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MMA Handicapper Stats: Charlie Tubb

Charlie Tubb (CharlieTubb1)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	20 (32%)	Right	11 (41%)	Right	4 (17%)	Right	5 (38%)
Wrong	43 (68%)	Wrong	16 (59%)	Wrong	19 (83%)	Wrong	8 (62%)
Avg Odds	2.60	Avg Odds	1.84	Avg Odds	4.85	Avg Odds	2.73
Units Bet	133.2	Units Bet	98.0	Units Bet	7.5	Units Bet	27.7
Avg Bet	2.11	Avg Bet	3.63	Avg Bet	0.32	Avg Bet	2.13
Units Profit	-16.25	Units Profit	-25.62	Units Profit	-2.30	Units Profit	11.67
ROI %	-12%	ROI %	-26%	ROI %	-31%	ROI %	42%

Charlie Tubb: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	3	-1.1	-36%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-0.1 / 2 (-5%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	15.25	-15.3	-100%	-13.0 / 13 (-100%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	4.9	-0.6	-13%	-1.5 / 3 (-51%)	-0.4 / 1 (-41%)	1.3 / 0.9 (146%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	2.3	1.0	42%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	0.5 / 1.15 (39%)	1.5 / 0.15 (1,011%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	1.5	1.2	80%	1.2 / 1.5 (80%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	20	12.0	60%	3.0 / 10 (30%)		9.0 / 10 (90%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	20	9.5	48%	3.0 / 10 (30%)		6.5 / 10 (65%)
15th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	20	10.6	53%	10.6 / 20 (53%)
1st Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	25.65	-21.7	-85%	-18.8 / 22.75 (-83%)	-0.2 / 0.15 (-100%)	-2.8 / 2.75 (-100%)
24th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	3.07	-1.4	-44%	-0.3 / 2 (-14%)	-0.2 / 0.15 (-100%)	-0.9 / 0.92 (-100%)
25th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	2.75	-1.7	-62%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	0.1 / 1 (5%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
18th Mar '23	UFC 286	1	1.9	187%	1.9 / 1 (187%)
11th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	3.75	-0.7	-20%	0.8 / 2.25 (33%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Winning Events: 6 (43%)
Losing Events: 8 (57%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.51 units
Most Staked On One Event: 25.65 units
Best Event: 12.01 units
Worst Event: -21.70 units
Average Event: -1.16 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 23.71
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -24.76

Charlie Tubb: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	25.45	-16.0	-63%	-16.5 / 18 (-92%)		2.1 / 1.8 (116%)	1 / 3 (25%)	-4.00
2023	107.72	-0.3	-0%	-9.1 / 80 (-11%)		9.6 / 25.92 (37%)	5 / 5 (50%)	-0.03

Charlie Tubb: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Charlie Tubb: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	123.17	-6.2	-5%	-15.6 / 88 (-18%)	-2.3 / 7.45 (-31%)	11.7 / 27.72 (42%)
Other	10	-10.0	-100%	-10.0 / 10 (-100%)

Charlie Tubb: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	9 (32%)	6	67 %	63.50	-3.19	-0.35	-5%
Slight Favorites	6 (21%)	2	33 %	16.25	-11.84	-1.97	-73%
Slight Underdogs	9 (32%)	1	11 %	14.75	-12.97	-1.44	-88%
Big Underdogs	4 (14%)	2	50 %	3.50	2.38	0.59	68%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	7 (25%)	3	43 %	24.50	-15.93	-2.28	-65%
Co-Main Event	4 (14%)	1	25 %	22.00	-9.00	-2.25	-41%
Position 3-5	5 (18%)	2	40 %	14.50	2.99	0.60	21%
6+ (Undercard)	12 (43%)	5	42 %	37.00	-3.68	-0.31	-10%

Charlie Tubb: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Middleweight	6 (21%)	2	33 %	23.00	-8.19	-1.36	-36%
Welterweight	6 (21%)	3	50 %	7.00	0.74	0.12	11%
Lightweight	4 (14%)	1	25 %	31.00	-29.52	-7.38	-95%
Featherweight	1 (4%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Bantamweight	5 (18%)	2	40 %	12.50	5.82	1.16	47%
Flyweight	1 (4%)		0 %	0.50	-0.50	-0.50	-100%

Women's Fights	5 (18%)	3	60 %	23.00	7.04	1.41	31%
Flyweight	1 (4%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Strawweight	4 (14%)	3	75 %	22.00	8.04	2.01	37%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	17 (94%)	11	65 %
Slight Favorites	1 (6%)	1	100 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	18	12	67 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	7 (17%)	7	100 %
50-65%	6 (15%)	4	67 %
35-50%	7 (17%)	4	57 %
<35% chance	21 (51%)	1	5 %
	41	16	39 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	5 (12%)	5	100 %	1.29	1.45	1.17	1.5 (30%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.20	1.20	1.20	0.2 (20%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (2%)	0	0 %	1.61	1.61	1.61	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	4 (10%)	0	0 %	5.52	7.00	5.00	-4.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	4 (10%)	1	25 %	3.21	4.33	2.20	-0.8 (-20%)
X Wins by Decision	2 (5%)	2	100 %	2.00	2.10	1.91	2.0 (100%)
X Wins in Round X	8 (20%)	1	13 %	8.13	34.00	2.35	-5.6 (-71%)
Others	16 (39%)	6	38 %	2.65	13.00	1.33	-4.2 (-26%)
	41	16	39 %	2.68			-11.9 (-29%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Charlie Tubb's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
11th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	3.75	-0.7	-20%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$992.50
18th Mar	UFC 286	1	1.9	187%		$9.93	$992.50	$1,011.11
25th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	2.75	-1.7	-62%		$10.11	$1,011.11	$993.92
24th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	3.07	-1.4	-44%		$9.94	$993.92	$980.45
1st Jul	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	25.65	-21.7	-85%		$9.80	$980.45	$767.67
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	20	10.6	53%		$7.68	$767.67	$849.33
15th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	10	-10.0	-100%		$8.49	$849.33	$764.40
19th Aug	UFC 292	20	9.5	48%		$7.64	$764.40	$837.28
21st Oct	UFC 294	20	12.0	60%		$8.37	$837.28	$937.83
16th Dec	UFC 296	1.5	1.2	80%		$9.38	$937.83	$949.09
17th Feb	UFC 298	2.3	1.0	42%		$9.49	$949.09	$958.25
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	4.9	-0.6	-13%		$9.58	$958.25	$952.32
9th Mar	UFC 299	15.25	-15.3	-100%		$9.52	$952.32	$807.09
13th Apr	UFC 300	3	-1.1	-36%		$8.07	$807.09	$798.28

ROI % from starting bank balance: -20.17% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Charlie Tubb: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Feb '24	Fares Ziam	Claudio Puelles	1.48	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Dec '23	Leon Edwards	Colby Covington	1.80	1.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
3.	Oct '23	Sharabutdin Magomedov	Bruno Silva	1.30	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Aug '23	Weili Zhang	Amanda Lemos	1.30	10	U Decision (5 rounds)
5.	Aug '23	DaMon Blackshear	Jose Johnson	1.53	10	Sub, R1 (3:47)
6.	Aug '23	Iasmin Lucindo	Polyana Viana	1.53	10	Sub, R2 (3:42)
7.	Jul '23	Nursulton Ruziboev	Brunno Ferreira	2.38	0.75	TKO, R1 (1:17)
8.	Jul '23	Michael Morales	Max Griffin	1.44	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jun '23	Tabatha Ricci	Gillian Robertson	1.71	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Mar '23	Leon Edwards	Kamaru Usman	2.87	1	Split Decision (5 rounds)
11.	Mar '23	Merab Dvalishvili	Petr Yan	3.00	1	U Decision (5 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '24	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Jessica Andrade	2.10	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Mar '24	Michal Oleksiejczuk	Michel Pereira	2.25	0.5	Sub, R1 (1:1)	No
3.	Mar '24	Pedro Munhoz	Kyler Phillips	2.80	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Mar '24	Gilbert Burns	Jack Della Maddalena	2.30	0.5	TKO, R3 (3:43)	No
5.	Mar '24	Kevin Holland	Michael Page	1.73	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Mar '24	Benoit Saint-Denis	Dustin Poirier	1.59	10	TKO, R2 (2:32)	No
7.	Feb '24	Daniel Lacerda	Edgar Chairez	4.00	0.5	Sub, R1 (2:17)	Yes
8.	Feb '24	Yair Rodriguez	Brian Ortega	1.73	1	Sub, R3 (0:58)	No
9.	Feb '24	Christian Quinonez	Raoni Barcelos	2.50	0.5	Sub, R3 (2:4)	No
10.	Feb '24	Geoff Neal	Ian Garry	2.87	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Aug '23	George Hardwick	Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady	1.29	10	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Jul '23	Guram Kutateladze	Elves Brenner	1.17	10	TKO, R3 (3:17)	No
13.	Jul '23	Abusupiyan Magomedov	Sean Strickland	2.25	10	TKO, R2 (4:20)	No
14.	Jul '23	Abusupiyan Magomedov	Sean Strickland	2.40	0.5	TKO, R2 (4:20)	No
15.	Jun '23	Amanda Ribas	Maycee Barber	1.53	1	TKO, R2 (3:42)	No
16.	Mar '23	Marlon Vera	Cory Sandhagen	2.30	0.5	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
17.	Mar '23	Sedriques Dumas	Josh Fremd	1.67	1.25	Sub, R2 (3:0)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Charlie Tubb: Progress Chart

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