MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6422
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2355

MMA Handicapper Stats: Contrarian Bets

Contrarian Bets (Contrarian)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	137 (38%)	Right	71 (44%)	Right	60 (33%)	Right	6 (46%)
Wrong	221 (62%)	Wrong	91 (56%)	Wrong	123 (67%)	Wrong	7 (54%)
Avg Odds	2.63	Avg Odds	2.30	Avg Odds	2.97	Avg Odds	3.09
Units Bet	782.8	Units Bet	491.0	Units Bet	267.0	Units Bet	24.8
Avg Bet	2.19	Avg Bet	3.03	Avg Bet	1.46	Avg Bet	1.91
Units Profit	-77.11	Units Profit	-49.71	Units Profit	-39.68	Units Profit	12.27
ROI %	-10%	ROI %	-10%	ROI %	-15%	ROI %	49%

Contrarian Bets: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	3	4.4	145%	4.4 / 3 (145%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	6	1.9	32%	1.9 / 6 (32%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	31.6	8.6	27%	5.4 / 27.6 (20%)		3.2 / 4 (79%)
9th Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	18	5.7	32%	5.5 / 13 (42%)	0.2 / 5 (5%)
9th Dec '23	Oktagon 50	9	-6.2	-69%	-6.2 / 9 (-69%)
8th Dec '23	PFL Europe 4: 2023 Championships	9	-1.8	-20%	-1.8 / 9 (-20%)
5th Dec '23	Brave CF 77	27	-27.0	-100%	-27.0 / 27 (-100%)
3rd Dec '23	Fury FC 84	11	-8.9	-81%	-4.9 / 7 (-70%)		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	53.8	-29.5	-55%	-9.0 / 22.8 (-40%)	-20.5 / 31 (-66%)
25th Nov '23	Cage Warriors 164	38	19.5	51%	19.5 / 38 (51%)
25th Nov '23	FCR 18	22	14.9	68%	5.5 / 11 (50%)		9.4 / 11 (86%)
25th Nov '23	Brave CF 76	8	4.0	50%	4.0 / 8 (50%)
24th Nov '23	PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship	77	-7.8	-10%	-9.3 / 54 (-17%)	1.5 / 23 (7%)
24th Nov '23	ACA 166	65	-11.3	-17%	-11.3 / 65 (-17%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	60.3	-27.9	-46%	-27.9 / 60.3 (-46%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	36.8	-8.8	-24%	-5.7 / 8.7 (-65%)	-2.1 / 27.1 (-8%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
11th Nov '23	Cage Warriors 163	4.1	5.9	144%	5.9 / 4.1 (144%)
11th Nov '23	KSW 88	2.9	0.7	26%	0.7 / 2.9 (26%)
9th Nov '23	EFC 109	5.7	-2.0	-36%	-2.0 / 5.7 (-36%)
5th Nov '23	Fury Challenger Series 9	2.2	-2.2	-100%	-2.2 / 2.2 (-100%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	15.9	-2.5	-16%	-4.8 / 4.8 (-100%)	2.3 / 11.1 (21%)
4th Nov '23	Oktagon 48	4.5	3.7	82%	3.7 / 4.5 (82%)
4th Nov '23	Rizin Landmark 7	7.8	8.3	106%	8.3 / 7.8 (106%)
3rd Nov '23	One Fight Night 16	1.5	0.7	49%	0.7 / 1.5 (49%)
3rd Nov '23	CFFC 127	2.4	-2.4	-100%	-2.4 / 2.4 (-100%)
3rd Nov '23	LFA 171	7.2	-0.7	-9%	-3.2 / 5.6 (-57%)	2.6 / 1.6 (160%)
3rd Nov '23	ACA 165	6	-1.6	-27%	-1.6 / 6 (-27%)
30th Sep '23	PFL Europe 3: 2023 Playoffs	4.2	-4.2	-100%		-4.2 / 4.2 (-100%)
29th Sep '23	One Fight Night 14	4.4	1.1	24%	1.6 / 3.9 (40%)		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
29th Sep '23	Cage Warriors 160	18.9	-11.0	-58%	-1.4 / 1.4 (-100%)	-9.5 / 17.4 (-55%)	-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
26th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 8	10.6	2.7	25%	1.0 / 1.1 (87%)	1.7 / 9.5 (18%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	34.2	-16.3	-48%	2.8 / 4.5 (63%)	-23.6 / 26.7 (-88%)	4.5 / 3 (149%)
19th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 7	11.8	-4.8	-41%		-4.8 / 11.8 (-41%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	9.1	5.9	65%	1.0 / 3 (35%)	4.9 / 6.1 (80%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	26.1	13.9	53%	4.1 / 10.2 (40%)	9.8 / 15.9 (62%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	6.6	-0.4	-6%	-0.4 / 6.6 (-6%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	36.9	13.5	36%	1.0 / 14.7 (6%)	11.5 / 21.2 (54%)	1.0 / 1 (102%)
11th Aug '23	Bellator 298	3.4	-1.3	-40%	-1.3 / 3.4 (-40%)
8th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	0.9	1.7	184%	1.7 / 0.9 (184%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	44.1	-7.3	-16%	-5.6 / 12.5 (-45%)	-1.5 / 31.5 (-5%)	-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)
5th Aug '23	LFA 164	0.7	1.9	275%	1.9 / 0.7 (275%)
5th Aug '23	A1 Combat 13	1.1	-1.1	-100%	-1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)
4th Aug '23	PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs	0.9	0.7	73%	0.7 / 0.9 (73%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	42	-9.6	-23%	-1.6 / 9.2 (-18%)	-7.9 / 32.7 (-24%)	-0.1 / 0.1 (-100%)

Winning Events: 20 (45%)
Losing Events: 24 (55%)

Average Staked Per Event: 17.99 units
Most Staked On One Event: 77.00 units
Best Event: 19.52 units
Worst Event: -29.53 units
Average Event: -1.75 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 38.46
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -73.43

Contrarian Bets: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	9	6.3	70%	6.3 / 9 (70%)			2 / (100%)	3.15
2023	782.6	-83.4	-11%	-56.0 / 482 (-12%)		12.3 / 24.8 (49%)	18 / 24 (43%)	-1.99

Contrarian Bets: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Contrarian Bets: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	424.4	-48.4	-11%	-29.0 / 206.9 (-14%)	-26.9 / 208.3 (-13%)	7.4 / 9.2 (81%)
Bellator	3.4	-1.3	-40%	-1.3 / 3.4 (-40%)
PFL	91.1	-13.2	-14%	-10.5 / 63.9 (-16%)	-2.7 / 27.2 (-10%)
Other	272.7	-14.2	-5%	-8.9 / 216.8 (-4%)	-10.1 / 40.3 (-25%)	4.8 / 15.6 (31%)

Contrarian Bets: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	5 (3%)	5	100 %	43.10	20.12	4.02	47%
Slight Favorites	41 (25%)	23	56 %	145.50	-35.03	-0.85	-24%
Slight Underdogs	83 (50%)	35	42 %	218.70	1.05	0.01	0%
Big Underdogs	38 (23%)	9	24 %	83.70	-35.86	-0.94	-43%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	21 (13%)	15	71 %	52.70	13.64	0.65	26%
Co-Main Event	15 (9%)	5	33 %	33.20	-3.65	-0.24	-11%
Position 3-5	47 (28%)	16	34 %	128.40	-40.74	-0.87	-32%
6+ (Undercard)	84 (50%)	36	43 %	276.70	-18.96	-0.23	-7%

Contrarian Bets: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	12 (7%)	4	33 %	28.60	-4.02	-0.34	-14%
Light Heavy	14 (8%)	3	21 %	39.40	-7.35	-0.53	-19%
Middleweight	13 (8%)	6	46 %	48.00	21.83	1.68	45%
Welterweight	23 (14%)	13	57 %	60.20	-6.62	-0.29	-11%
Lightweight	26 (16%)	13	50 %	58.70	10.10	0.39	17%
Featherweight	26 (16%)	13	50 %	90.40	-9.23	-0.35	-10%
Bantamweight	22 (13%)	8	36 %	88.80	-22.61	-1.03	-25%
Flyweight	12 (7%)	5	42 %	16.60	0.99	0.08	6%

Women's Fights	19 (11%)	7	37 %	60.30	-32.80	-1.73	-54%
Bantamweight	3 (2%)	1	33 %	13.00	-8.96	-2.99	-69%
Flyweight	7 (4%)	4	57 %	24.20	-12.49	-1.78	-52%
Strawweight	9 (5%)	2	22 %	23.10	-11.35	-1.26	-49%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	15 (54%)	13	87 %
Slight Favorites	10 (36%)	7	70 %
Slight Underdogs	3 (11%)	1	33 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	28	21	75 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	11 (5%)	9	82 %
50-65%	41 (20%)	23	56 %
35-50%	64 (31%)	21	33 %
<35% chance	93 (44%)	19	20 %
	209	72	34 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	46 (22%)	24	52 %	1.91	3.40	1.33	-2.6 (-6%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	45 (22%)	22	49 %	2.02	3.20	1.50	-1.8 (-4%)
Goes to Decision	3 (1%)	1	33 %	1.99	2.85	1.53	-1.0 (-33%)
Does not go to Decision	3 (1%)	1	33 %	2.08	2.55	1.57	-1.4 (-48%)
X Wins by KO	4 (2%)	3	75 %	3.35	6.50	2.40	8.9 (222%)
X Wins by Sub	6 (3%)	0	0 %	10.79	26.00	6.00	-6.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	19 (9%)	1	5 %	4.87	10.00	3.50	-12.0 (-63%)
X Wins Inside Distance	10 (5%)	2	20 %	3.06	7.50	2.30	-5.1 (-51%)
X Wins in Round X	24 (11%)	6	25 %	6.08	21.00	3.40	10.6 (44%)
Others	49 (23%)	12	24 %	3.38	41.00	1.56	5.9 (12%)
	209	72	34 %	2.72			-4.5 (-2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Contrarian Bets's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
29th Jul	UFC 291	42	-9.6	-23%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$903.67
4th Aug	PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs	0.9	0.7	73%		$9.04	$903.67	$909.64
5th Aug	LFA 164	0.7	1.9	275%		$9.10	$909.64	$927.15
5th Aug	A1 Combat 13	1.1	-1.1	-100%		$9.27	$927.15	$916.95
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	44.1	-7.3	-16%		$9.17	$916.95	$850.30
8th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	0.9	1.7	184%		$8.50	$850.30	$864.38
11th Aug	Bellator 298	3.4	-1.3	-40%		$8.64	$864.38	$852.71
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	36.9	13.5	36%		$8.53	$852.71	$967.41
19th Aug	UFC 292	6.6	-0.4	-6%		$9.67	$967.41	$963.63
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	26.1	13.9	53%		$9.64	$963.63	$1,097.85
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	9.1	5.9	65%		$10.98	$1,097.85	$1,163.05
19th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 7	11.8	-4.8	-41%		$11.63	$1,163.05	$1,106.93
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	34.2	-16.3	-48%		$11.07	$1,106.93	$927.02
26th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 8	10.6	2.7	25%		$9.27	$927.02	$951.78
29th Sep	Cage Warriors 160	18.9	-11.0	-58%		$9.52	$951.78	$846.69
29th Sep	One Fight Night 14	4.4	1.1	24%		$8.47	$846.69	$855.78
30th Sep	PFL Europe 3: 2023 Playoffs	4.2	-4.2	-100%		$8.56	$855.78	$819.84
3rd Nov	ACA 165	6	-1.6	-27%		$8.20	$819.84	$806.61
3rd Nov	LFA 171	7.2	-0.7	-9%		$8.07	$806.61	$801.31
3rd Nov	One Fight Night 16	1.5	0.7	49%		$8.01	$801.31	$807.24
3rd Nov	CFFC 127	2.4	-2.4	-100%		$8.07	$807.24	$787.87
4th Nov	Rizin Landmark 7	7.8	8.3	106%		$7.88	$787.87	$853.28
4th Nov	Oktagon 48	4.5	3.7	82%		$8.53	$853.28	$884.68
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	15.9	-2.5	-16%		$8.85	$884.68	$862.54
5th Nov	Fury Challenger Series 9	2.2	-2.2	-100%		$8.63	$862.54	$843.56
9th Nov	EFC 109	5.7	-2.0	-36%		$8.44	$843.56	$826.31
11th Nov	KSW 88	2.9	0.7	26%		$8.26	$826.31	$832.43
11th Nov	Cage Warriors 163	4.1	5.9	144%		$8.32	$832.43	$881.58
11th Nov	UFC 295	36.8	-8.8	-24%		$8.82	$881.58	$803.86
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	60.3	-27.9	-46%		$8.04	$803.86	$579.24
24th Nov	ACA 166	65	-11.3	-17%		$5.79	$579.24	$513.52
24th Nov	PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship	77	-7.8	-10%		$5.14	$513.52	$473.34
25th Nov	Brave CF 76	8	4.0	50%		$4.73	$473.34	$492.28
25th Nov	FCR 18	22	14.9	68%		$4.92	$492.28	$565.78
25th Nov	Cage Warriors 164	38	19.5	51%		$5.66	$565.78	$676.24
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	53.8	-29.5	-55%		$6.76	$676.24	$476.56
3rd Dec	Fury FC 84	11	-8.9	-81%		$4.77	$476.56	$434.15
5th Dec	Brave CF 77	27	-27.0	-100%		$4.34	$434.15	$316.93
8th Dec	PFL Europe 4: 2023 Championships	9	-1.8	-20%		$3.17	$316.93	$311.22
9th Dec	Oktagon 50	9	-6.2	-69%		$3.11	$311.22	$291.93
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	18	5.7	32%		$2.92	$291.93	$308.69
16th Dec	UFC 296	31.6	8.6	27%		$3.09	$308.69	$335.09
20th Jan	UFC 297	6	1.9	32%		$3.35	$335.09	$341.63
17th Feb	UFC 298	3	4.4	145%		$3.42	$341.63	$356.49

ROI % from starting bank balance: -64.35% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Contrarian Bets: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Dec '23	Marco Novák	Michal Konrád	2.80	1	TKO, R2 (4:7)
2.	Dec '23	Steve Garcia	Melquizael Costa	3.30	3	TKO, R2 (1:1)
3.	Feb '24	Ilia Topuria	Alex Volkanovski	2.45	3	TKO, R2 (3:32)
4.	Dec '23	Jakub Kaszuba	John Mitchell	1.80	4	TKO, R2 (3:7)
5.	Dec '23	George Carpenter	Donevin Manuel	2.10	1	Sub, R3 (1:55)
6.	Dec '23	Talita Alencar	Rayanne Amanda	2.15	4	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jan '24	Dricus Du Plessis	Sean Strickland	2.65	3	Split Decision (5 rounds)
8.	Dec '23	Shamil Gaziev	Martin Buday	2.55	6	TKO, R2 (0:56)
9.	Dec '23	Alonzo Menifield	Dustin Jacoby	2.45	6	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Nov '23	Ruslan Gabaraev	Stepan Gorshechnikov	1.61	9	TKO, R1 (0:22)
11.	Nov '23	Kamil Magomedov	Josh Togo	1.50	8	Sub, R2 (1:28)
12.	Nov '23	Hecher Sosa	Aaron Robinson	1.50	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Nov '23	Evgeniy Galochkin	Keyvan Rezaei Dalini	2.20	8	Sub, R1 (1:43)
14.	Nov '23	Mukhitdin Kholov	Albert Misikov	2.40	9	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Nov '23	Orlando Prins	Bailey Gilbert	2.15	10	TKO, R1 (3:48)
16.	Nov '23	Chris Bungard	Perry Goodwin	1.50	11	Sub, R1 (3:44)
17.	Nov '23	Dario Bellandi	Mick Stanton	1.95	10	U Decision (5 rounds)
18.	Nov '23	Phil Caracappa	Khai Wu	1.37	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Nov '23	Derek Brunson	Ray Cooper III	2.95	6	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Nov '23	Magomed Magomedkerimov	Sadibou Sy	1.70	7	Sub, R3 (1:17)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Dec '23	Vladimir Lengal	Samuel Bark	2.20	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Dec '23	Ivan Buchinger	Ronald Paradeiser	2.10	5	TKO, R3 (5:0)	No
3.	Dec '23	Mutolibsho Akobirov	Nicholas Hwende	2.05	9	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Dec '23	Maysara Mohamed	Vitaliy Yakimenko	1.77	8	Sub, R1 (2:10)	No
5.	Dec '23	Ruslan Tedeev	Olzhas Eskaraev	2.55	10	Sub, R2 (4:28)	No
6.	Dec '23	Aryion Young	Nate Richardson	2.05	6	TKO, R4 (3:45)	No
7.	Dec '23	Yazid Chouchane	Dylan Tuke	1.83	5	Sub, R2 (2:36)	No
8.	Dec '23	Lucas Almeida	Andre Fili	2.40	6	TKO, R1 (3:32)	No
9.	Jan '24	Marc-Andre Barriault	Chris Curtis	2.44	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Dec '23	Casey O'Neill	Ariane Lipski	1.66	8	Sub, R2 (1:18)	No
11.	Dec '23	Chris Gutierrez	Yadong Song	3.70	6	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
12.	Dec '23	Jamey Lyn-Horth	Veronica Macedo	1.77	9	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Dec '23	Ihor Potieria	Rodolfo Bellato	4.50	6	TKO, R2 (4:17)	No
14.	Nov '23	Dzhaddal Alibekov	Igor Zhirkov	1.57	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Nov '23	Reece McEwan	Liam Gittins	1.95	7	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
16.	Nov '23	Mikhail Egorov	Roman Ogulchanskiy	2.15	7	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Nov '23	Goran Reljic	Alexey Efremov	2.25	9	TKO, R1 (5:0)	No
18.	Nov '23	Vazha Tsiptauri	Pavel Vitruk	2.90	6	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Nov '23	Vinicius Cruz	Edil Esengulov	3.75	6	TKO, R4 (1:2)	No
20.	Nov '23	Josh Blyden	Jesse Stirn	2.80	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Contrarian Bets: Progress Chart

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