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MMA Handicapper Stats: Michael Villanueva |
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Michael Villanueva: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 11 (55%)
Losing Events: 9 (45%)
Average Staked Per Event: 53.43 units
Most Staked On One Event: 100.00 units
Best Event: 68.54 units
Worst Event: -31.68 units
Average Event: 2.13 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 71.48
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -86.98 |
Michael Villanueva: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2023 |
1068.5 |
42.6 |
4% |
49.2 / 928 (5%) |
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31.4 / 62.5 (50%) |
11 / 9 (55%) |
2.13 |
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Michael Villanueva: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Michael Villanueva: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
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UFC |
983.5 |
45.9 |
5% |
27.4 / 868 (3%) |
-12.9 / 53 (-24%) |
31.4 / 62.5 (50%) |
| Other |
85 |
-3.2 |
-4% |
21.8 / 60 (36%) |
-25.0 / 25 (-100%) |
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Michael Villanueva: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
70 (44%) |
52 |
74 % |
453.00 |
63.88 |
0.91 |
14% |
| Slight Favorites |
35 (22%) |
26 |
74 % |
163.00 |
21.54 |
0.62 |
13% |
| Slight Underdogs |
32 (20%) |
14 |
44 % |
184.00 |
-16.25 |
-0.51 |
-9% |
| Big Underdogs |
21 (13%) |
8 |
38 % |
128.00 |
-20.00 |
-0.95 |
-16% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
18 (11%) |
10 |
56 % |
129.00 |
-13.74 |
-0.76 |
-11% |
| Co-Main Event |
14 (9%) |
11 |
79 % |
90.00 |
49.05 |
3.50 |
54% |
| Position 3-5 |
38 (24%) |
19 |
50 % |
247.00 |
-12.65 |
-0.33 |
-5% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
88 (56%) |
60 |
68 % |
462.00 |
26.51 |
0.30 |
6% |
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Michael Villanueva: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
12 (8%) |
9 |
75 % |
103.00 |
6.12 |
0.51 |
6% |
| Light Heavy |
8 (5%) |
6 |
75 % |
46.00 |
-7.89 |
-0.99 |
-17% |
| Middleweight |
23 (15%) |
16 |
70 % |
138.00 |
6.33 |
0.28 |
5% |
| Welterweight |
18 (11%) |
11 |
61 % |
65.00 |
20.29 |
1.13 |
31% |
| Lightweight |
32 (20%) |
15 |
47 % |
177.00 |
-24.74 |
-0.77 |
-14% |
| Featherweight |
18 (11%) |
8 |
44 % |
124.00 |
-12.61 |
-0.70 |
-10% |
| Bantamweight |
14 (9%) |
11 |
79 % |
104.00 |
24.27 |
1.73 |
23% |
| Flyweight |
10 (6%) |
8 |
80 % |
32.00 |
3.11 |
0.31 |
10% |
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| Women's Fights |
23 (15%) |
16 |
70 % |
139.00 |
34.27 |
1.49 |
25% |
| Bantamweight |
5 (3%) |
3 |
60 % |
41.00 |
-5.49 |
-1.10 |
-13% |
| Flyweight |
8 (5%) |
6 |
75 % |
29.00 |
12.52 |
1.56 |
43% |
| Strawweight |
10 (6%) |
7 |
70 % |
69.00 |
27.24 |
2.72 |
39% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
33 (70%) |
22 |
67 % |
| Slight Favorites |
7 (15%) |
7 |
100 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
5 (11%) |
3 |
60 % |
| Big Underdogs |
2 (4%) |
0 |
0 % |
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47 |
32 |
68 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
8 (30%) |
4 |
50 % |
| 50-65% |
11 (41%) |
4 |
36 % |
| 35-50% |
4 (15%) |
0 |
0 % |
| <35% chance |
4 (15%) |
1 |
25 % |
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27 |
9 |
33 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Michael Villanueva's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
12 |
3.6 |
30% |
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$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,036.02 |
| 1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
22 |
3.4 |
15% |
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$10.36 |
$1,036.02 |
$1,070.80 |
| 8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
43.5 |
0.5 |
1% |
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$10.71 |
$1,070.80 |
$1,076.18 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
33 |
-7.7 |
-23% |
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$10.76 |
$1,076.18 |
$993.75 |
| 29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
20 |
4.4 |
22% |
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$9.94 |
$993.75 |
$1,037.95 |
| 5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
16 |
1.6 |
10% |
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$10.38 |
$1,037.95 |
$1,054.38 |
| 12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
38 |
10.6 |
28% |
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$10.54 |
$1,054.38 |
$1,166.22 |
| 19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
61 |
18.8 |
31% |
$5 |
$11.66 |
$1,166.22 |
$1,380.76 |
| 26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
61 |
36.0 |
59% |
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$13.81 |
$1,380.76 |
$1,878.14 |
| 29th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 4 |
40 |
-26.3 |
-66% |
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$18.78 |
$1,878.14 |
$1,384.26 |
| 2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
95 |
68.5 |
72% |
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$13.84 |
$1,384.26 |
$2,333.02 |
| 5th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 5 |
25 |
-2.2 |
-9% |
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$23.33 |
$2,333.02 |
$2,281.69 |
| 9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
95 |
7.9 |
8% |
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$22.82 |
$2,281.69 |
$2,461.51 |
| 16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
85 |
-14.9 |
-17% |
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$24.62 |
$2,461.51 |
$2,095.39 |
| 19th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 7 |
20 |
25.3 |
126% |
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$20.95 |
$2,095.39 |
$2,624.76 |
| 23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
70 |
-31.7 |
-45% |
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$26.25 |
$2,624.76 |
$1,793.36 |
| 14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
70 |
-16.7 |
-24% |
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$17.93 |
$1,793.36 |
$1,493.88 |
| 21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
82 |
-29.2 |
-36% |
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$14.94 |
$1,493.88 |
$1,057.96 |
| 4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
80 |
-6.6 |
-8% |
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$10.58 |
$1,057.96 |
$987.76 |
| 11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
100 |
-2.8 |
-3% |
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$9.88 |
$987.76 |
$960.19 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -3.98% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Michael Villanueva: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
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| 1. |
Nov '23 |
Jared Gordon |
Mark O. Madsen |
1.45 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (4:42) |
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| 2. |
Nov '23 |
Diego Lopes |
Pat Sabatini |
1.95 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (1:30) |
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| 3. |
Nov '23 |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
Matt Frevola |
1.44 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (1:31) |
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| 4. |
Nov '23 |
Jessica Andrade |
Mackenzie Dern |
3.00 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (3:15) |
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| 5. |
Nov '23 |
Tom Aspinall |
Sergey Pavlovich |
1.87 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (1:9) |
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| 6. |
Nov '23 |
Eduarda Moura |
Montserrat Ruiz |
1.16 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (2:14) |
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| 7. |
Nov '23 |
Angela Hill |
Denise Gomes |
2.16 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 8. |
Nov '23 |
Vitor Petrino |
Modestas Bukauskas |
1.42 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (1:3) |
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| 9. |
Nov '23 |
Elves Brenner |
Kaynan Kruschewsky |
1.42 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (4:1) |
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| 10. |
Nov '23 |
Jailton Junior |
Derrick Lewis |
1.18 |
10 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
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| 11. |
Oct '23 |
Sharabutdin Magomedov |
Bruno Silva |
1.34 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 12. |
Oct '23 |
Said Nurmagomedov |
Muin Gafurov |
1.44 |
10 |
Sub, R1 (1:13) |
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| 13. |
Oct '23 |
Khamzat Chimaev |
Kamaru Usman |
1.30 |
10 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 14. |
Oct '23 |
Chris Gutierrez |
Heili Alateng |
1.34 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 15. |
Oct '23 |
Terrance McKinney |
Brendon Marotte |
1.18 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (0:20) |
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| 16. |
Oct '23 |
Tainara Lisboa |
Ravena Oliveira |
1.31 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 17. |
Oct '23 |
Michel Pereira |
Andre Petroski |
1.50 |
10 |
TKO, R1 (1:6) |
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| 18. |
Sep '23 |
Miles Johns |
Dan Argueta |
2.52 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 19. |
Sep '23 |
Mizuki Inoue |
Hannah Goldy |
1.31 |
10 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
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| 20. |
Sep '23 |
Igor da Silva |
Jhonata Silva |
1.53 |
10 |
TKO, R2 (2:37) |
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Michael Villanueva: Progress Chart |
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