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MMA Handicapper Stats: Rothbardian

Rothbardian (PooButt)


MMA MHandicapper - Rothbardian

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 174 (49%) Right 40 (53%) Right 78 (38%) Right 56 (74%)
Wrong 182 (51%) Wrong 36 (47%) Wrong 126 (62%) Wrong 20 (26%)
Avg Odds 2.35 Avg Odds 1.86 Avg Odds 3.08 Avg Odds 1.73
Units Bet 277.2 Units Bet 90.5 Units Bet 105.7 Units Bet 81.1
Avg Bet 0.78 Avg Bet 1.19 Avg Bet 0.52 Avg Bet 1.07
Units Profit 34.13 Units Profit -1.94 Units Profit 16.45 Units Profit 19.63
ROI % 12% ROI % -2% ROI % 16% ROI % 24%
View Handicapper's Profile

Rothbardian : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
2nd Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 12.68 -7.2 -57% -3.8 / 8.28 (-46%) -3.4 / 4.4 (-77%)
25th Nov '23 Cage Warriors 164 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
24th Nov '23 PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 4.29 1.3 31% 0.0 / 2.04 (0%) 0.4 / 0.5 (77%) 1.0 / 1.75 (55%)
18th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 17.08 0.6 3% -0.5 / 6.5 (-8%) 1.9 / 7.83 (25%) -0.9 / 2.75 (-32%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 17.04 0.3 2% 1.4 / 10.25 (13%) -1.5 / 3.04 (-51%) 0.5 / 3.75 (13%)
11th Nov '23 Cage Warriors 163 1 0.6 59% 0.6 / 1 (59%)
4th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 7.08 1.7 24% 1.4 / 2.9 (48%) 1.1 / 2.18 (49%) -0.8 / 2 (-38%)
21st Oct '23 UFC 294 21.4 5.9 27% 2.0 / 5.15 (40%) 0.1 / 5.75 (2%) 3.7 / 10.5 (35%)
14th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 15.71 1.6 10% 1.4 / 6.58 (22%) 0.3 / 7.38 (4%) -0.1 / 1.75 (-6%)
14th Oct '23 Cage Warriors 161 1.5 0.7 48% 0.7 / 1.5 (48%)
7th Oct '23 Bellator 300 0.75 0.8 103% 0.8 / 0.75 (103%)
7th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 12.85 2.0 15% 0.3 / 3.92 (8%) 3.3 / 5.8 (58%) -1.7 / 3.13 (-54%)
3rd Oct '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 9 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 7.15 3.8 54% 0.9 / 0.5 (175%) 3.1 / 3.15 (99%) -0.2 / 3.5 (-5%)
23rd Sep '23 Bellator 299 2 1.1 56% 1.1 / 2 (56%)
16th Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 17.77 8.9 50% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 2.9 / 7.27 (40%) 7.0 / 9.5 (73%)
15th Sep '23 LFA 167 1.5 0.6 38% 0.6 / 1.5 (38%)
9th Sep '23 UFC 293 22.35 -1.2 -5% -1.2 / 5.5 (-21%) 3.4 / 11.85 (29%) -3.4 / 5 (-68%)
5th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 5 1 0.5 48% 0.5 / 1 (48%)
2nd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 22.62 4.7 21% -3.3 / 9.22 (-36%) 4.2 / 8.4 (49%) 3.8 / 5 (77%)
26th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 17.91 2.7 15% 3.4 / 7.5 (45%) 1.6 / 5.16 (30%) -2.2 / 5.25 (-42%)
23rd Aug '23 PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs 0.95 0.8 89% 0.8 / 0.95 (89%)
19th Aug '23 UFC 292 22.22 -5.1 -23% 1.5 / 1.65 (91%) -6.8 / 18.07 (-38%) 0.3 / 2.5 (11%)
12th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 6.54 0.1 1% 1.0 / 3.1 (31%) -0.1 / 2.69 (-5%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
11th Aug '23 Bellator 298 0.75 0.7 88% 0.7 / 0.75 (88%)
5th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 10.5 -1.9 -18% -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%) 0.2 / 6.75 (3%) 0.2 / 1.5 (14%)
29th Jul '23 UFC 291 12.8 2.7 21% -1.9 / 3.5 (-55%) 2.2 / 5.05 (44%) 2.4 / 4.25 (56%)
22nd Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 18.3 5.1 28% 0.8 / 4.7 (17%) 1.5 / 7.65 (20%) 2.8 / 5.95 (46%)
15th Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 10.46 3.9 37% -1.1 / 2.92 (-37%) 1.6 / 2.25 (73%) 3.3 / 5.29 (63%)


Winning Events: 23 (79%)
Losing Events: 6 (21%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.92 units
Most Staked On One Event: 22.62 units
Best Event: 8.88 units
Worst Event: -7.22 units
Average Event: 1.18 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 10, Units: 15.47
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -7.72

Rothbardian : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2023 287.7 34.1 12% -1.9 / 90.46 (-2%) 19.6 / 81.07 (24%) 23 / 6 (79%) 1.18

Rothbardian : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Rothbardian : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 272.46 28.5 10% -1.0 / 85.42 (-1%) 15.6 / 114.67 (14%) 14.0 / 72.37 (19%)
Bellator 3.5 2.5 73% 2.5 / 3.5 (73%)
PFL 5.24 2.2 42% 0.0 / 2.04 (0%) 0.4 / 0.5 (77%) 1.8 / 2.7 (67%)
Other 6.5 0.9 13% -0.9 / 3 (-31%) 0.5 / 1 (48%) 1.3 / 2.5 (52%)

Rothbardian : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 12 (14%) 8 67 % 17.25 1.74 0.14 10%
Slight Favorites 49 (58%) 29 59 % 55.64 2.12 0.04 4%
Slight Underdogs 17 (20%) 5 29 % 13.80 -6.55 -0.39 -47%
Big Underdogs 7 (8%) 2 29 % 3.77 0.75 0.11 20%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 7 (8%) 3 43 % 9.00 -0.97 -0.14 -11%
Co-Main Event 4 (5%) 1 25 % 2.80 -1.06 -0.26 -38%
Position 3-5 26 (31%) 14 54 % 30.70 -1.22 -0.05 -4%
6+ (Undercard) 48 (56%) 26 54 % 47.96 1.30 0.03 3%

Rothbardian : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 4 (5%) 2 50 % 4.75 -1.50 -0.38 -32%
Light Heavy 5 (6%) 2 40 % 5.25 -1.42 -0.28 -27%
Middleweight 9 (11%) 4 44 % 7.14 0.25 0.03 4%
Welterweight 10 (12%) 5 50 % 11.55 0.87 0.09 8%
Lightweight 11 (13%) 6 55 % 13.00 -0.05 -0.00 -0%
Featherweight 12 (14%) 6 50 % 11.92 -1.35 -0.11 -11%
Bantamweight 12 (14%) 7 58 % 13.78 2.07 0.17 15%
Flyweight 4 (5%) 2 50 % 4.00 -0.76 -0.19 -19%
               
Women's Fights 18 (21%) 10 56 % 19.07 -0.05 -0.00 -0%
Featherweight 1 (1%) 0 % 0.80 -0.80 -0.80 -100%
Bantamweight 4 (5%) 2 50 % 3.72 -1.01 -0.25 -27%
Flyweight 6 (7%) 2 33 % 6.93 -2.74 -0.46 -40%
Strawweight 7 (8%) 6 86 % 7.62 4.49 0.64 59%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 105 (94%) 89 85 %
Slight Favorites 7 (6%) 6 86 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
112 95 85 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 84 (30%) 71 85 %
50-65% 60 (21%) 38 63 %
35-50% 27 (10%) 9 33 %
<35% chance 112 (40%) 17 15 %
283 135 48 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 63 (22%) 49 78 % 1.43 2.80Pick was incorrect 1.11Pick was correct 8.5 (14%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 37 (13%) 28 76 % 1.56 2.60Pick was incorrect 1.13Pick was correct 7.9 (21%)
Goes to Decision 1 (0%) 1 100 % 1.57 1.57Pick was correct 1.57Pick was correct 0.6 (57%)
Does not go to Decision 25 (9%) 20 80 % 1.39 1.87Pick was correct 1.11Pick was correct 2.4 (10%)
Fight Starts Round X 10 (4%) 7 70 % 1.21 1.36Pick was incorrect 1.13Pick was incorrect -1.5 (-15%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (0%) 0 0 % 1.15 1.15Pick was incorrect 1.15Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 5 (2%) 0 0 % 3.29 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.95Pick was incorrect -5.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 9 (3%) 1 11 % 8.57 26.00Pick was incorrect 4.00Pick was incorrect -1.5 (-17%)
X Wins by Decision 14 (5%) 5 36 % 4.67 9.00Pick was incorrect 2.10Pick was incorrect 9.7 (69%)
X Wins Inside Distance 7 (2%) 3 43 % 2.04 2.40Pick was correct 1.67Pick was correct -0.7 (-10%)
X Wins in Round X 24 (8%) 4 17 % 7.15 41.00Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was correct 5.4 (23%)
Others 87 (31%) 17 20 % 4.84 61.01Pick was incorrect 1.59Pick was incorrect 10.7 (12%)
283 135 48 % 2.25     35.4 (12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Rothbardian 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
15th Jul UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 10.46 3.9 37% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,038.76
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 18.3 5.1 28% $10.39 $1,038.76 $1,091.92
29th Jul UFC 291 12.8 2.7 21% $10.92 $1,091.92 $1,120.93
5th Aug UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 10.5 -1.9 -18% $11.21 $1,120.93 $1,100.07
11th Aug Bellator 298 0.75 0.7 88% $11.00 $1,100.07 $1,107.30
12th Aug UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 6.54 0.1 1% $11.07 $1,107.30 $1,108.15
19th Aug UFC 292 22.22 -5.1 -23% $50 $11.08 $1,108.15 $1,001.99
23rd Aug PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs 0.95 0.8 89% $10.02 $1,001.99 $1,010.44
26th Aug UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 17.91 2.7 15% $50 $10.10 $1,010.44 $988.11
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 22.62 4.7 21% $50 $9.88 $988.11 $984.13
5th Sep Contender Series 2023: Week 5 1 0.5 48% $9.84 $984.13 $988.81
9th Sep UFC 293 22.35 -1.2 -5% $50 $9.89 $988.81 $927.12
15th Sep LFA 167 1.5 0.6 38% $50 $9.27 $927.12 $882.47
16th Sep UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 17.77 8.9 50% $50 $8.82 $882.47 $910.81
23rd Sep Bellator 299 2 1.1 56% $50 $9.11 $910.81 $870.97
23rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 7.15 3.8 54% $50 $8.71 $870.97 $854.30
3rd Oct Contender Series 2023: Week 9 1 -1.0 -100% $50 $8.54 $854.30 $795.76
7th Oct UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 12.85 2.0 15% $50 $7.96 $795.76 $761.55
7th Oct Bellator 300 0.75 0.8 103% $50 $7.62 $761.55 $717.44
14th Oct Cage Warriors 161 1.5 0.7 48% $50 $7.17 $717.44 $672.59
14th Oct UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 15.71 1.6 10% $50 $6.73 $672.59 $633.64
21st Oct UFC 294 21.4 5.9 27% $50 $6.34 $633.64 $620.79
4th Nov UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 7.08 1.7 24% $50 $6.21 $620.79 $581.37
11th Nov Cage Warriors 163 1 0.6 59% $5.81 $581.37 $584.80
11th Nov UFC 295 17.04 0.3 2% $50 $5.85 $584.80 $536.49
18th Nov UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 17.08 0.6 3% $50 $5.36 $536.49 $489.48
24th Nov PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 4.29 1.3 31% $50 $4.89 $489.48 $446.07
25th Nov Cage Warriors 164 0.5 -0.5 -100% $50 $4.46 $446.07 $393.84
2nd Dec UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 12.68 -7.2 -57% $50 $3.94 $393.84 $315.41


ROI % from starting bank balance: -68.46% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Rothbardian : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Nov '23 Paid Pick Derek Brunson Ray Cooper III 1.96 1.04 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Dec '23 Paid Pick Sean Brady Kelvin Gastelum 1.77 1.25 Sub, R3 (1:43) MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '23 Paid Pick Drakkar Klose Joe Solecki 1.80 1.25 TKO, R1 (1:41) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '23 Paid Pick Jamall Emmers Dennis Buzukja 1.39 1.25 TKO, R1 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '23 Paid Pick Steve Erceg Alessandro Costa 1.67 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '23 Paid Pick Lupita Godinez Tabatha Ricci 1.77 0.75 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '23 Paid Pick Marc Diakiese Kaue Fernandes 1.57 0.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '23 Paid Pick Chase Hooper Jordan Leavitt 1.50 2 Sub, R1 (2:58) MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '23 Paid Pick Amanda Ribas Luana Pinheiro 1.50 2 TKO, R3 (3:53) MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '23 Paid Pick Tom Aspinall Sergey Pavlovich 1.74 1 TKO, R1 (1:9) MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '23 Angela Hill Denise Gomes 2.33 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '23 Paid Pick Marc Diakiese Kaue Fernandes 1.56 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '23 Paid Pick Said Nurmagomedov Muin Gafurov 1.54 1 Sub, R1 (1:13) MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '23 Paid Pick Islam Makhachev Alex Volkanovski 1.49 2 TKO, R1 (3:6) MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '23 Paid Pick Michel Pereira Andre Petroski 1.74 1.5 TKO, R1 (1:6) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '23 Paid Pick Lupita Godinez Tabatha Ricci 1.61 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '23 Paid Pick Melissa Dixon Irina Alekseeva 1.74 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '23 Paid Pick Emily Ducote Ashley Yoder 1.35 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '23 Paid Pick Christian Rodriguez Cameron Saaiman 1.68 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '23 Paid Pick Joaquin Buckley Alex Morono 1.59 1.25 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Dec '23 Paid Pick Jamey Lyn-Horth Veronica Macedo 1.93 1.08 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '23 Paid Pick Mick Stanton Dario Bellandi 1.67 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Dec '23 Paid Pick Jamey Lyn-Horth Veronica Macedo 1.74 1.35 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '23 Paid Pick Jamey Lyn-Horth Veronica Macedo 1.74 1.35 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '23 Paid Pick Ray Cooper III Derek Brunson 1.46 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Dec '23 Paid Pick Rob Font Deiveson Figueiredo 1.71 2 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Nov '23 Paid Pick Matt Frevola Benoit Saint-Denis 2.85 0.5 TKO, R1 (1:31) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Nov '23 Paid Pick Kyung Ho Kang John Castaneda 2.30 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Nov '23 Paid Pick Pat Sabatini Diego Lopes 1.77 0.5 TKO, R1 (1:30) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Nov '23 Paid Pick Pat Sabatini Diego Lopes 1.77 1.5 TKO, R1 (1:30) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Nov '23 Paid Pick Lucie Pudilova Ailin Perez 2.06 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '23 Paid Pick Charles Johnson Rafael Estevam 1.91 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '23 Paid Pick Kaynan Kruschewsky Elves Brenner 2.45 0.4 TKO, R1 (4:1) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '23 Paid Pick Abu Azaitar Sedriques Dumas 3.10 0.4 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '23 Paid Pick Heili Alateng Chris Gutierrez 3.60 0.33 U Decision (3 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
16. Oct '23 Paid Pick Adrian Yanez Jonathan Martinez 1.91 1.25 TKO, R2 (2:26) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '23 Paid Pick Abdul Razak Alhassan Joe Pyfer 4.20 0.3 Sub, R2 (2:5) Yes MMA Bookmaker
18. Oct '23 Paid Pick Diana Belbita Karolina Kowalkiewicz 2.30 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Oct '23 Paid Pick Johnny Munoz Qileng Aori 1.91 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '23 Paid Pick Murtaza Talha Ali Rodolfo Bellato 1.43 1 TKO, R2 (4:46) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Rothbardian : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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