MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6401
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2366

MMA Handicapper Stats: Citadel MMA

Citadel MMA (CitadelMMA)

MMA MHandicapper - Citadel MMA

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	46 (48%)	Right	39 (57%)	Right	4 (40%)	Right	3 (18%)
Wrong	50 (52%)	Wrong	30 (43%)	Wrong	6 (60%)	Wrong	14 (82%)
Avg Odds	1.86	Avg Odds	1.64	Avg Odds	2.58	Avg Odds	2.89
Units Bet	429.9	Units Bet	380.5	Units Bet	9.4	Units Bet	40.0
Avg Bet	4.48	Avg Bet	5.51	Avg Bet	0.94	Avg Bet	2.35
Units Profit	-36.08	Units Profit	-9.63	Units Profit	0.77	Units Profit	-27.23
ROI %	-8%	ROI %	-3%	ROI %	8%	ROI %	-68%

Citadel MMA: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	24.5	-6.7	-27%	-5.3 / 22 (-24%)	-1.4 / 2.5 (-55%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	39.5	-24.7	-62%	-22.2 / 37 (-60%)		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	21	0.1	0%	4.8 / 13 (37%)	1.3 / 2 (63%)	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	28	4.5	16%	5.5 / 20 (27%)		-0.9 / 8 (-12%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	3	-1.0	-33%			-1.0 / 3 (-33%)
7th Oct '23	Bellator 300	0.2	-0.2	-100%		-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	15	-10.5	-70%	-2.5 / 7 (-36%)		-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	22.2	-15.3	-69%	-10.1 / 17 (-59%)	-0.7 / 0.7 (-100%)	-4.5 / 4.5 (-100%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	9.2	-1.4	-15%	-1.4 / 8 (-17%)	0.0 / 1.2 (0%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	27	-20.7	-77%	-20.7 / 27 (-77%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	16	7.5	47%	7.5 / 16 (47%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	15	5.3	36%	5.3 / 15 (36%)
23rd Aug '23	PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	25	8.1	32%	8.1 / 25 (32%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	44	15.2	34%	11.6 / 38 (31%)	1.8 / 4 (45%)	1.7 / 2 (85%)
11th Aug '23	Bellator 298	3	-3.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	58	14.4	25%	14.4 / 58 (25%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	19.5	-5.8	-30%	-3.8 / 17.5 (-22%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
22nd Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	25	-0.5	-2%	-0.5 / 25 (-2%)
15th Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	16	0.9	6%	0.9 / 16 (6%)
8th Jul '23	UFC 290	6	-2.0	-33%	-2.0 / 6 (-33%)
1st Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	9	-1.0	-11%	3.0 / 5 (60%)		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
24th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	3	2.8	93%	2.8 / 3 (93%)

Winning Events: 9 (39%)
Losing Events: 14 (61%)

Average Staked Per Event: 18.74 units
Most Staked On One Event: 58.00 units
Best Event: 15.15 units
Worst Event: -24.67 units
Average Event: -1.57 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 23.20
Max Losing Streak: Events: 6, Units: -49.06

Citadel MMA: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	431.1	-36.1	-8%	-9.6 / 380.5 (-3%)		-27.2 / 40 (-68%)	9 / 14 (39%)	-1.57

Citadel MMA: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Citadel MMA: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	425.9	-30.9	-7%	-4.6 / 375.5 (-1%)	1.0 / 10.4 (9%)	-27.2 / 40 (-68%)
Bellator	3.2	-3.2	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
PFL	2	-2.0	-100%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)

Citadel MMA: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	40 (49%)	27	68 %	242.00	-3.77	-0.09	-2%
Slight Favorites	18 (22%)	11	61 %	78.00	13.58	0.75	17%
Slight Underdogs	22 (27%)	9	41 %	58.50	-17.43	-0.79	-30%
Big Underdogs	1 (1%)	0	0 %	2.00	-2.00	-2.00	-100%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	13 (16%)	6	46 %	69.50	-19.14	-1.47	-28%
Co-Main Event	13 (16%)	7	54 %	70.00	-9.30	-0.72	-13%
Position 3-5	20 (25%)	14	70 %	100.50	24.06	1.20	24%
6+ (Undercard)	35 (43%)	20	57 %	140.50	-5.25	-0.15	-4%

Citadel MMA: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	5 (6%)		0 %	21.50	-21.50	-4.30	-100%
Light Heavy	7 (9%)	3	43 %	22.00	-9.04	-1.29	-41%
Middleweight	10 (12%)	7	70 %	63.00	-8.28	-0.83	-13%
Welterweight	7 (9%)	4	57 %	30.50	2.98	0.43	10%
Lightweight	14 (17%)	7	50 %	49.50	-6.10	-0.44	-12%
Featherweight	6 (7%)	4	67 %	26.00	11.59	1.93	45%
Bantamweight	10 (12%)	7	70 %	60.00	6.10	0.61	10%
Flyweight	4 (5%)	3	75 %	13.00	3.24	0.81	25%

Women's Fights	18 (22%)	12	67 %	95.00	11.38	0.63	12%
Featherweight	1 (1%)	1	100 %	5.00	3.57	3.57	71%
Bantamweight	2 (2%)		0 %	7.00	-7.00	-3.50	-100%
Flyweight	10 (12%)	8	80 %	49.00	14.21	1.42	29%
Strawweight	5 (6%)	3	60 %	34.00	0.61	0.12	2%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	35 (73%)	21	60 %
Slight Favorites	7 (15%)	5	71 %
Slight Underdogs	6 (13%)	3	50 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	48	29	60 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	3 (15%)	3	100 %
50-65%	4 (20%)	2	50 %
35-50%	6 (30%)	1	17 %
<35% chance	7 (35%)	0	0 %
	20	6	30 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
X Wins by KO	3 (15%)	0	0 %	2.78	5.00	2.25	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	4 (20%)	1	25 %	2.63	36.00	1.74	-1.7 (-44%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (5%)	0	0 %	3.00	3.00	3.00	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	6 (30%)	3	50 %	1.79	3.00	1.40	-0.5 (-8%)
Others	6 (30%)	2	33 %	3.00	13.00	1.36	-0.8 (-13%)
	20	6	30 %	2.41			-7.0 (-35%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Citadel MMA's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
24th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	3	2.8	93%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,027.81
1st Jul	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	9	-1.0	-11%		$10.28	$1,027.81	$1,017.30
8th Jul	UFC 290	6	-2.0	-33%		$10.17	$1,017.30	$996.95
15th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	16	0.9	6%		$9.97	$996.95	$1,005.97
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	25	-0.5	-2%		$10.06	$1,005.97	$1,000.72
29th Jul	UFC 291	19.5	-5.8	-30%		$10.01	$1,000.72	$942.76
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	58	14.4	25%		$9.43	$942.76	$1,078.07
11th Aug	Bellator 298	3	-3.0	-100%		$10.78	$1,078.07	$1,045.73
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	44	15.2	34%		$10.46	$1,045.73	$1,204.16
19th Aug	UFC 292	25	8.1	32%		$12.04	$1,204.16	$1,301.10
23rd Aug	PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs	2	-2.0	-100%		$13.01	$1,301.10	$1,275.08
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	15	5.3	36%		$12.75	$1,275.08	$1,343.08
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	16	7.5	47%		$13.43	$1,343.08	$1,443.97
9th Sep	UFC 293	27	-20.7	-77%		$14.44	$1,443.97	$1,144.57
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	9.2	-1.4	-15%		$11.45	$1,144.57	$1,129.00
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	22.2	-15.3	-69%		$11.29	$1,129.00	$956.52
7th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	15	-10.5	-70%		$9.57	$956.52	$856.09
7th Oct	Bellator 300	0.2	-0.2	-100%		$8.56	$856.09	$854.38
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	3	-1.0	-33%		$8.54	$854.38	$845.93
21st Oct	UFC 294	28	4.5	16%		$8.46	$845.93	$884.30
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	21	0.1	0%		$8.84	$884.30	$884.96
11th Nov	UFC 295	39.5	-24.7	-62%		$8.85	$884.96	$666.63
16th Dec	UFC 296	24.5	-6.7	-27%		$6.67	$666.63	$621.91

ROI % from starting bank balance: -37.81% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Citadel MMA: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Dec '23	Leon Edwards	Colby Covington	1.67	10	U Decision (5 rounds)
2.	Nov '23	Diego Lopes	Pat Sabatini	2.05	5	TKO, R1 (1:30)
3.	Nov '23	Steve Erceg	Alessandro Costa	1.53	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Nov '23	Caio Borralho	Abusupiyan Magomedov	1.34	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Nov '23	Vitor Petrino	Modestas Bukauskas	1.46	3	TKO, R2 (1:3)
6.	Oct '23	Ikram Aliskerov	Warlley Alves	1.17	10	TKO, R1 (2:7)
7.	Oct '23	Khamzat Chimaev	Kamaru Usman	1.36	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Oct '23	Islam Makhachev	Alex Volkanovski	1.40	5	TKO, R1 (3:6)
9.	Oct '23	J.J. Aldrich	Montana De La Rosa	2.25	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Sep '23	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Michelle Waterson	1.38	5	TKO, R2 (2:42)
11.	Sep '23	Roman Kopylov	Josh Fremd	1.33	5	TKO, R2 (4:44)
12.	Sep '23	Manel Kape	Felipe Dos Santos	1.25	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Sep '23	Manon Fiorot	Rose Namajunas	1.51	7	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Sep '23	Manon Fiorot	Rose Namajunas	1.53	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Sep '23	Farid Basharat	Kleydson Rodrigues	1.32	4	Sub, R1 (4:15)
16.	Aug '23	Erin Blanchfield	Taila Santos	1.67	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Aug '23	Natalia Cristina da Silva	Andrea Lee	1.29	7	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Aug '23	Natalia Cristina da Silva	Andrea Lee	1.27	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Aug '23	Ian Garry	Neil Magny	1.29	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Aug '23	Karine Silva	Maryna Moroz	1.61	3	Sub, R1 (4:59)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Dec '23	Cody Durden	Tagir Ulanbekov	2.40	3	Sub, R2 (4:25)	No
2.	Dec '23	Brian Kelleher	Cody Garbrandt	2.45	2	TKO, R1 (3:42)	No
3.	Dec '23	Karol Rosa	Irene Aldana	2.45	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Dec '23	Dustin Jacoby	Alonzo Menifield	1.33	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Nov '23	Tabatha Ricci	Lupita Godinez	2.45	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Nov '23	Jiri Prochazka	Alex Pereira	2.05	5	TKO, R2 (4:8)	No
7.	Nov '23	Sergey Pavlovich	Tom Aspinall	2.10	10	TKO, R1 (1:9)	No
8.	Nov '23	Sergey Pavlovich	Tom Aspinall	2.02	5	TKO, R1 (1:9)	No
9.	Nov '23	Jiri Prochazka	Alex Pereira	2.10	2	TKO, R2 (4:8)	No
10.	Sep '23	Tamires Vidal	Montserrat Rendon	1.44	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Sep '23	Dan Ige	Bryce Mitchell	2.85	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Sep '23	Dan Argueta	Miles Johns	1.63	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Oct '23	Grant Dawson	Bobby Green	1.34	5	TKO, R1 (0:33)	No
14.	Sep '23	Jasmine Jasudavicius	Tracy Cortez	1.92	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Sep '23	Israel Adesanya	Sean Strickland	1.15	10	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
16.	Sep '23	Israel Adesanya	Sean Strickland	1.15	10	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
17.	Sep '23	Tai Tuivasa	Alexander Volkov	2.85	2	Sub, R2 (4:37)	No
18.	Nov '23	Mackenzie Dern	Jessica Andrade	1.52	5	TKO, R2 (3:15)	No
19.	Aug '23	Shane Burgos	Clay Collard	1.87	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Aug '23	Ryan Spann	Anthony Smith	1.77	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Citadel MMA: Progress Chart

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