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MMA Handicapper Stats: Heimdall

Heimdall (MarcelNylen)


MMA MHandicapper - Heimdall

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 24 (45%) Right 14 (47%) Right 8 (40%) Right 2 (67%)
Wrong 29 (55%) Wrong 16 (53%) Wrong 12 (60%) Wrong 1 (33%)
Avg Odds 1.85 Avg Odds 1.66 Avg Odds 2.16 Avg Odds 2.31
Units Bet 114.3 Units Bet 75.0 Units Bet 28.3 Units Bet 11.0
Avg Bet 2.16 Avg Bet 2.50 Avg Bet 1.41 Avg Bet 3.67
Units Profit -16.86 Units Profit -20.93 Units Profit -2.69 Units Profit 6.75
ROI % -15% ROI % -28% ROI % -9% ROI % 61%
View Handicapper's Profile

Heimdall : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
10th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 6 3.1 52% 3.1 / 6 (52%)
27th Jan '24 LFA 175 5 3.7 73% 3.7 / 5 (73%)
1st Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov 36.29 -17.5 -48% -15.3 / 29 (-53%) -2.2 / 7.29 (-30%)
17th Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier 19 1.0 5% -1.6 / 11 (-15%) 2.6 / 8 (32%)
20th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 24 -0.2 -1% -3.2 / 18 (-18%) 2.9 / 6 (49%)
13th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 4 2.1 52% 2.1 / 4 (52%)
6th May '23 UFC 288 19.5 -9.4 -48% -2.9 / 13 (-23%) -6.5 / 6.5 (-100%)
5th May '23 One Fight Night 10 0.5 0.5 100% 0.5 / 0.5 (100%)


Winning Events: 5 (63%)
Losing Events: 3 (38%)

Average Staked Per Event: 14.29 units
Most Staked On One Event: 36.29 units
Best Event: 3.65 units
Worst Event: -17.50 units
Average Event: -2.11 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 6.75
Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -17.50

Heimdall : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2024 11 6.8 61% 6.8 / 11 (61%) 2 / (100%) 3.38
2023 103.29 -23.6 -23% -20.9 / 75 (-28%) 3 / 3 (50%) -3.94

Heimdall : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Heimdall : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 108.79 -21.0 -19% -20.9 / 75 (-28%) -3.2 / 27.79 (-11%) 3.1 / 6 (52%)
Other 5.5 4.2 76% 0.5 / 0.5 (100%) 3.7 / 5 (73%)

Heimdall : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 13 (43%) 7 54 % 40.00 -12.51 -0.96 -31%
Slight Favorites 8 (27%) 4 50 % 18.00 -2.57 -0.32 -14%
Slight Underdogs 8 (27%) 3 38 % 16.00 -4.85 -0.61 -30%
Big Underdogs 1 (3%) 0 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 1 (3%) 0 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%
Co-Main Event 5 (17%) 2 40 % 12.00 -4.70 -0.94 -39%
Position 3-5 9 (30%) 2 22 % 19.00 -13.52 -1.50 -71%
6+ (Undercard) 15 (50%) 10 67 % 42.00 -0.71 -0.05 -2%

Heimdall : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 2.00 1.00 1.00 50%
Light Heavy 2 (7%) 2 100 % 3.00 2.02 1.01 67%
Middleweight 4 (13%) 0 % 10.00 -10.00 -2.50 -100%
Welterweight 7 (23%) 5 71 % 15.00 4.70 0.67 31%
Lightweight 7 (23%) 3 43 % 20.00 -7.14 -1.02 -36%
Featherweight 2 (7%) 1 50 % 7.00 -1.70 -0.85 -24%
Flyweight 1 (3%) 1 100 % 3.00 0.99 0.99 33%
               
Women's Fights 6 (20%) 1 17 % 15.00 -10.80 -1.80 -72%
Flyweight 2 (7%) 0 % 6.00 -6.00 -3.00 -100%
Strawweight 4 (13%) 1 25 % 9.00 -4.80 -1.20 -53%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 10 (91%) 9 90 %
Slight Favorites 1 (9%) 1 100 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
11 10 91 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 4 (20%) 4 100 %
50-65% 4 (20%) 2 50 %
35-50% 6 (30%) 2 33 %
<35% chance 6 (30%) 0 0 %
20 8 40 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (10%) 1 50 % 1.81 2.00Pick was correct 1.66Pick was incorrect 0.0 (0%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (10%) 0 0 % 2.17 2.25Pick was incorrect 2.10Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
Goes to Decision 4 (20%) 4 100 % 1.45 1.72Pick was correct 1.28Pick was correct 1.9 (47%)
Does not go to Decision 2 (10%) 2 100 % 1.69 2.00Pick was correct 1.46Pick was correct 1.5 (73%)
X Wins by KO 4 (20%) 1 25 % 2.52 5.10Pick was incorrect 1.87Pick was incorrect -2.1 (-51%)
X Wins by Sub 4 (20%) 0 0 % 4.60 6.00Pick was incorrect 3.35Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (10%) 0 0 % 2.44 2.60Pick was incorrect 2.30Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
20 8 40 % 2.16     -6.7 (-34%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Heimdall 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
5th May One Fight Night 10 0.5 0.5 100% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,005.00
6th May UFC 288 19.5 -9.4 -48% $10.05 $1,005.00 $910.23
13th May UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida 4 2.1 52% $9.10 $910.23 $929.34
20th May UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 24 -0.2 -1% $9.29 $929.34 $927.11
17th Jun UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier 19 1.0 5% $9.27 $927.11 $935.92
1st Jul UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov 36.29 -17.5 -48% $9.36 $935.92 $772.17
27th Jan LFA 175 5 3.7 73% $7.72 $772.17 $800.38
10th Feb UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 6 3.1 52% $8.00 $800.38 $825.19


ROI % from starting bank balance: -17.48% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Heimdall : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '23 Joanderson Brito Westin Wilson 1.06 5 TKO, R1 (2:54) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '23 Rinat Fakhretdinov Kevin Lee 1.44 3 Sub, R1 (0:55) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '23 Michael Morales Max Griffin 1.35 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '23 Alessandro Costa Jimmy Flick 1.33 3 TKO, R2 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '23 Arman Tsarukyan Joaquim Silva 1.08 5 TKO, R3 (3:25) MMA Bookmaker
6. May '23 Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira Ilir Latifi 1.50 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. May '23 Gilbert Urbina Orion Cosce 1.90 3 TKO, R2 (2:55) MMA Bookmaker
8. May '23 Viacheslav Borshchev Hayisaer Maheshate 1.57 3 TKO, R2 (2:37) MMA Bookmaker
9. May '23 Joaquin Buckley Andre Fialho 1.43 1 TKO, R2 (4:15) MMA Bookmaker
10. May '23 Bryan Battle Gabriel Green 2.10 2 TKO, R1 (0:14) MMA Bookmaker
11. May '23 Johnny Walker Anthony Smith 1.90 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. May '23 Virna Jandiroba Marina Alcalde Rodriguez 2.10 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. May '23 Kennedy Nzechukwu Devin Clark 1.56 2 Sub, R2 (2:28) MMA Bookmaker
14. May '23 Matt Frevola Drew Dober 2.75 1 TKO, R1 (4:8) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jul '23 Ivana Petrovic Luana Carolina 1.43 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '23 Guram Kutateladze Elves Brenner 1.13 4 TKO, R3 (3:17) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Jul '23 Brunno Ferreira Nursulton Ruziboev 1.43 3 TKO, R1 (1:17) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Jul '23 Ismael Bonfim Benoit Saint-Denis 1.28 3 Sub, R1 (4:48) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Jul '23 Melissa Gatto Ariane Lipski 1.41 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jul '23 Damir Ismagulov Grant Dawson 1.90 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jun '23 Christian Duncan Armen Petrosyan 1.65 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. May '23 Nick Fiore Chase Hooper 1.72 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. May '23 Emily Ducote Lupita Godinez 2.20 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. May '23 Edmen Shahbazyan Anthony Hernandez 2.69 2 TKO, R3 (1:1) No MMA Bookmaker
11. May '23 Angela Hill Mackenzie Dern 2.41 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. May '23 Daniel Rodriguez Ian Garry 3.20 1 TKO, R1 (2:57) No MMA Bookmaker
13. May '23 Phil Hawes Ikram Aliskerov 2.65 2 TKO, R1 (2:10) No MMA Bookmaker
14. May '23 Kron Gracie Charles Jourdain 2.50 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. May '23 Jessica Andrade Yan Xiaonan 1.51 2 TKO, R1 (2:20) No MMA Bookmaker
16. May '23 Gilbert Burns Belal Muhammad 1.78 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Heimdall : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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