MMA Handicapper Directory
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MMA Handicapper Stats: Jaedon

Jaedon (jaec)

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	65 (42%)	Right	26 (57%)	Right	33 (36%)	Right	6 (33%)
Wrong	90 (58%)	Wrong	20 (43%)	Wrong	58 (64%)	Wrong	12 (67%)
Avg Odds	2.22	Avg Odds	1.82	Avg Odds	2.38	Avg Odds	2.79
Units Bet	148.4	Units Bet	49.7	Units Bet	68.2	Units Bet	30.5
Avg Bet	0.96	Avg Bet	1.08	Avg Bet	0.75	Avg Bet	1.69
Units Profit	-2.03	Units Profit	-2.45	Units Profit	-8.87	Units Profit	9.30
ROI %	-1%	ROI %	-5%	ROI %	-13%	ROI %	30%

Jaedon : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
18th Mar '23	UFC 286	11.143	-7.3	-66%	-2.4 / 2.4 (-100%)	-5.1 / 7.743 (-66%)	0.2 / 1 (17%)
11th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	9.497	0.5	5%	-0.5 / 5.6 (-9%)	1.5 / 3.397 (44%)	-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
4th Mar '23	UFC 285	12.7	1.9	15%	-1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)	4.4 / 10.2 (43%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
25th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	5.18	-0.0	-1%	-1.7 / 1.68 (-100%)	2.6 / 2.5 (106%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
18th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	0.5	-0.5	-100%		-0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
11th Feb '23	UFC 284	4.25	0.6	15%		0.3 / 3.25 (10%)	0.3 / 1 (30%)
4th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	1.02	-0.2	-16%	-0.5 / 0.52 (-100%)	0.4 / 0.5 (71%)
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	3.5	0.6	17%	-0.1 / 1 (-12%)	0.7 / 2.5 (29%)
14th Jan '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	3.32	1.9	57%	1.4 / 1.5 (93%)	-0.1 / 1.32 (-11%)	0.6 / 0.5 (129%)
5th Nov '22	UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos	4.25	-1.5	-36%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	-1.3 / 1.25 (-100%)	1.7 / 1 (174%)
29th Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen	4.75	-3.9	-81%		-3.9 / 4.75 (-81%)
22nd Oct '22	UFC 280	3.5	-3.5	-100%		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
15th Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo	5	2.7	53%	0.8 / 1 (76%)	1.9 / 4 (48%)
1st Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan	9.8	-0.8	-8%	-1.0 / 3 (-33%)	0.2 / 6.8 (3%)
21st Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 9	2	-0.5	-24%	-0.5 / 2 (-24%)
17th Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song	6	3.4	57%			3.4 / 6 (57%)
13th Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 8	7.5	-1.7	-23%	0.8 / 5 (16%)		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
10th Sep '22	UFC 279	13	6.3	49%	6.0 / 5 (121%)	0.3 / 8 (4%)
6th Sep '22	DWCS 2022: Week 7	5	-0.7	-14%	-0.7 / 5 (-14%)
3rd Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	14	10.0	71%		-4.0 / 4 (-100%)	14.0 / 10 (140%)
31st Aug '22	DWCS 2022: Week 6	2.5	3.1	123%	3.1 / 2.5 (123%)
20th Aug '22	UFC 278	20	-12.5	-62%	-3.6 / 10 (-36%)	-3.8 / 5 (-77%)	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)

Winning Events: 10 (45%)
Losing Events: 12 (55%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.75 units
Most Staked On One Event: 20.00 units
Best Event: 10.00 units
Worst Event: -12.47 units
Average Event: -0.09 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 13.08
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -12.47

Jaedon : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	51.11	-2.5	-5%	-5.3 / 14.2 (-38%)		-1.4 / 5 (-28%)	5 / 4 (56%)	-0.28
2022	97.3	0.5	0%	2.9 / 35.5 (8%)		10.7 / 25.5 (42%)	5 / 8 (38%)	0.04

Jaedon : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Jaedon : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	131.41	-2.2	-2%	-5.2 / 35.2 (-15%)	-8.9 / 68.21 (-13%)	11.8 / 28 (42%)
Other	17	0.2	1%	2.7 / 14.5 (19%)		-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)

Jaedon : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	12 (26%)	7	58 %	13.40	-6.49	-0.54	-48%
Slight Favorites	11 (24%)	8	73 %	10.28	1.72	0.16	17%
Slight Underdogs	17 (37%)	9	53 %	20.50	4.90	0.29	24%
Big Underdogs	6 (13%)	2	33 %	5.52	-2.59	-0.43	-47%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	11 (24%)	5	45 %	13.92	-4.58	-0.42	-33%
Co-Main Event	5 (11%)	5	100 %	3.50	1.93	0.39	55%
Position 3-5	18 (39%)	11	61 %	19.18	3.88	0.22	20%
6+ (Undercard)	12 (26%)	5	42 %	13.10	-3.68	-0.31	-28%

Jaedon : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	5 (11%)		0 %	4.52	-4.52	-0.90	-100%
Light Heavy	8 (17%)	7	88 %	7.68	4.93	0.62	64%
Middleweight	4 (9%)	4	100 %	3.00	2.03	0.51	68%
Welterweight	6 (13%)	4	67 %	8.90	1.46	0.24	16%
Lightweight	4 (9%)	2	50 %	3.00	-0.38	-0.09	-13%
Featherweight	2 (4%)	2	100 %	1.00	1.33	0.67	133%
Bantamweight	8 (17%)	4	50 %	11.92	-1.26	-0.16	-11%
Flyweight	4 (9%)		0 %	5.68	-5.68	-1.42	-100%

Women's Fights	5 (11%)	3	60 %	4.00	-0.36	-0.07	-9%
Bantamweight	3 (7%)	1	33 %	2.50	-1.50	-0.50	-60%
Flyweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.00	0.15	0.15	15%
Strawweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	0.50	0.99	0.99	198%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	35 (74%)	28	80 %
Slight Favorites	5 (11%)	3	60 %
Slight Underdogs	7 (15%)	3	43 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	47	34	72 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	15 (16%)	9	60 %
50-65%	28 (29%)	16	57 %
35-50%	19 (20%)	3	16 %
<35% chance	34 (35%)	7	21 %
	96	35	36 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	14 (15%)	7	50 %	1.87	2.90	1.43	-0.3 (-2%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	2 (2%)	2	100 %	1.70	1.85	1.58	1.4 (71%)
Goes to Decision	8 (8%)	3	38 %	1.55	2.24	1.31	-4.0 (-50%)
Does not go to Decision	4 (4%)	2	50 %	1.56	2.16	1.23	-0.6 (-15%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X	3 (3%)	1	33 %	1.56	1.78	1.40	-1.6 (-53%)
X Wins by KO	3 (3%)	0	0 %	4.00	6.00	2.40	-3.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub	2 (2%)	2	100 %	2.50	4.60	1.71	4.3 (216%)
X Wins by Decision	3 (3%)	1	33 %	2.29	3.00	2.00	0.0 (0%)
Others	57 (59%)	17	30 %	2.75	50.99	1.17	-16.2 (-28%)
	96	35	36 %	2.29			-19.9 (-21%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Jaedon 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
20th Aug	UFC 278	20	-12.5	-62%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$875.29
31st Aug	DWCS 2022: Week 6	2.5	3.1	123%		$8.75	$875.29	$902.23
3rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa	14	10.0	71%		$9.02	$902.23	$992.48
6th Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 7	5	-0.7	-14%		$9.92	$992.48	$985.77
10th Sep	UFC 279	13	6.3	49%		$9.86	$985.77	$1,048.16
13th Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 8	7.5	-1.7	-23%		$10.48	$1,048.16	$1,030.35
17th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song	6	3.4	57%		$10.30	$1,030.35	$1,065.73
21st Sep	DWCS 2022: Week 9	2	-0.5	-24%		$10.66	$1,065.73	$1,060.54
1st Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan	9.8	-0.8	-8%		$10.61	$1,060.54	$1,051.79
15th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo	5	2.7	53%		$10.52	$1,051.79	$1,079.85
22nd Oct	UFC 280	3.5	-3.5	-100%		$10.80	$1,079.85	$1,042.05
29th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen	4.75	-3.9	-81%		$10.42	$1,042.05	$1,001.77
5th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos	4.25	-1.5	-36%		$10.02	$1,001.77	$986.66
14th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov	3.32	1.9	57%		$9.87	$986.66	$1,005.26
21st Jan	UFC 283	3.5	0.6	17%		$10.05	$1,005.26	$1,011.32
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	1.02	-0.2	-16%		$10.11	$1,011.32	$1,009.67
11th Feb	UFC 284	4.25	0.6	15%		$10.10	$1,009.67	$1,016.06
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	0.5	-0.5	-100%		$10.16	$1,016.06	$1,010.98
25th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen	5.18	-0.0	-1%		$10.11	$1,010.98	$1,010.67
4th Mar	UFC 285	12.7	1.9	15%		$10.11	$1,010.67	$1,029.88
11th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili	9.497	0.5	5%		$10.30	$1,029.88	$1,034.85
18th Mar	UFC 286	11.143	-7.3	-66%		$10.35	$1,034.85	$959.11

ROI % from starting bank balance: -4.09% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Jaedon : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Mar '23	Nikita Krylov	Ryan Spann	1.60	1.68	Sub, R1 (3:38)
2.	Mar '23	Davey Grant	Raphael Assuncao	1.70	1.42	Sub, R3 (4:43)
3.	Jan '23	Jamahal Hill	Glover Teixeira	1.76	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
4.	Jan '23	Sean Strickland	Nassourdine Imavov	2.00	0.5	U Decision (5 rounds)
5.	Jan '23	Dan Ige	Damon Jackson	1.78	0.5	TKO, R2 (4:13)
6.	Jan '23	Raquel Pennington	Ketlen Vieira	2.00	0.5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Oct '22	Alonzo Menifield	Misha Cirkunov	1.44	0.5	TKO, R1 (1:28)
8.	Oct '22	Jacob Malkoun	Nick Maximov	2.08	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Oct '22	Brendan Allen	Krzysztof Jotko	2.00	1	Sub, R1 (4:17)
10.	Sep '22	Raul Rosas Jr	Mando Gutierrez	1.64	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Sep '22	Brunno Ferreira	Leon Aliu	1.38	0.5	TKO, R1 (1:35)
12.	Sep '22	Daniel Marcos	Brandon Lewis	2.32	2.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Sep '22	Johnny Walker	Ion Cutelaba	2.52	2	Sub, R1 (4:37)
14.	Sep '22	Nate Diaz	Tony Ferguson	2.00	3	Sub, R4 (2:6)
15.	Sep '22	Tereza Bleda	Nayara Maia	1.15	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	Sep '22	Ismael Bonfim	Nariman Abbasov	1.93	1	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Sep '22	Gabriel Bonfim	Trey Waters	1.24	1	Sub, R1 (4:13)
18.	Aug '22	Blake Bilder	Alex Morgan	2.88	0.5	Sub, R1 (3:15)
19.	Aug '22	Viktoriya Dudakova	Maria Silva	2.98	0.5	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Aug '22	Mateusz Rebecki	Rodrigo Lidio	1.39	0.5	Sub, R1 (3:5)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Mar '23	Kamaru Usman	Leon Edwards	1.42	2.4	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
2.	Mar '23	Petr Yan	Merab Dvalishvili	1.40	2.5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
3.	Mar '23	Ciryl Gane	Jon Jones	2.42	1.5	Sub, R1 (2:4)	Yes
4.	Feb '23	Charles Johnson	Ode Osbourne	1.60	1.68	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Feb '23	Derrick Lewis	Sergey Spivak	2.90	0.52	Sub, R1 (3:5)	No
6.	Jan '23	Terrance McKinney	Ismael Bonfim	1.88	0.5	TKO, R2 (2:17)	No
7.	Nov '22	Liudvik Sholinian	Johnny Munoz	3.05	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Oct '22	Trevin Jones	Raoni Barcelos	2.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Oct '22	Julija Stoliarenko	Chelsea Chandler	1.85	1	TKO, R1 (4:15)	No
10.	Sep '22	Roybert Echeverria	Jafel Filho	2.48	0.5	TKO, R3 (1:31)	No
11.	Sep '22	Richard Jacobi	Austen Lane	2.18	0.5	TKO, R1 (4:34)	No
12.	Sep '22	Marnic Mann	Bruna Brasil	2.30	2.5	TKO, R2 (4:33)	No
13.	Sep '22	Jimmy Lawson	Karl Williams	1.44	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	Sep '22	Rodolfo Bellato	Vitor Petrino	2.24	1	TKO, R2 (3:36)	No
15.	Aug '22	Francisco Figueiredo	Amir Albazi	4.60	1	Sub, R1 (4:34)	No
16.	Aug '22	Leonardo Santos	Jared Gordon	3.30	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
17.	Aug '22	Alexander Romanov	Marcin Tybura	1.23	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Aug '22	Yanan Wu	Lucie Pudilova	2.04	1	TKO, R2 (4:4)	No
19.	Aug '22	Jose Aldo	Merab Dvalishvili	2.14	1	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
20.	Aug '22	Kamaru Usman	Leon Edwards	1.27	1	TKO, R5 (4:4)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Jaedon : Progress Chart

Chart

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