MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6424
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2371

MMA Handicapper Stats: Shady Bum

Shady Bum (EwaBeachBum)

MMA MHandicapper - Shady Bum

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	82 (38%)	Right	44 (48%)	Right	29 (26%)	Right	9 (60%)
Wrong	135 (62%)	Wrong	47 (52%)	Wrong	82 (74%)	Wrong	6 (40%)
Avg Odds	2.52	Avg Odds	2.03	Avg Odds	3.24	Avg Odds	2.06
Units Bet	359.8	Units Bet	238.2	Units Bet	68.6	Units Bet	53.0
Avg Bet	1.66	Avg Bet	2.62	Avg Bet	0.62	Avg Bet	3.53
Units Profit	8.52	Units Profit	11.16	Units Profit	-9.23	Units Profit	6.59
ROI %	2%	ROI %	5%	ROI %	-13%	ROI %	12%

Shady Bum: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	3.6	-3.6	-100%	-3.6 / 3.6 (-100%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	21.75	-9.7	-45%	-8.6 / 18.45 (-46%)	-1.2 / 3.3 (-35%)
9th Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	17.37	2.3	13%	-1.1 / 9.87 (-11%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	4.9 / 6 (81%)
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	25.3	-2.3	-9%	3.4 / 17.6 (19%)	-1.7 / 3.7 (-47%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
24th Nov '23	PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship	11	-11.0	-100%	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	20.92	7.9	38%	9.1 / 19.72 (46%)	-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	24	-0.4	-2%	4.0 / 15.8 (25%)	-0.4 / 4.2 (-9%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	11.28	9.6	85%	5.1 / 3.78 (134%)	3.0 / 3.5 (84%)	1.5 / 4 (38%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	14.74	-9.8	-66%	-12.0 / 11.99 (-100%)	2.2 / 2.75 (81%)
10th Oct '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 10	2.09	-2.1	-100%	-2.1 / 2.09 (-100%)
7th Oct '23	Bellator 300	2.09	-2.1	-100%	-2.1 / 2.09 (-100%)
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	18.16	12.8	70%	8.0 / 9.16 (87%)	0.9 / 5 (18%)	3.8 / 4 (96%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	13.36	10.2	76%	9.7 / 11.96 (81%)	0.5 / 1.4 (36%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	17.77	1.7	10%	1.9 / 7.17 (27%)	-5.6 / 5.6 (-100%)	5.4 / 5 (108%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	17.08	8.6	50%	2.9 / 9.58 (30%)	0.4 / 5.5 (7%)	5.3 / 2 (264%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	16.85	-0.6	-4%	1.3 / 9.55 (14%)	2.0 / 3.3 (61%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	18.38	-4.8	-26%	-0.4 / 5.98 (-7%)	-0.4 / 8.4 (-5%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	21.02	15.2	72%	11.7 / 17.02 (69%)		3.6 / 4 (89%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	20.41	-10.8	-53%	-12.7 / 16.41 (-77%)	1.9 / 4 (49%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	18.5	-2.8	-15%	4.5 / 11.25 (40%)	-3.3 / 3.25 (-100%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
22nd Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	21.14	-5.9	-28%	1.9 / 13.34 (14%)	-3.8 / 3.8 (-100%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
15th Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	22.97	6.2	27%	1.3 / 10.77 (12%)	-1.2 / 8.2 (-14%)	6.1 / 4 (152%)

Winning Events: 9 (41%)
Losing Events: 13 (59%)

Average Staked Per Event: 16.35 units
Most Staked On One Event: 25.30 units
Best Event: 15.24 units
Worst Event: -11.00 units
Average Event: 0.39 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 33.23
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -19.44

Shady Bum: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	3.6	-3.6	-100%	-3.6 / 3.6 (-100%)			/ 1 (0%)	-3.60
2023	356.18	12.1	3%	14.8 / 234.58 (6%)		6.6 / 53 (12%)	9 / 12 (43%)	0.58

Shady Bum: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Shady Bum: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	344.6	23.7	7%	26.3 / 223 (12%)	-9.2 / 68.6 (-13%)	6.6 / 53 (12%)
Bellator	2.09	-2.1	-100%	-2.1 / 2.09 (-100%)
PFL	11	-11.0	-100%	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
Other	2.09	-2.1	-100%	-2.1 / 2.09 (-100%)

Shady Bum: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	6 (6%)	5	83 %	31.93	11.78	1.96	37%
Slight Favorites	39 (40%)	22	56 %	120.58	-5.95	-0.15	-5%
Slight Underdogs	44 (45%)	17	39 %	76.84	0.88	0.02	1%
Big Underdogs	8 (8%)	3	38 %	8.83	4.45	0.56	50%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	14 (14%)	8	57 %	49.77	11.74	0.84	24%
Co-Main Event	10 (10%)	3	30 %	19.82	-1.19	-0.12	-6%
Position 3-5	32 (33%)	17	53 %	79.45	11.77	0.37	15%
6+ (Undercard)	41 (42%)	19	46 %	89.14	-11.17	-0.27	-13%

Shady Bum: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (6%)	2	33 %	10.74	-2.76	-0.46	-26%
Light Heavy	8 (8%)	6	75 %	29.20	14.32	1.79	49%
Middleweight	10 (10%)	3	30 %	34.00	-11.21	-1.12	-33%
Welterweight	13 (13%)	5	38 %	25.51	-3.18	-0.24	-12%
Lightweight	18 (19%)	10	56 %	47.06	7.49	0.42	16%
Featherweight	14 (14%)	8	57 %	27.10	5.84	0.42	22%
Bantamweight	11 (11%)	5	45 %	21.83	0.55	0.05	3%
Flyweight	8 (8%)	3	38 %	17.65	-4.97	-0.62	-28%

Women's Fights	9 (9%)	5	56 %	25.09	5.07	0.56	20%
Featherweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	3.60	2.57	2.57	71%
Bantamweight	3 (3%)	2	67 %	6.88	2.42	0.81	35%
Flyweight	3 (3%)		0 %	5.37	-5.37	-1.79	-100%
Strawweight	2 (2%)	2	100 %	9.24	5.45	2.73	59%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	24 (83%)	17	71 %
Slight Favorites	5 (17%)	5	100 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	29	22	76 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	1 (1%)	1	100 %
50-65%	16 (14%)	6	38 %
35-50%	28 (25%)	13	46 %
<35% chance	68 (60%)	11	16 %
	113	31	27 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (2%)	0	0 %	2.20	2.45	2.00	-2.0 (-100%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	4 (4%)	1	25 %	1.67	1.87	1.48	-2.5 (-63%)
Fight Starts Round X	3 (3%)	1	33 %	1.88	1.95	1.83	-1.1 (-38%)
X Wins by KO	13 (12%)	1	8 %	3.44	13.00	1.91	-11.1 (-85%)
X Wins by Sub	11 (10%)	2	18 %	4.19	13.00	2.15	-5.5 (-50%)
X Wins by Decision	45 (40%)	16	36 %	3.21	11.00	1.91	-2.3 (-5%)
X Wins Inside Distance	11 (10%)	5	45 %	2.39	7.50	1.61	0.5 (5%)
X Wins in Round X	13 (12%)	2	15 %	7.78	19.00	3.50	13.0 (100%)
Others	11 (10%)	3	27 %	2.60	9.50	1.77	-3.8 (-35%)
	113	31	27 %	3.15			-14.8 (-13%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Shady Bum's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
15th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	22.97	6.2	27%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,062.39
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	21.14	-5.9	-28%		$10.62	$1,062.39	$999.65
29th Jul	UFC 291	18.5	-2.8	-15%		$10.00	$999.65	$971.98
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	20.41	-10.8	-53%		$9.72	$971.98	$867.37
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	21.02	15.2	72%		$8.67	$867.37	$999.53
19th Aug	UFC 292	18.38	-4.8	-26%		$10.00	$999.53	$951.22
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	16.85	-0.6	-4%		$9.51	$951.22	$945.26
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	17.08	8.6	50%		$9.45	$945.26	$1,026.10
9th Sep	UFC 293	17.77	1.7	10%		$10.26	$1,026.10	$1,043.94
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	13.36	10.2	76%		$10.44	$1,043.94	$1,150.00
7th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	18.16	12.8	70%		$11.50	$1,150.00	$1,296.99
7th Oct	Bellator 300	2.09	-2.1	-100%		$12.97	$1,296.99	$1,269.89
10th Oct	Contender Series 2023: Week 10	2.09	-2.1	-100%		$12.70	$1,269.89	$1,243.35
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	14.74	-9.8	-66%		$12.43	$1,243.35	$1,121.93
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	11.28	9.6	85%		$11.22	$1,121.93	$1,229.19
11th Nov	UFC 295	24	-0.4	-2%		$12.29	$1,229.19	$1,223.97
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	20.92	7.9	38%		$12.24	$1,223.97	$1,320.24
24th Nov	PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship	11	-11.0	-100%		$13.20	$1,320.24	$1,175.01
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	25.3	-2.3	-9%		$11.75	$1,175.01	$1,147.48
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	17.37	2.3	13%		$11.47	$1,147.48	$1,173.97
16th Dec	UFC 296	21.75	-9.7	-45%		$11.74	$1,173.97	$1,059.91
20th Jan	UFC 297	3.6	-3.6	-100%		$10.60	$1,059.91	$1,021.76

ROI % from starting bank balance: 2.18% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Shady Bum: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Dec '23	Shamil Gaziev	Martin Buday	2.05	2.09	TKO, R2 (0:56)
2.	Dec '23	Tim Elliott	Su Mudaerji	1.61	2.09	Sub, R1 (4:2)
3.	Dec '23	Nasrat Haqparast	Jamie Mullarkey	1.51	3.6	TKO, R1 (1:44)
4.	Dec '23	Irene Aldana	Karol Rosa	1.56	3.6	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Dec '23	Arman Tsarukyan	Beneil Dariush	1.50	8.05	TKO, R1 (1:4)
6.	Dec '23	Deiveson Figueiredo	Rob Font	2.49	2.09	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Dec '23	Drakkar Klose	Joe Solecki	1.78	2.09	TKO, R1 (1:41)
8.	Nov '23	Myktybek Orolbai	Uros Medic	1.87	3.6	Sub, R2 (4:12)
9.	Nov '23	Brendan Allen	Paul Craig	1.36	8.05	Sub, R3 (0:38)
10.	Nov '23	Ailin Perez	Lucie Pudilova	1.77	2.09	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Nov '23	Rafael Estevam	Charles Johnson	2.05	3.6	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Nov '23	Alex Pereira	Jiri Prochazka	1.91	8.05	TKO, R2 (4:8)
13.	Nov '23	Diego Lopes	Pat Sabatini	2.10	2.09	TKO, R1 (1:30)
14.	Nov '23	Nicolas Dalby	Gabriel Bonfim	5.50	0.5	TKO, R2 (4:33)
15.	Nov '23	Angela Hill	Denise Gomes	2.20	1.19	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Nov '23	Marc Diakiese	Kaue Fernandes	1.67	2.09	Split Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Oct '23	Bobby Green	Grant Dawson	3.90	1.19	TKO, R1 (0:33)
18.	Oct '23	Bill Algeo	Alexander Hernandez	2.10	1.99	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Oct '23	Bill Algeo	Alexander Hernandez	1.69	3.6	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Oct '23	Qileng Aori	Johnny Munoz	1.91	1.19	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jan '24	Sean Strickland	Dricus Du Plessis	1.67	3.6	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
2.	Dec '23	Jun Yong Park	Andre Muniz	1.54	2.09	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Dec '23	Kenan Song	Kevin Jousset	2.35	2.09	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Dec '23	Brandon Royval	Alexandre Pantoja	2.60	1.19	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
5.	Dec '23	Colby Covington	Leon Edwards	1.95	5.59	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
6.	Dec '23	Tony Ferguson	Paddy Pimblett	3.80	1.19	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Dec '23	Brian Kelleher	Cody Garbrandt	2.75	1.19	TKO, R1 (3:42)	No
8.	Dec '23	Cody Durden	Tagir Ulanbekov	2.20	3.6	Sub, R2 (4:25)	No
9.	Dec '23	Bobby Green	Jalin Turner	2.70	1.19	TKO, R1 (2:49)	No
10.	Dec '23	Kelvin Gastelum	Sean Brady	2.01	0.9	Sub, R3 (1:43)	No
11.	Dec '23	Kelvin Gastelum	Sean Brady	1.95	1.19	Sub, R3 (1:43)	No
12.	Dec '23	Jamey Lyn-Horth	Veronica Macedo	1.69	2.09	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Nov '23	Ray Cooper III	Derek Brunson	1.88	8	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Nov '23	Ray Cooper III	Derek Brunson	1.65	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Nov '23	Jonathan Pearce	Joanderson Brito	1.77	1.19	Sub, R2 (3:54)	No
16.	Nov '23	Jordan Leavitt	Chase Hooper	2.95	1.19	Sub, R1 (2:58)	No
17.	Nov '23	Kevin Borjas	Joshua Van	3.00	1.19	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Nov '23	Mark O. Madsen	Jared Gordon	2.70	1.19	TKO, R1 (4:42)	No
19.	Nov '23	Kyung Ho Kang	John Castaneda	2.20	1.19	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Nov '23	Sergey Pavlovich	Tom Aspinall	2.05	2.09	TKO, R1 (1:9)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Shady Bum: Progress Chart

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