MMA Handicapper Stats: The Knife |
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The Knife: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
8th Jul '23 |
UFC 290 |
31.5 |
-14.4 |
-46% |
-1.1 / 11 (-10%) |
-13.3 / 20.5 (-65%) |
|
8th Jul '23 |
PFL Europe 2 |
1 |
4.0 |
402% |
|
|
4.0 / 1 (402%) |
24th Jun '23 |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
36.09 |
3.4 |
10% |
4.0 / 17.25 (23%) |
-0.6 / 18.84 (-3%) |
|
10th Jun '23 |
UFC 289 |
23.08 |
4.2 |
18% |
5.9 / 11.5 (51%) |
-1.7 / 11.58 (-15%) |
|
Winning Events: 3 (75%) Losing Events: 1 (25%)
Average Staked Per Event: 22.92 units Most Staked On One Event: 36.09 units Best Event: 4.17 units Worst Event: -14.36 units Average Event: -0.68 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 11.64 Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -14.36 |
The Knife: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
91.67 |
-2.7 |
-3% |
8.8 / 39.75 (22%) |
|
4.0 / 1 (402%) |
3 / 1 (75%) |
-0.68 |
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The Knife: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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The Knife: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
90.67 |
-6.7 |
-7% |
8.8 / 39.75 (22%) |
-15.5 / 50.92 (-31%) |
|
PFL |
1 |
4.0 |
402% |
|
|
4.0 / 1 (402%) |
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The Knife: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
4 (24%) |
1 |
25 % |
12.50 |
-8.30 |
-2.08 |
-66% |
Slight Favorites |
2 (12%) |
2 |
100 % |
5.00 |
3.95 |
1.98 |
79% |
Slight Underdogs |
8 (47%) |
6 |
75 % |
18.75 |
13.25 |
1.66 |
71% |
Big Underdogs |
3 (18%) |
1 |
33 % |
3.50 |
-0.10 |
-0.03 |
-3% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
1 (6%) |
0 |
0 % |
1.50 |
-1.50 |
-1.50 |
-100% |
Co-Main Event |
3 (18%) |
1 |
33 % |
9.50 |
-2.75 |
-0.92 |
-29% |
Position 3-5 |
1 (6%) |
1 |
100 % |
3.00 |
1.20 |
1.20 |
40% |
6+ (Undercard) |
12 (71%) |
8 |
67 % |
25.75 |
11.85 |
0.99 |
46% |
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The Knife: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Light Heavy |
2 (12%) |
1 |
50 % |
4.00 |
2.60 |
1.30 |
65% |
Middleweight |
1 (6%) |
1 |
100 % |
2.00 |
3.00 |
3.00 |
150% |
Welterweight |
1 (6%) |
|
0 % |
1.75 |
-1.75 |
-1.75 |
-100% |
Lightweight |
4 (24%) |
3 |
75 % |
11.00 |
5.54 |
1.39 |
50% |
Featherweight |
3 (18%) |
2 |
67 % |
6.00 |
2.40 |
0.80 |
40% |
Bantamweight |
1 (6%) |
1 |
100 % |
1.50 |
1.50 |
1.50 |
100% |
Flyweight |
2 (12%) |
|
0 % |
6.50 |
-6.50 |
-3.25 |
-100% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
3 (18%) |
2 |
67 % |
7.00 |
2.01 |
0.67 |
29% |
Flyweight |
2 (12%) |
1 |
50 % |
4.00 |
-0.60 |
-0.30 |
-15% |
Strawweight |
1 (6%) |
1 |
100 % |
3.00 |
2.61 |
2.61 |
87% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
2 (67%) |
2 |
100 % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
1 (33%) |
1 |
100 % |
|
3 |
3 |
100 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
1 (2%) |
0 |
0 % |
50-65% |
7 (16%) |
4 |
57 % |
35-50% |
5 (12%) |
3 |
60 % |
<35% chance |
30 (70%) |
1 |
3 % |
|
43 |
8 |
19 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail The Knife's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
23.08 |
4.2 |
18% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,041.70 |
24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
36.09 |
3.4 |
10% |
|
$10.42 |
$1,041.70 |
$1,077.64 |
8th Jul |
PFL Europe 2 |
1 |
4.0 |
402% |
|
$10.78 |
$1,077.64 |
$1,120.93 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
31.5 |
-14.4 |
-46% |
|
$11.21 |
$1,120.93 |
$959.97 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -4.00% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
The Knife: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
The Knife: Progress Chart |
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