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MMA Handicapper Stats: Rothbardian

Rothbardian (PooButt)

MMA MHandicapper - Rothbardian

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	174 (49%)	Right	40 (53%)	Right	78 (38%)	Right	56 (74%)
Wrong	182 (51%)	Wrong	36 (47%)	Wrong	126 (62%)	Wrong	20 (26%)
Avg Odds	2.35	Avg Odds	1.86	Avg Odds	3.08	Avg Odds	1.73
Units Bet	277.2	Units Bet	90.5	Units Bet	105.7	Units Bet	81.1
Avg Bet	0.78	Avg Bet	1.19	Avg Bet	0.52	Avg Bet	1.07
Units Profit	34.13	Units Profit	-1.94	Units Profit	16.45	Units Profit	19.63
ROI %	12%	ROI %	-2%	ROI %	16%	ROI %	24%

Rothbardian : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
2nd Dec '23	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	12.68	-7.2	-57%	-3.8 / 8.28 (-46%)	-3.4 / 4.4 (-77%)
25th Nov '23	Cage Warriors 164	0.5	-0.5	-100%	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
24th Nov '23	PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship	4.29	1.3	31%	0.0 / 2.04 (0%)	0.4 / 0.5 (77%)	1.0 / 1.75 (55%)
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	17.08	0.6	3%	-0.5 / 6.5 (-8%)	1.9 / 7.83 (25%)	-0.9 / 2.75 (-32%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	17.04	0.3	2%	1.4 / 10.25 (13%)	-1.5 / 3.04 (-51%)	0.5 / 3.75 (13%)
11th Nov '23	Cage Warriors 163	1	0.6	59%			0.6 / 1 (59%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	7.08	1.7	24%	1.4 / 2.9 (48%)	1.1 / 2.18 (49%)	-0.8 / 2 (-38%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	21.4	5.9	27%	2.0 / 5.15 (40%)	0.1 / 5.75 (2%)	3.7 / 10.5 (35%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	15.71	1.6	10%	1.4 / 6.58 (22%)	0.3 / 7.38 (4%)	-0.1 / 1.75 (-6%)
14th Oct '23	Cage Warriors 161	1.5	0.7	48%			0.7 / 1.5 (48%)
7th Oct '23	Bellator 300	0.75	0.8	103%			0.8 / 0.75 (103%)
7th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	12.85	2.0	15%	0.3 / 3.92 (8%)	3.3 / 5.8 (58%)	-1.7 / 3.13 (-54%)
3rd Oct '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 9	1	-1.0	-100%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	7.15	3.8	54%	0.9 / 0.5 (175%)	3.1 / 3.15 (99%)	-0.2 / 3.5 (-5%)
23rd Sep '23	Bellator 299	2	1.1	56%			1.1 / 2 (56%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	17.77	8.9	50%	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	2.9 / 7.27 (40%)	7.0 / 9.5 (73%)
15th Sep '23	LFA 167	1.5	0.6	38%	0.6 / 1.5 (38%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	22.35	-1.2	-5%	-1.2 / 5.5 (-21%)	3.4 / 11.85 (29%)	-3.4 / 5 (-68%)
5th Sep '23	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	1	0.5	48%		0.5 / 1 (48%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	22.62	4.7	21%	-3.3 / 9.22 (-36%)	4.2 / 8.4 (49%)	3.8 / 5 (77%)
26th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	17.91	2.7	15%	3.4 / 7.5 (45%)	1.6 / 5.16 (30%)	-2.2 / 5.25 (-42%)
23rd Aug '23	PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs	0.95	0.8	89%			0.8 / 0.95 (89%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	22.22	-5.1	-23%	1.5 / 1.65 (91%)	-6.8 / 18.07 (-38%)	0.3 / 2.5 (11%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	6.54	0.1	1%	1.0 / 3.1 (31%)	-0.1 / 2.69 (-5%)	-0.8 / 0.75 (-100%)
11th Aug '23	Bellator 298	0.75	0.7	88%			0.7 / 0.75 (88%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	10.5	-1.9	-18%	-2.3 / 2.25 (-100%)	0.2 / 6.75 (3%)	0.2 / 1.5 (14%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	12.8	2.7	21%	-1.9 / 3.5 (-55%)	2.2 / 5.05 (44%)	2.4 / 4.25 (56%)
22nd Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	18.3	5.1	28%	0.8 / 4.7 (17%)	1.5 / 7.65 (20%)	2.8 / 5.95 (46%)
15th Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	10.46	3.9	37%	-1.1 / 2.92 (-37%)	1.6 / 2.25 (73%)	3.3 / 5.29 (63%)

Winning Events: 23 (79%)
Losing Events: 6 (21%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.92 units
Most Staked On One Event: 22.62 units
Best Event: 8.88 units
Worst Event: -7.22 units
Average Event: 1.18 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 10, Units: 15.47
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -7.72

Rothbardian : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	287.7	34.1	12%	-1.9 / 90.46 (-2%)		19.6 / 81.07 (24%)	23 / 6 (79%)	1.18

Rothbardian : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Rothbardian : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	272.46	28.5	10%	-1.0 / 85.42 (-1%)	15.6 / 114.67 (14%)	14.0 / 72.37 (19%)
Bellator	3.5	2.5	73%			2.5 / 3.5 (73%)
PFL	5.24	2.2	42%	0.0 / 2.04 (0%)	0.4 / 0.5 (77%)	1.8 / 2.7 (67%)
Other	6.5	0.9	13%	-0.9 / 3 (-31%)	0.5 / 1 (48%)	1.3 / 2.5 (52%)

Rothbardian : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	12 (14%)	8	67 %	17.25	1.74	0.14	10%
Slight Favorites	49 (58%)	29	59 %	55.64	2.12	0.04	4%
Slight Underdogs	17 (20%)	5	29 %	13.80	-6.55	-0.39	-47%
Big Underdogs	7 (8%)	2	29 %	3.77	0.75	0.11	20%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	7 (8%)	3	43 %	9.00	-0.97	-0.14	-11%
Co-Main Event	4 (5%)	1	25 %	2.80	-1.06	-0.26	-38%
Position 3-5	26 (31%)	14	54 %	30.70	-1.22	-0.05	-4%
6+ (Undercard)	48 (56%)	26	54 %	47.96	1.30	0.03	3%

Rothbardian : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (5%)	2	50 %	4.75	-1.50	-0.38	-32%
Light Heavy	5 (6%)	2	40 %	5.25	-1.42	-0.28	-27%
Middleweight	9 (11%)	4	44 %	7.14	0.25	0.03	4%
Welterweight	10 (12%)	5	50 %	11.55	0.87	0.09	8%
Lightweight	11 (13%)	6	55 %	13.00	-0.05	-0.00	-0%
Featherweight	12 (14%)	6	50 %	11.92	-1.35	-0.11	-11%
Bantamweight	12 (14%)	7	58 %	13.78	2.07	0.17	15%
Flyweight	4 (5%)	2	50 %	4.00	-0.76	-0.19	-19%

Women's Fights	18 (21%)	10	56 %	19.07	-0.05	-0.00	-0%
Featherweight	1 (1%)		0 %	0.80	-0.80	-0.80	-100%
Bantamweight	4 (5%)	2	50 %	3.72	-1.01	-0.25	-27%
Flyweight	6 (7%)	2	33 %	6.93	-2.74	-0.46	-40%
Strawweight	7 (8%)	6	86 %	7.62	4.49	0.64	59%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	105 (94%)	89	85 %
Slight Favorites	7 (6%)	6	86 %
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	112	95	85 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	84 (30%)	71	85 %
50-65%	60 (21%)	38	63 %
35-50%	27 (10%)	9	33 %
<35% chance	112 (40%)	17	15 %
	283	135	48 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	63 (22%)	49	78 %	1.43	2.80	1.11	8.5 (14%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	37 (13%)	28	76 %	1.56	2.60	1.13	7.9 (21%)
Goes to Decision	1 (0%)	1	100 %	1.57	1.57	1.57	0.6 (57%)
Does not go to Decision	25 (9%)	20	80 %	1.39	1.87	1.11	2.4 (10%)
Fight Starts Round X	10 (4%)	7	70 %	1.21	1.36	1.13	-1.5 (-15%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	1 (0%)	0	0 %	1.15	1.15	1.15	-1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by KO	5 (2%)	0	0 %	3.29	11.00	1.95	-5.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	9 (3%)	1	11 %	8.57	26.00	4.00	-1.5 (-17%)
X Wins by Decision	14 (5%)	5	36 %	4.67	9.00	2.10	9.7 (69%)
X Wins Inside Distance	7 (2%)	3	43 %	2.04	2.40	1.67	-0.7 (-10%)
X Wins in Round X	24 (8%)	4	17 %	7.15	41.00	1.91	5.4 (23%)
Others	87 (31%)	17	20 %	4.84	61.01	1.59	10.7 (12%)
	283	135	48 %	2.25			35.4 (12%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Rothbardian 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
15th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	10.46	3.9	37%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,038.76
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	18.3	5.1	28%		$10.39	$1,038.76	$1,091.92
29th Jul	UFC 291	12.8	2.7	21%		$10.92	$1,091.92	$1,120.93
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	10.5	-1.9	-18%		$11.21	$1,120.93	$1,100.07
11th Aug	Bellator 298	0.75	0.7	88%		$11.00	$1,100.07	$1,107.30
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	6.54	0.1	1%		$11.07	$1,107.30	$1,108.15
19th Aug	UFC 292	22.22	-5.1	-23%	$50	$11.08	$1,108.15	$1,001.99
23rd Aug	PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs	0.95	0.8	89%		$10.02	$1,001.99	$1,010.44
26th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung	17.91	2.7	15%	$50	$10.10	$1,010.44	$988.11
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	22.62	4.7	21%	$50	$9.88	$988.11	$984.13
5th Sep	Contender Series 2023: Week 5	1	0.5	48%		$9.84	$984.13	$988.81
9th Sep	UFC 293	22.35	-1.2	-5%	$50	$9.89	$988.81	$927.12
15th Sep	LFA 167	1.5	0.6	38%	$50	$9.27	$927.12	$882.47
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	17.77	8.9	50%	$50	$8.82	$882.47	$910.81
23rd Sep	Bellator 299	2	1.1	56%	$50	$9.11	$910.81	$870.97
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	7.15	3.8	54%	$50	$8.71	$870.97	$854.30
3rd Oct	Contender Series 2023: Week 9	1	-1.0	-100%	$50	$8.54	$854.30	$795.76
7th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green	12.85	2.0	15%	$50	$7.96	$795.76	$761.55
7th Oct	Bellator 300	0.75	0.8	103%	$50	$7.62	$761.55	$717.44
14th Oct	Cage Warriors 161	1.5	0.7	48%	$50	$7.17	$717.44	$672.59
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	15.71	1.6	10%	$50	$6.73	$672.59	$633.64
21st Oct	UFC 294	21.4	5.9	27%	$50	$6.34	$633.64	$620.79
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	7.08	1.7	24%	$50	$6.21	$620.79	$581.37
11th Nov	Cage Warriors 163	1	0.6	59%		$5.81	$581.37	$584.80
11th Nov	UFC 295	17.04	0.3	2%	$50	$5.85	$584.80	$536.49
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	17.08	0.6	3%	$50	$5.36	$536.49	$489.48
24th Nov	PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship	4.29	1.3	31%	$50	$4.89	$489.48	$446.07
25th Nov	Cage Warriors 164	0.5	-0.5	-100%	$50	$4.46	$446.07	$393.84
2nd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan	12.68	-7.2	-57%	$50	$3.94	$393.84	$315.41

ROI % from starting bank balance: -68.46% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Rothbardian : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Nov '23	Derek Brunson	Ray Cooper III	1.96	1.04	U Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Dec '23	Sean Brady	Kelvin Gastelum	1.77	1.25	Sub, R3 (1:43)
3.	Dec '23	Drakkar Klose	Joe Solecki	1.80	1.25	TKO, R1 (1:41)
4.	Nov '23	Jamall Emmers	Dennis Buzukja	1.39	1.25	TKO, R1 (0:49)
5.	Nov '23	Steve Erceg	Alessandro Costa	1.67	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Nov '23	Lupita Godinez	Tabatha Ricci	1.77	0.75	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Nov '23	Marc Diakiese	Kaue Fernandes	1.57	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
8.	Nov '23	Chase Hooper	Jordan Leavitt	1.50	2	Sub, R1 (2:58)
9.	Nov '23	Amanda Ribas	Luana Pinheiro	1.50	2	TKO, R3 (3:53)
10.	Nov '23	Tom Aspinall	Sergey Pavlovich	1.74	1	TKO, R1 (1:9)
11.	Nov '23	Angela Hill	Denise Gomes	2.33	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Nov '23	Marc Diakiese	Kaue Fernandes	1.56	1.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Oct '23	Said Nurmagomedov	Muin Gafurov	1.54	1	Sub, R1 (1:13)
14.	Oct '23	Islam Makhachev	Alex Volkanovski	1.49	2	TKO, R1 (3:6)
15.	Oct '23	Michel Pereira	Andre Petroski	1.74	1.5	TKO, R1 (1:6)
16.	Nov '23	Lupita Godinez	Tabatha Ricci	1.61	2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Oct '23	Melissa Dixon	Irina Alekseeva	1.74	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Oct '23	Emily Ducote	Ashley Yoder	1.35	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
19.	Oct '23	Christian Rodriguez	Cameron Saaiman	1.68	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Oct '23	Joaquin Buckley	Alex Morono	1.59	1.25	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Dec '23	Jamey Lyn-Horth	Veronica Macedo	1.93	1.08	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
2.	Nov '23	Mick Stanton	Dario Bellandi	1.67	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
3.	Dec '23	Jamey Lyn-Horth	Veronica Macedo	1.74	1.35	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Dec '23	Jamey Lyn-Horth	Veronica Macedo	1.74	1.35	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Nov '23	Ray Cooper III	Derek Brunson	1.46	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Dec '23	Rob Font	Deiveson Figueiredo	1.71	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Nov '23	Matt Frevola	Benoit Saint-Denis	2.85	0.5	TKO, R1 (1:31)	No
8.	Nov '23	Kyung Ho Kang	John Castaneda	2.30	0.75	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Nov '23	Pat Sabatini	Diego Lopes	1.77	0.5	TKO, R1 (1:30)	No
10.	Nov '23	Pat Sabatini	Diego Lopes	1.77	1.5	TKO, R1 (1:30)	No
11.	Nov '23	Lucie Pudilova	Ailin Perez	2.06	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Nov '23	Charles Johnson	Rafael Estevam	1.91	1.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Nov '23	Kaynan Kruschewsky	Elves Brenner	2.45	0.4	TKO, R1 (4:1)	No
14.	Oct '23	Abu Azaitar	Sedriques Dumas	3.10	0.4	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	Oct '23	Heili Alateng	Chris Gutierrez	3.60	0.33	U Decision (3 rounds)	Yes
16.	Oct '23	Adrian Yanez	Jonathan Martinez	1.91	1.25	TKO, R2 (2:26)	No
17.	Oct '23	Abdul Razak Alhassan	Joe Pyfer	4.20	0.3	Sub, R2 (2:5)	Yes
18.	Oct '23	Diana Belbita	Karolina Kowalkiewicz	2.30	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
19.	Oct '23	Johnny Munoz	Qileng Aori	1.91	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Oct '23	Murtaza Talha Ali	Rodolfo Bellato	1.43	1	TKO, R2 (4:46)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Rothbardian : Progress Chart

Chart

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