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MMA Handicapper Stats: Betting Gnome |
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Betting Gnome: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 15 (45%) Losing Events: 18 (55%)
Average Staked Per Event: 25.11 units Most Staked On One Event: 42.00 units Best Event: 64.15 units Worst Event: -27.01 units Average Event: 2.36 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 64.15 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -42.09 |
Betting Gnome: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2024 |
15.34 |
64.2 |
418% |
-1.0 / 1 (-100%) |
|
-0.1 / 0.09 (-100%) |
1 / (100%) |
64.15 |
2023 |
397.25 |
8.9 |
2% |
28.2 / 172.25 (16%) |
|
-3.2 / 77.5 (-4%) |
6 / 9 (40%) |
0.59 |
2022 |
415.98 |
4.9 |
1% |
-31.6 / 163.17 (-19%) |
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19.9 / 66.42 (30%) |
8 / 9 (47%) |
0.29 |
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Betting Gnome: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Betting Gnome: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
769.82 |
64.6 |
8% |
6.7 / 308.67 (2%) |
62.9 / 327.14 (19%) |
-4.9 / 134.01 (-4%) |
Other |
58.75 |
13.3 |
23% |
-11.2 / 27.75 (-40%) |
2.9 / 21 (14%) |
21.5 / 10 (215%) |
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Betting Gnome: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
2 (1%) |
1 |
50 % |
6.50 |
0.39 |
0.20 |
6% |
Slight Favorites |
27 (20%) |
16 |
59 % |
146.91 |
-9.96 |
-0.37 |
-7% |
Slight Underdogs |
69 (51%) |
30 |
43 % |
130.03 |
8.51 |
0.12 |
7% |
Big Underdogs |
37 (27%) |
10 |
27 % |
52.98 |
-3.43 |
-0.09 |
-6% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
15 (11%) |
7 |
47 % |
53.75 |
-15.41 |
-1.03 |
-29% |
Co-Main Event |
14 (10%) |
1 |
7 % |
32.24 |
-26.74 |
-1.91 |
-83% |
Position 3-5 |
38 (28%) |
15 |
39 % |
84.90 |
13.50 |
0.36 |
16% |
6+ (Undercard) |
68 (50%) |
34 |
50 % |
165.53 |
24.16 |
0.36 |
15% |
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Betting Gnome: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
9 (7%) |
4 |
44 % |
15.91 |
4.73 |
0.53 |
30% |
Light Heavy |
8 (6%) |
4 |
50 % |
21.00 |
6.25 |
0.78 |
30% |
Middleweight |
19 (14%) |
9 |
47 % |
63.49 |
-16.82 |
-0.89 |
-26% |
Welterweight |
19 (14%) |
8 |
42 % |
61.32 |
-5.40 |
-0.28 |
-9% |
Lightweight |
12 (9%) |
3 |
25 % |
22.00 |
-8.28 |
-0.69 |
-38% |
Featherweight |
19 (14%) |
8 |
42 % |
56.32 |
-3.78 |
-0.20 |
-7% |
Bantamweight |
22 (16%) |
9 |
41 % |
51.65 |
-0.50 |
-0.02 |
-1% |
Flyweight |
6 (4%) |
3 |
50 % |
6.99 |
3.70 |
0.62 |
53% |
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|
|
|
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Women's Fights |
21 (16%) |
9 |
43 % |
37.74 |
15.61 |
0.74 |
41% |
Featherweight |
2 (1%) |
1 |
50 % |
11.00 |
7.33 |
3.67 |
67% |
Bantamweight |
4 (3%) |
|
0 % |
5.25 |
-5.25 |
-1.31 |
-100% |
Flyweight |
7 (5%) |
3 |
43 % |
8.66 |
5.13 |
0.73 |
59% |
Strawweight |
8 (6%) |
5 |
63 % |
12.83 |
8.40 |
1.05 |
65% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
100 (41%) |
73 |
73 % |
Slight Favorites |
79 (32%) |
47 |
59 % |
Slight Underdogs |
48 (20%) |
16 |
33 % |
Big Underdogs |
19 (8%) |
7 |
37 % |
|
246 |
143 |
58 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
45 (9%) |
37 |
82 % |
50-65% |
61 (13%) |
38 |
62 % |
35-50% |
127 (26%) |
46 |
36 % |
<35% chance |
248 (52%) |
58 |
23 % |
|
481 |
179 |
37 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Betting Gnome's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
20 |
-3.8 |
-19% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$962.20 |
6th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 7 |
7.75 |
-4.5 |
-57% |
|
$9.62 |
$962.20 |
$919.38 |
10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
28.25 |
20.3 |
72% |
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$9.19 |
$919.38 |
$1,105.67 |
13th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 8 |
6.5 |
-4.3 |
-66% |
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$11.06 |
$1,105.67 |
$1,058.13 |
17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song |
28.25 |
14.5 |
51% |
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$10.58 |
$1,058.13 |
$1,212.03 |
21st Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 9 |
17.25 |
7.0 |
40% |
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$12.12 |
$1,212.03 |
$1,296.54 |
27th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 10 |
14.75 |
20.1 |
136% |
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$12.97 |
$1,296.54 |
$1,557.10 |
1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
22.25 |
-3.0 |
-13% |
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$15.57 |
$1,557.10 |
$1,510.67 |
15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
27.5 |
5.1 |
19% |
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$15.11 |
$1,510.67 |
$1,587.92 |
22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
39.75 |
17.6 |
44% |
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$15.88 |
$1,587.92 |
$1,868.03 |
29th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen |
31.96 |
-27.0 |
-85% |
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$18.68 |
$1,868.03 |
$1,363.48 |
5th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos |
20.12 |
-15.1 |
-75% |
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$13.63 |
$1,363.48 |
$1,157.87 |
12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
40.26 |
18.7 |
46% |
|
$11.58 |
$1,157.87 |
$1,374.22 |
19th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba |
15.1 |
-1.4 |
-9% |
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$13.74 |
$1,374.22 |
$1,354.51 |
3rd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland |
30.09 |
-23.1 |
-77% |
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$13.55 |
$1,354.51 |
$1,042.07 |
10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
36.29 |
0.4 |
1% |
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$10.42 |
$1,042.07 |
$1,046.17 |
17th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland |
29.91 |
-16.7 |
-56% |
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$10.46 |
$1,046.17 |
$871.44 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
42 |
-1.9 |
-5% |
|
$8.71 |
$871.44 |
$854.63 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
12.75 |
4.5 |
35% |
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$8.55 |
$854.63 |
$893.06 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
21.5 |
-1.9 |
-9% |
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$8.93 |
$893.06 |
$876.06 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
24.5 |
0.6 |
2% |
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$8.76 |
$876.06 |
$881.37 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
15 |
-3.5 |
-23% |
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$8.81 |
$881.37 |
$850.89 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
20.5 |
37.8 |
184% |
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$8.51 |
$850.89 |
$1,172.12 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
29.75 |
2.5 |
9% |
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$11.72 |
$1,172.12 |
$1,201.97 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
35.5 |
-3.8 |
-11% |
|
$12.02 |
$1,201.97 |
$1,156.20 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
20 |
-3.4 |
-17% |
|
$11.56 |
$1,156.20 |
$1,117.19 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
31.75 |
1.6 |
5% |
|
$11.17 |
$1,117.19 |
$1,135.57 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
33 |
-12.0 |
-36% |
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$11.36 |
$1,135.57 |
$999.35 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
34 |
9.6 |
28% |
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$9.99 |
$999.35 |
$1,095.10 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
34 |
-10.6 |
-31% |
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$10.95 |
$1,095.10 |
$979.37 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
30.5 |
-5.7 |
-19% |
|
$9.79 |
$979.37 |
$923.71 |
8th Aug |
Contender Series 2023: Week 1 |
12.5 |
-5.0 |
-40% |
|
$9.24 |
$923.71 |
$877.52 |
13th Apr |
UFC 300 |
15.34 |
64.2 |
418% |
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$8.78 |
$877.52 |
$1,440.49 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 44.05% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Betting Gnome: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Betting Gnome: Progress Chart |
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