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MMA Handicapper Stats: Rothbardian

Rothbardian (PooButt)


MMA MHandicapper - Rothbardian

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 432 (51%) Right 140 (55%) Right 140 (38%) Right 152 (70%)
Wrong 413 (49%) Wrong 116 (45%) Wrong 231 (62%) Wrong 66 (30%)
Avg Odds 2.12 Avg Odds 1.82 Avg Odds 2.95 Avg Odds 1.64
Units Bet 772.5 Units Bet 328.8 Units Bet 226.9 Units Bet 216.9
Avg Bet 0.91 Avg Bet 1.28 Avg Bet 0.61 Avg Bet 0.99
Units Profit 34.42 Units Profit -15.23 Units Profit 16.79 Units Profit 32.85
ROI % 4% ROI % -5% ROI % 7% ROI % 15%
View Handicapper's Profile

Rothbardian : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
3rd May '25 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo 1 0.3 26% 0.3 / 1 (26%)
12th Apr '25 UFC 314 3.33 -0.5 -15% -1.3 / 1.33 (-100%) 0.5 / 1 (48%) 0.3 / 1 (35%)
5th Apr '25 UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy 1 0.4 36% 0.4 / 1 (36%)
29th Mar '25 UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg 1.13 0.3 30% 0.3 / 1.13 (30%)
22nd Mar '25 UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady 2.57 1.0 40% 0.6 / 1.5 (41%) 0.4 / 1.07 (39%)
15th Mar '25 UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze II 1 0.4 37% 0.4 / 1 (37%)
14th Mar '25 Cage Warriors 184 1 0.5 53% 0.5 / 1 (53%)
22nd Feb '25 UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song 5.5 -1.7 -31% -1.3 / 3.5 (-37%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 0.6 / 1 (61%)
15th Feb '25 UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues 4.5 -0.2 -4% -0.6 / 3.5 (-18%) 0.4 / 1 (45%)
8th Feb '25 UFC 312 3.48 -0.1 -3% -0.1 / 0.98 (-12%) 0.0 / 2.5 (1%)
7th Feb '25 Invicta FC 60 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
1st Feb '25 UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov 4 0.3 7% -0.1 / 3 (-4%) 0.4 / 1 (41%)
18th Jan '25 UFC 311 5.25 -1.6 -30% 0.9 / 2.75 (33%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
11th Jan '25 UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas II 5.75 -1.1 -19% -0.7 / 3.5 (-19%) -0.4 / 2.25 (-19%)
14th Dec '24 UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley 3.97 2.1 54% 1.0 / 2.17 (46%) 1.2 / 1.8 (64%)
7th Dec '24 UFC 310 2.67 1.3 50% 0.4 / 1 (42%) 0.9 / 1.67 (54%)
23rd Nov '24 UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo 2.83 -1.6 -58% -1.6 / 2.83 (-58%)
22nd Nov '24 LFA 197 1 0.3 28% 0.3 / 1 (28%)
16th Nov '24 UFC 309 1.33 -1.3 -100% -1.3 / 1.33 (-100%)
9th Nov '24 UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates 4.6 1.1 24% 0.4 / 1 (42%) 0.7 / 3.6 (18%)
2nd Nov '24 UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi 6.63 3.3 50% 2.5 / 5.13 (49%) 0.8 / 1.5 (53%)
26th Oct '24 UFC 308 5.5 2.4 44% 2.1 / 4.67 (46%) 0.3 / 0.83 (38%)
19th Oct '24 UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Hernandez 5.68 2.9 51% 0.9 / 4.01 (24%) 0.9 / 1 (91%) 1.1 / 0.67 (157%)
15th Oct '24 Contender Series 2024: Week 10 4.89 0.6 12% -0.8 / 2.06 (-38%) 1.0 / 1.83 (56%) 0.3 / 1 (33%)
12th Oct '24 UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira 2.34 1.0 43% 0.4 / 0.67 (59%) 0.6 / 1.67 (36%)
12th Oct '24 Oktagon 62 2.67 -0.9 -34% 0.4 / 1.34 (31%) -1.3 / 1.33 (-100%)
8th Oct '24 Contender Series 2024: Week 9 3 1.1 38% 0.3 / 1 (25%) 0.9 / 2 (45%)
6th Oct '24 Fury FC 97 0.67 -0.7 -100% -0.7 / 0.67 (-100%)
5th Oct '24 UFC 307 14.84 1.5 10% 0.1 / 9.51 (1%) 0.1 / 3.33 (4%) 1.2 / 2 (60%)
4th Oct '24 ONE Fight Night 25 0.67 0.3 41% 0.3 / 0.67 (41%)
28th Sep '24 PFL Europe 3 0.8 -0.8 -100% -0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)
28th Sep '24 UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis 13.07 -7.6 -58% -5.5 / 6.47 (-84%) -2.2 / 3.2 (-70%) 0.1 / 3.4 (4%)
26th Sep '24 Ares FC 25 0.85 -0.1 -7% -0.1 / 0.85 (-7%)
24th Sep '24 Contender Series 2024: Week 7 0.75 -0.8 -100% -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
21st Sep '24 Cage Warriors 178 0.8 0.4 51% 0.4 / 0.8 (51%)
21st Sep '24 Oktagon 61 0.5 0.3 55% 0.3 / 0.5 (55%)
20th Sep '24 Cage Warriors 177 0.4 -0.4 -100% -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)
14th Sep '24 UFC 306 9.65 3.6 37% -0.7 / 1.29 (-53%) 2.6 / 4.3 (60%) 1.7 / 4.06 (41%)
14th Sep '24 Bellator Champions Series 0.8 -0.8 -100% -0.3 / 0.3 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
13th Sep '24 LFA 192 1.4 0.6 40% 0.1 / 0.5 (18%) 0.5 / 0.9 (52%)
7th Sep '24 UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady 7.65 -0.8 -10% -1.2 / 6.85 (-17%) 0.4 / 0.8 (52%)
7th Sep '24 Cage Warriors 176 1 0.4 38% 0.4 / 1 (38%)
7th Sep '24 Oktagon 60 0.48 0.2 49% 0.2 / 0.48 (49%)
3rd Sep '24 Contender Series 2024: Week 4 1.1 -1.1 -100% -1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)
27th Aug '24 Contender Series 2024: Week 3 0.6 0.3 57% 0.3 / 0.6 (57%)
24th Aug '24 UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho 2.4 1.1 45% 1.3 / 2.2 (58%) -0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
24th Aug '24 KSW 97 0.4 0.2 46% 0.2 / 0.4 (46%)
23rd Aug '24 PFL 9: 2024 Playoffs 0.4 0.3 77% 0.3 / 0.4 (77%)
20th Aug '24 Contender Series 2024: Week 2 0.4 0.2 62% 0.2 / 0.4 (62%)
18th Aug '24 Brave CF 85 0.4 -0.4 -100% -0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)
17th Aug '24 UFC 305 10.94 -1.6 -15% -2.2 / 6.54 (-33%) 0.6 / 1.6 (37%) -0.1 / 2.8 (-3%)
13th Aug '24 Contender Series 2024: Week 1 2.75 -1.4 -50% -1.4 / 2.75 (-50%)
10th Aug '24 UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II 3.62 2.2 61% 1.1 / 1.9 (57%) 1.1 / 1.72 (66%)
9th Aug '24 Invicta FC 56 0.3 0.2 69% 0.2 / 0.3 (69%)
3rd Aug '24 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov 3.6 3.1 86% 3.1 / 3.6 (86%)
2nd Aug '24 ONE Fight Night 25 1 0.3 33% 0.3 / 1 (33%)
2nd Aug '24 LFA 189 1.25 -1.3 -100% -1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
2nd Aug '24 PFL 7: 2024 Playoffs 1 0.5 49% 0.5 / 1 (49%)
27th Jul '24 UFC 304 1.5 1.2 77% 1.2 / 1.5 (77%)
20th Jul '24 UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba 11.62 -0.7 -6% 2.6 / 5.05 (52%) -3.3 / 3.32 (-100%) -0.0 / 3.25 (-1%)
13th Jul '24 UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez 14.1 0.9 6% 1.4 / 7.55 (18%) 0.5 / 1.55 (30%) -1.0 / 5 (-20%)
12th Jul '24 LFA 188 2.5 1.5 62% 1.5 / 2.5 (62%)
12th Jul '24 PFL MENA 2 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Jun '24 UFC 303 10.5 5.4 52% 1.0 / 5.35 (18%) 2.9 / 3.65 (79%) 1.6 / 1.5 (106%)
28th Jun '24 PFL 6: 2024 Regular Season 1.5 0.8 50% 0.8 / 1.5 (50%)
22nd Jun '24 UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov 11.5 -2.9 -25% -4.0 / 9.5 (-42%) 1.1 / 2 (53%)
22nd Jun '24 Bellator Champions Series 1 0.6 64% 0.6 / 1 (64%)
21st Jun '24 PFL 5: 2024 Regular Season 2.5 -2.5 -100% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
15th Jun '24 UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira 17 0.2 1% -2.2 / 13.5 (-16%) 2.4 / 3.5 (68%)
1st Jun '24 UFC 302 12.5 -2.5 -20% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) 3.5 / 6.5 (54%)
18th May '24 UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy 3.75 -0.9 -24% -0.9 / 3.75 (-24%)
11th May '24 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento 13.7 -7.3 -53% -3.3 / 9.7 (-34%) -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
4th May '24 UFC 301 14.69 10.6 72% 9.6 / 13.19 (73%) 0.9 / 1.5 (62%)
27th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez 8.18 1.5 18% -0.7 / 4.13 (-16%) 3.1 / 1.55 (199%) -1.0 / 2.5 (-39%)
19th Apr '24 PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season 1.75 -1.8 -100% -1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
13th Apr '24 UFC 300 16.59 -7.2 -44% -2.7 / 2.67 (-100%) -3.8 / 9.42 (-40%) -0.8 / 4.5 (-18%)
6th Apr '24 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II 9.46 -0.2 -3% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 2.3 / 6.96 (32%)
30th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot 8.93 4.3 49% 1.9 / 1.76 (110%) 2.4 / 7.17 (34%)
23rd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas 8.24 -0.4 -4% 1.6 / 2.33 (69%) 0.5 / 3.41 (16%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
16th Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura 10.52 -2.4 -23% -3.0 / 3 (-100%) 0.3 / 4.52 (8%) 0.3 / 3 (9%)
15th Mar '24 Cage Warriors 167 0.67 -0.7 -100% -0.7 / 0.67 (-100%)
9th Mar '24 UFC 299 15.36 4.9 32% 2.2 / 2.66 (82%) -1.3 / 7.87 (-17%) 4.1 / 4.83 (84%)
2nd Mar '24 UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev 15.82 -1.6 -10% -0.6 / 14.82 (-4%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 8.95 1.7 19% 1.0 / 0.7 (145%) 2.1 / 5.25 (39%) -1.4 / 3 (-46%)
23rd Feb '24 LFA 177 1.17 -1.2 -100% -1.2 / 1.17 (-100%)
17th Feb '24 UFC 298 14.65 -5.5 -38% -2.0 / 7.15 (-29%) -5.0 / 5 (-100%) 1.5 / 2.5 (61%)
10th Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer 16.04 -2.5 -16% 0.2 / 11.15 (2%) -1.3 / 3.39 (-38%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
10th Feb '24 Oktagon 53 0.67 -0.7 -100% -0.7 / 0.67 (-100%)
9th Feb '24 LFA 176 1.33 0.6 49% 0.6 / 1.33 (49%)
3rd Feb '24 UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov 12.58 3.9 31% 3.0 / 9.76 (30%) 2.1 / 1.62 (132%) -1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
27th Jan '24 Oktagon 52 1 0.6 61% 0.6 / 1 (61%)
20th Jan '24 UFC 297 12.63 3.2 25% 0.8 / 10.39 (7%) 1.7 / 0.99 (170%) 0.7 / 1.25 (57%)
13th Jan '24 UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 13.325 -0.3 -2% -2.0 / 7.375 (-27%) 1.0 / 3.35 (31%) 0.7 / 2.6 (25%)
12th Jan '24 LFA 174 1.54 -1.5 -100% -1.5 / 1.54 (-100%)
24th Dec '23 ACA 168 1.6 0.8 52% 0.5 / 1.3 (41%) 0.3 / 0.3 (98%)
23rd Dec '23 A1 Combat 16 1.13 0.4 37% 0.4 / 1.13 (37%)
16th Dec '23 UFC 296 16.1 -4.0 -25% -5.7 / 11.53 (-49%) 1.7 / 4.57 (37%)
9th Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez 15.95 -1.8 -11% -3.4 / 3.4 (-100%) -1.4 / 8.55 (-16%) 3.0 / 4 (74%)
8th Dec '23 PFL Europe 4: 2023 Championships 1.33 -1.3 -100% -1.3 / 1.33 (-100%)
2nd Dec '23 UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan 12.68 -7.2 -57% -3.8 / 8.28 (-46%) -3.4 / 4.4 (-77%)
25th Nov '23 Cage Warriors 164 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
24th Nov '23 PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship 4.29 1.3 31% 0.0 / 2.04 (0%) 0.4 / 0.5 (77%) 1.0 / 1.75 (55%)
18th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 17.08 0.6 3% -0.5 / 6.5 (-8%) 1.9 / 7.83 (25%) -0.9 / 2.75 (-32%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 17.04 0.3 2% 1.4 / 10.25 (13%) -1.5 / 3.04 (-51%) 0.5 / 3.75 (13%)
11th Nov '23 Cage Warriors 163 1 0.6 59% 0.6 / 1 (59%)
4th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 7.08 1.7 24% 1.4 / 2.9 (48%) 1.1 / 2.18 (49%) -0.8 / 2 (-38%)
21st Oct '23 UFC 294 21.9 5.9 27% 2.0 / 5.65 (36%) 0.1 / 5.75 (2%) 3.7 / 10.5 (35%)
14th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 15.71 1.6 10% 1.4 / 6.58 (22%) 0.3 / 7.38 (4%) -0.1 / 1.75 (-6%)
14th Oct '23 Cage Warriors 161 1.5 0.7 48% 0.7 / 1.5 (48%)
7th Oct '23 Bellator 300 0.75 0.8 103% 0.8 / 0.75 (103%)
7th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green 12.85 2.0 15% 0.3 / 3.92 (8%) 3.3 / 5.8 (58%) -1.7 / 3.13 (-54%)
3rd Oct '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 9 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 7.15 3.8 54% 0.9 / 0.5 (175%) 3.1 / 3.15 (99%) -0.2 / 3.5 (-5%)
23rd Sep '23 Bellator 299 2 1.1 56% 1.1 / 2 (56%)
16th Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 19.02 8.9 47% -1.0 / 2.25 (-44%) 2.9 / 7.27 (40%) 7.0 / 9.5 (73%)
15th Sep '23 LFA 167 1.5 0.6 38% 0.6 / 1.5 (38%)
9th Sep '23 UFC 293 22.35 -1.2 -5% -1.2 / 5.5 (-21%) 3.4 / 11.85 (29%) -3.4 / 5 (-68%)
5th Sep '23 Contender Series 2023: Week 5 1 0.5 48% 0.5 / 1 (48%)
2nd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 22.62 4.7 21% -3.3 / 9.22 (-36%) 4.2 / 8.4 (49%) 3.8 / 5 (77%)
26th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung 17.91 2.7 15% 3.4 / 7.5 (45%) 1.6 / 5.16 (30%) -2.2 / 5.25 (-42%)
23rd Aug '23 PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs 0.95 0.8 89% 0.8 / 0.95 (89%)
19th Aug '23 UFC 292 22.22 -5.1 -23% 1.5 / 1.65 (91%) -6.8 / 18.07 (-38%) 0.3 / 2.5 (11%)
12th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 6.54 0.1 1% 1.0 / 3.1 (31%) -0.1 / 2.69 (-5%) -0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
11th Aug '23 Bellator 298 0.75 0.7 88% 0.7 / 0.75 (88%)
5th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 10.5 -1.9 -18% -2.3 / 2.25 (-100%) 0.2 / 6.75 (3%) 0.2 / 1.5 (14%)
29th Jul '23 UFC 291 12.8 2.7 21% -1.9 / 3.5 (-55%) 2.2 / 5.05 (44%) 2.4 / 4.25 (56%)
22nd Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 18.3 5.1 28% 0.8 / 4.7 (17%) 1.5 / 7.65 (20%) 2.8 / 5.95 (46%)
15th Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 10.46 3.9 37% -1.1 / 2.92 (-37%) 1.6 / 2.25 (73%) 3.3 / 5.29 (63%)


Winning Events: 76 (59%)
Losing Events: 52 (41%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.22 units
Most Staked On One Event: 22.62 units
Best Event: 10.56 units
Worst Event: -7.56 units
Average Event: 0.27 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 10, Units: 15.47
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -14.81

Rothbardian : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2025 40.01 -2.5 -6% -2.7 / 20.06 (-13%) -0.5 / 5.25 (-10%) 0.7 / 14.7 (5%) 7 / 7 (50%) -0.18
2024 430.365 8.6 2% -2.5 / 206.925 (-1%) 0.6 / 107.99 (1%) 10.6 / 115.45 (9%) 44 / 36 (55%) 0.11
2023 325.56 28.3 9% -10.0 / 109.57 (-9%) 16.8 / 129.29 (13%) 21.6 / 86.7 (25%) 25 / 9 (74%) 0.83

Rothbardian : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Rothbardian : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 728.225 36.2 5% -13.8 / 312.485 (-4%) 17.0 / 234.31 (7%) 33.0 / 181.43 (18%)
Bellator 5.3 2.4 45% -0.3 / 0.3 (-100%) 2.7 / 5 (54%)
PFL 15.52 -3.6 -23% -1.7 / 3.79 (-46%) 0.4 / 0.5 (77%) -2.3 / 11.23 (-20%)
Other 46.89 -0.6 -1% 0.3 / 20.28 (2%) -0.3 / 7.42 (-4%) -0.6 / 19.19 (-3%)

Rothbardian : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 66 (23%) 48 73 % 86.90 1.11 0.02 1%
Slight Favorites 128 (45%) 74 58 % 165.35 -1.01 -0.01 -1%
Slight Underdogs 70 (25%) 25 36 % 65.07 -15.41 -0.22 -24%
Big Underdogs 18 (6%) 5 28 % 11.46 0.08 0.00 1%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 26 (9%) 15 58 % 30.28 3.26 0.13 11%
Co-Main Event 21 (7%) 11 52 % 20.87 -2.20 -0.10 -11%
Position 3-5 78 (28%) 44 56 % 88.09 -0.64 -0.01 -1%
6+ (Undercard) 157 (56%) 82 52 % 189.54 -15.65 -0.10 -8%

Rothbardian : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 11 (4%) 8 73 % 11.32 4.59 0.42 41%
Light Heavy 20 (7%) 8 40 % 19.90 -7.64 -0.38 -38%
Middleweight 30 (11%) 16 53 % 40.19 0.85 0.03 2%
Welterweight 35 (12%) 20 57 % 40.43 1.87 0.05 5%
Lightweight 33 (12%) 13 39 % 40.58 -13.06 -0.40 -32%
Featherweight 42 (15%) 24 57 % 47.38 -0.99 -0.02 -2%
Bantamweight 30 (11%) 18 60 % 33.40 -3.98 -0.13 -12%
Flyweight 31 (11%) 17 55 % 36.30 3.41 0.11 9%
               
Women's Fights 50 (18%) 28 56 % 59.28 -0.28 -0.01 -0%
Featherweight 1 (0%) 0 % 0.80 -0.80 -0.80 -100%
Bantamweight 6 (2%) 2 33 % 6.27 -3.56 -0.59 -57%
Flyweight 15 (5%) 8 53 % 19.40 -1.36 -0.09 -7%
Strawweight 28 (10%) 18 64 % 32.81 5.44 0.19 17%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 340 (96%) 285 84 %
Slight Favorites 14 (4%) 11 79 %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
354 296 84 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 217 (39%) 183 84 %
50-65% 105 (19%) 67 64 %
35-50% 49 (9%) 19 39 %
<35% chance 192 (34%) 27 14 %
563 296 53 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 168 (30%) 136 81 % 1.33 2.80Pick was incorrect 1.03Pick was correct 15.1 (9%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 54 (10%) 38 70 % 1.59 2.60Pick was incorrect 1.13Pick was correct 7.4 (14%)
Goes to Decision 5 (1%) 4 80 % 1.83 7.00Pick was incorrect 1.41Pick was correct 1.2 (24%)
Does not go to Decision 39 (7%) 28 72 % 1.41 2.40Pick was incorrect 1.09Pick was incorrect -0.3 (-1%)
Fight Starts Round X 39 (7%) 32 82 % 1.15 1.44Pick was correct 1.05Pick was incorrect -2.3 (-6%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (0%) 0 0 % 1.15 1.15Pick was incorrect 1.15Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO 10 (2%) 1 10 % 3.25 11.00Pick was incorrect 1.74Pick was incorrect -7.5 (-75%)
X Wins by Sub 23 (4%) 4 17 % 5.42 26.00Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was correct 0.9 (4%)
X Wins by Decision 21 (4%) 8 38 % 4.14 12.00Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was incorrect 14.8 (70%)
X Wins Inside Distance 11 (2%) 4 36 % 2.05 3.50Pick was incorrect 1.67Pick was correct -3.1 (-28%)
X Wins in Round X 46 (8%) 9 20 % 7.77 41.00Pick was incorrect 1.91Pick was correct 14.2 (31%)
Others 146 (26%) 32 22 % 4.31 61.01Pick was incorrect 1.20Pick was correct 4.6 (3%)
563 296 53 % 1.99     44.1 (8%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Rothbardian 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets for the last year, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows... To view all time stats, click here.

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
18th May UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy 3.75 -0.9 -24% $150 $10.00 $1,000.00 $841.11
1st Jun UFC 302 12.5 -2.5 -20% $150 $8.41 $841.11 $670.39
15th Jun UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira 17 0.2 1% $150 $6.70 $670.39 $521.81
21st Jun PFL 5: 2024 Regular Season 2.5 -2.5 -100% $150 $5.22 $521.81 $358.76
22nd Jun UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov 11.5 -2.9 -25% $150 $3.59 $358.76 $198.39
22nd Jun Bellator Champions Series 1 0.6 64% $150 $1.98 $198.39 $49.66
28th Jun PFL 6: 2024 Regular Season 1.5 0.8 50% $150 $0.50 $49.66 $0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
29th Jun UFC 303 10.5 5.4 52% $150 $10.00 $1,000.00 $904.09
12th Jul PFL MENA 2 1 -1.0 -100% $150 $9.04 $904.09 $745.05
12th Jul LFA 188 2.5 1.5 62% $150 $7.45 $745.05 $606.58
13th Jul UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez 11.3 0.9 8% $150 $6.07 $606.58 $461.86
20th Jul UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba 11.62 -0.7 -6% $150 $4.62 $461.86 $308.50
27th Jul UFC 304 1.5 1.2 77% $150 $3.08 $308.50 $162.06
2nd Aug PFL 7: 2024 Playoffs 1 0.5 49% $150 $1.62 $162.06 $12.86
2nd Aug LFA 189 1.25 -1.3 -100% $150 $0.13 $12.86 $0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
2nd Aug ONE Fight Night 25 1 0.3 33% $150 $10.00 $1,000.00 $853.30
3rd Aug UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov 3.6 3.1 86% $150 $8.53 $853.30 $729.79
9th Aug Invicta FC 56 0.3 0.2 69% $150 $7.30 $729.79 $581.29
10th Aug UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II 3.62 2.2 61% $150 $5.81 $581.29 $444.21
13th Aug Contender Series 2024: Week 1 2.75 -1.4 -50% $150 $4.44 $444.21 $288.08
17th Aug UFC 305 10.94 -1.6 -15% $150 $2.88 $288.08 $133.32
18th Aug Brave CF 85 0.4 -0.4 -100% $1.33 $133.32 $132.79
20th Aug Contender Series 2024: Week 2 0.4 0.2 62% $150 $1.33 $132.79 $0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
23rd Aug PFL 9: 2024 Playoffs 0.4 0.3 77% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,003.08
24th Aug KSW 97 0.4 0.2 46% $150 $10.03 $1,003.08 $854.90
24th Aug UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho 2.4 1.1 45% $150 $8.55 $854.90 $714.05
27th Aug Contender Series 2024: Week 3 0.6 0.3 57% $150 $7.14 $714.05 $566.50
3rd Sep Contender Series 2024: Week 4 1.1 -1.1 -100% $150 $5.67 $566.50 $410.27
7th Sep Oktagon 60 0.48 0.2 49% $150 $4.10 $410.27 $261.23
7th Sep Cage Warriors 176 1 0.4 38% $150 $2.61 $261.23 $112.22
7th Sep UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady 7.65 -0.8 -10% $150 $1.12 $112.22 $0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
13th Sep LFA 192 1.4 0.6 40% $150 $10.00 $1,000.00 $855.63
14th Sep Bellator Champions Series 0.8 -0.8 -100% $150 $8.56 $855.63 $698.79
14th Sep UFC 306 9.65 3.6 37% $150 $6.99 $698.79 $573.89
20th Sep Cage Warriors 177 0.4 -0.4 -100% $150 $5.74 $573.89 $421.60
21st Sep Oktagon 61 0.5 0.3 55% $150 $4.22 $421.60 $272.76
21st Sep Cage Warriors 178 0.8 0.4 51% $150 $2.73 $272.76 $123.87
24th Sep Contender Series 2024: Week 7 0.75 -0.8 -100% $1.24 $123.87 $122.95
26th Sep Ares FC 25 0.85 -0.1 -7% $150 $1.23 $122.95 $0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
28th Sep UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis 13.07 -7.6 -58% $150 $10.00 $1,000.00 $774.38
28th Sep PFL Europe 3 0.8 -0.8 -100% $150 $7.74 $774.38 $618.18
4th Oct ONE Fight Night 25 0.67 0.3 41% $150 $6.18 $618.18 $469.87
5th Oct UFC 307 14.84 1.5 10% $150 $4.70 $469.87 $326.73
6th Oct Fury FC 97 0.67 -0.7 -100% $3.27 $326.73 $324.54
8th Oct Contender Series 2024: Week 9 3 1.1 38% $150 $3.25 $324.54 $178.26
12th Oct Oktagon 62 2.67 -0.9 -34% $150 $1.78 $178.26 $26.62
12th Oct UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira 2.34 1.0 43% $150 $0.27 $26.62 $0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
15th Oct Contender Series 2024: Week 10 4.89 0.6 12% $150 $10.00 $1,000.00 $855.77
19th Oct UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Hernandez 5.68 2.9 51% $150 $8.56 $855.77 $730.63
26th Oct UFC 308 5.5 2.4 44% $150 $7.31 $730.63 $598.50
2nd Nov UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi 6.63 3.3 50% $150 $5.99 $598.50 $468.20
9th Nov UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates 4.6 1.1 24% $150 $4.68 $468.20 $323.26
16th Nov UFC 309 1.33 -1.3 -100% $3.23 $323.26 $318.96
22nd Nov LFA 197 1 0.3 28% $3.19 $318.96 $319.87
23rd Nov UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo 2.83 -1.6 -58% $150 $3.20 $319.87 $164.63
7th Dec UFC 310 2.67 1.3 50% $150 $1.65 $164.63 $16.81
14th Dec UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley 3.97 2.1 54% $150 $0.17 $16.81 $0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
11th Jan UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas II 5.75 -1.1 -19% $150 $10.00 $1,000.00 $839.04
18th Jan UFC 311 5.25 -1.6 -30% $150 $8.39 $839.04 $675.73
1st Feb UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov 4 0.3 7% $150 $6.76 $675.73 $527.61
7th Feb Invicta FC 60 0.5 -0.5 -100% $150 $5.28 $527.61 $374.97
8th Feb UFC 312 3.48 -0.1 -3% $150 $3.75 $374.97 $224.62
15th Feb UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues 4.5 -0.2 -4% $150 $2.25 $224.62 $74.21
22nd Feb UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song 5.5 -1.7 -31% $150 $0.74 $74.21 $0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
14th Mar Cage Warriors 184 1 0.5 53% $150 $10.00 $1,000.00 $855.33
15th Mar UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze II 1 0.4 37% $8.55 $855.33 $858.49
22nd Mar UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady 2.57 1.0 40% $150 $8.58 $858.49 $717.32
29th Mar UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg 1.13 0.3 30% $7.17 $717.32 $719.77
5th Apr UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy 1 0.4 36% $7.20 $719.77 $722.37
12th Apr UFC 314 3.33 -0.5 -15% $150 $7.22 $722.37 $568.72
3rd May UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo 1 0.3 26% $5.69 $568.72 $570.20


ROI % from starting bank balance: -842.98% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Rothbardian : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '25 Paid Pick Carlos Ulberg Jan Blachowicz 1.41 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '25 Paid Pick Jose Delgado Connor Matthews 1.43 2 TKO, R1 (2:58) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '25 Paid Pick Sergey Pavlovich Jairzinho Rozenstruik 1.43 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '25 Paid Pick Yadong Song Henry Cejudo 1.46 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '25 Paid Pick Bogdan Guskov Billy Elekana 1.30 1 Sub, R2 (3:33) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '25 Paid Pick Tagir Ulanbekov Clayton Carpenter 1.32 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '25 Paid Pick Tagir Ulanbekov Clayton Carpenter 1.38 0.75 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '25 Paid Pick Ernesta Kareckaite Nicolle Caliari 1.43 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '25 Paid Pick Ernesta Kareckaite Nicolle Caliari 1.40 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Feb '25 Weili Zhang Tatiana Suarez 1.73 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '24 Paid Pick Daniel Marcos Adrian Yanez 1.61 0.67 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Dec '24 Paid Pick Joaquin Buckley Colby Covington 1.41 0.5 TKO, R3 (4:42) MMA Bookmaker
13. Dec '24 Paid Pick Joaquin Buckley Colby Covington 1.38 1 TKO, R3 (4:42) MMA Bookmaker
14. Dec '24 Paid Pick Movsar Evloev Aljamain Sterling 1.42 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '24 Paid Pick Gillian Robertson Luana Pinheiro 1.42 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '24 Paid Pick Cody Gibson Chad Anheliger 1.52 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Nov '24 Paid Pick Youssef Zalal Jack Shore 1.41 1.67 Sub, R2 (0:59) MMA Bookmaker
18. Nov '24 Paid Pick Mike Malott Trevin Giles 1.41 1.67 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Nov '24 Paid Pick Erin Blanchfield Rose Namajunas 1.77 0.79 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Oct '24 Paid Pick Rinat Fakhretdinov Carlos Leal Miranda 1.47 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Apr '25 Paid Pick Sean Woodson Dan Ige 1.65 1.33 TKO, R3 (1:12) Yes MMA Bookmaker
2. Feb '25 Paid Pick Javid Basharat Ricky Simon 1.40 2 TKO, R1 (3:58) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '25 Paid Pick Ismael Bonfim Nazim Sadykhov 1.56 1.5 TKO, R1 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '25 Paid Pick Tatiana Suarez Weili Zhang 1.95 0.48 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '25 Paid Pick Lucas Alexander Bogdan Grad 2.35 1 TKO, R2 (4:22) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '25 Paid Pick Magomed Gadzhiyasulov Bruno Lopes 1.38 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '25 Paid Pick Magomed Gadzhiyasulov Bruno Lopes 1.38 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '24 Paid Pick Michel Pereira Anthony Hernandez 2.24 0.67 TKO, R5 (2:22) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '24 Paid Pick Leslie Hernandez Julieta Martinez 1.85 0.3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '24 Paid Pick Leslie Hernandez Julieta Martinez 2.20 0.3 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '24 Paid Pick Antonio Monteiro Yadier DelValle 1.85 0.79 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '24 Paid Pick Stephen Thompson Joaquin Buckley 2.80 0.67 TKO, R3 (2:17) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '24 Paid Pick Marina Alcalde Rodriguez Iasmin Lucindo 2.50 1.5 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Oct '24 Paid Pick Jose Aldo Mario Bautista 2.20 0.67 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Oct '24 Paid Pick Raquel Pennington Julianna Pena 1.60 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Sep '24 Paid Pick Matt Frevola Fares Ziam 1.98 0.4 TKO, R3 (2:59) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Sep '24 Paid Pick Benoit Saint-Denis Renato Moicano 1.37 0.89 TKO, R2 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '24 Paid Pick Joanderson Brito William Gomis 1.43 0.63 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Sep '24 Paid Pick Ivan Erslan Ion Cutelaba 1.91 1.05 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Sep '24 Paid Pick Soslan Gagloev Axel Sola 2.30 0.28 TKO, R2 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.
 
 
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