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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 5951
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2208
 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Shady Bum

Shady Bum (EwaBeachBum)

MMA MHandicapper - Shady Bum

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 75 (38%) Right 40 (51%) Right 28 (27%) Right 7 (54%)
Wrong 121 (62%) Wrong 39 (49%) Wrong 76 (73%) Wrong 6 (46%)
Avg Odds 2.56 Avg Odds 2.04 Avg Odds 3.28 Avg Odds 2.11
Units Bet 317.1 Units Bet 206.3 Units Bet 63.8 Units Bet 47.0
Avg Bet 1.62 Avg Bet 2.61 Avg Bet 0.61 Avg Bet 3.62
Units Profit 19.52 Units Profit 24.38 Units Profit -6.58 Units Profit 1.72
ROI % 6% ROI % 12% ROI % -10% ROI % 4%
View Handicapper's Profile

Shady Bum: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
2nd Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 25.3 -2.3 -9% 3.4 / 17.6 (19%) -1.7 / 3.7 (-47%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
24th Nov '23 PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 11 -11.0 -100% -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
18th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 20.92 7.9 38% 9.1 / 19.72 (46%) -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 24 -0.4 -2% 4.0 / 15.8 (25%) -0.4 / 4.2 (-9%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
4th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 11.28 9.6 85% 5.1 / 3.78 (134%) 3.0 / 3.5 (84%) 1.5 / 4 (38%)
14th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 14.74 -9.8 -66% -12.0 / 11.99 (-100%) 2.2 / 2.75 (81%)
10th Oct '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 10 2.09 -2.1 -100% -2.1 / 2.09 (-100%)
7th Oct '23 Bellator 300 2.09 -2.1 -100% -2.1 / 2.09 (-100%)
7th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 18.16 12.8 70% 8.0 / 9.16 (87%) 0.9 / 5 (18%) 3.8 / 4 (96%)
23rd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 13.36 10.2 76% 9.7 / 11.96 (81%) 0.5 / 1.4 (36%)
9th Sep '23 UFC 293 17.77 1.7 10% 1.9 / 7.17 (27%) -5.6 / 5.6 (-100%) 5.4 / 5 (108%)
2nd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 17.08 8.6 50% 2.9 / 9.58 (30%) 0.4 / 5.5 (7%) 5.3 / 2 (264%)
26th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 16.85 -0.6 -4% 1.3 / 9.55 (14%) 2.0 / 3.3 (61%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
19th Aug '23 UFC 292 18.38 -4.8 -26% -0.4 / 5.98 (-7%) -0.4 / 8.4 (-5%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
12th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 21.02 15.2 72% 11.7 / 17.02 (69%) 3.6 / 4 (89%)
5th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 20.41 -10.8 -53% -12.7 / 16.41 (-77%) 1.9 / 4 (49%)
29th Jul '23 UFC 291 18.5 -2.8 -15% 4.5 / 11.25 (40%) -3.3 / 3.25 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
22nd Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 21.14 -5.9 -28% 1.9 / 13.34 (14%) -3.8 / 3.8 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
15th Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 22.97 6.2 27% 1.3 / 10.77 (12%) -1.2 / 8.2 (-14%) 6.1 / 4 (152%)


Winning Events: 8 (42%)
Losing Events: 11 (58%)

Average Staked Per Event: 16.69 units
Most Staked On One Event: 25.30 units
Best Event: 15.24 units
Worst Event: -11.00 units
Average Event: 1.03 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 33.23
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -19.44

Shady Bum: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2023 317.06 19.5 6% 24.4 / 206.26 (12%) 1.7 / 47 (4%) 8 / 11 (42%) 1.03

Shady Bum: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Shady Bum: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 301.88 34.7 11% 39.6 / 191.08 (21%) -6.6 / 63.8 (-10%) 1.7 / 47 (4%)
Bellator 2.09 -2.1 -100% -2.1 / 2.09 (-100%)
PFL 11 -11.0 -100% -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
Other 2.09 -2.1 -100% -2.1 / 2.09 (-100%)

Shady Bum: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 5 (6%) 4 80 % 28.33 9.93 1.99 35%
Slight Favorites 34 (40%) 20 59 % 103.61 2.05 0.06 2%
Slight Underdogs 39 (46%) 16 41 % 66.68 6.75 0.17 10%
Big Underdogs 7 (8%) 3 43 % 7.64 5.64 0.81 74%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 12 (14%) 8 67 % 40.58 20.93 1.74 52%
Co-Main Event 9 (11%) 3 33 % 18.63 0.00 0.00 0%
Position 3-5 28 (33%) 15 54 % 70.48 11.93 0.43 17%
6+ (Undercard) 36 (42%) 17 47 % 76.57 -8.48 -0.24 -11%

Shady Bum: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 5 (6%) 1 20 % 8.65 -4.95 -0.99 -57%
Light Heavy 8 (9%) 6 75 % 29.20 14.32 1.79 49%
Middleweight 8 (9%) 3 38 % 28.31 -5.52 -0.69 -19%
Welterweight 11 (13%) 5 45 % 17.83 4.50 0.41 25%
Lightweight 16 (19%) 9 56 % 42.27 6.83 0.43 16%
Featherweight 14 (16%) 8 57 % 27.10 5.84 0.42 22%
Bantamweight 10 (12%) 5 50 % 20.64 1.74 0.17 8%
Flyweight 5 (6%) 2 40 % 10.77 -1.46 -0.29 -14%
               
Women's Fights 8 (9%) 4 50 % 21.49 3.07 0.38 14%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 1 100 % 3.60 2.57 2.57 71%
Bantamweight 2 (2%) 1 50 % 3.28 0.42 0.21 13%
Flyweight 3 (4%) 0 % 5.37 -5.37 -1.79 -100%
Strawweight 2 (2%) 2 100 % 9.24 5.45 2.73 59%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 20 (80%) 13 65 %
Slight Favorites 5 (20%) 5 100 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
25 18 72 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 15 (14%) 6 40 %
35-50% 26 (25%) 12 46 %
<35% chance 64 (61%) 11 17 %
105 29 28 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (2%) 0 0 % 2.20 2.45Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (3%) 0 0 % 1.75 1.87Pick was incorrect 1.57Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
Fight Starts Round X 3 (3%) 1 33 % 1.88 1.95Pick was incorrect 1.83Pick was incorrect -1.1 (-38%)
X Wins by KO 12 (11%) 1 8 % 3.36 13.00Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was correct -10.1 (-84%)
X Wins by Sub 11 (10%) 2 18 % 4.19 13.00Pick was incorrect 2.15Pick was correct -5.5 (-50%)
X Wins by Decision 42 (40%) 15 36 % 3.24 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was incorrect -1.4 (-3%)
X Wins Inside Distance 11 (10%) 5 45 % 2.39 7.50Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was correct 0.5 (5%)
X Wins in Round X 13 (12%) 2 15 % 7.78 19.00Pick was correct 3.50Pick was incorrect 13.0 (100%)
Others 8 (8%) 3 38 % 2.68 9.50Pick was incorrect 1.77Pick was incorrect -0.8 (-10%)
105 29 28 % 3.22     -10.4 (-10%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Shady Bum's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
15th Jul UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 22.97 6.2 27% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,062.39
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 21.14 -5.9 -28% $10.62 $1,062.39 $999.65
29th Jul UFC 291 18.5 -2.8 -15% $10.00 $999.65 $971.98
5th Aug UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 20.41 -10.8 -53% $9.72 $971.98 $867.37
12th Aug UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 21.02 15.2 72% $8.67 $867.37 $999.53
19th Aug UFC 292 18.38 -4.8 -26% $10.00 $999.53 $951.22
26th Aug UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 16.85 -0.6 -4% $9.51 $951.22 $945.26
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 17.08 8.6 50% $9.45 $945.26 $1,026.10
9th Sep UFC 293 17.77 1.7 10% $10.26 $1,026.10 $1,043.94
23rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 13.36 10.2 76% $10.44 $1,043.94 $1,150.00
7th Oct UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 18.16 12.8 70% $11.50 $1,150.00 $1,296.99
7th Oct Bellator 300 2.09 -2.1 -100% $12.97 $1,296.99 $1,269.89
10th Oct Contender Series 2023: Week 10 2.09 -2.1 -100% $12.70 $1,269.89 $1,243.35
14th Oct UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 14.74 -9.8 -66% $12.43 $1,243.35 $1,121.93
4th Nov UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 11.28 9.6 85% $11.22 $1,121.93 $1,229.19
11th Nov UFC 295 24 -0.4 -2% $12.29 $1,229.19 $1,223.97
18th Nov UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 20.92 7.9 38% $12.24 $1,223.97 $1,320.24
24th Nov PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 11 -11.0 -100% $13.20 $1,320.24 $1,175.01
2nd Dec UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 25.3 -2.3 -9% $11.75 $1,175.01 $1,147.48


ROI % from starting bank balance: 14.75% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Shady Bum: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Dec '23 Arman Tsarukyan Beneil Dariush 1.50 8.05 TKO, R1 (1:4) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '23 Deiveson Figueiredo Rob Font 2.49 2.09 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '23 Drakkar Klose Joe Solecki 1.78 2.09 TKO, R1 (1:41) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '23 Myktybek Orolbai Uros Medic 1.87 3.6 Sub, R2 (4:12) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '23 Brendan Allen Paul Craig 1.36 8.05 Sub, R3 (0:38) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '23 Ailin Perez Lucie Pudilova 1.77 2.09 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '23 Rafael Estevam Charles Johnson 2.05 3.6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '23 Alex Pereira Jiri Prochazka 1.91 8.05 TKO, R2 (4:8) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '23 Diego Lopes Pat Sabatini 2.10 2.09 TKO, R1 (1:30) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '23 Nicolas Dalby Gabriel Bonfim 5.50 0.5 TKO, R2 (4:33) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '23 Angela Hill Denise Gomes 2.20 1.19 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '23 Marc Diakiese Kaue Fernandes 1.67 2.09 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '23 Bobby Green Grant Dawson 3.90 1.19 TKO, R1 (0:33) MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '23 Bill Algeo Alexander Hernandez 2.10 1.99 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '23 Bill Algeo Alexander Hernandez 1.69 3.6 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '23 Qileng Aori Johnny Munoz 1.91 1.19 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '23 Mateusz Gamrot Rafael Fiziev 2.30 1.19 TKO, R2 (2:3) MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '23 Miles Johns Dan Argueta 2.60 2.41 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '23 Charles Jourdain Ricardo Ramos 1.77 3.6 Sub, R1 (3:12) MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '23 Miles Johns Dan Argueta 2.60 1.19 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '23 Bobby Green Jalin Turner 2.70 1.19 TKO, R1 (2:49) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '23 Kelvin Gastelum Sean Brady 2.01 0.9 Sub, R3 (1:43) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '23 Kelvin Gastelum Sean Brady 1.95 1.19 Sub, R3 (1:43) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '23 Jamey Lyn-Horth Veronica Macedo 1.69 2.09 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '23 Ray Cooper III Derek Brunson 1.88 8 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '23 Ray Cooper III Derek Brunson 1.65 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '23 Jonathan Pearce Joanderson Brito 1.77 1.19 Sub, R2 (3:54) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '23 Jordan Leavitt Chase Hooper 2.95 1.19 Sub, R1 (2:58) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '23 Kevin Borjas Joshua Van 3.00 1.19 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '23 Mark O. Madsen Jared Gordon 2.70 1.19 TKO, R1 (4:42) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '23 Kyung Ho Kang John Castaneda 2.20 1.19 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '23 Sergey Pavlovich Tom Aspinall 2.05 2.09 TKO, R1 (1:9) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '23 Andre Petroski Michel Pereira 2.80 1.19 TKO, R1 (1:6) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '23 Sodiq Yusuff Edson Barboza 1.61 3.6 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '23 Jennifer Maia Viviane Araujo 1.67 3.6 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '23 Adrian Yanez Jonathan Martinez 1.87 3.6 TKO, R2 (2:26) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '23 Cortavious Romious Ramon Taveras 1.47 2.09 TKO, R1 (0:29) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '23 Henry Corrales Kai Kamaka 2.60 0.9 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '23 Henry Corrales Kai Kamaka 2.35 1.19 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '23 Abdul Razak Alhassan Joe Pyfer 4.25 1.19 Sub, R2 (2:5) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Shady Bum: Progress Chart
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