	2	TKO, R2 (0:36)
9.	Mar '24	Loik Radzhabov	Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady	2.50	3	TKO, R3 (0:49)
10.	Feb '24	Manuel Torres	Chris Duncan (2)	1.85	1.2	Sub, R1 (1:46)
11.	Mar '24	Christian Duncan	Claudio Ribeiro	2.80	3	TKO, R2 (1:57)
12.	Feb '24	Anthony Hernandez	Roman Kopylov	1.57	3	Sub, R2 (3:23)
13.	Feb '24	Charlie Radtke	Gilbert Urbina	2.70	1.5	TKO, R1 (4:47)
14.	Jan '24	Jake McHugh	Armand Herczeg	1.62	2.5	Sub, R1 (4:30)
15.	Jan '24	Jimmy Flick	Malcolm Gordon	2.80	1	Sub, R2 (1:17)
16.	Jan '24	Ramon Taveras	Serhiy Sidey	2.55	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Dec '23	Shamil Gaziev	Martin Buday	2.50	1	TKO, R2 (0:56)
18.	Dec '23	Ariane Lipski	Casey O'Neill	2.85	1.2	Sub, R2 (1:18)
19.	Dec '23	Shamil Gaziev	Martin Buday	2.50	1	TKO, R2 (0:56)
20.	Dec '23	Jared Gooden	Wellington Turman	2.62	2	Sub, R2 (1:11)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Calvin Kattar	Aljamain Sterling	2.45	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Apr '24	Yan Xiaonan	Weili Zhang	4.80	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
3.	Apr '24	Germaine de Randamie	Norma Dumont	2.45	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Apr '24	Morgan Charriere	Jose Mariscal	1.84	1.2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Apr '24	Chelsea Hackett	Jena Bishop	3.25	0.75	Sub, R1 (4:15)	No
6.	Mar '24	Bill Algeo	Kyle Nelson	1.47	2.2	TKO, R1 (4:0)	No
7.	Mar '24	Sedriques Dumas	Nursulton Ruziboev	3.50	1	TKO, R1 (3:18)	Yes
8.	Mar '24	Rhys McKee	Chidi Njokuani	2.75	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Mar '24	Cody Gibson	Miles Johns	2.35	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Mar '24	Amanda Ribas	Rose Namajunas	3.40	2	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
11.	Mar '24	Bryan Barberena	Gerald Meerschaert	3.00	1.25	Sub, R2 (4:23)	No
12.	Mar '24	Cory McKenna	Jaqueline Amorim	1.95	1.5	Sub, R1 (1:38)	Yes
13.	Mar '24	Rafael dos Anjos	Mateusz Gamrot	5.00	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	Yes
14.	Mar '24	Kevin Holland	Michael Page	1.80	1.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Mar '24	Jailton Junior	Curtis Blaydes	2.00	2	TKO, R2 (0:36)	No
16.	Mar '24	Makwan Amirkhani	Mochamed Machaev	2.40	1	TKO, R3 (0:6)	No
17.	Feb '24	Daniel Lacerda	Edgar Chairez	5.00	0.5	Sub, R1 (2:17)	No
18.	Feb '24	Erik Silva	Muhammadjon Naimov	4.10	0.75	TKO, R1 (0:44)	No
19.	Feb '24	Roman Kopylov	Anthony Hernandez	3.15	1.5	Sub, R2 (3:23)	Yes
20.	Mar '24	Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady	Loik Radzhabov	2.50	3	TKO, R3 (0:49)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

MW MMA: Progress Chart

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