MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6687
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2454

MMA Handicapper Stats: FreeLunchTrades

FreeLunchTrades (0xFLT)

MMA MHandicapper - FreeLunchTrades

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	127 (59%)	Right	100 (61%)	Right	13 (52%)	Right	14 (48%)
Wrong	90 (41%)	Wrong	63 (39%)	Wrong	12 (48%)	Wrong	15 (52%)
Avg Odds	1.77	Avg Odds	1.70	Avg Odds	1.88	Avg Odds	2.14
Units Bet	1,244.5	Units Bet	958.0	Units Bet	111.5	Units Bet	175.0
Avg Bet	5.74	Avg Bet	5.88	Avg Bet	4.46	Avg Bet	6.03
Units Profit	13.59	Units Profit	46.26	Units Profit	1.04	Units Profit	-33.72
ROI %	1%	ROI %	5%	ROI %	1%	ROI %	-19%

FreeLunchTrades : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
8th Jun '24	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov	99	-27.2	-27%	-3.2 / 75 (-4%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	-19.0 / 19 (-100%)
1st Jun '24	UFC 302	58	7.2	12%	6.1 / 30 (20%)		1.1 / 28 (4%)
11th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	63	-13.5	-21%	6.5 / 43 (15%)	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)	-12.0 / 12 (-100%)
4th May '24	UFC 301	75	-1.0	-1%	3.6 / 58 (6%)	4.4 / 8 (56%)	-9.0 / 9 (-100%)
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	91	22.7	25%	11.5 / 68 (17%)	4.1 / 15 (27%)	7.1 / 8 (89%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	80	-15.8	-20%	-15.8 / 69 (-23%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	5.0 / 6 (84%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	66	12.7	19%	12.7 / 66 (19%)
9th Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	32	-1.7	-5%	-1.7 / 32 (-5%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	51	1.2	2%	1.8 / 40 (4%)		-0.6 / 11 (-5%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	35	-10.5	-30%	-12.5 / 32 (-39%)		2.0 / 3 (67%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	61	-7.1	-12%	6.7 / 26 (26%)	0.2 / 21 (1%)	-14.0 / 14 (-100%)
19th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 7	34.5	-4.1	-12%	-5.2 / 12.5 (-42%)	8.1 / 15 (54%)	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	21	6.0	29%	2.2 / 12 (19%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	5.8 / 7 (83%)
12th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 6	11	9.8	89%	9.8 / 11 (89%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	54	14.6	27%	-3.8 / 31 (-12%)	5.3 / 10 (53%)	13.1 / 13 (101%)
22nd Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 3	15	0.0	0%	0.0 / 15 (0%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	64	0.6	1%	-3.9 / 50 (-8%)	-1.6 / 8 (-19%)	6.0 / 6 (100%)
15th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	23	-7.4	-32%	-1.4 / 17 (-8%)		-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	43	9.8	23%	12.4 / 33 (38%)	2.4 / 5 (48%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
8th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	19	-5.7	-30%	5.3 / 8 (66%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	54.5	9.3	17%	2.8 / 45 (6%)	2.1 / 2.5 (83%)	4.5 / 7 (64%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	38.5	5.6	15%	2.4 / 33.5 (7%)		3.3 / 5 (65%)
8th Jul '23	UFC 290	27	0.6	2%	0.6 / 27 (2%)
17th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	25	-0.6	-2%	-0.6 / 25 (-2%)
10th Jun '23	UFC 289	57.5	11.7	20%	11.7 / 57.5 (20%)
4th Mar '23	UFC 285	29	-2.5	-9%	-1.5 / 25 (-6%)	0.9 / 2 (47%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
25th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	9.5	0.5	6%	0.5 / 9.5 (6%)
18th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	8	-1.4	-17%	-0.4 / 7 (-6%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Winning Events: 14 (50%)
Losing Events: 14 (50%)

Average Staked Per Event: 44.45 units
Most Staked On One Event: 99.00 units
Best Event: 22.67 units
Worst Event: -27.19 units
Average Event: 0.49 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 30.95
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -27.19

FreeLunchTrades : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	532	-15.0	-3%	21.3 / 409 (5%)		-26.8 / 82 (-33%)	3 / 4 (43%)	-2.14
2023	712.5	28.5	4%	25.0 / 549 (5%)		-7.0 / 93 (-7%)	11 / 10 (52%)	1.36

FreeLunchTrades : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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FreeLunchTrades : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	1142	21.1	2%	37.9 / 894.5 (4%)	-3.1 / 92.5 (-3%)	-13.7 / 155 (-9%)
Other	102.5	-7.5	-7%	8.4 / 63.5 (13%)	4.1 / 19 (22%)	-20.0 / 20 (-100%)

FreeLunchTrades : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	62 (38%)	42	68 %	406.00	-31.96	-0.52	-8%
Slight Favorites	67 (41%)	47	70 %	403.00	83.13	1.24	21%
Slight Underdogs	19 (12%)	7	37 %	94.00	-6.50	-0.34	-7%
Big Underdogs	15 (9%)	4	27 %	55.00	1.60	0.11	3%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	14 (9%)	8	57 %	110.50	0.61	0.04	1%
Co-Main Event	15 (9%)	8	53 %	86.50	-22.91	-1.53	-26%
Position 3-5	43 (26%)	26	60 %	246.50	15.58	0.36	6%
6+ (Undercard)	91 (56%)	58	64 %	514.50	52.98	0.58	10%

FreeLunchTrades : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	10 (6%)	6	60 %	60.00	-11.40	-1.14	-19%
Light Heavy	14 (9%)	10	71 %	87.50	16.14	1.15	18%
Middleweight	19 (12%)	14	74 %	123.00	55.12	2.90	45%
Welterweight	16 (10%)	12	75 %	97.00	23.39	1.46	24%
Lightweight	31 (19%)	14	45 %	187.00	-51.02	-1.65	-27%
Featherweight	14 (9%)	9	64 %	90.00	10.60	0.76	12%
Bantamweight	23 (14%)	11	48 %	118.50	-16.40	-0.71	-14%
Flyweight	11 (7%)	8	73 %	56.50	14.25	1.30	25%

Women's Fights	25 (15%)	16	64 %	138.50	5.57	0.22	4%
Bantamweight	4 (2%)	3	75 %	13.50	1.23	0.31	9%
Flyweight	11 (7%)	7	64 %	66.00	6.34	0.58	10%
Strawweight	10 (6%)	6	60 %	59.00	-1.99	-0.20	-3%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	83 (97%)	63	76 %
Slight Favorites	3 (3%)	3	100 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	86	66	77 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	11 (38%)	8	73 %
50-65%	9 (31%)	6	67 %
35-50%	5 (17%)	1	20 %
<35% chance	4 (14%)	1	25 %
	29	16	55 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (7%)	1	50 %	1.61	1.67	1.56	-0.3 (-17%)
Goes to Decision	7 (24%)	5	71 %	1.93	6.50	1.29	1.2 (17%)
Does not go to Decision	4 (14%)	1	25 %	1.66	2.25	1.32	-2.5 (-63%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (10%)	1	33 %	2.32	4.30	1.63	1.3 (43%)
X Wins Inside Distance	1 (3%)	0	0 %	3.00	3.00	3.00	-1.0 (-100%)
Others	12 (41%)	8	67 %	1.57	2.60	1.11	0.0 (0%)
	29	16	55 %	1.75			-1.3 (-5%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail FreeLunchTrades 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	8	-1.4	-17%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$986.03
25th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	9.5	0.5	6%		$9.86	$986.03	$991.33
4th Mar	UFC 285	29	-2.5	-9%	$9	$9.91	$991.33	$957.06
10th Jun	UFC 289	57.5	11.7	20%		$9.57	$957.06	$1,068.68
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	25	-0.6	-2%		$10.69	$1,068.68	$1,062.31
8th Jul	UFC 290	27	0.6	2%		$10.62	$1,062.31	$1,068.49
29th Jul	UFC 291	38.5	5.6	15%	$9	$10.68	$1,068.49	$1,119.61
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	54.5	9.3	17%	$9	$11.20	$1,119.61	$1,215.21
8th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	19	-5.7	-30%	$9	$12.15	$1,215.21	$1,136.55
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	43	9.8	23%	$9	$11.37	$1,136.55	$1,239.26
15th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	23	-7.4	-32%	$9	$12.39	$1,239.26	$1,138.01
19th Aug	UFC 292	64	0.6	1%	$9	$11.38	$1,138.01	$1,135.57
22nd Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 3	15	0.0	0%	$9	$11.36	$1,135.57	$1,126.57
9th Sep	UFC 293	54	14.6	27%	$9	$11.27	$1,126.57	$1,281.88
12th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 6	11	9.8	89%		$12.82	$1,281.88	$1,407.32
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	21	6.0	29%	$9	$14.07	$1,407.32	$1,482.76
19th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 7	34.5	-4.1	-12%	$9	$14.83	$1,482.76	$1,412.73
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	61	-7.1	-12%	$9	$14.13	$1,412.73	$1,303.58
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	35	-10.5	-30%		$13.04	$1,303.58	$1,166.86
21st Oct	UFC 294	51	1.2	2%	$9	$11.67	$1,166.86	$1,171.54
9th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	32	-1.7	-5%		$11.72	$1,171.54	$1,151.04
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	66	12.7	19%	$9	$11.51	$1,151.04	$1,287.76
9th Mar	UFC 299	80	-15.8	-20%	$9	$12.88	$1,287.76	$1,075.69
13th Apr	UFC 300	91	22.7	25%	$9	$10.76	$1,075.69	$1,310.53
4th May	UFC 301	75	-1.0	-1%	$9	$13.11	$1,310.53	$1,288.36
11th May	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	63	-13.5	-21%	$9	$12.88	$1,288.36	$1,105.43
1st Jun	UFC 302	58	7.2	12%		$11.05	$1,105.43	$1,184.84
8th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov	99	-27.2	-27%	$9	$11.85	$1,184.84	$853.69

ROI % from starting bank balance: -14.63% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

FreeLunchTrades : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jun '24	Nassourdine Imavov	Jared Cannonier	1.80	10	TKO, R4 (1:34)
2.	Jun '24	Raul Rosas Jr	Ricky Turcios	1.41	10	Sub, R2 (2:22)
3.	Jun '24	Ludovit Klein	Thiago Moises	1.77	8	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jun '24	Carlos Prates	Charlie Radtke	1.49	9	TKO, R1 (4:47)
5.	Jun '24	Daniel Marcos	John Castaneda	1.74	7	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jun '24	Roman Kopylov	César Almeida	2.00	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jun '24	Jake Matthews	Phil Rowe	1.61	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	May '24	Tabatha Ricci	Tecia Torres	1.67	9	Split Decision (3 rounds)
9.	May '24	Trey Waters	Billy Goff	1.67	9	U Decision (3 rounds)
10.	May '24	Chase Hooper	Viacheslav Borshchev	2.10	5	Sub, R2 (3:0)
11.	May '24	Veronica Macedo	J.J. Aldrich	1.80	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	May '24	Mauricio Ruffy	Jamie Mullarkey	1.44	9	TKO, R1 (4:42)
13.	May '24	Dione Barbosa	Ernesta Kareckaite	1.40	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	May '24	Alexandre Pantoja	Steve Erceg	1.53	10	U Decision (5 rounds)
15.	May '24	Joanderson Brito	Jack Shore	1.53	8	TKO, R2 (3:35)
16.	May '24	Alessandro Costa	Kevin Borjas	1.77	4	TKO, R2 (1:35)
17.	Apr '24	Alex Pereira	Jamahal Hill	1.74	11	TKO, R1 (3:14)
18.	Apr '24	Arman Tsarukyan	Charles Oliveira	1.44	9	Split Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Apr '24	Jiri Prochazka	Aleksandar Rakic	2.00	8	TKO, R2 (3:17)
20.	Apr '24	Aljamain Sterling	Calvin Kattar	1.61	10	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jun '24	Dustin Jacoby	Dominick Reyes	1.40	10	TKO, R1 (2:0)	No
2.	Jun '24	Julian Marquez	Zachary Reese	1.69	6	TKO, R1 (0:20)	No
3.	Jun '24	Eduarda Moura	Denise Gomes	1.50	10	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Jun '24	Cody Stamann	Taylor Lapilus	3.20	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Jun '24	Dustin Poirier	Islam Makhachev	5.00	10	Sub, R5 (2:42)	No
6.	May '24	Nursulton Ruziboev	Joaquin Buckley	2.10	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	May '24	Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira	Derrick Lewis	2.40	10	TKO, R3 (0:49)	No
8.	May '24	Jonathan Martinez	Jose Aldo	1.69	6	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	May '24	Elves Brenner	Myktybek Orolbai	3.10	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	May '24	Joaquim Silva	Drakkar Klose	2.65	6	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Apr '24	Justin Gaethje	Max Holloway	1.63	10	TKO, R5 (4:59)	No
12.	Apr '24	Jalin Turner	Renato Moicano	1.43	7	TKO, R2 (4:11)	No
13.	Apr '24	Jim Miller	Bobby Green	2.50	4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Mar '24	Benoit Saint-Denis	Dustin Poirier	1.44	9	TKO, R2 (2:32)	No
15.	Mar '24	Kevin Holland	Michael Page	1.74	7	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
16.	Mar '24	Yadong Song	Petr Yan	2.20	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Mar '24	Jailton Junior	Curtis Blaydes	1.83	6	TKO, R2 (0:36)	No
18.	Mar '24	Maryna Moroz	Joanne Wood	1.43	8	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Feb '24	Joe Pyfer	Jack Hermansson	1.40	10	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
20.	Feb '24	Robert Bryczek	Ihor Potieria	1.57	8	U Decision (3 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

FreeLunchTrades : Progress Chart

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