MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352

MMA Handicapper Stats: Scam The Books

Scam The Books (ScamTheBooks)

MMA MHandicapper - Scam The Books

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	44 (49%)	Right	17 (50%)	Right	14 (37%)	Right	13 (76%)
Wrong	45 (51%)	Wrong	17 (50%)	Wrong	24 (63%)	Wrong	4 (24%)
Avg Odds	2.28	Avg Odds	2.31	Avg Odds	2.42	Avg Odds	1.96
Units Bet	105.4	Units Bet	39.2	Units Bet	39.0	Units Bet	27.2
Avg Bet	1.18	Avg Bet	1.15	Avg Bet	1.03	Avg Bet	1.60
Units Profit	11.56	Units Profit	3.46	Units Profit	-2.93	Units Profit	11.03
ROI %	11%	ROI %	9%	ROI %	-8%	ROI %	41%

Scam The Books: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	3	3.3	109%	3.3 / 3 (109%)
22nd Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	4.35	-2.0	-46%	-0.0 / 2.35 (-0%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
8th Jul '23	UFC 290	7.1	2.0	28%	2.5 / 1.5 (167%)	0.5 / 2.5 (19%)	-1.0 / 3.1 (-32%)
1st Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	4.4	-1.0	-23%	-1.0 / 2.15 (-47%)	-0.0 / 2.25 (-0%)
24th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	3	-0.2	-8%	1.8 / 1 (175%)		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)
17th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	4.7	0.4	9%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	1.0 / 1.2 (83%)	1.4 / 1.5 (95%)
10th Jun '23	UFC 289	5.4	1.8	33%	-0.1 / 2.35 (-6%)	0.7 / 1.55 (45%)	1.2 / 1.5 (83%)
3rd Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi	3.7	0.5	14%		-1.7 / 1.7 (-100%)	2.2 / 2 (110%)
20th May '23	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	5.7	1.0	18%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	0.1 / 3.2 (2%)	2.0 / 1.5 (132%)
6th May '23	UFC 288	6.5	-2.2	-34%	-2.2 / 5 (-43%)	-0.0 / 1.5 (-2%)
29th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón	3.82	1.3	35%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	1.0 / 1.32 (76%)	1.3 / 1.5 (89%)
15th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	4	-0.4	-11%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)		1.6 / 2 (78%)
8th Apr '23	UFC 287	7.65	3.9	50%	1.2 / 4 (29%)	1.0 / 1.65 (63%)	1.7 / 2 (83%)
25th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	2	-0.0	-2%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)		1.0 / 1 (96%)
18th Mar '23	UFC 286	8.1	1.1	14%	2.1 / 1 (210%)	-0.7 / 3.1 (-23%)	-0.3 / 4 (-7%)
11th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	4.55	-0.6	-13%	1.1 / 0.8 (132%)	-2.8 / 2.75 (-100%)	1.1 / 1 (111%)
4th Mar '23	UFC 285	8.8	4.4	50%	4.0 / 3.8 (107%)	0.8 / 2.5 (33%)	-0.5 / 2.5 (-19%)
25th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	2	0.2	10%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	1.2 / 1 (120%)
4th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	9.8	-2.3	-23%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-2.5 / 7.2 (-35%)	1.3 / 1.6 (80%)
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	3.74	1.3	35%	-1.1 / 2.14 (-53%)	2.4 / 1.6 (153%)
14th Jan '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	3.1	-1.0	-31%	1.0 / 1.14 (88%)	-2.0 / 1.96 (-100%)

Winning Events: 12 (57%)
Losing Events: 9 (43%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.02 units
Most Staked On One Event: 9.80 units
Best Event: 4.41 units
Worst Event: -2.26 units
Average Event: 0.55 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 4.61
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -2.26

Scam The Books: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	105.41	11.6	11%	3.5 / 39.23 (9%)		11.0 / 27.2 (41%)	12 / 9 (57%)	0.55

Scam The Books: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Scam The Books: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	105.41	11.6	11%	3.5 / 39.23 (9%)	-2.9 / 38.98 (-8%)	11.0 / 27.2 (41%)

Scam The Books: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Slight Favorites	12 (34%)	6	50 %	17.63	-3.80	-0.32	-22%
Slight Underdogs	16 (46%)	7	44 %	16.30	0.46	0.03	3%
Big Underdogs	7 (20%)	4	57 %	5.30	6.80	0.97	128%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	9 (26%)	3	33 %	12.50	-1.04	-0.12	-8%
Co-Main Event	5 (14%)	3	60 %	4.10	1.21	0.24	29%
Position 3-5	8 (23%)	4	50 %	10.00	2.83	0.35	28%
6+ (Undercard)	13 (37%)	7	54 %	12.63	0.46	0.04	4%

Scam The Books: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	6 (17%)	4	67 %	6.95	4.71	0.78	68%
Light Heavy	1 (3%)		0 %	1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-100%
Middleweight	4 (11%)	3	75 %	5.64	3.11	0.78	55%
Welterweight	5 (14%)	2	40 %	5.64	0.84	0.17	15%
Lightweight	4 (11%)	2	50 %	3.50	0.35	0.09	10%
Featherweight	2 (6%)		0 %	2.50	-2.50	-1.25	-100%
Bantamweight	6 (17%)	2	33 %	8.50	-3.60	-0.60	-42%
Flyweight	2 (6%)	1	50 %	1.50	-0.10	-0.05	-7%

Women's Fights	5 (14%)	3	60 %	4.00	1.65	0.33	41%
Flyweight	2 (6%)	2	100 %	0.80	2.65	1.32	331%
Strawweight	3 (9%)	1	33 %	3.20	-1.00	-0.33	-31%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	19 (95%)	17	89 %
Slight Favorites	1 (5%)	1	100 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	20	18	90 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	17 (31%)	15	88 %
50-65%	20 (36%)	12	60 %
35-50%	4 (7%)	1	25 %
<35% chance	14 (25%)	1	7 %
	55	29	53 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	8 (15%)	7	88 %	1.40	1.80	1.18	2.2 (28%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	9 (16%)	5	56 %	1.61	3.00	1.22	-1.3 (-14%)
Does not go to Decision	1 (2%)	0	0 %	2.12	2.12	2.12	-1.0 (-100%)
Fight Starts Round X	3 (5%)	3	100 %	1.39	1.47	1.29	1.2 (39%)
X Wins by KO	3 (5%)	0	0 %	5.50	10.00	3.30	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (4%)	0	0 %	9.24	19.00	6.10	-2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision	1 (2%)	0	0 %	10.00	10.00	10.00	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins Inside Distance	17 (31%)	7	41 %	2.02	5.60	1.33	-5.2 (-31%)
Others	11 (20%)	7	64 %	2.10	18.00	1.36	16.8 (153%)
	55	29	53 %	1.93			6.7 (12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Scam The Books's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	3.1	-1.0	-31%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$990.40
21st Jan	UFC 283	3.74	1.3	35%		$9.90	$990.40	$1,003.37
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	9.8	-2.3	-23%		$10.03	$1,003.37	$980.73
25th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	2	0.2	10%		$9.81	$980.73	$982.69
4th Mar	UFC 285	8.8	4.4	50%		$9.83	$982.69	$1,026.03
11th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	4.55	-0.6	-13%		$10.26	$1,026.03	$1,020.05
18th Mar	UFC 286	8.1	1.1	14%		$10.20	$1,020.05	$1,031.66
25th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	2	-0.0	-2%		$10.32	$1,031.66	$1,031.26
8th Apr	UFC 287	7.65	3.9	50%		$10.31	$1,031.26	$1,071.04
15th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	4	-0.4	-11%		$10.71	$1,071.04	$1,066.33
29th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón	3.82	1.3	35%		$10.66	$1,066.33	$1,080.56
6th May	UFC 288	6.5	-2.2	-34%		$10.81	$1,080.56	$1,056.95
20th May	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	5.7	1.0	18%		$10.57	$1,056.95	$1,067.83
3rd Jun	UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi	3.7	0.5	14%		$10.68	$1,067.83	$1,073.22
10th Jun	UFC 289	5.4	1.8	33%		$10.73	$1,073.22	$1,092.46
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	4.7	0.4	9%		$10.92	$1,092.46	$1,097.16
24th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria	3	-0.2	-8%		$10.97	$1,097.16	$1,094.41
1st Jul	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	4.4	-1.0	-23%		$10.94	$1,094.41	$1,083.47
8th Jul	UFC 290	7.1	2.0	28%		$10.83	$1,083.47	$1,104.95
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	4.35	-2.0	-46%		$11.05	$1,104.95	$1,082.85
29th Jul	UFC 291	3	3.3	109%		$10.83	$1,082.85	$1,118.36

ROI % from starting bank balance: 11.84% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Scam The Books: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Jul '23	Derrick Lewis	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	2.90	1	TKO, R1 (0:33)
2.	Jul '23	Kevin Holland	Michael Chiesa	1.69	2	Sub, R1 (2:39)
3.	Jul '23	Daniel Marcos	Davey Grant	1.74	1.35	Split Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Jul '23	Dricus Du Plessis	Robert Whittaker	4.00	1	TKO, R2 (2:23)
5.	Jul '23	Alexander Romanov	Blagoy Ivanov	1.77	0.65	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jun '23	Joshua Van	Zhalgas Zhumagulov	2.80	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jun '23	Maycee Barber	Amanda Ribas	2.70	0.5	TKO, R2 (3:42)
8.	Jun '23	Diana Belbita	Maria Oliveira	1.83	1.2	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	May '23	Matt Frevola	Drew Dober	2.85	1	TKO, R1 (4:8)
10.	Apr '23	Israel Adesanya	Alex Pereira	1.74	1.5	TKO, R2 (4:21)
11.	Apr '23	Rob Font	Adrian Yanez	2.55	1	TKO, R1 (2:57)
12.	Mar '23	Leon Edwards	Kamaru Usman	3.10	1	Split Decision (5 rounds)
13.	Mar '23	Alexander Volkov	Alexander Romanov	2.32	0.8	TKO, R1 (2:16)
14.	Mar '23	Alexa Grasso	Valentina Shevchenko	7.00	0.3	Sub, R4 (4:34)
15.	Mar '23	Jon Jones	Ciryl Gane	2.30	2.5	Sub, R1 (2:4)
16.	Jan '23	Ismael Bonfim	Terrance McKinney	2.00	0.5	TKO, R2 (2:17)
17.	Jan '23	Abdul Razak Alhassan	Claudio Ribeiro	1.88	1.14	TKO, R2 (0:28)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Jul '23	Daniel Barez	Jafel Filho	2.10	1	Sub, R1 (3:26)	No
2.	Jul '23	Yair Rodriguez	Alex Volkanovski	4.00	0.5	TKO, R3 (4:19)	No
3.	Jul '23	Kevin Lee	Rinat Fakhretdinov	2.72	1.5	Sub, R1 (0:55)	No
4.	Jun '23	Christian Duncan	Armen Petrosyan	1.66	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Jun '23	Qileng Aori	Aiemann Zahabi	1.87	1.15	TKO, R1 (1:4)	No
6.	May '23	Emily Ducote	Lupita Godinez	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	May '23	Henry Cejudo	Aljamain Sterling	1.88	1.8	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
8.	May '23	Henry Cejudo	Aljamain Sterling	1.91	2.2	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
9.	Apr '23	Waldo Cortes-Acosta	Marcos Rogerio de Lima	2.50	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Apr '23	Billy Quarantillo	Edson Barboza	1.61	2	TKO, R1 (2:37)	No
11.	Apr '23	Jorge Masvidal	Gilbert Burns	4.60	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Apr '23	Michelle Waterson	Luana Pinheiro	2.45	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Mar '23	Marlon Vera	Cory Sandhagen	2.45	1	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
14.	Mar '23	Jalin Turner	Mateusz Gamrot	2.80	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Feb '23	Victor Martinez	Jordan Leavitt	2.05	1	TKO, R1 (2:33)	No
16.	Feb '23	Derrick Lewis	Sergey Spivak	2.90	1	Sub, R1 (3:5)	No
17.	Jan '23	Warlley Alves	Nicolas Dalby	1.78	0.64	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Jan '23	Glover Teixeira	Jamahal Hill	2.20	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Scam The Books: Progress Chart

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