MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 5951
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2208

MMA Handicapper Stats: FreeLunchTrades

FreeLunchTrades (0xFLT)

MMA MHandicapper - FreeLunchTrades

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	84 (61%)	Right	64 (62%)	Right	10 (59%)	Right	10 (56%)
Wrong	54 (39%)	Wrong	39 (38%)	Wrong	7 (41%)	Wrong	8 (44%)
Avg Odds	1.74	Avg Odds	1.69	Avg Odds	1.72	Avg Odds	2.13
Units Bet	680.5	Units Bet	517.0	Units Bet	70.5	Units Bet	93.0
Avg Bet	4.93	Avg Bet	5.02	Avg Bet	4.15	Avg Bet	5.17
Units Profit	30.29	Units Profit	26.74	Units Profit	10.51	Units Profit	-6.96
ROI %	4%	ROI %	5%	ROI %	15%	ROI %	-7%

FreeLunchTrades : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	51	1.2	2%	1.8 / 40 (4%)		-0.6 / 11 (-5%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	35	-10.5	-30%	-12.5 / 32 (-39%)		2.0 / 3 (67%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	61	-7.1	-12%	6.7 / 26 (26%)	0.2 / 21 (1%)	-14.0 / 14 (-100%)
19th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 7	34.5	-4.1	-12%	-5.2 / 12.5 (-42%)	8.1 / 15 (54%)	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	21	6.0	29%	2.2 / 12 (19%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	5.8 / 7 (83%)
12th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 6	11	9.8	89%	9.8 / 11 (89%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	54	14.6	27%	-3.8 / 31 (-12%)	5.3 / 10 (53%)	13.1 / 13 (101%)
22nd Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 3	15	0.0	0%	0.0 / 15 (0%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	64	0.6	1%	-3.9 / 50 (-8%)	-1.6 / 8 (-19%)	6.0 / 6 (100%)
15th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	23	-7.4	-32%	-1.4 / 17 (-8%)		-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	43	9.8	23%	12.4 / 33 (38%)	2.4 / 5 (48%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
8th Aug '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	19	-5.7	-30%	5.3 / 8 (66%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	54.5	9.3	17%	2.8 / 45 (6%)	2.1 / 2.5 (83%)	4.5 / 7 (64%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	38.5	5.6	15%	2.4 / 33.5 (7%)		3.3 / 5 (65%)
8th Jul '23	UFC 290	27	0.6	2%	0.6 / 27 (2%)
17th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	25	-0.6	-2%	-0.6 / 25 (-2%)
10th Jun '23	UFC 289	57.5	11.7	20%	11.7 / 57.5 (20%)
4th Mar '23	UFC 285	29	-2.5	-9%	-1.5 / 25 (-6%)	0.9 / 2 (47%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
25th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	9.5	0.5	6%	0.5 / 9.5 (6%)
18th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	8	-1.4	-17%	-0.4 / 7 (-6%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)

Winning Events: 11 (55%)
Losing Events: 9 (45%)

Average Staked Per Event: 34.03 units
Most Staked On One Event: 64.00 units
Best Event: 14.58 units
Worst Event: -10.49 units
Average Event: 1.51 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 30.95
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -21.69

FreeLunchTrades : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	680.5	30.3	4%	26.7 / 517 (5%)		-7.0 / 93 (-7%)	11 / 9 (55%)	1.51

FreeLunchTrades : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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FreeLunchTrades : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	578	37.8	7%	18.4 / 453.5 (4%)	6.4 / 51.5 (12%)	13.0 / 73 (18%)
Other	102.5	-7.5	-7%	8.4 / 63.5 (13%)	4.1 / 19 (22%)	-20.0 / 20 (-100%)

FreeLunchTrades : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	41 (40%)	29	71 %	230.00	-15.54	-0.38	-7%
Slight Favorites	42 (41%)	29	69 %	227.00	43.17	1.03	19%
Slight Underdogs	10 (10%)	3	30 %	36.00	-5.50	-0.55	-15%
Big Underdogs	10 (10%)	3	30 %	24.00	4.60	0.46	19%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	7 (7%)	5	71 %	46.50	12.20	1.74	26%
Co-Main Event	10 (10%)	7	70 %	50.50	4.09	0.41	8%
Position 3-5	33 (32%)	21	64 %	170.50	15.37	0.47	9%
6+ (Undercard)	53 (51%)	31	58 %	249.50	-4.93	-0.09	-2%

FreeLunchTrades : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	8 (8%)	6	75 %	44.00	4.60	0.58	10%
Light Heavy	8 (8%)	6	75 %	40.50	8.49	1.06	21%
Middleweight	11 (11%)	10	91 %	57.00	39.91	3.63	70%
Welterweight	9 (9%)	6	67 %	43.00	3.36	0.37	8%
Lightweight	18 (17%)	9	50 %	94.00	-18.20	-1.01	-19%
Featherweight	10 (10%)	5	50 %	59.00	-6.99	-0.70	-12%
Bantamweight	16 (16%)	8	50 %	71.50	-11.67	-0.73	-16%
Flyweight	8 (8%)	5	63 %	37.50	2.79	0.35	7%

Women's Fights	15 (15%)	9	60 %	70.50	4.43	0.30	6%
Bantamweight	3 (3%)	2	67 %	10.50	-0.77	-0.26	-7%
Flyweight	7 (7%)	4	57 %	37.00	3.34	0.48	9%
Strawweight	5 (5%)	3	60 %	23.00	1.86	0.37	8%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	55 (98%)	43	78 %
Slight Favorites	1 (2%)	1	100 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	56	44	79 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	7 (39%)	5	71 %
50-65%	7 (39%)	4	57 %
35-50%	3 (17%)	1	33 %
<35% chance	1 (6%)	1	100 %
	18	11	61 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (11%)	1	50 %	1.61	1.67	1.56	-0.3 (-17%)
Goes to Decision	1 (6%)	1	100 %	2.15	2.15	2.15	1.1 (115%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (6%)	0	0 %	1.83	1.83	1.83	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (17%)	1	33 %	2.32	4.30	1.63	1.3 (43%)
Others	11 (61%)	8	73 %	1.52	2.05	1.11	1.0 (9%)
	18	11	61 %	1.67			2.1 (12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail FreeLunchTrades 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	8	-1.4	-17%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$986.03
25th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	9.5	0.5	6%		$9.86	$986.03	$991.33
4th Mar	UFC 285	29	-2.5	-9%	$9	$9.91	$991.33	$957.06
10th Jun	UFC 289	57.5	11.7	20%		$9.57	$957.06	$1,068.68
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	25	-0.6	-2%		$10.69	$1,068.68	$1,062.31
8th Jul	UFC 290	27	0.6	2%		$10.62	$1,062.31	$1,068.49
29th Jul	UFC 291	38.5	5.6	15%	$9	$10.68	$1,068.49	$1,119.61
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	54.5	9.3	17%	$9	$11.20	$1,119.61	$1,215.21
8th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 1	19	-5.7	-30%	$9	$12.15	$1,215.21	$1,136.55
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	43	9.8	23%	$9	$11.37	$1,136.55	$1,239.26
15th Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 2	23	-7.4	-32%	$9	$12.39	$1,239.26	$1,138.01
19th Aug	UFC 292	64	0.6	1%	$9	$11.38	$1,138.01	$1,135.57
22nd Aug	Contender Series 2023: Week 3	15	0.0	0%	$9	$11.36	$1,135.57	$1,126.57
9th Sep	UFC 293	54	14.6	27%	$9	$11.27	$1,126.57	$1,281.88
12th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 6	11	9.8	89%		$12.82	$1,281.88	$1,407.32
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	21	6.0	29%	$9	$14.07	$1,407.32	$1,482.76
19th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 7	34.5	-4.1	-12%	$9	$14.83	$1,482.76	$1,412.73
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	61	-7.1	-12%	$9	$14.13	$1,412.73	$1,303.58
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	35	-10.5	-30%		$13.04	$1,303.58	$1,166.86
21st Oct	UFC 294	51	1.2	2%	$9	$11.67	$1,166.86	$1,171.54

ROI % from starting bank balance: 17.15% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

FreeLunchTrades : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Oct '23	Islam Makhachev	Alex Volkanovski	1.39	11	TKO, R1 (3:6)
2.	Oct '23	Trevor Peek	Mohammad Yahya	1.56	8	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Oct '23	Sedriques Dumas	Abu Azaitar	1.40	10	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Oct '23	Jonathan Martinez	Adrian Yanez	1.91	5.5	TKO, R2 (2:26)
5.	Oct '23	Michel Pereira	Andre Petroski	1.50	6	TKO, R1 (1:6)
6.	Sep '23	Bryce Mitchell	Dan Ige	1.49	9	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Sep '23	Bryan Battle	A.J. Fletcher	1.53	8	Sub, R2 (4:32)
8.	Sep '23	Mohammed Usman	Jake Collier	1.77	4	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Sep '23	Kaynan Kruschewsky	Dylan Mantello	1.45	5	Sub, R1 (2:52)
10.	Sep '23	Jack Della Maddalena	Kevin Holland	1.74	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Sep '23	Tracy Cortez	Jasmine Jasudavicius	1.80	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Sep '23	Jean Matsumoto	Kasey Tanner	2.10	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Sep '23	Jhonata Diniz	Eduardo Neves	1.71	6	TKO, R1 (3:15)
14.	Sep '23	Sean Strickland	Israel Adesanya	6.00	2	U Decision (5 rounds)
15.	Sep '23	Alexander Volkov	Tai Tuivasa	1.40	5	Sub, R2 (4:37)
16.	Sep '23	Jamie Mullarkey	John Makdessi	1.36	6	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Aug '23	Zachary Reese	Eli Aronov	1.67	9	Sub, R1 (1:14)
18.	Aug '23	Marlon Vera	Pedro Munhoz	1.54	6	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Aug '23	Brad Katona	Cody Gibson	1.59	7	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Aug '23	Andre Petroski	Gerald Meerschaert	1.44	7	Split Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Oct '23	Anshul Jubli	Mike Breeden	1.36	11	TKO, R3 (3:0)	No
2.	Oct '23	Jennifer Maia	Viviane Araujo	1.65	6.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Oct '23	Cameron Saaiman	Christian Rodriguez	2.20	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Oct '23	T.J. Brown	Darren Elkins	1.56	6	Sub, R3 (2:23)	No
5.	Oct '23	Irina Alekseeva	Melissa Dixon	2.15	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Sep '23	Andre Fialho	Tim Means	1.61	5	TKO, R3 (1:15)	No
7.	Sep '23	Jacobi Jones	Daniel James Allen	1.42	7.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Sep '23	Terrence Mitchell	Raul Rosas Jr	6.50	2	TKO, R1 (0:54)	No
9.	Sep '23	Christos Giagos	Daniel Zellhuber	3.40	2	Sub, R2 (3:26)	No
10.	Sep '23	Austen Lane	Justin Tafa	2.70	4	TKO, R1 (1:22)	No
11.	Sep '23	Anton Turkalj	Tyson Pedro	1.87	7	TKO, R1 (2:12)	No
12.	Sep '23	Jack Jenkins	Jose Mariscal	1.49	7	TKO, R2 (3:19)	No
13.	Aug '23	Robbie Ring	Luis Pajuelo	1.56	6	TKO, R1 (3:43)	No
14.	Aug '23	Amanda Lemos	Weili Zhang	3.60	4	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
15.	Aug '23	Aljamain Sterling	Sean O'Malley	1.40	10	TKO, R2 (0:51)	No
16.	Aug '23	Austin Hubbard	Kurt Holobaugh	1.57	7	Sub, R2 (2:39)	No
17.	Aug '23	Cameron Smotherman	Charalampos Grigoriou	1.69	7	TKO, R1 (1:0)	No
18.	Aug '23	Polyana Viana	Iasmin Lucindo	2.65	3	Sub, R2 (3:42)	No
19.	Aug '23	J.P. Buys	Marcus McGhee	4.00	3	TKO, R1 (2:19)	No
20.	Aug '23	Kennedy Nzechukwu	Dustin Jacoby	1.65	3	TKO, R1 (1:22)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

FreeLunchTrades : Progress Chart

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