MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6727
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2448

MMA Handicapper Stats: Michael Villanueva

Michael Villanueva (HeartbreakKid23)

MMA MHandicapper - Michael Villanueva

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	163 (56%)	Right	152 (60%)	Right	8 (32%)	Right	3 (27%)
Wrong	126 (44%)	Wrong	101 (40%)	Wrong	17 (68%)	Wrong	8 (73%)
Avg Odds	1.80	Avg Odds	1.74	Avg Odds	1.84	Avg Odds	5.06
Units Bet	2,160.5	Units Bet	2,018.0	Units Bet	80.0	Units Bet	62.5
Avg Bet	7.48	Avg Bet	7.98	Avg Bet	3.20	Avg Bet	5.68
Units Profit	59.17	Units Profit	70.71	Units Profit	-42.91	Units Profit	31.36
ROI %	3%	ROI %	4%	ROI %	-54%	ROI %	50%

Michael Villanueva: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
14th Sep '24	UFC 306	70	-35.2	-50%	-35.2 / 70 (-50%)
17th Aug '24	UFC 305	95	8.0	8%	8.0 / 95 (8%)
22nd Jun '24	UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov	99	0.8	1%	0.8 / 99 (1%)
8th Jun '24	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov	77	-0.7	-1%	-0.7 / 77 (-1%)
11th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	76	-23.8	-31%	-23.8 / 76 (-31%)
4th May '24	UFC 301	108	80.5	75%	80.5 / 108 (75%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	64	38.4	60%	38.4 / 64 (60%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	100	-3.7	-4%	-3.7 / 100 (-4%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	90	-56.7	-63%	-56.7 / 90 (-63%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	56	17.4	31%	22.4 / 51 (44%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	70	14.1	20%	14.1 / 70 (20%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	90	-28.0	-31%	-28.0 / 90 (-31%)
9th Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	100	5.4	5%	5.4 / 100 (5%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	100	-2.8	-3%	-2.8 / 100 (-3%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	80	-6.6	-8%	-6.6 / 80 (-8%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	82	-29.2	-36%	-29.2 / 70 (-42%)	0.0 / 12 (0%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	70	-16.7	-24%	-16.7 / 70 (-24%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	70	-31.7	-45%	-21.7 / 60 (-36%)		-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
19th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 7	20	25.3	126%	25.3 / 20 (126%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	85	-14.9	-17%	-1.7 / 50 (-3%)	-3.2 / 25 (-13%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	95	7.9	8%	22.9 / 80 (29%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
5th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	25	-2.2	-9%	12.8 / 10 (128%)	-15.0 / 15 (-100%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	95	68.5	72%	13.1 / 80 (16%)		55.4 / 15 (369%)
29th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 4	40	-26.3	-66%	-16.3 / 30 (-54%)	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	61	36.0	59%	22.6 / 51 (44%)		13.5 / 10 (135%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	61	18.8	31%	20.8 / 59 (35%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	38	10.6	28%	10.6 / 38 (28%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	16	1.6	10%	1.6 / 16 (10%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	20	4.4	22%	4.4 / 20 (22%)
22nd Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	33	-7.7	-23%	-5.7 / 31 (-18%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Jul '23	UFC 290	43.5	0.5	1%	5.9 / 35 (17%)	-1.9 / 5 (-37%)	-3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
1st Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	22	3.4	15%	6.2 / 16 (39%)	-0.8 / 4 (-21%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
24th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	12	3.6	30%	3.6 / 12 (30%)

Winning Events: 18 (55%)
Losing Events: 15 (45%)

Average Staked Per Event: 65.56 units
Most Staked On One Event: 108.00 units
Best Event: 80.51 units
Worst Event: -56.71 units
Average Event: 1.79 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 118.96
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -86.98

Michael Villanueva: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	905	39.2	4%	44.2 / 900 (5%)			6 / 5 (55%)	3.56
2023	1258.5	20.0	2%	26.5 / 1118 (2%)		31.4 / 62.5 (50%)	12 / 10 (55%)	0.91

Michael Villanueva: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

To view these stats, you need to be a VIP

Michael Villanueva: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	2078.5	62.4	3%	48.9 / 1958 (2%)	-17.9 / 58 (-31%)	31.4 / 62.5 (50%)
Other	85	-3.2	-4%	21.8 / 60 (36%)	-25.0 / 25 (-100%)

Michael Villanueva: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	109 (41%)	79	72 %	862.00	44.80	0.41	5%
Slight Favorites	62 (23%)	45	73 %	442.00	86.17	1.39	19%
Slight Underdogs	61 (23%)	27	44 %	454.00	-4.10	-0.07	-1%
Big Underdogs	35 (13%)	10	29 %	260.00	-56.15	-1.60	-22%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	30 (11%)	19	63 %	255.00	39.91	1.33	16%
Co-Main Event	25 (9%)	15	60 %	199.00	3.86	0.15	2%
Position 3-5	64 (24%)	33	52 %	511.00	26.16	0.41	5%
6+ (Undercard)	148 (55%)	94	64 %	1,053.00	0.79	0.01	0%

Michael Villanueva: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	20 (7%)	12	60 %	186.00	-25.41	-1.27	-14%
Light Heavy	15 (6%)	9	60 %	120.00	4.97	0.33	4%
Middleweight	40 (15%)	30	75 %	312.00	84.63	2.12	27%
Welterweight	30 (11%)	18	60 %	176.00	5.54	0.18	3%
Lightweight	45 (17%)	21	47 %	307.00	-33.51	-0.74	-11%
Featherweight	26 (10%)	11	42 %	206.00	-40.97	-1.58	-20%
Bantamweight	28 (10%)	19	68 %	249.00	33.50	1.20	13%
Flyweight	24 (9%)	17	71 %	168.00	10.09	0.42	6%

Women's Fights	39 (15%)	24	62 %	294.00	31.86	0.82	11%
Bantamweight	8 (3%)	5	63 %	71.00	0.27	0.03	0%
Flyweight	15 (6%)	8	53 %	90.00	-3.84	-0.26	-4%
Strawweight	16 (6%)	11	69 %	133.00	35.43	2.21	27%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	33 (70%)	22	67 %
Slight Favorites	7 (15%)	7	100 %
Slight Underdogs	5 (11%)	3	60 %
Big Underdogs	2 (4%)	0	0 %
	47	32	68 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	8 (29%)	4	50 %
50-65%	11 (39%)	4	36 %
35-50%	4 (14%)	0	0 %
<35% chance	5 (18%)	1	20 %
	28	9	32 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	8 (29%)	4	50 %	1.70	4.20	1.42	-1.8 (-22%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (7%)	1	50 %	1.75	1.95	1.58	-0.4 (-21%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.55	1.55	1.55	0.5 (55%)
X Wins by KO	8 (29%)	1	13 %	1.98	3.25	1.42	-5.6 (-70%)
X Wins by Sub	4 (14%)	1	25 %	2.09	4.20	1.48	-1.0 (-25%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (4%)	0	0 %	3.40	3.40	3.40	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	4 (14%)	1	25 %	1.52	1.83	1.29	-2.7 (-68%)
	28	9	32 %	1.82			-11.9 (-43%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Michael Villanueva's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
24th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	12	3.6	30%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,036.02
1st Jul	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	22	3.4	15%		$10.36	$1,036.02	$1,070.80
8th Jul	UFC 290	43.5	0.5	1%		$10.71	$1,070.80	$1,076.18
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	33	-7.7	-23%		$10.76	$1,076.18	$993.75
29th Jul	UFC 291	20	4.4	22%		$9.94	$993.75	$1,037.95
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	16	1.6	10%		$10.38	$1,037.95	$1,054.38
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	38	10.6	28%		$10.54	$1,054.38	$1,166.22
19th Aug	UFC 292	61	18.8	31%	$5	$11.66	$1,166.22	$1,380.76
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	61	36.0	59%		$13.81	$1,380.76	$1,878.14
29th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 4	40	-26.3	-66%		$18.78	$1,878.14	$1,384.26
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	95	68.5	72%		$13.84	$1,384.26	$2,333.02
5th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	25	-2.2	-9%		$23.33	$2,333.02	$2,281.69
9th Sep	UFC 293	95	7.9	8%		$22.82	$2,281.69	$2,461.51
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	85	-14.9	-17%		$24.62	$2,461.51	$2,095.39
19th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 7	20	25.3	126%		$20.95	$2,095.39	$2,624.76
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	70	-31.7	-45%		$26.25	$2,624.76	$1,793.36
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	70	-16.7	-24%		$17.93	$1,793.36	$1,493.88
21st Oct	UFC 294	82	-29.2	-36%		$14.94	$1,493.88	$1,057.96
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	80	-6.6	-8%		$10.58	$1,057.96	$987.76
11th Nov	UFC 295	100	-2.8	-3%		$9.88	$987.76	$960.19
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	100	5.4	5%		$9.60	$960.19	$1,012.14
16th Dec	UFC 296	90	-28.0	-31%		$10.12	$1,012.14	$728.29
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	70	14.1	20%		$7.28	$728.29	$831.21
20th Jan	UFC 297	56	17.4	31%		$8.31	$831.21	$975.65
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	90	-56.7	-63%		$9.76	$975.65	$422.36
17th Feb	UFC 298	100	-3.7	-4%		$4.22	$422.36	$406.87
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	64	38.4	60%		$4.07	$406.87	$563.28
4th May	UFC 301	108	80.5	75%		$5.63	$563.28	$1,016.80
11th May	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	76	-23.8	-31%		$10.17	$1,016.80	$774.97
8th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov	77	-0.7	-1%		$7.75	$774.97	$769.37
22nd Jun	UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov	99	0.8	1%		$7.69	$769.37	$775.57
17th Aug	UFC 305	95	8.0	8%		$7.76	$775.57	$837.54
14th Sep	UFC 306	70	-35.2	-50%		$8.38	$837.54	$542.77

ROI % from starting bank balance: -45.72% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Michael Villanueva: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Sep '24	Norma Dumont	Irene Aldana	1.91	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Sep '24	Luis Rodriguez	Ode Osbourne	1.57	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Aug '24	Kenan Song	Rick Glenn	1.48	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Aug '24	Jesus Santos Aguilar	Stewart Nicoll	2.70	5	Sub, R1 (2:39)
5.	Aug '24	Carlos Prates	Li Jingliang	1.27	10	TKO, R2 (4:2)
6.	Aug '24	Daniel Hooker	Mateusz Gamrot	4.25	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Aug '24	Dricus Du Plessis	Israel Adesanya	1.95	10	Sub, R4 (3:38)
8.	Jun '24	Chang Ho Lee	Long Xiao	1.95	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jun '24	Magomed Gadzhiyasulov	Brendson Ribeiro	1.28	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Jun '24	Nasrat Haqparast	Jared Gordon	1.43	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Jun '24	Sharabutdin Magomedov	Antonio Trocoli	1.19	11	TKO, R3 (2:27)
12.	Jun '24	Kelvin Gastelum	Daniel Rodriguez	1.51	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Jun '24	Robert Whittaker	Ikram Aliskerov	1.71	11	TKO, R1 (1:49)
14.	Jun '24	Carlos Prates	Charlie Radtke	1.48	11	TKO, R1 (4:47)
15.	Jun '24	Zachary Reese	Julian Marquez	2.25	11	TKO, R1 (0:20)
16.	Jun '24	Raul Rosas Jr	Ricky Turcios	1.41	11	Sub, R2 (2:22)
17.	Jun '24	Nassourdine Imavov	Jared Cannonier	1.80	11	TKO, R4 (1:34)
18.	May '24	Tabatha Ricci	Tecia Torres	1.71	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)
19.	May '24	Sean Woodson	Alex Caceres	1.44	11	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	May '24	Derrick Lewis	Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira	1.59	11	TKO, R3 (0:49)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Sep '24	Edgar Chairez	Joshua Van	3.45	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Sep '24	Manuel Torres	Ignacio Bahamondes	1.80	10	TKO, R1 (4:2)	No
3.	Sep '24	Brian Ortega	Diego Lopes	2.55	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Sep '24	Alexa Grasso	Valentina Shevchenko	1.77	10	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
5.	Sep '24	Sean O'Malley	Merab Dvalishvili	1.95	10	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
6.	Aug '24	Luana Santos	Casey O'Neill	1.71	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Aug '24	Joshua Culibao	Ricardo Ramos	1.80	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Aug '24	Junior Tafa	Valter Walker	1.87	10	Sub, R1 (4:56)	No
9.	Aug '24	Tai Tuivasa	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	3.00	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Aug '24	Steve Erceg	Kai Kara-France	1.41	10	TKO, R1 (4:4)	No
11.	Jun '24	Kyung Ho Kang	Muin Gafurov	2.35	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Jun '24	Muhammadjon Naimov	Felipe Lima	1.87	11	Sub, R3 (1:15)	No
13.	Jun '24	Sergey Pavlovich	Alexander Volkov	1.44	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Jun '24	Rayanne Amanda	Puja Tomar	1.31	11	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Jun '24	Dustin Stoltzfus	Brunno Ferreira	3.10	11	TKO, R1 (4:51)	No
16.	Jun '24	Dustin Jacoby	Dominick Reyes	1.41	11	TKO, R1 (2:0)	No
17.	May '24	J.J. Aldrich	Veronica Macedo	2.20	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	May '24	Billy Goff	Trey Waters	2.35	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	May '24	Robelis Despaigne	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	1.42	11	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	May '24	Mateusz Rebecki	Carlos Diego Ferreira	1.21	11	TKO, R3 (4:51)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Michael Villanueva: Progress Chart

Chart

Betting Favorites vs Underdogs
In Depth UFC Fight Stats
List of MMA Bookmakers
Best MMA Tipsters
Next UFC Event