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MMA Handicapper Stats: Rothbardian

Rothbardian (PooButt)

MMA MHandicapper - Rothbardian

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	432 (51%)	Right	140 (55%)	Right	140 (38%)	Right	152 (70%)
Wrong	413 (49%)	Wrong	116 (45%)	Wrong	231 (62%)	Wrong	66 (30%)
Avg Odds	2.12	Avg Odds	1.82	Avg Odds	2.95	Avg Odds	1.64
Units Bet	772.5	Units Bet	328.8	Units Bet	226.9	Units Bet	216.9
Avg Bet	0.91	Avg Bet	1.28	Avg Bet	0.61	Avg Bet	0.99
Units Profit	34.42	Units Profit	-15.23	Units Profit	16.79	Units Profit	32.85
ROI %	4%	ROI %	-5%	ROI %	7%	ROI %	15%

Rothbardian : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
3rd May '25	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo	1	0.3	26%			0.3 / 1 (26%)
12th Apr '25	UFC 314	3.33	-0.5	-15%	-1.3 / 1.33 (-100%)	0.5 / 1 (48%)	0.3 / 1 (35%)
5th Apr '25	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy	1	0.4	36%			0.4 / 1 (36%)
29th Mar '25	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg	1.13	0.3	30%			0.3 / 1.13 (30%)
22nd Mar '25	UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady	2.57	1.0	40%	0.6 / 1.5 (41%)		0.4 / 1.07 (39%)
15th Mar '25	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze II	1	0.4	37%			0.4 / 1 (37%)
14th Mar '25	Cage Warriors 184	1	0.5	53%			0.5 / 1 (53%)
22nd Feb '25	UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song	5.5	-1.7	-31%	-1.3 / 3.5 (-37%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	0.6 / 1 (61%)
15th Feb '25	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues	4.5	-0.2	-4%	-0.6 / 3.5 (-18%)		0.4 / 1 (45%)
8th Feb '25	UFC 312	3.48	-0.1	-3%	-0.1 / 0.98 (-12%)		0.0 / 2.5 (1%)
7th Feb '25	Invicta FC 60	0.5	-0.5	-100%			-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
1st Feb '25	UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov	4	0.3	7%	-0.1 / 3 (-4%)	0.4 / 1 (41%)
18th Jan '25	UFC 311	5.25	-1.6	-30%	0.9 / 2.75 (33%)		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
11th Jan '25	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas II	5.75	-1.1	-19%	-0.7 / 3.5 (-19%)	-0.4 / 2.25 (-19%)
14th Dec '24	UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley	3.97	2.1	54%	1.0 / 2.17 (46%)		1.2 / 1.8 (64%)
7th Dec '24	UFC 310	2.67	1.3	50%	0.4 / 1 (42%)		0.9 / 1.67 (54%)
23rd Nov '24	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo	2.83	-1.6	-58%			-1.6 / 2.83 (-58%)
22nd Nov '24	LFA 197	1	0.3	28%			0.3 / 1 (28%)
16th Nov '24	UFC 309	1.33	-1.3	-100%			-1.3 / 1.33 (-100%)
9th Nov '24	UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates	4.6	1.1	24%	0.4 / 1 (42%)		0.7 / 3.6 (18%)
2nd Nov '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi	6.63	3.3	50%	2.5 / 5.13 (49%)		0.8 / 1.5 (53%)
26th Oct '24	UFC 308	5.5	2.4	44%	2.1 / 4.67 (46%)		0.3 / 0.83 (38%)
19th Oct '24	UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Hernandez	5.68	2.9	51%	0.9 / 4.01 (24%)	0.9 / 1 (91%)	1.1 / 0.67 (157%)
15th Oct '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 10	4.89	0.6	12%	-0.8 / 2.06 (-38%)	1.0 / 1.83 (56%)	0.3 / 1 (33%)
12th Oct '24	UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira	2.34	1.0	43%	0.4 / 0.67 (59%)		0.6 / 1.67 (36%)
12th Oct '24	Oktagon 62	2.67	-0.9	-34%	0.4 / 1.34 (31%)		-1.3 / 1.33 (-100%)
8th Oct '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 9	3	1.1	38%		0.3 / 1 (25%)	0.9 / 2 (45%)
6th Oct '24	Fury FC 97	0.67	-0.7	-100%			-0.7 / 0.67 (-100%)
5th Oct '24	UFC 307	14.84	1.5	10%	0.1 / 9.51 (1%)	0.1 / 3.33 (4%)	1.2 / 2 (60%)
4th Oct '24	ONE Fight Night 25	0.67	0.3	41%		0.3 / 0.67 (41%)
28th Sep '24	PFL Europe 3	0.8	-0.8	-100%			-0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)
28th Sep '24	UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis	13.07	-7.6	-58%	-5.5 / 6.47 (-84%)	-2.2 / 3.2 (-70%)	0.1 / 3.4 (4%)
26th Sep '24	Ares FC 25	0.85	-0.1	-7%	-0.1 / 0.85 (-7%)
24th Sep '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 7	0.75	-0.8	-100%			-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
21st Sep '24	Cage Warriors 178	0.8	0.4	51%			0.4 / 0.8 (51%)
21st Sep '24	Oktagon 61	0.5	0.3	55%			0.3 / 0.5 (55%)
20th Sep '24	Cage Warriors 177	0.4	-0.4	-100%			-0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)
14th Sep '24	UFC 306	9.65	3.6	37%	-0.7 / 1.29 (-53%)	2.6 / 4.3 (60%)	1.7 / 4.06 (41%)
14th Sep '24	Bellator Champions Series	0.8	-0.8	-100%		-0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
13th Sep '24	LFA 192	1.4	0.6	40%		0.1 / 0.5 (18%)	0.5 / 0.9 (52%)
7th Sep '24	UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady	7.65	-0.8	-10%	-1.2 / 6.85 (-17%)		0.4 / 0.8 (52%)
7th Sep '24	Cage Warriors 176	1	0.4	38%			0.4 / 1 (38%)
7th Sep '24	Oktagon 60	0.48	0.2	49%	0.2 / 0.48 (49%)
3rd Sep '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 4	1.1	-1.1	-100%			-1.1 / 1.1 (-100%)
27th Aug '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 3	0.6	0.3	57%	0.3 / 0.6 (57%)
24th Aug '24	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho	2.4	1.1	45%	1.3 / 2.2 (58%)		-0.2 / 0.2 (-100%)
24th Aug '24	KSW 97	0.4	0.2	46%			0.2 / 0.4 (46%)
23rd Aug '24	PFL 9: 2024 Playoffs	0.4	0.3	77%			0.3 / 0.4 (77%)
20th Aug '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 2	0.4	0.2	62%	0.2 / 0.4 (62%)
18th Aug '24	Brave CF 85	0.4	-0.4	-100%			-0.4 / 0.4 (-100%)
17th Aug '24	UFC 305	10.94	-1.6	-15%	-2.2 / 6.54 (-33%)	0.6 / 1.6 (37%)	-0.1 / 2.8 (-3%)
13th Aug '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 1	2.75	-1.4	-50%	-1.4 / 2.75 (-50%)
10th Aug '24	UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II	3.62	2.2	61%	1.1 / 1.9 (57%)		1.1 / 1.72 (66%)
9th Aug '24	Invicta FC 56	0.3	0.2	69%			0.2 / 0.3 (69%)
3rd Aug '24	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov	3.6	3.1	86%			3.1 / 3.6 (86%)
2nd Aug '24	ONE Fight Night 25	1	0.3	33%			0.3 / 1 (33%)
2nd Aug '24	LFA 189	1.25	-1.3	-100%		-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)
2nd Aug '24	PFL 7: 2024 Playoffs	1	0.5	49%			0.5 / 1 (49%)
27th Jul '24	UFC 304	1.5	1.2	77%	1.2 / 1.5 (77%)
20th Jul '24	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba	11.62	-0.7	-6%	2.6 / 5.05 (52%)	-3.3 / 3.32 (-100%)	-0.0 / 3.25 (-1%)
13th Jul '24	UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez	14.1	0.9	6%	1.4 / 7.55 (18%)	0.5 / 1.55 (30%)	-1.0 / 5 (-20%)
12th Jul '24	LFA 188	2.5	1.5	62%	1.5 / 2.5 (62%)
12th Jul '24	PFL MENA 2	1	-1.0	-100%			-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
29th Jun '24	UFC 303	10.5	5.4	52%	1.0 / 5.35 (18%)	2.9 / 3.65 (79%)	1.6 / 1.5 (106%)
28th Jun '24	PFL 6: 2024 Regular Season	1.5	0.8	50%			0.8 / 1.5 (50%)
22nd Jun '24	UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov	11.5	-2.9	-25%	-4.0 / 9.5 (-42%)		1.1 / 2 (53%)
22nd Jun '24	Bellator Champions Series	1	0.6	64%			0.6 / 1 (64%)
21st Jun '24	PFL 5: 2024 Regular Season	2.5	-2.5	-100%			-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
15th Jun '24	UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira	17	0.2	1%	-2.2 / 13.5 (-16%)		2.4 / 3.5 (68%)
1st Jun '24	UFC 302	12.5	-2.5	-20%	-6.0 / 6 (-100%)		3.5 / 6.5 (54%)
18th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy	3.75	-0.9	-24%			-0.9 / 3.75 (-24%)
11th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	13.7	-7.3	-53%	-3.3 / 9.7 (-34%)	-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
4th May '24	UFC 301	14.69	10.6	72%	9.6 / 13.19 (73%)		0.9 / 1.5 (62%)
27th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	8.18	1.5	18%	-0.7 / 4.13 (-16%)	3.1 / 1.55 (199%)	-1.0 / 2.5 (-39%)
19th Apr '24	PFL 3: 2024 Regular Season	1.75	-1.8	-100%	-1.8 / 1.75 (-100%)
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	16.59	-7.2	-44%	-2.7 / 2.67 (-100%)	-3.8 / 9.42 (-40%)	-0.8 / 4.5 (-18%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	9.46	-0.2	-3%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	2.3 / 6.96 (32%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	8.93	4.3	49%	1.9 / 1.76 (110%)	2.4 / 7.17 (34%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	8.24	-0.4	-4%	1.6 / 2.33 (69%)	0.5 / 3.41 (16%)	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	10.52	-2.4	-23%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	0.3 / 4.52 (8%)	0.3 / 3 (9%)
15th Mar '24	Cage Warriors 167	0.67	-0.7	-100%			-0.7 / 0.67 (-100%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	15.36	4.9	32%	2.2 / 2.66 (82%)	-1.3 / 7.87 (-17%)	4.1 / 4.83 (84%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	15.82	-1.6	-10%		-0.6 / 14.82 (-4%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	8.95	1.7	19%	1.0 / 0.7 (145%)	2.1 / 5.25 (39%)	-1.4 / 3 (-46%)
23rd Feb '24	LFA 177	1.17	-1.2	-100%		-1.2 / 1.17 (-100%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	14.65	-5.5	-38%	-2.0 / 7.15 (-29%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)	1.5 / 2.5 (61%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	16.04	-2.5	-16%	0.2 / 11.15 (2%)	-1.3 / 3.39 (-38%)	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
10th Feb '24	Oktagon 53	0.67	-0.7	-100%			-0.7 / 0.67 (-100%)
9th Feb '24	LFA 176	1.33	0.6	49%	0.6 / 1.33 (49%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	12.58	3.9	31%	3.0 / 9.76 (30%)	2.1 / 1.62 (132%)	-1.2 / 1.2 (-100%)
27th Jan '24	Oktagon 52	1	0.6	61%	0.6 / 1 (61%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	12.63	3.2	25%	0.8 / 10.39 (7%)	1.7 / 0.99 (170%)	0.7 / 1.25 (57%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	13.325	-0.3	-2%	-2.0 / 7.375 (-27%)	1.0 / 3.35 (31%)	0.7 / 2.6 (25%)
12th Jan '24	LFA 174	1.54	-1.5	-100%	-1.5 / 1.54 (-100%)
24th Dec '23	ACA 168	1.6	0.8	52%	0.5 / 1.3 (41%)		0.3 / 0.3 (98%)
23rd Dec '23	A1 Combat 16	1.13	0.4	37%	0.4 / 1.13 (37%)
16th Dec '23	UFC 296	16.1	-4.0	-25%	-5.7 / 11.53 (-49%)	1.7 / 4.57 (37%)
9th Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez	15.95	-1.8	-11%	-3.4 / 3.4 (-100%)	-1.4 / 8.55 (-16%)	3.0 / 4 (74%)
8th Dec '23	PFL Europe 4: 2023 Championships	1.33	-1.3	-100%			-1.3 / 1.33 (-100%)
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	12.68	-7.2	-57%	-3.8 / 8.28 (-46%)	-3.4 / 4.4 (-77%)
25th Nov '23	Cage Warriors 164	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
24th Nov '23	PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship	4.29	1.3	31%	0.0 / 2.04 (0%)	0.4 / 0.5 (77%)	1.0 / 1.75 (55%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	17.08	0.6	3%	-0.5 / 6.5 (-8%)	1.9 / 7.83 (25%)	-0.9 / 2.75 (-32%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	17.04	0.3	2%	1.4 / 10.25 (13%)	-1.5 / 3.04 (-51%)	0.5 / 3.75 (13%)
11th Nov '23	Cage Warriors 163	1	0.6	59%			0.6 / 1 (59%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	7.08	1.7	24%	1.4 / 2.9 (48%)	1.1 / 2.18 (49%)	-0.8 / 2 (-38%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	21.9	5.9	27%	2.0 / 5.65 (36%)	0.1 / 5.75 (2%)	3.7 / 10.5 (35%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	15.71	1.6	10%	1.4 / 6.58 (22%)	0.3 / 7.38 (4%)	-0.1 / 1.75 (-6%)
14th Oct '23	Cage Warriors 161	1.5	0.7	48%			0.7 / 1.5 (48%)
7th Oct '23	Bellator 300	0.75	0.8	103%			0.8 / 0.75 (103%)
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	12.85	2.0	15%	0.3 / 3.92 (8%)	3.3 / 5.8 (58%)	-1.7 / 3.13 (-54%)
3rd Oct '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 9	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	7.15	3.8	54%	0.9 / 0.5 (175%)	3.1 / 3.15 (99%)	-0.2 / 3.5 (-5%)
23rd Sep '23	Bellator 299	2	1.1	56%			1.1 / 2 (56%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	19.02	8.9	47%	-1.0 / 2.25 (-44%)	2.9 / 7.27 (40%)	7.0 / 9.5 (73%)
15th Sep '23	LFA 167	1.5	0.6	38%	0.6 / 1.5 (38%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	22.35	-1.2	-5%	-1.2 / 5.5 (-21%)	3.4 / 11.85 (29%)	-3.4 / 5 (-68%)
5th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	1	0.5	48%		0.5 / 1 (48%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	22.62	4.7	21%	-3.3 / 9.22 (-36%)	4.2 / 8.4 (49%)	3.8 / 5 (77%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	17.91	2.7	15%	3.4 / 7.5 (45%)	1.6 / 5.16 (30%)	-2.2 / 5.25 (-42%)
23rd Aug '23	PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs	0.95	0.8	89%			0.8 / 0.95 (89%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	22.22	-5.1	-23%	1.5 / 1.65 (91%)	-6.8 / 18.07 (-38%)	0.3 / 2.5 (11%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	6.54	0.1	1%	1.0 / 3.1 (31%)	-0.1 / 2.69 (-5%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
11th Aug '23	Bellator 298	0.75	0.7	88%			0.7 / 0.75 (88%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	10.5	-1.9	-18%	-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)	0.2 / 6.75 (3%)	0.2 / 1.5 (14%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	12.8	2.7	21%	-1.9 / 3.5 (-55%)	2.2 / 5.05 (44%)	2.4 / 4.25 (56%)
22nd Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	18.3	5.1	28%	0.8 / 4.7 (17%)	1.5 / 7.65 (20%)	2.8 / 5.95 (46%)
15th Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	10.46	3.9	37%	-1.1 / 2.92 (-37%)	1.6 / 2.25 (73%)	3.3 / 5.29 (63%)

Winning Events: 76 (59%)
Losing Events: 52 (41%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.22 units
Most Staked On One Event: 22.62 units
Best Event: 10.56 units
Worst Event: -7.56 units
Average Event: 0.27 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 10, Units: 15.47
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -14.81

Rothbardian : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2025	40.01	-2.5	-6%	-2.7 / 20.06 (-13%)	-0.5 / 5.25 (-10%)	0.7 / 14.7 (5%)	7 / 7 (50%)	-0.18
2024	430.365	8.6	2%	-2.5 / 206.925 (-1%)	0.6 / 107.99 (1%)	10.6 / 115.45 (9%)	44 / 36 (55%)	0.11
2023	325.56	28.3	9%	-10.0 / 109.57 (-9%)	16.8 / 129.29 (13%)	21.6 / 86.7 (25%)	25 / 9 (74%)	0.83

Rothbardian : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Rothbardian : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	728.225	36.2	5%	-13.8 / 312.485 (-4%)	17.0 / 234.31 (7%)	33.0 / 181.43 (18%)
Bellator	5.3	2.4	45%		-0.3 / 0.3 (-100%)	2.7 / 5 (54%)
PFL	15.52	-3.6	-23%	-1.7 / 3.79 (-46%)	0.4 / 0.5 (77%)	-2.3 / 11.23 (-20%)
Other	46.89	-0.6	-1%	0.3 / 20.28 (2%)	-0.3 / 7.42 (-4%)	-0.6 / 19.19 (-3%)

Rothbardian : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	66 (23%)	48	73 %	86.90	1.11	0.02	1%
Slight Favorites	128 (45%)	74	58 %	165.35	-1.01	-0.01	-1%
Slight Underdogs	70 (25%)	25	36 %	65.07	-15.41	-0.22	-24%
Big Underdogs	18 (6%)	5	28 %	11.46	0.08	0.00	1%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	26 (9%)	15	58 %	30.28	3.26	0.13	11%
Co-Main Event	21 (7%)	11	52 %	20.87	-2.20	-0.10	-11%
Position 3-5	78 (28%)	44	56 %	88.09	-0.64	-0.01	-1%
6+ (Undercard)	157 (56%)	82	52 %	189.54	-15.65	-0.10	-8%

Rothbardian : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	11 (4%)	8	73 %	11.32	4.59	0.42	41%
Light Heavy	20 (7%)	8	40 %	19.90	-7.64	-0.38	-38%
Middleweight	30 (11%)	16	53 %	40.19	0.85	0.03	2%
Welterweight	35 (12%)	20	57 %	40.43	1.87	0.05	5%
Lightweight	33 (12%)	13	39 %	40.58	-13.06	-0.40	-32%
Featherweight	42 (15%)	24	57 %	47.38	-0.99	-0.02	-2%
Bantamweight	30 (11%)	18	60 %	33.40	-3.98	-0.13	-12%
Flyweight	31 (11%)	17	55 %	36.30	3.41	0.11	9%

Women's Fights	50 (18%)	28	56 %	59.28	-0.28	-0.01	-0%
Featherweight	1 (0%)		0 %	0.80	-0.80	-0.80	-100%
Bantamweight	6 (2%)	2	33 %	6.27	-3.56	-0.59	-57%
Flyweight	15 (5%)	8	53 %	19.40	-1.36	-0.09	-7%
Strawweight	28 (10%)	18	64 %	32.81	5.44	0.19	17%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	340 (96%)	285	84 %
Slight Favorites	14 (4%)	11	79 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	354	296	84 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	217 (39%)	183	84 %
50-65%	105 (19%)	67	64 %
35-50%	49 (9%)	19	39 %
<35% chance	192 (34%)	27	14 %
	563	296	53 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	168 (30%)	136	81 %	1.33	2.80	1.03	15.1 (9%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	54 (10%)	38	70 %	1.59	2.60	1.13	7.4 (14%)
Goes to Decision	5 (1%)	4	80 %	1.83	7.00	1.41	1.2 (24%)
Does not go to Decision	39 (7%)	28	72 %	1.41	2.40	1.09	-0.3 (-1%)
Fight Starts Round X	39 (7%)	32	82 %	1.15	1.44	1.05	-2.3 (-6%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (0%)	0	0 %	1.15	1.15	1.15	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	10 (2%)	1	10 %	3.25	11.00	1.74	-7.5 (-75%)
X Wins by Sub	23 (4%)	4	17 %	5.42	26.00	1.91	0.9 (4%)
X Wins by Decision	21 (4%)	8	38 %	4.14	12.00	1.61	14.8 (70%)
X Wins Inside Distance	11 (2%)	4	36 %	2.05	3.50	1.67	-3.1 (-28%)
X Wins in Round X	46 (8%)	9	20 %	7.77	41.00	1.91	14.2 (31%)
Others	146 (26%)	32	22 %	4.31	61.01	1.20	4.6 (3%)
	563	296	53 %	1.99			44.1 (8%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Rothbardian 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets for the last year, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows... To view all time stats, click here.

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
18th May	UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy	3.75	-0.9	-24%	$150	$10.00	$1,000.00	$841.11
1st Jun	UFC 302	12.5	-2.5	-20%	$150	$8.41	$841.11	$670.39
15th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira	17	0.2	1%	$150	$6.70	$670.39	$521.81
21st Jun	PFL 5: 2024 Regular Season	2.5	-2.5	-100%	$150	$5.22	$521.81	$358.76
22nd Jun	UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov	11.5	-2.9	-25%	$150	$3.59	$358.76	$198.39
22nd Jun	Bellator Champions Series	1	0.6	64%	$150	$1.98	$198.39	$49.66
28th Jun	PFL 6: 2024 Regular Season	1.5	0.8	50%	$150	$0.50	$49.66	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
29th Jun	UFC 303	10.5	5.4	52%	$150	$10.00	$1,000.00	$904.09
12th Jul	PFL MENA 2	1	-1.0	-100%	$150	$9.04	$904.09	$745.05
12th Jul	LFA 188	2.5	1.5	62%	$150	$7.45	$745.05	$606.58
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez	11.3	0.9	8%	$150	$6.07	$606.58	$461.86
20th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba	11.62	-0.7	-6%	$150	$4.62	$461.86	$308.50
27th Jul	UFC 304	1.5	1.2	77%	$150	$3.08	$308.50	$162.06
2nd Aug	PFL 7: 2024 Playoffs	1	0.5	49%	$150	$1.62	$162.06	$12.86
2nd Aug	LFA 189	1.25	-1.3	-100%	$150	$0.13	$12.86	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
2nd Aug	ONE Fight Night 25	1	0.3	33%	$150	$10.00	$1,000.00	$853.30
3rd Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov	3.6	3.1	86%	$150	$8.53	$853.30	$729.79
9th Aug	Invicta FC 56	0.3	0.2	69%	$150	$7.30	$729.79	$581.29
10th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II	3.62	2.2	61%	$150	$5.81	$581.29	$444.21
13th Aug	Contender Series 2024: Week 1	2.75	-1.4	-50%	$150	$4.44	$444.21	$288.08
17th Aug	UFC 305	10.94	-1.6	-15%	$150	$2.88	$288.08	$133.32
18th Aug	Brave CF 85	0.4	-0.4	-100%		$1.33	$133.32	$132.79
20th Aug	Contender Series 2024: Week 2	0.4	0.2	62%	$150	$1.33	$132.79	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
23rd Aug	PFL 9: 2024 Playoffs	0.4	0.3	77%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,003.08
24th Aug	KSW 97	0.4	0.2	46%	$150	$10.03	$1,003.08	$854.90
24th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho	2.4	1.1	45%	$150	$8.55	$854.90	$714.05
27th Aug	Contender Series 2024: Week 3	0.6	0.3	57%	$150	$7.14	$714.05	$566.50
3rd Sep	Contender Series 2024: Week 4	1.1	-1.1	-100%	$150	$5.67	$566.50	$410.27
7th Sep	Oktagon 60	0.48	0.2	49%	$150	$4.10	$410.27	$261.23
7th Sep	Cage Warriors 176	1	0.4	38%	$150	$2.61	$261.23	$112.22
7th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady	7.65	-0.8	-10%	$150	$1.12	$112.22	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
13th Sep	LFA 192	1.4	0.6	40%	$150	$10.00	$1,000.00	$855.63
14th Sep	Bellator Champions Series	0.8	-0.8	-100%	$150	$8.56	$855.63	$698.79
14th Sep	UFC 306	9.65	3.6	37%	$150	$6.99	$698.79	$573.89
20th Sep	Cage Warriors 177	0.4	-0.4	-100%	$150	$5.74	$573.89	$421.60
21st Sep	Oktagon 61	0.5	0.3	55%	$150	$4.22	$421.60	$272.76
21st Sep	Cage Warriors 178	0.8	0.4	51%	$150	$2.73	$272.76	$123.87
24th Sep	Contender Series 2024: Week 7	0.75	-0.8	-100%		$1.24	$123.87	$122.95
26th Sep	Ares FC 25	0.85	-0.1	-7%	$150	$1.23	$122.95	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
28th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint-Denis	13.07	-7.6	-58%	$150	$10.00	$1,000.00	$774.38
28th Sep	PFL Europe 3	0.8	-0.8	-100%	$150	$7.74	$774.38	$618.18
4th Oct	ONE Fight Night 25	0.67	0.3	41%	$150	$6.18	$618.18	$469.87
5th Oct	UFC 307	14.84	1.5	10%	$150	$4.70	$469.87	$326.73
6th Oct	Fury FC 97	0.67	-0.7	-100%		$3.27	$326.73	$324.54
8th Oct	Contender Series 2024: Week 9	3	1.1	38%	$150	$3.25	$324.54	$178.26
12th Oct	Oktagon 62	2.67	-0.9	-34%	$150	$1.78	$178.26	$26.62
12th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira	2.34	1.0	43%	$150	$0.27	$26.62	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
15th Oct	Contender Series 2024: Week 10	4.89	0.6	12%	$150	$10.00	$1,000.00	$855.77
19th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Hernandez	5.68	2.9	51%	$150	$8.56	$855.77	$730.63
26th Oct	UFC 308	5.5	2.4	44%	$150	$7.31	$730.63	$598.50
2nd Nov	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi	6.63	3.3	50%	$150	$5.99	$598.50	$468.20
9th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates	4.6	1.1	24%	$150	$4.68	$468.20	$323.26
16th Nov	UFC 309	1.33	-1.3	-100%		$3.23	$323.26	$318.96
22nd Nov	LFA 197	1	0.3	28%		$3.19	$318.96	$319.87
23rd Nov	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo	2.83	-1.6	-58%	$150	$3.20	$319.87	$164.63
7th Dec	UFC 310	2.67	1.3	50%	$150	$1.65	$164.63	$16.81
14th Dec	UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley	3.97	2.1	54%	$150	$0.17	$16.81	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
11th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas II	5.75	-1.1	-19%	$150	$10.00	$1,000.00	$839.04
18th Jan	UFC 311	5.25	-1.6	-30%	$150	$8.39	$839.04	$675.73
1st Feb	UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov	4	0.3	7%	$150	$6.76	$675.73	$527.61
7th Feb	Invicta FC 60	0.5	-0.5	-100%	$150	$5.28	$527.61	$374.97
8th Feb	UFC 312	3.48	-0.1	-3%	$150	$3.75	$374.97	$224.62
15th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues	4.5	-0.2	-4%	$150	$2.25	$224.62	$74.21
22nd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song	5.5	-1.7	-31%	$150	$0.74	$74.21	$0.00
Reloaded an additional $1000
14th Mar	Cage Warriors 184	1	0.5	53%	$150	$10.00	$1,000.00	$855.33
15th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze II	1	0.4	37%		$8.55	$855.33	$858.49
22nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady	2.57	1.0	40%	$150	$8.58	$858.49	$717.32
29th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg	1.13	0.3	30%		$7.17	$717.32	$719.77
5th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy	1	0.4	36%		$7.20	$719.77	$722.37
12th Apr	UFC 314	3.33	-0.5	-15%	$150	$7.22	$722.37	$568.72
3rd May	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo	1	0.3	26%		$5.69	$568.72	$570.20

ROI % from starting bank balance: -842.98% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Rothbardian : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '25	Carlos Ulberg	Jan Blachowicz	1.41	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Feb '25	Jose Delgado	Connor Matthews	1.43	2	TKO, R1 (2:58)
3.	Feb '25	Sergey Pavlovich	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	1.43	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
4.	Feb '25	Yadong Song	Henry Cejudo	1.46	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Jan '25	Bogdan Guskov	Billy Elekana	1.30	1	Sub, R2 (3:33)
6.	Jan '25	Tagir Ulanbekov	Clayton Carpenter	1.32	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Jan '25	Tagir Ulanbekov	Clayton Carpenter	1.38	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Jan '25	Ernesta Kareckaite	Nicolle Caliari	1.43	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jan '25	Ernesta Kareckaite	Nicolle Caliari	1.40	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Feb '25	Weili Zhang	Tatiana Suarez	1.73	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
11.	Dec '24	Daniel Marcos	Adrian Yanez	1.61	0.67	Split Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Dec '24	Joaquin Buckley	Colby Covington	1.41	0.5	TKO, R3 (4:42)
13.	Dec '24	Joaquin Buckley	Colby Covington	1.38	1	TKO, R3 (4:42)
14.	Dec '24	Movsar Evloev	Aljamain Sterling	1.42	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Nov '24	Gillian Robertson	Luana Pinheiro	1.42	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Nov '24	Cody Gibson	Chad Anheliger	1.52	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Nov '24	Youssef Zalal	Jack Shore	1.41	1.67	Sub, R2 (0:59)
18.	Nov '24	Mike Malott	Trevin Giles	1.41	1.67	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Nov '24	Erin Blanchfield	Rose Namajunas	1.77	0.79	U Decision (5 rounds)
20.	Oct '24	Rinat Fakhretdinov	Carlos Leal Miranda	1.47	1	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Apr '25	Sean Woodson	Dan Ige	1.65	1.33	TKO, R3 (1:12)	Yes
2.	Feb '25	Javid Basharat	Ricky Simon	1.40	2	TKO, R1 (3:58)	No
3.	Feb '25	Ismael Bonfim	Nazim Sadykhov	1.56	1.5	TKO, R1 (5:0)	No
4.	Feb '25	Tatiana Suarez	Weili Zhang	1.95	0.48	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
5.	Feb '25	Lucas Alexander	Bogdan Grad	2.35	1	TKO, R2 (4:22)	No
6.	Jan '25	Magomed Gadzhiyasulov	Bruno Lopes	1.38	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Jan '25	Magomed Gadzhiyasulov	Bruno Lopes	1.38	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Oct '24	Michel Pereira	Anthony Hernandez	2.24	0.67	TKO, R5 (2:22)	No
9.	Oct '24	Leslie Hernandez	Julieta Martinez	1.85	0.3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
10.	Oct '24	Leslie Hernandez	Julieta Martinez	2.20	0.3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
11.	Oct '24	Antonio Monteiro	Yadier DelValle	1.85	0.79	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Oct '24	Stephen Thompson	Joaquin Buckley	2.80	0.67	TKO, R3 (2:17)	No
13.	Oct '24	Marina Alcalde Rodriguez	Iasmin Lucindo	2.50	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Oct '24	Jose Aldo	Mario Bautista	2.20	0.67	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Oct '24	Raquel Pennington	Julianna Pena	1.60	1	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
16.	Sep '24	Matt Frevola	Fares Ziam	1.98	0.4	TKO, R3 (2:59)	No
17.	Sep '24	Benoit Saint-Denis	Renato Moicano	1.37	0.89	TKO, R2 (5:0)	No
18.	Sep '24	Joanderson Brito	William Gomis	1.43	0.63	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Sep '24	Ivan Erslan	Ion Cutelaba	1.91	1.05	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Sep '24	Soslan Gagloev	Axel Sola	2.30	0.28	TKO, R2 (4:59)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

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