MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6407
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2348

MMA Handicapper Stats: Crime Pays

Crime Pays (CrimePays)

MMA MHandicapper - Crime Pays

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	16 (70%)	Right	16 (70%)	Right	0 (nan%)	Right	0 (nan%)
Wrong	7 (30%)	Wrong	7 (30%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)
Avg Odds	2.04	Avg Odds	2.04	Avg Odds	nan	Avg Odds	nan
Units Bet	43.2	Units Bet	43.2	Units Bet	0.0	Units Bet	0.0
Avg Bet	1.88	Avg Bet	1.88	Avg Bet	nan	Avg Bet	nan
Units Profit	18.09	Units Profit	18.09	Units Profit	0.00	Units Profit	0.00
ROI %	42%	ROI %	42%	ROI %	nan%	ROI %	nan%

Crime Pays : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	6.8	0.1	2%	0.1 / 6.8 (2%)
3rd Oct '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 9	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	4.5	-1.2	-27%	-1.2 / 4.5 (-27%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	5.3	2.6	49%	2.6 / 5.3 (49%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	4.5	2.1	46%	2.1 / 4.5 (46%)
15th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	9.4	4.3	46%	4.3 / 9.4 (46%)
8th Apr '23	UFC 287	5.9	6.5	111%	6.5 / 5.9 (111%)
1st Apr '23	PFL 1: 2023	4	2.4	60%	2.4 / 4 (60%)
31st Mar '23	Bellator 293	2.25	1.8	78%	1.8 / 2.25 (78%)

Winning Events: 7 (78%)
Losing Events: 2 (22%)

Average Staked Per Event: 4.79 units
Most Staked On One Event: 9.40 units
Best Event: 6.53 units
Worst Event: -1.20 units
Average Event: 2.01 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 19.64
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -1.70

Crime Pays : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	43.15	18.1	42%	18.1 / 43.15 (42%)			7 / 2 (78%)	2.01

Crime Pays : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Crime Pays : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	36.4	14.4	40%	14.4 / 36.4 (40%)
Bellator	2.25	1.8	78%	1.8 / 2.25 (78%)
PFL	4	2.4	60%	2.4 / 4 (60%)
Other	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)

Crime Pays : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	4 (17%)	4	100 %	11.20	4.56	1.14	41%
Slight Favorites	7 (29%)	6	86 %	14.30	6.26	0.89	44%
Slight Underdogs	10 (42%)	5	50 %	15.90	2.92	0.29	18%
Big Underdogs	3 (13%)	2	67 %	1.75	4.35	1.45	249%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	4 (17%)	4	100 %	8.90	8.16	2.04	92%
Co-Main Event	5 (21%)	2	40 %	5.85	-0.60	-0.12	-10%
Position 3-5	7 (29%)	6	86 %	13.20	10.10	1.44	77%
6+ (Undercard)	8 (33%)	5	63 %	15.20	0.43	0.05	3%

Crime Pays : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	2 (8%)	1	50 %	2.50	0.50	0.25	20%
Light Heavy	4 (17%)	4	100 %	8.00	3.90	0.98	49%
Middleweight	3 (13%)	3	100 %	8.10	6.53	2.18	81%
Welterweight	1 (4%)	1	100 %	1.10	1.08	1.08	98%
Lightweight	3 (13%)	2	67 %	3.00	2.40	0.80	80%
Featherweight	6 (25%)	4	67 %	12.80	-0.12	-0.02	-1%
Bantamweight	3 (13%)	2	67 %	4.90	6.55	2.18	134%
Flyweight	1 (4%)		0 %	2.50	-2.50	-2.50	-100%

Women's Fights	1 (4%)		0 %	0.25	-0.25	-0.25	-100%
Featherweight	1 (4%)		0 %	0.25	-0.25	-0.25	-100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
50-65%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
35-50%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
	0	0	nan %	nan			0.0 (nan%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Crime Pays 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
31st Mar	Bellator 293	2.25	1.8	78%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,017.50
1st Apr	PFL 1: 2023	4	2.4	60%		$10.18	$1,017.50	$1,041.86
8th Apr	UFC 287	5.9	6.5	111%		$10.42	$1,041.86	$1,109.89
15th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	9.4	4.3	46%		$11.10	$1,109.89	$1,157.38
9th Sep	UFC 293	4.5	2.1	46%		$11.57	$1,157.38	$1,181.44
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	5.3	2.6	49%		$11.81	$1,181.44	$1,212.23
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	4.5	-1.2	-27%		$12.12	$1,212.23	$1,197.68
3rd Oct	Contender Series 2023: Week 9	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$11.98	$1,197.68	$1,191.69
7th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	6.8	0.1	2%		$11.92	$1,191.69	$1,193.46

ROI % from starting bank balance: 19.35% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Crime Pays : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Oct '23	Bobby Green	Grant Dawson	4.20	0.5	TKO, R1 (0:33)
2.	Oct '23	Bill Algeo	Alexander Hernandez	1.70	0.7	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Oct '23	Bill Algeo	Alexander Hernandez	1.74	2.1	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Sep '23	Mateusz Gamrot	Rafael Fiziev	2.20	1.5	TKO, R2 (2:3)
5.	Sep '23	Roman Kopylov	Josh Fremd	1.36	4.2	TKO, R2 (4:44)
6.	Sep '23	Gabriel Miranda	Shane Young	2.14	0.5	Sub, R1 (0:59)
7.	Sep '23	Jack Della Maddalena	Kevin Holland	1.98	1.1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Sep '23	Carlos Ulberg	Da Un Jung	1.38	4	Sub, R3 (4:49)
9.	Apr '23	Ion Cutelaba	Tanner Boser	2.00	1.5	TKO, R1 (2:5)
10.	Mar '23	John Salter	Aaron Jeffery	4.00	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Apr '23	Rob Wilkinson	Thiago Santos	1.53	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Apr '23	Marthin Hamlet	Mohammad Fakhreddine	1.87	1	Sub, R1 (1:5)
13.	Apr '23	Impa Kasanganay	Cory Hendricks	1.45	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	Apr '23	Rob Font	Adrian Yanez	2.51	3	TKO, R1 (2:57)
15.	Apr '23	Pedro Munhoz	Chris Gutierrez	2.80	1.4	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Apr '23	Israel Adesanya	Alex Pereira	1.69	2.9	TKO, R2 (4:21)
17.	Apr '23	Max Holloway	Arnold Allen	1.69	4	U Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Oct '23	Alexander Hernandez	Bill Algeo	2.10	3.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Oct '23	Eduardo Matias Torres	Victor Hugo Silva	2.12	0.5	Sub, R2 (2:16)	No
3.	Sep '23	Dan Ige	Bryce Mitchell	2.70	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Sep '23	Jake Collier	Mohammed Usman	2.10	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Apr '23	Matheus Nicolau	Brandon Royval	1.65	2.5	TKO, R1 (2:9)	No
6.	Mar '23	Leah McCourt	Cat Zingano	4.25	0.25	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Mar '23	Lance Gibson Jr.	Vladimir Tokov	2.65	1	TKO, R1 (1:2)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Crime Pays : Progress Chart

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