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MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: The Idol

The Idol (TheIdol)

MMA MHandicapper - The Idol

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 53 (51%) Right 43 (61%) Right 6 (40%) Right 4 (22%)
Wrong 50 (49%) Wrong 27 (39%) Wrong 9 (60%) Wrong 14 (78%)
Avg Odds 2.30 Avg Odds 1.91 Avg Odds 2.67 Avg Odds 7.60
Units Bet 387.5 Units Bet 306.5 Units Bet 36.0 Units Bet 45.0
Avg Bet 3.76 Avg Bet 4.38 Avg Bet 2.40 Avg Bet 2.50
Units Profit 85.26 Units Profit 41.97 Units Profit 7.68 Units Profit 35.61
ROI % 22% ROI % 14% ROI % 21% ROI % 79%
View Handicapper's Profile

The Idol: Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
23rd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 21 -4.1 -19% 1.9 / 15 (13%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
16th Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 18 16.3 91% 4.1 / 15 (27%) 12.2 / 3 (408%)
9th Sep '23 UFC 293 100 -11.4 -11% -2.9 / 91.5 (-3%) -4.5 / 4.5 (-100%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
2nd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 50.5 7.3 15% 11.1 / 35.5 (31%) -0.8 / 12 (-6%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
26th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 47.5 -5.4 -11% 0.6 / 41.5 (2%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
19th Aug '23 UFC 292 20.5 1.3 7% 4.6 / 8.5 (55%) 2.7 / 6 (45%) -6.0 / 6 (-100%)
12th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 20 51.3 256% 10.3 / 18.5 (56%) 41.0 / 1.5 (2,730%)
5th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 41 7.9 19% 7.9 / 41 (19%)
4th Aug '23 PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs 4.5 -2.1 -47% -2.1 / 4.5 (-47%)
29th Jul '23 UFC 291 16 8.7 55% 3.9 / 13 (30%) 4.8 / 3 (160%)
22nd Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 11 -2.2 -20% 0.8 / 4 (19%) 0.0 / 4 (0%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
15th Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 21.5 16.4 76% -2.0 / 9.5 (-21%) 6.4 / 5.5 (117%) 11.9 / 6.5 (183%)
14th Jul '23 One Fight Night 12 6 0.3 5% 3.3 / 3 (110%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)
8th Jul '23 UFC 290 10 0.8 8% 0.3 / 6 (5%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 1.5 / 3 (50%)


Winning Events: 9 (64%)
Losing Events: 5 (36%)

Average Staked Per Event: 27.68 units
Most Staked On One Event: 100.00 units
Best Event: 51.28 units
Worst Event: -11.42 units
Average Event: 6.09 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 60.54
Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -11.42

The Idol: Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2023 387.5 85.3 22% 42.0 / 306.5 (14%) 35.6 / 45 (79%) 9 / 5 (64%) 6.09

The Idol: Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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The Idol: Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 377 87.1 23% 40.8 / 299 (14%) 7.7 / 36 (21%) 38.6 / 42 (92%)
PFL 4.5 -2.1 -47% -2.1 / 4.5 (-47%)
Other 6 0.3 5% 3.3 / 3 (110%) -3.0 / 3 (-100%)

The Idol: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 15 (21%) 12 80 % 113.00 17.65 1.18 16%
Slight Favorites 19 (27%) 15 79 % 112.00 30.55 1.61 27%
Slight Underdogs 28 (40%) 14 50 % 63.00 2.47 0.09 4%
Big Underdogs 8 (11%) 2 25 % 18.50 -8.70 -1.09 -47%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 4 (6%) 4 100 % 11.00 10.33 2.58 94%
Co-Main Event 8 (11%) 3 38 % 46.00 -15.35 -1.92 -33%
Position 3-5 14 (20%) 6 43 % 65.00 -2.36 -0.17 -4%
6+ (Undercard) 44 (63%) 30 68 % 184.50 49.35 1.12 27%

The Idol: Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 7 (10%) 5 71 % 34.00 4.47 0.64 13%
Light Heavy 9 (13%) 3 33 % 42.50 -18.05 -2.01 -42%
Middleweight 2 (3%) 0 % 3.50 -3.50 -1.75 -100%
Welterweight 10 (14%) 8 80 % 47.50 20.64 2.06 43%
Lightweight 10 (14%) 8 80 % 38.00 18.86 1.89 50%
Featherweight 9 (13%) 5 56 % 39.00 -2.52 -0.28 -6%
Bantamweight 7 (10%) 3 43 % 24.00 -7.07 -1.01 -29%
Flyweight 5 (7%) 3 60 % 19.50 1.64 0.33 8%
               
Women's Fights 11 (16%) 8 73 % 58.50 27.49 2.50 47%
Flyweight 8 (11%) 6 75 % 42.00 24.49 3.06 58%
Strawweight 3 (4%) 2 67 % 16.50 3.00 1.00 18%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 20 (44%) 14 70 %
Slight Favorites 14 (31%) 11 79 %
Slight Underdogs 9 (20%) 4 44 %
Big Underdogs 2 (4%) 0 0 %
45 29 64 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 1 (2%) 1 100 %
50-65% 18 (40%) 12 67 %
35-50% 11 (24%) 7 64 %
<35% chance 15 (33%) 4 27 %
45 24 53 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 3 (7%) 3 100 % 1.74 1.83Pick was correct 1.57Pick was correct 2.2 (75%)
Goes to Decision 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.63 1.63Pick was correct 1.63Pick was correct 0.6 (63%)
X Wins by KO 1 (2%) 0 0 % 2.75 2.75Pick was incorrect 2.75Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (2%) 0 0 % 3.00 3.00Pick was incorrect 3.00Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 9 (20%) 1 11 % 2.65 5.00Pick was incorrect 1.71Pick was incorrect -7.0 (-78%)
X Wins in Round X 2 (4%) 2 100 % 3.07 3.75Pick was correct 2.60Pick was correct 4.3 (217%)
Others 28 (62%) 17 61 % 2.22 6.50Pick was incorrect 1.36Pick was correct 10.4 (37%)
45 24 53 % 2.29     8.6 (19%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail The Idol's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
8th Jul UFC 290 10 0.8 8% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,008.14
14th Jul One Fight Night 12 6 0.3 5% $10.08 $1,008.14 $1,011.16
15th Jul UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 21.5 16.4 76% $10.11 $1,011.16 $1,176.53
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 11 -2.2 -20% $11.77 $1,176.53 $1,150.33
29th Jul UFC 291 16 8.7 55% $11.50 $1,150.33 $1,250.98
4th Aug PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs 4.5 -2.1 -47% $12.51 $1,250.98 $1,224.71
5th Aug UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 41 7.9 19% $12.25 $1,224.71 $1,321.77
12th Aug UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 20 51.3 256% $13.22 $1,321.77 $1,999.61
19th Aug UFC 292 20.5 1.3 7% $20.00 $1,999.61 $2,026.27
26th Aug UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 47.5 -5.4 -11% $20.26 $2,026.27 $1,917.75
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 50.5 7.3 15% $19.18 $1,917.75 $2,058.64
9th Sep UFC 293 100 -11.4 -11% $20.59 $2,058.64 $1,823.44
16th Sep UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 18 16.3 91% $18.23 $1,823.44 $2,121.37
23rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 21 -4.1 -19% $2 $21.21 $2,121.37 $2,032.88


ROI % from starting bank balance: 103.29% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

The Idol: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Sep '23 Mateusz Gamrot Rafael Fiziev 2.30 1 TKO, R2 (2:3) MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '23 Tim Means Andre Fialho 2.40 2.5 TKO, R3 (1:15) MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '23 Mohammed Usman Jake Collier 1.72 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '23 Tracy Cortez Jasmine Jasudavicius 1.91 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '23 Kevin Jousset Kiefer Crosbie 1.63 11 Sub, R1 (4:49) MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '23 Charlie Radtke Mike Mathetha 1.36 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '23 Gabriel Miranda Shane Young 2.40 5.5 Sub, R1 (0:59) MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '23 Nasrat Haqparast Landon Quiñones 1.25 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '23 Carlos Ulberg Da Un Jung 1.36 11 Sub, R3 (4:49) MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '23 Manel Kape Felipe Dos Santos 1.25 11 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '23 Manon Fiorot Rose Namajunas 1.50 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '23 Benoit Saint-Denis Thiago Moises 1.59 10 TKO, R2 (4:44) MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '23 Ange Loosa Rhys McKee 1.57 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '23 Junior Tafa Parker Porter 1.67 2 TKO, R1 (1:24) MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '23 Erin Blanchfield Taila Santos 1.67 10 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '23 Waldo Cortes-Acosta Lukasz Brzeski 1.44 10 TKO, R1 (3:1) MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '23 Kenan Song Rolando Bedoya 3.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '23 Billy Goff Yusaku Kinoshita 2.10 2 TKO, R1 (3:49) MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '23 Karine Silva Maryna Moroz 1.67 5 Sub, R1 (4:59) MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '23 Kurt Holobaugh Austin Hubbard 2.40 2 Sub, R2 (2:39) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Sep '23 Dan Ige Bryce Mitchell 2.70 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '23 Dan Argueta Miles Johns 1.55 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '23 Kevin Holland Jack Della Maddalena 2.10 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Sep '23 Jack Jenkins Jose Mariscal 1.45 11 TKO, R2 (3:19) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Sep '23 Tai Tuivasa Alexander Volkov 2.87 5 Sub, R2 (4:37) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Sep '23 Austen Lane Justin Tafa 3.00 5 TKO, R1 (1:22) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '23 Anton Turkalj Tyson Pedro 1.83 10 TKO, R1 (2:12) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Sep '23 Bogdan Guskov Volkan Oezdemir 2.50 2 Sub, R1 (3:46) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '23 Caolan Loughran Taylor Lapilus 2.30 3.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Aug '23 Ryan Spann Anthony Smith 1.72 10 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Aug '23 Toshiomi Kazama Garrett Armfield 2.37 2.5 TKO, R1 (4:16) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '23 Chidi Njokuani Michal Oleksiejczuk 2.00 2 TKO, R1 (4:16) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '23 Jarno Errens Seung Woo Choi 2.40 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '23 Chris Weidman Brad Tavares 3.25 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '23 Ky Bennett Chelsea Hackett 2.20 1.5 Sub, R2 (4:42) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '23 Chuck Campbell Billy Elekana 2.62 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '23 Kennedy Nzechukwu Dustin Jacoby 1.63 1.5 TKO, R1 (1:22) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '23 Ignacio Bahamondes Ludovit Klein 1.45 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '23 Aleksa Camur Tanner Boser 2.25 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '23 Ode Osbourne Assu Almabaev 2.50 2 Sub, R2 (3:11) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

The Idol: Progress Chart
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