|
MMA Handicapper Stats: MMA PROPHET PICKS |
|
MMA PROPHET PICKS : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 25 (54%) Losing Events: 21 (46%)
Average Staked Per Event: 9.12 units Most Staked On One Event: 25.70 units Best Event: 11.60 units Worst Event: -10.38 units Average Event: 0.10 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 7, Units: 27.49 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -17.01 |
MMA PROPHET PICKS : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
178.29 |
-27.0 |
-15% |
-28.4 / 81.46 (-35%) |
|
|
8 / 8 (50%) |
-1.69 |
2022 |
241 |
31.7 |
13% |
16.5 / 120.25 (14%) |
|
|
17 / 13 (57%) |
1.06 |
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MMA PROPHET PICKS : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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MMA PROPHET PICKS : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
390.34 |
-4.2 |
-1% |
-13.1 / 183.26 (-7%) |
8.9 / 207.08 (4%) |
|
Bellator |
6.75 |
1.7 |
26% |
-3.0 / 4.25 (-70%) |
4.7 / 2.5 (189%) |
|
PFL |
11.2 |
8.5 |
76% |
4.6 / 5.7 (80%) |
3.9 / 5.5 (71%) |
|
Other |
11 |
-1.3 |
-12% |
-0.4 / 8.5 (-5%) |
-0.9 / 2.5 (-37%) |
|
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MMA PROPHET PICKS : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
25 (14%) |
15 |
60 % |
38.75 |
-7.40 |
-0.30 |
-19% |
Slight Favorites |
79 (43%) |
47 |
59 % |
93.76 |
2.39 |
0.03 |
3% |
Slight Underdogs |
58 (32%) |
24 |
41 % |
56.45 |
-5.55 |
-0.10 |
-10% |
Big Underdogs |
20 (11%) |
5 |
25 % |
12.75 |
-1.33 |
-0.07 |
-10% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
22 (12%) |
11 |
50 % |
23.05 |
1.09 |
0.05 |
5% |
Co-Main Event |
18 (10%) |
11 |
61 % |
23.50 |
2.04 |
0.11 |
9% |
Position 3-5 |
44 (24%) |
16 |
36 % |
46.70 |
-14.78 |
-0.34 |
-32% |
6+ (Undercard) |
98 (54%) |
53 |
54 % |
108.46 |
-0.24 |
-0.00 |
-0% |
|
MMA PROPHET PICKS : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
16 (9%) |
5 |
31 % |
15.55 |
-4.61 |
-0.29 |
-30% |
Light Heavy |
16 (9%) |
5 |
31 % |
16.75 |
-5.95 |
-0.37 |
-35% |
Middleweight |
23 (13%) |
13 |
57 % |
27.60 |
1.24 |
0.05 |
4% |
Welterweight |
19 (10%) |
10 |
53 % |
20.15 |
1.58 |
0.08 |
8% |
Lightweight |
27 (15%) |
17 |
63 % |
32.55 |
3.43 |
0.13 |
11% |
Featherweight |
17 (9%) |
5 |
29 % |
22.10 |
-9.56 |
-0.56 |
-43% |
Bantamweight |
24 (13%) |
11 |
46 % |
26.75 |
-5.48 |
-0.23 |
-20% |
Flyweight |
10 (5%) |
4 |
40 % |
8.55 |
-1.37 |
-0.14 |
-16% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
30 (16%) |
21 |
70 % |
31.71 |
8.83 |
0.29 |
28% |
Featherweight |
1 (1%) |
|
0 % |
1.53 |
-1.53 |
-1.53 |
-100% |
Bantamweight |
10 (5%) |
5 |
50 % |
9.38 |
-1.79 |
-0.18 |
-19% |
Flyweight |
8 (4%) |
7 |
88 % |
7.50 |
6.25 |
0.78 |
83% |
Strawweight |
11 (6%) |
9 |
82 % |
13.30 |
5.90 |
0.54 |
44% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
12 (5%) |
7 |
58 % |
50-65% |
89 (36%) |
50 |
56 % |
35-50% |
54 (22%) |
28 |
52 % |
<35% chance |
95 (38%) |
18 |
19 % |
|
250 |
103 |
41 % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail MMA PROPHET PICKS 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
11 |
-4.6 |
-42% |
$2 |
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$951.60 |
6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
7.5 |
-0.8 |
-10% |
$2 |
$9.52 |
$951.60 |
$942.21 |
12th Aug |
Bellator 284 |
3.25 |
-0.3 |
-8% |
$2 |
$9.42 |
$942.21 |
$937.71 |
13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
5 |
0.4 |
9% |
$2 |
$9.38 |
$937.71 |
$939.86 |
16th Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 4 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$2 |
$9.40 |
$939.86 |
$928.47 |
20th Aug |
PFL 2022 #9 |
1 |
0.9 |
91% |
$2 |
$9.28 |
$928.47 |
$934.91 |
20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
14.25 |
0.6 |
4% |
$2 |
$9.35 |
$934.91 |
$938.16 |
23rd Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 5 |
1 |
2.2 |
224% |
$2 |
$9.38 |
$938.16 |
$957.17 |
27th Aug |
One FC on Prime 1 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$2 |
$9.57 |
$957.17 |
$945.60 |
31st Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 6 |
2.5 |
-1.0 |
-40% |
$2 |
$9.46 |
$945.60 |
$934.14 |
3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
12.5 |
2.4 |
19% |
$2 |
$9.34 |
$934.14 |
$954.87 |
6th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 7 |
2.5 |
-2.5 |
-100% |
$2 |
$9.55 |
$954.87 |
$929.00 |
10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
15 |
-0.6 |
-4% |
$2 |
$9.29 |
$929.00 |
$921.14 |
17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song |
17 |
3.6 |
21% |
$2 |
$9.21 |
$921.14 |
$952.70 |
21st Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 9 |
1 |
0.7 |
74% |
$2 |
$9.53 |
$952.70 |
$957.75 |
23rd Sep |
Bellator 285 |
1.5 |
-1.5 |
-100% |
$2 |
$9.58 |
$957.75 |
$941.39 |
27th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 10 |
1 |
0.6 |
57% |
$2 |
$9.41 |
$941.39 |
$944.77 |
1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
8.25 |
-3.1 |
-38% |
$2 |
$9.45 |
$944.77 |
$913.25 |
1st Oct |
Bellator 286 |
1 |
4.5 |
450% |
$2 |
$9.13 |
$913.25 |
$952.35 |
15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
8.75 |
-0.7 |
-8% |
$2 |
$9.52 |
$952.35 |
$944.08 |
22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
25.7 |
11.6 |
45% |
$2 |
$9.44 |
$944.08 |
$1,051.58 |
29th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen |
9.5 |
1.5 |
15% |
$2 |
$10.52 |
$1,051.58 |
$1,065.01 |
4th Nov |
Cage Warriors 145 |
1 |
0.6 |
62% |
$2 |
$10.65 |
$1,065.01 |
$1,069.58 |
5th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos |
5.25 |
0.8 |
16% |
$2 |
$10.70 |
$1,069.58 |
$1,076.29 |
12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
18.8 |
4.9 |
26% |
$2 |
$10.76 |
$1,076.29 |
$1,127.22 |
19th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba |
11 |
4.1 |
37% |
$2 |
$11.27 |
$1,127.22 |
$1,171.57 |
25th Nov |
PFL 2022 #10 |
5.5 |
4.0 |
72% |
$2 |
$11.72 |
$1,171.57 |
$1,215.98 |
3rd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland |
16 |
-2.0 |
-12% |
$2 |
$12.16 |
$1,215.98 |
$1,190.01 |
10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
18.25 |
-1.9 |
-10% |
$2 |
$11.90 |
$1,190.01 |
$1,165.60 |
17th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland |
14 |
9.1 |
65% |
$2 |
$11.66 |
$1,165.60 |
$1,269.86 |
14th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov |
12.75 |
-5.7 |
-45% |
$2 |
$12.70 |
$1,269.86 |
$1,195.45 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
15.25 |
0.9 |
6% |
$2 |
$11.95 |
$1,195.45 |
$1,204.60 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
6.5 |
-6.5 |
-100% |
$2 |
$12.05 |
$1,204.60 |
$1,124.30 |
11th Feb |
UFC 284 |
11.25 |
3.5 |
31% |
$2 |
$11.24 |
$1,124.30 |
$1,161.26 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
10.5 |
2.7 |
26% |
$2 |
$11.61 |
$1,161.26 |
$1,190.53 |
25th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen |
9 |
5.6 |
63% |
$2 |
$11.91 |
$1,190.53 |
$1,255.61 |
4th Mar |
UFC 285 |
16.75 |
0.9 |
6% |
$2 |
$12.56 |
$1,255.61 |
$1,265.41 |
11th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili |
16 |
-8.5 |
-53% |
$2 |
$12.65 |
$1,265.41 |
$1,156.28 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
13.15 |
-3.6 |
-27% |
$2 |
$11.56 |
$1,156.28 |
$1,112.87 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
6.81 |
0.9 |
13% |
$2 |
$11.13 |
$1,112.87 |
$1,120.88 |
1st Apr |
PFL 1: 2023 |
2.7 |
1.5 |
56% |
$2 |
$11.21 |
$1,120.88 |
$1,135.70 |
8th Apr |
UFC 287 |
22.32 |
-3.9 |
-17% |
$2 |
$11.36 |
$1,135.70 |
$1,089.40 |
14th Apr |
PFL 3: 2023 |
2 |
2.1 |
105% |
$2 |
$10.89 |
$1,089.40 |
$1,110.28 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
16.18 |
-5.6 |
-35% |
$2 |
$11.10 |
$1,110.28 |
$1,045.77 |
22nd Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes |
16.13 |
-10.4 |
-64% |
$2 |
$10.46 |
$1,045.77 |
$935.22 |
22nd Apr |
Bellator 295 |
1 |
-1.0 |
-100% |
$2 |
$9.35 |
$935.22 |
$923.87 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -7.61% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
MMA PROPHET PICKS : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Apr '23 |
Jeremiah Wells |
Matt Semelsberger |
1.91 |
1.1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
Apr '23 |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
Shane Burgos |
2.05 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Apr '23 |
Joe Pyfer |
Gerald Meerschaert |
1.53 |
1.9 |
TKO, R1 (3:15) |
|
|
4. |
Apr '23 |
Rob Wilkinson |
Thiago Santos |
1.56 |
2.7 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
Mar '23 |
Victor Altamirano |
Vinicius Salvador |
1.95 |
1.05 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
6. |
Mar '23 |
Nate Landwehr |
Austin Lingo |
1.50 |
2 |
Sub, R2 (4:11) |
|
|
7. |
Mar '23 |
Chris Duncan (2) |
Omar Morales |
1.95 |
1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
8. |
Mar '23 |
Lerone Murphy |
Gabriel Santos |
1.65 |
1.55 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
9. |
Mar '23 |
Alexander Volkov |
Alexander Romanov |
2.30 |
1.5 |
TKO, R1 (2:16) |
|
|
10. |
Mar '23 |
Ariane Lipski |
J.J. Aldrich |
4.50 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Mar '23 |
Jon Jones |
Ciryl Gane |
1.65 |
1.5 |
Sub, R1 (2:4) |
|
|
12. |
Feb '23 |
Jasmine Jasudavicius |
Gabriella Fernandes |
2.15 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
13. |
Feb '23 |
Brendan Allen |
Andre Muniz |
2.93 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (4:25) |
|
|
14. |
Feb '23 |
Jasmine Jasudavicius |
Gabriella Fernandes |
2.10 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Feb '23 |
Brendan Allen |
Andre Muniz |
2.70 |
1 |
Sub, R3 (4:25) |
|
|
16. |
Feb '23 |
Erin Blanchfield |
Jessica Andrade |
2.55 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (1:37) |
|
|
17. |
Feb '23 |
Nazim Sadykhov |
Evan Elder |
1.62 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:38) |
|
|
18. |
Feb '23 |
Nazim Sadykhov |
Evan Elder |
1.59 |
1 |
TKO, R3 (0:38) |
|
|
19. |
Feb '23 |
Blake Bilder |
Shane Young |
2.39 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Jan '23 |
Ihor Potieria |
Mauricio Rua |
1.49 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (4:5) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Apr '23 |
Raufeon Stots |
Patrick Mix |
1.98 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (1:20) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Apr '23 |
Karol Rosa |
Norma Dumont |
1.98 |
1.53 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Apr '23 |
Francis Marshall |
William Gomis |
1.51 |
1.95 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Apr '23 |
Danaa Batgerel |
Brady Hiestand |
1.74 |
2.7 |
TKO, R3 (4:21) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Apr '23 |
Rick Glenn |
Christos Giagos |
1.65 |
1.55 |
TKO, R1 (1:35) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Apr '23 |
Curtis Blaydes |
Sergey Pavlovich |
1.65 |
1.55 |
TKO, R1 (3:8) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Apr '23 |
Tanner Boser |
Ion Cutelaba |
2.10 |
1 |
TKO, R1 (2:5) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Apr '23 |
T.J. Brown |
Bill Algeo |
2.68 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (1:40) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Apr '23 |
Lucie Pudilova |
Joselyne Edwards |
1.72 |
1.38 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Apr '23 |
Piera Rodriguez |
Gillian Robertson |
2.05 |
1 |
Sub, R2 (4:21) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Apr '23 |
Chris Gutierrez |
Pedro Munhoz |
1.50 |
2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
12. |
Apr '23 |
Dustin Jacoby |
Azamat Murzakanov |
1.65 |
1.55 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Apr '23 |
Jaqueline Amorim |
Sam Hughes |
1.40 |
2.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Apr '23 |
Yilan Sha |
Steve Garcia |
1.49 |
2.1 |
TKO, R2 (0:36) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Apr '23 |
Raul Rosas Jr |
Christian Rodriguez |
1.43 |
2.3 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Apr '23 |
Chris Curtis |
Kelvin Gastelum |
1.83 |
1.2 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Mar '23 |
Preston Parsons |
Trevin Giles |
1.91 |
1.1 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Mar '23 |
Lukasz Brzeski |
Karl Williams |
3.10 |
0.5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Mar '23 |
Tyson Nam |
Bruno Silva |
2.65 |
0.5 |
Sub, R2 (1:23) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Mar '23 |
Ryan Spann |
Nikita Krylov |
2.61 |
0.5 |
Sub, R1 (3:38) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
MMA PROPHET PICKS : Progress Chart |
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