| |
MMA Handicapper Stats: Sweet Bets |
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Sweet Bets: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 42 (57%)
Losing Events: 32 (43%)
Average Staked Per Event: 20.75 units
Most Staked On One Event: 44.11 units
Best Event: 39.81 units
Worst Event: -32.01 units
Average Event: 3.93 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 63.89
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -43.78 |
Sweet Bets: Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2023 |
1336.61 |
266.0 |
20% |
28.9 / 206.25 (14%) |
|
28.9 / 264.98 (11%) |
37 / 28 (57%) |
4.09 |
| 2022 |
198.61 |
25.1 |
13% |
-2.0 / 20.6 (-10%) |
|
10.9 / 25 (43%) |
5 / 4 (56%) |
2.79 |
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Sweet Bets: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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|
Sweet Bets: Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
1336.06 |
234.1 |
18% |
13.4 / 185.85 (7%) |
168.2 / 888.73 (19%) |
52.5 / 261.48 (20%) |
|
Bellator |
32.2 |
1.6 |
5% |
2.4 / 4.5 (53%) |
1.2 / 25.7 (5%) |
-2.0 / 2 (-100%) |
|
PFL |
45.74 |
19.7 |
43% |
7.1 / 13.5 (52%) |
15.1 / 29.74 (51%) |
-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) |
| Other |
121.22 |
35.7 |
29% |
4.0 / 23 (18%) |
39.9 / 74.22 (54%) |
-8.2 / 24 (-34%) |
|
Sweet Bets: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
1 (1%) |
1 |
100 % |
11.00 |
3.30 |
3.30 |
30% |
| Slight Favorites |
11 (11%) |
6 |
55 % |
38.10 |
4.02 |
0.37 |
11% |
| Slight Underdogs |
49 (47%) |
20 |
41 % |
109.25 |
25.39 |
0.52 |
23% |
| Big Underdogs |
43 (41%) |
12 |
28 % |
68.50 |
-5.80 |
-0.13 |
-8% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
8 (8%) |
4 |
50 % |
14.50 |
8.96 |
1.12 |
62% |
| Co-Main Event |
16 (15%) |
6 |
38 % |
31.00 |
-7.10 |
-0.44 |
-23% |
| Position 3-5 |
33 (32%) |
11 |
33 % |
66.00 |
7.90 |
0.24 |
12% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
47 (45%) |
18 |
38 % |
115.35 |
17.16 |
0.37 |
15% |
|
Sweet Bets: Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
4 (4%) |
1 |
25 % |
7.50 |
-1.75 |
-0.44 |
-23% |
| Light Heavy |
5 (5%) |
5 |
100 % |
12.10 |
13.68 |
2.74 |
113% |
| Middleweight |
18 (17%) |
9 |
50 % |
44.00 |
22.14 |
1.23 |
50% |
| Welterweight |
15 (14%) |
5 |
33 % |
34.20 |
5.30 |
0.35 |
15% |
| Lightweight |
10 (10%) |
3 |
30 % |
12.50 |
0.60 |
0.06 |
5% |
| Featherweight |
10 (10%) |
3 |
30 % |
25.25 |
-2.92 |
-0.29 |
-12% |
| Bantamweight |
11 (11%) |
|
0 % |
19.50 |
-19.50 |
-1.77 |
-100% |
| Flyweight |
8 (8%) |
2 |
25 % |
26.50 |
-5.95 |
-0.74 |
-22% |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Women's Fights |
23 (22%) |
11 |
48 % |
45.30 |
15.32 |
0.67 |
34% |
| Bantamweight |
3 (3%) |
2 |
67 % |
5.50 |
3.06 |
1.02 |
56% |
| Flyweight |
8 (8%) |
5 |
63 % |
20.30 |
14.97 |
1.87 |
74% |
| Strawweight |
12 (12%) |
4 |
33 % |
19.50 |
-2.71 |
-0.23 |
-14% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
102 (61%) |
76 |
75 % |
| Slight Favorites |
61 (36%) |
42 |
69 % |
| Slight Underdogs |
5 (3%) |
3 |
60 % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
168 |
121 |
72 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
108 (8%) |
82 |
76 % |
| 50-65% |
177 (13%) |
97 |
55 % |
| 35-50% |
108 (8%) |
45 |
42 % |
| <35% chance |
1000 (72%) |
149 |
15 % |
|
1393 |
373 |
27 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Sweet Bets's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
38.82 |
-32.0 |
-82% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$679.90 |
| 29th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen |
16.9 |
10.8 |
64% |
|
$6.80 |
$679.90 |
$753.33 |
| 5th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos |
8.6 |
8.3 |
96% |
|
$7.53 |
$753.33 |
$815.55 |
| 12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
22.51 |
26.8 |
119% |
|
$8.16 |
$815.55 |
$1,033.88 |
| 19th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba |
22.9 |
-0.6 |
-3% |
|
$10.34 |
$1,033.88 |
$1,027.87 |
| 3rd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland |
27.8 |
-9.1 |
-33% |
|
$10.28 |
$1,027.87 |
$934.34 |
| 9th Dec |
Bellator 289 |
0.7 |
-0.7 |
-100% |
|
$9.34 |
$934.34 |
$927.80 |
| 10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
26.49 |
11.9 |
45% |
|
$9.28 |
$927.80 |
$1,038.62 |
| 17th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland |
33.89 |
9.7 |
29% |
|
$10.39 |
$1,038.62 |
$1,139.27 |
| 14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
18.81 |
-0.1 |
-0% |
|
$11.39 |
$1,139.27 |
$1,138.64 |
| 21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
29.8 |
9.8 |
33% |
|
$11.39 |
$1,138.64 |
$1,250.41 |
| 4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
22.33 |
-7.5 |
-34% |
|
$12.50 |
$1,250.41 |
$1,156.81 |
| 11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
25.77 |
-2.9 |
-11% |
|
$11.57 |
$1,156.81 |
$1,122.79 |
| 18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
31.53 |
21.4 |
68% |
|
$11.23 |
$1,122.79 |
$1,362.59 |
| 25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
25.2 |
16.9 |
67% |
|
$13.63 |
$1,362.59 |
$1,593.22 |
| 4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
36.25 |
23.5 |
65% |
|
$15.93 |
$1,593.22 |
$1,967.42 |
| 11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
35.55 |
-14.0 |
-39% |
|
$19.67 |
$1,967.42 |
$1,691.96 |
| 18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
15.13 |
-8.9 |
-59% |
|
$16.92 |
$1,691.96 |
$1,541.71 |
| 25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
14.5 |
24.7 |
170% |
|
$15.42 |
$1,541.71 |
$1,922.38 |
| 31st Mar |
Bellator 293 |
4 |
-4.0 |
-100% |
|
$19.22 |
$1,922.38 |
$1,845.49 |
| 1st Apr |
PFL 1: 2023 |
5.5 |
3.2 |
59% |
|
$18.45 |
$1,845.49 |
$1,905.41 |
| 8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
32.5 |
-5.9 |
-18% |
|
$19.05 |
$1,905.41 |
$1,792.54 |
| 15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
30.5 |
-24.9 |
-82% |
|
$17.93 |
$1,792.54 |
$1,346.20 |
| 22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
21.8 |
-4.8 |
-22% |
|
$13.46 |
$1,346.20 |
$1,281.58 |
| 29th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simón |
18.03 |
-5.5 |
-30% |
|
$12.82 |
$1,281.58 |
$1,211.67 |
| 6th May |
UFC 288 |
16.5 |
-2.7 |
-16% |
|
$12.12 |
$1,211.67 |
$1,178.95 |
| 13th May |
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida |
19.1 |
12.1 |
63% |
|
$11.79 |
$1,178.95 |
$1,321.02 |
| 20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
28.8 |
1.3 |
4% |
|
$13.21 |
$1,321.02 |
$1,338.06 |
| 27th May |
Road to UFC: Shanghai Episode 1 & 2 |
7 |
0.7 |
10% |
|
$13.38 |
$1,338.06 |
$1,347.38 |
| 3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
31.25 |
-24.9 |
-80% |
|
$13.47 |
$1,347.38 |
$1,011.91 |
| 8th Jun |
PFL 4: Regular Season |
0.5 |
-0.5 |
-100% |
|
$10.12 |
$1,011.91 |
$1,006.85 |
| 10th Jun |
UFC 289 |
33.5 |
24.0 |
72% |
|
$10.07 |
$1,006.85 |
$1,248.58 |
| 16th Jun |
Bellator 297 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
|
$12.49 |
$1,248.58 |
$1,217.36 |
| 16th Jun |
PFL 5: Regular Season |
1 |
6.5 |
650% |
|
$12.17 |
$1,217.36 |
$1,296.49 |
| 17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
34.45 |
21.4 |
62% |
|
$12.96 |
$1,296.49 |
$1,573.52 |
| 23rd Jun |
PFL 6: Regular Season |
7.75 |
-1.5 |
-19% |
|
$15.74 |
$1,573.52 |
$1,549.92 |
| 24th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria |
34.42 |
39.8 |
116% |
|
$15.50 |
$1,549.92 |
$2,166.92 |
| 1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
41 |
10.3 |
25% |
|
$21.67 |
$2,166.92 |
$2,390.03 |
| 8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
44.11 |
13.8 |
31% |
|
$23.90 |
$2,390.03 |
$2,719.38 |
| 15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
39.2 |
-15.7 |
-40% |
|
$27.19 |
$2,719.38 |
$2,292.97 |
| 22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
38.3 |
16.0 |
42% |
|
$22.93 |
$2,292.97 |
$2,659.73 |
| 29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
28.7 |
34.5 |
120% |
|
$26.60 |
$2,659.73 |
$3,577.86 |
| 4th Aug |
PFL 7: 2023 Playoffs |
6 |
7.1 |
118% |
|
$35.78 |
$3,577.86 |
$3,830.87 |
| 5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
38.3 |
-19.8 |
-52% |
|
$38.31 |
$3,830.87 |
$3,074.27 |
| 8th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 1 |
5.5 |
2.1 |
38% |
|
$30.74 |
$3,074.27 |
$3,138.83 |
| 11th Aug |
Bellator 298 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
96% |
|
$31.39 |
$3,138.83 |
$3,244.76 |
| 12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
27.75 |
-9.7 |
-35% |
|
$32.45 |
$3,244.76 |
$2,928.40 |
| 15th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 2 |
10 |
9.3 |
93% |
|
$29.28 |
$2,928.40 |
$3,201.62 |
| 19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
23.76 |
-20.2 |
-85% |
|
$32.02 |
$3,201.62 |
$2,556.17 |
| 22nd Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 3 |
9 |
-2.0 |
-22% |
|
$25.56 |
$2,556.17 |
$2,505.05 |
| 23rd Aug |
PFL 9: 2023 Playoffs |
9 |
-2.3 |
-25% |
|
$25.05 |
$2,505.05 |
$2,447.82 |
| 26th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Jung |
29.16 |
-6.9 |
-24% |
|
$24.48 |
$2,447.82 |
$2,278.07 |
| 29th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 4 |
16.7 |
5.9 |
35% |
|
$22.78 |
$2,278.07 |
$2,411.62 |
| 2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
14.87 |
-0.6 |
-4% |
|
$24.12 |
$2,411.62 |
$2,397.86 |
| 5th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 5 |
14 |
4.6 |
33% |
|
$23.98 |
$2,397.86 |
$2,508.06 |
| 9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
30.06 |
17.7 |
59% |
|
$25.08 |
$2,508.06 |
$2,953.00 |
| 12th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 6 |
10.94 |
-5.4 |
-49% |
|
$29.53 |
$2,953.00 |
$2,793.83 |
| 16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
21.25 |
28.7 |
135% |
|
$27.94 |
$2,793.83 |
$3,594.95 |
| 19th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 7 |
15 |
7.0 |
47% |
|
$35.95 |
$3,594.95 |
$3,846.59 |
| 23rd Sep |
Bellator 299 |
4 |
4.0 |
100% |
$20 |
$38.47 |
$3,846.59 |
$3,980.45 |
| 23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
26 |
24.2 |
93% |
$20 |
$39.80 |
$3,980.45 |
$4,924.22 |
| 26th Sep |
Contender Series 2023: Week 8 |
9.5 |
-2.4 |
-25% |
$20 |
$49.24 |
$4,924.22 |
$4,788.26 |
| 3rd Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 9 |
12.5 |
5.4 |
43% |
$20 |
$47.88 |
$4,788.26 |
$5,026.84 |
| 7th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green |
21.94 |
31.4 |
143% |
$20 |
$50.27 |
$5,026.84 |
$6,584.40 |
| 7th Oct |
Bellator 300 |
3.5 |
15.4 |
439% |
$20 |
$65.84 |
$6,584.40 |
$7,577.04 |
| 10th Oct |
Contender Series 2023: Week 10 |
11.08 |
10.5 |
94% |
$20 |
$75.77 |
$7,577.04 |
$8,350.11 |
| 14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
30.5 |
-6.5 |
-21% |
$20 |
$83.50 |
$8,350.11 |
$7,783.29 |
| 21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
27 |
3.7 |
14% |
$20 |
$77.83 |
$7,783.29 |
$8,053.08 |
| 4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
18 |
8.3 |
46% |
$20 |
$80.53 |
$8,053.08 |
$8,699.61 |
| 11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
24.9 |
6.1 |
24% |
$20 |
$87.00 |
$8,699.61 |
$9,206.64 |
| 17th Nov |
Bellator 301 |
14 |
-14.0 |
-100% |
$20 |
$92.07 |
$9,206.64 |
$7,897.71 |
| 18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
27 |
17.6 |
65% |
$20 |
$78.98 |
$7,897.71 |
$9,267.06 |
| 24th Nov |
PFL 10: 2023 PFL World Championship |
15.99 |
7.1 |
45% |
$20 |
$92.67 |
$9,267.06 |
$9,908.74 |
| 2nd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan |
30.63 |
-17.3 |
-56% |
$20 |
$99.09 |
$9,908.74 |
$8,176.50 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 717.65% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Sweet Bets: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
| |
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
| 1. |
Dec '23 |
 Kelvin Gastelum |
Sean Brady |
2.07 |
2.5 |
Sub, R3 (1:43) |
No |
|
|
| 2. |
Nov '23 |
Danny Sabatello |
Raufeon Stots |
1.91 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 3. |
Nov '23 |
Luana Pinheiro |
Amanda Ribas |
3.10 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (3:53) |
Yes |
|
|
| 4. |
Nov '23 |
Alessandro Costa |
Steve Erceg |
2.63 |
3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 5. |
Oct '23 |
Abu Azaitar |
Sedriques Dumas |
3.00 |
4 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 6. |
Oct '23 |
Andre Petroski |
Michel Pereira |
2.75 |
2 |
TKO, R1 (1:6) |
No |
|
|
| 7. |
Oct '23 |
Alexander Hernandez |
Bill Algeo |
2.10 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 8. |
Oct '23 |
Alexander Hernandez |
Bill Algeo |
2.10 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 9. |
Sep '23 |
Jhonata Silva |
Igor da Silva |
2.80 |
0.5 |
TKO, R2 (2:37) |
No |
|
|
| 10. |
Sep '23 |
Jhonata Silva |
Igor da Silva |
2.80 |
3 |
TKO, R2 (2:37) |
No |
|
|
| 11. |
Sep '23 |
A.J. Fletcher |
Bryan Battle |
2.62 |
2.5 |
Sub, R2 (4:32) |
Yes |
|
|
| 12. |
Sep '23 |
Malik Lewis |
James Llontop |
2.45 |
1.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 13. |
Sep '23 |
Landon Quiñones |
Nasrat Haqparast |
4.60 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 14. |
Sep '23 |
Landon Quiñones |
Nasrat Haqparast |
4.75 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
| 15. |
Sep '23 |
Ramon Taveras |
Serhiy Sidey |
2.60 |
0.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:26) |
No |
|
|
| 16. |
Sep '23 |
Ramon Taveras |
Serhiy Sidey |
2.63 |
3.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:26) |
No |
|
|
| 17. |
Sep '23 |
Kleydson Rodrigues |
Farid Basharat |
4.00 |
2 |
Sub, R1 (4:15) |
No |
|
|
| 18. |
Sep '23 |
Yanis Ghemmouri |
William Gomis |
2.87 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (2:20) |
No |
|
|
| 19. |
Aug '23 |
Chidi Njokuani |
Michal Oleksiejczuk |
2.00 |
3 |
TKO, R1 (4:16) |
No |
|
|
| 20. |
Aug '23 |
Solomon Renfro |
Magomed Magomedkerimov |
6.50 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Sweet Bets: Progress Chart |
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