MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6366
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2353

MMA Handicapper Stats: Phil Goose

Phil Goose (TheIdol)

MMA MHandicapper - Phil Goose

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	62 (48%)	Right	47 (59%)	Right	8 (44%)	Right	7 (23%)
Wrong	66 (52%)	Wrong	33 (41%)	Wrong	10 (56%)	Wrong	23 (77%)
Avg Odds	2.31	Avg Odds	1.92	Avg Odds	2.50	Avg Odds	4.67
Units Bet	428.0	Units Bet	318.0	Units Bet	40.3	Units Bet	69.8
Avg Bet	3.34	Avg Bet	3.98	Avg Bet	2.24	Avg Bet	2.33
Units Profit	84.56	Units Profit	44.56	Units Profit	9.35	Units Profit	30.64
ROI %	20%	ROI %	14%	ROI %	23%	ROI %	44%

Phil Goose: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	4.5	-2.5	-56%	1.0 / 1 (100%)		-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
6th Apr '24	Cage Warriors 170	4	-2.9	-71%	0.1 / 1 (15%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
4th Apr '24	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	8.5	-0.2	-2%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	0.9 / 1.5 (61%)	0.9 / 5 (18%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	3	-3.0	-100%			-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	20.5	7.8	38%	3.4 / 7.5 (46%)	0.7 / 2.75 (27%)	3.6 / 10.25 (36%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	21	-4.1	-19%	1.9 / 15 (13%)		-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	18	16.3	91%	4.1 / 15 (27%)		12.2 / 3 (408%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	100	-11.4	-11%	-2.9 / 91.5 (-3%)	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	50.5	7.3	15%	11.1 / 35.5 (31%)	-0.8 / 12 (-6%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	47.5	-5.4	-11%	0.6 / 41.5 (2%)		-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	20.5	1.3	7%	4.6 / 8.5 (55%)	2.7 / 6 (45%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	20	51.3	256%	10.3 / 18.5 (56%)		41.0 / 1.5 (2,730%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	41	7.9	19%	7.9 / 41 (19%)
4th Aug '23	PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs	4.5	-2.1	-47%	-2.1 / 4.5 (-47%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	16	8.7	55%	3.9 / 13 (30%)	4.8 / 3 (160%)
22nd Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	11	-2.2	-20%	0.8 / 4 (19%)	0.0 / 4 (0%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
15th Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	21.5	16.4	76%	-2.0 / 9.5 (-21%)	6.4 / 5.5 (117%)	11.9 / 6.5 (183%)
14th Jul '23	One Fight Night 12	6	0.3	5%	3.3 / 3 (110%)		-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Jul '23	UFC 290	10	0.8	8%	0.3 / 6 (5%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	1.5 / 3 (50%)

Winning Events: 10 (53%)
Losing Events: 9 (47%)

Average Staked Per Event: 22.53 units
Most Staked On One Event: 100.00 units
Best Event: 51.28 units
Worst Event: -11.42 units
Average Event: 4.45 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 60.54
Max Losing Streak: Events: 4, Units: -11.42

Phil Goose: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	40.5	-0.7	-2%	2.6 / 11.5 (23%)		-5.0 / 24.75 (-20%)	1 / 4 (20%)	-0.14
2023	387.5	85.3	22%	42.0 / 306.5 (14%)		35.6 / 45 (79%)	9 / 5 (64%)	6.09

Phil Goose: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Phil Goose: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	405	89.4	22%	45.2 / 307.5 (15%)	8.4 / 38.75 (22%)	35.8 / 58.75 (61%)
PFL	13	-2.3	-18%	-4.1 / 6.5 (-63%)	0.9 / 1.5 (61%)	0.9 / 5 (18%)
Other	10	-2.6	-26%	3.4 / 4 (86%)		-6.0 / 6 (-100%)

Phil Goose: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	16 (20%)	13	81 %	113.75	18.04	1.13	16%
Slight Favorites	22 (28%)	17	77 %	119.00	34.49	1.57	29%
Slight Underdogs	34 (43%)	15	44 %	66.75	0.72	0.02	1%
Big Underdogs	8 (10%)	2	25 %	18.50	-8.70	-1.09	-47%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	5 (6%)	4	80 %	11.75	9.58	1.92	82%
Co-Main Event	9 (11%)	3	33 %	46.75	-16.10	-1.79	-34%
Position 3-5	16 (20%)	8	50 %	71.00	2.64	0.17	4%
6+ (Undercard)	50 (63%)	32	64 %	188.50	48.44	0.97	26%

Phil Goose: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	12 (15%)	6	50 %	38.00	2.42	0.20	6%
Light Heavy	9 (11%)	3	33 %	42.50	-18.05	-2.01	-42%
Middleweight	2 (3%)		0 %	3.50	-3.50	-1.75	-100%
Welterweight	11 (14%)	9	82 %	48.25	21.04	1.91	44%
Lightweight	10 (13%)	8	80 %	38.00	18.86	1.89	50%
Featherweight	10 (13%)	6	60 %	40.00	-1.52	-0.15	-4%
Bantamweight	9 (11%)	4	44 %	29.50	-3.57	-0.40	-12%
Flyweight	6 (8%)	3	50 %	19.75	1.39	0.23	7%

Women's Fights	11 (14%)	8	73 %	58.50	27.49	2.50	47%
Flyweight	8 (10%)	6	75 %	42.00	24.49	3.06	58%
Strawweight	3 (4%)	2	67 %	16.50	3.00	1.00	18%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	36 (48%)	27	75 %
Slight Favorites	23 (31%)	16	70 %
Slight Underdogs	14 (19%)	5	36 %
Big Underdogs	2 (3%)	0	0 %
	75	48	64 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	4 (8%)	3	75 %
50-65%	21 (40%)	14	67 %
35-50%	11 (21%)	7	64 %
<35% chance	16 (31%)	4	25 %
	52	28	54 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (10%)	4	80 %	1.71	1.83	1.57	1.9 (37%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (2%)	0	0 %	1.29	1.29	1.29	-1.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.63	1.63	1.63	0.6 (63%)
X Wins by KO	3 (6%)	2	67 %	1.77	2.75	1.40	0.0 (0%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (4%)	0	0 %	3.43	4.00	3.00	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	9 (17%)	1	11 %	2.65	5.00	1.71	-7.0 (-78%)
X Wins in Round X	2 (4%)	2	100 %	3.07	3.75	2.60	4.3 (217%)
Others	29 (56%)	18	62 %	2.17	6.50	1.36	10.8 (37%)
	52	28	54 %	2.17			7.6 (15%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Phil Goose's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
8th Jul	UFC 290	10	0.8	8%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,008.14
14th Jul	One Fight Night 12	6	0.3	5%		$10.08	$1,008.14	$1,011.16
15th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	21.5	16.4	76%		$10.11	$1,011.16	$1,176.53
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	11	-2.2	-20%		$11.77	$1,176.53	$1,150.33
29th Jul	UFC 291	16	8.7	55%		$11.50	$1,150.33	$1,250.98
4th Aug	PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs	4.5	-2.1	-47%		$12.51	$1,250.98	$1,224.71
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	41	7.9	19%		$12.25	$1,224.71	$1,321.77
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	20	51.3	256%		$13.22	$1,321.77	$1,999.61
19th Aug	UFC 292	20.5	1.3	7%		$20.00	$1,999.61	$2,026.27
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	47.5	-5.4	-11%		$20.26	$2,026.27	$1,917.75
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	50.5	7.3	15%		$19.18	$1,917.75	$2,058.64
9th Sep	UFC 293	100	-11.4	-11%		$20.59	$2,058.64	$1,823.44
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	18	16.3	91%		$18.23	$1,823.44	$2,121.37
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	21	-4.1	-19%	$5	$21.21	$2,121.37	$2,029.88
9th Mar	UFC 299	20.5	7.8	38%	$5	$20.30	$2,029.88	$2,184.04
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	3	-3.0	-100%		$21.84	$2,184.04	$2,118.52
4th Apr	PFL 1: 2024 Regular Season	8.5	-0.2	-2%		$21.19	$2,118.52	$2,114.45
6th Apr	Cage Warriors 170	4	-2.9	-71%		$21.14	$2,114.45	$2,054.16
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	4.5	-2.5	-56%		$20.54	$2,054.16	$2,002.81

ROI % from starting bank balance: 100.28% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Phil Goose: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Apr '24	Dara Ward	Ben Petches-Kelly	1.53	0.75	Sub, R1 (2:44)
2.	Apr '24	Jose Mariscal	Morgan Charriere	2.00	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Mar '24	Petr Yan	Yadong Song	1.80	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Mar '24	Curtis Blaydes	Jailton Junior	1.94	1	TKO, R2 (0:36)
5.	Sep '23	Mateusz Gamrot	Rafael Fiziev	2.30	1	TKO, R2 (2:3)
6.	Sep '23	Tim Means	Andre Fialho	2.40	2.5	TKO, R3 (1:15)
7.	Sep '23	Mohammed Usman	Jake Collier	1.72	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Sep '23	Tracy Cortez	Jasmine Jasudavicius	1.91	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Sep '23	Kevin Jousset	Kiefer Crosbie	1.63	11	Sub, R1 (4:49)
10.	Sep '23	Charlie Radtke	Mike Mathetha	1.36	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Sep '23	Gabriel Miranda	Shane Young	2.40	5.5	Sub, R1 (0:59)
12.	Sep '23	Nasrat Haqparast	Landon Quiñones	1.25	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Sep '23	Carlos Ulberg	Da Un Jung	1.36	11	Sub, R3 (4:49)
14.	Sep '23	Manel Kape	Felipe Dos Santos	1.25	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Sep '23	Manon Fiorot	Rose Namajunas	1.50	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Sep '23	Benoit Saint-Denis	Thiago Moises	1.59	10	TKO, R2 (4:44)
17.	Sep '23	Ange Loosa	Rhys McKee	1.57	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Aug '23	Junior Tafa	Parker Porter	1.67	2	TKO, R1 (1:24)
19.	Aug '23	Erin Blanchfield	Taila Santos	1.67	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Aug '23	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	Lukasz Brzeski	1.44	10	TKO, R1 (3:1)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Pawel Jezierski	Jamie Abbott-Bissett	2.05	0.25	TKO, R2 (2:3)	No
2.	Apr '24	Linton Vassell	Denis Goltsov	2.10	0.75	TKO, R3 (3:11)	No
3.	Apr '24	Ante Delija	Valentin Moldavsky	2.35	0.75	TKO, R1 (2:17)	No
4.	Apr '24	Steve Mowry	Oleg Popov	2.25	0.5	TKO, R2 (3:47)	No
5.	Mar '24	Jailton Junior	Curtis Blaydes	1.91	1	TKO, R2 (0:36)	No
6.	Mar '24	Pedro Munhoz	Kyler Phillips	2.80	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Sep '23	Dan Ige	Bryce Mitchell	2.70	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Sep '23	Dan Argueta	Miles Johns	1.55	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Sep '23	Kevin Holland	Jack Della Maddalena	2.10	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Sep '23	Jack Jenkins	Jose Mariscal	1.45	11	TKO, R2 (3:19)	No
11.	Sep '23	Tai Tuivasa	Alexander Volkov	2.87	5	Sub, R2 (4:37)	No
12.	Sep '23	Austen Lane	Justin Tafa	3.00	5	TKO, R1 (1:22)	No
13.	Sep '23	Anton Turkalj	Tyson Pedro	1.83	10	TKO, R1 (2:12)	No
14.	Sep '23	Bogdan Guskov	Volkan Oezdemir	2.50	2	Sub, R1 (3:46)	No
15.	Sep '23	Caolan Loughran	Taylor Lapilus	2.30	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Aug '23	Ryan Spann	Anthony Smith	1.72	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Aug '23	Toshiomi Kazama	Garrett Armfield	2.37	2.5	TKO, R1 (4:16)	No
18.	Aug '23	Chidi Njokuani	Michal Oleksiejczuk	2.00	2	TKO, R1 (4:16)	No
19.	Aug '23	Jarno Errens	Seung Woo Choi	2.40	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Aug '23	Chris Weidman	Brad Tavares	3.25	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Phil Goose: Progress Chart

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