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MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: Fear

Fear (Fear)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Fear

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 19 (35%) Right 10 (56%) Right 5 (26%) Right 4 (24%)
Wrong 35 (65%) Wrong 8 (44%) Wrong 14 (74%) Wrong 13 (76%)
Avg Odds 2.92 Avg Odds 2.07 Avg Odds 3.73 Avg Odds 3.61
Units Bet 86.9 Units Bet 40.5 Units Bet 19.4 Units Bet 27.0
Avg Bet 1.61 Avg Bet 2.25 Avg Bet 1.02 Avg Bet 1.59
Units Profit -4.13 Units Profit 0.33 Units Profit -3.58 Units Profit -0.89
ROI % -5% ROI % 1% ROI % -18% ROI % -3%
View Handicapper's Profile

Fear : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
3rd Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi 5.2 -0.2 -4% -0.2 / 5.2 (-4%)
29th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón 3 0.8 27% 2.8 / 1 (280%) -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
15th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 12.4 -7.6 -61% -6.6 / 11.4 (-58%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
8th Apr '23 UFC 287 6 3.3 56% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 6.3 / 3 (211%)
7th Apr '23 PFL 2: 2023 6 -6.0 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -3.5 / 3.5 (-100%)
1st Apr '23 PFL 1: 2023 13.75 3.4 24% 2.3 / 6.4 (37%) -1.5 / 4.25 (-35%) 2.5 / 3.1 (81%)
25th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 6 1.4 24% 1.4 / 6 (24%)
18th Mar '23 UFC 286 19.8 -3.1 -16% 4.8 / 7 (69%) 1.7 / 3.15 (54%) -9.7 / 9.65 (-100%)
11th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili 17.71 3.8 22% 5.4 / 5 (109%) -3.5 / 3.51 (-100%) 1.9 / 9.2 (21%)


Winning Events: 5 (56%)
Losing Events: 4 (44%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.98 units
Most Staked On One Event: 19.80 units
Best Event: 3.84 units
Worst Event: -7.60 units
Average Event: -0.46 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 4.78
Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -7.60

Fear : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2023 89.86 -4.1 -5% 0.3 / 40.5 (1%) -0.9 / 26.95 (-3%) 5 / 4 (56%) -0.46

Fear : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Fear : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 70.11 -1.5 -2% 0.5 / 31.6 (2%) 1.4 / 14.66 (10%) -3.4 / 23.85 (-14%)
PFL 19.75 -2.6 -13% -0.2 / 8.9 (-2%) -5.0 / 7.75 (-65%) 2.5 / 3.1 (81%)

Fear : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (16%) 3 100 % 9.30 4.03 1.34 43%
Slight Favorites 7 (37%) 3 43 % 16.70 -6.30 -0.90 -38%
Slight Underdogs 4 (21%) 1 25 % 9.50 -1.85 -0.46 -19%
Big Underdogs 5 (26%) 3 60 % 5.00 4.45 0.89 89%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 1 (5%) 0 0 % 2.20 -2.20 -2.20 -100%
Co-Main Event 2 (11%) 0 0 % 3.50 -3.50 -1.75 -100%
Position 3-5 6 (32%) 5 83 % 12.70 8.40 1.40 66%
6+ (Undercard) 10 (53%) 5 50 % 22.10 -2.37 -0.24 -11%

Fear : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 2 (11%) 1 50 % 5.50 -1.17 -0.58 -21%
Light Heavy 3 (16%) 1 33 % 8.40 -3.00 -1.00 -36%
Middleweight 4 (21%) 3 75 % 7.00 3.45 0.86 49%
Welterweight 1 (5%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Lightweight 1 (5%) 1 100 % 3.30 1.50 1.50 45%
Featherweight 1 (5%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Bantamweight 1 (5%) 1 100 % 1.00 2.20 2.20 220%
Flyweight 5 (26%) 2 40 % 12.00 -1.65 -0.33 -14%
               
Women's Fights 1 (5%) 1 100 % 1.30 1.00 1.00 77%
Strawweight 1 (5%) 1 100 % 1.30 1.00 1.00 77%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 21 (88%) 13 62 %
Slight Favorites 3 (13%) 1 33 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
24 14 58 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 15 (29%) 13 87 %
50-65% 13 (25%) 4 31 %
35-50% 4 (8%) 1 25 %
<35% chance 19 (37%) 2 11 %
51 20 39 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 5 (10%) 4 80 % 1.43 1.63Pick was correct 1.33Pick was correct 0.7 (14%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 12 (24%) 6 50 % 1.49 1.83Pick was incorrect 1.22Pick was correct -4.0 (-33%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.48 1.48Pick was correct 1.48Pick was incorrect 0.5 (48%)
X Wins by KO 3 (6%) 0 0 % 3.58 8.50Pick was incorrect 2.40Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 3 (6%) 1 33 % 2.51 2.95Pick was incorrect 2.05Pick was correct -0.9 (-32%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (4%) 1 50 % 3.41 3.80Pick was correct 3.10Pick was incorrect 1.8 (90%)
X Wins in Round X 8 (16%) 1 13 % 9.51 16.00Pick was incorrect 4.50Pick was incorrect -2.4 (-30%)
Others 17 (33%) 6 35 % 2.31 36.00Pick was incorrect 1.21Pick was correct -7.4 (-44%)
51 20 39 % 2.21     -14.8 (-29%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Fear 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
11th Mar UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili 17.71 3.8 22% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,038.45
18th Mar UFC 286 19.8 -3.1 -16% $10.38 $1,038.45 $1,006.25
25th Mar UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 6 1.4 24% $10.06 $1,006.25 $1,020.63
1st Apr PFL 1: 2023 13.75 3.4 24% $10.21 $1,020.63 $1,054.86
7th Apr PFL 2: 2023 6 -6.0 -100% $10.55 $1,054.86 $991.57
8th Apr UFC 287 6 3.3 56% $9.92 $991.57 $1,024.67
15th Apr UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 12.4 -7.6 -61% $10.25 $1,024.67 $946.80
29th Apr UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón 3 0.8 27% $9.47 $946.80 $954.37
3rd Jun UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi 5.2 -0.2 -4% $9.54 $954.37 $952.46


ROI % from starting bank balance: -4.75% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Fear : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jun '23 Elise Reed Jinh Yu Frey 1.77 1.3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jun '23 Tim Elliott Victor Altamirano 1.59 1.7 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '23 Rafa Garcia Clay Guida 1.45 3.3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '23 Marthin Hamlet Mohammad Fakhreddine 1.59 3.4 Sub, R1 (1:5) MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '23 Will Fleury Krzysztof Jotko 3.35 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Mar '23 Jennifer Maia Casey O'Neill 2.55 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Mar '23 Marvin Vettori Roman Dolidze 1.40 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Mar '23 Karl Williams Lukasz Brzeski 1.44 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '23 Josh Fremd Sedriques Dumas 2.90 1 Sub, R2 (3:0) MMA Bookmaker
10. Mar '23 Jonathan Martinez Said Nurmagomedov 3.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jun '23 Kai Kara-France Amir Albazi 1.91 2.2 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '23 Matheus Nicolau Brandon Royval 1.56 1.8 TKO, R1 (2:9) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Apr '23 Dustin Jacoby Azamat Murzakanov 1.67 3 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Apr '23 Matheus Nicolau Brandon Royval 1.61 3.3 TKO, R1 (2:9) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Apr '23 Matheus Scheffel Bruno Cappelozza 2.40 2.5 TKO, R1 (2:15) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Apr '23 Cory Hendricks Impa Kasanganay 2.25 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Apr '23 Gerald Meerschaert Joe Pyfer 2.62 2 TKO, R1 (3:15) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Apr '23 Jorge Masvidal Gilbert Burns 4.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
9. Mar '23 Makwan Amirkhani Jack Shore 5.00 1 Sub, R2 (4:27) Yes MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Fear : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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