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Total MMA Handicappers: 6365
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2352
 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: GIll Billy

GIll Billy (Gillbillyjr)
Mixed Martial Arts Management - GIll Billy

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 31 (37%) Right 22 (51%) Right 7 (25%) Right 2 (17%)
Wrong 52 (63%) Wrong 21 (49%) Wrong 21 (75%) Wrong 10 (83%)
Avg Odds 2.68 Avg Odds 2.21 Avg Odds 3.14 Avg Odds 4.76
Units Bet 109.5 Units Bet 74.4 Units Bet 26.1 Units Bet 9.0
Avg Bet 1.32 Avg Bet 1.73 Avg Bet 0.93 Avg Bet 0.75
Units Profit 5.61 Units Profit 12.82 Units Profit -5.69 Units Profit -1.52
ROI % 5% ROI % 17% ROI % -22% ROI % -17%
View Handicapper's Profile

GIll Billy : Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
19th Aug '23 UFC 292 4 -4.0 -100% -4.0 / 4 (-100%)
5th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 9.5 -6.5 -68% -6.0 / 6 (-100%) 2.0 / 1 (205%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)
4th Mar '23 UFC 285 15 13.2 88% 13.2 / 15 (88%)
11th Feb '23 UFC 284 8 4.9 61% 2.4 / 4.5 (52%) 2.5 / 3.5 (71%)
20th Aug '22 UFC 278 14.9 7.4 50% 8.1 / 10.4 (78%) -0.8 / 4.5 (-17%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 25.3 -11.8 -47% -5.8 / 18 (-32%) -1.0 / 2.4 (-43%) -4.9 / 4.9 (-100%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 12.2 1.4 12% 1.9 / 7.5 (25%) -0.4 / 4.7 (-9%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 2.1 5.4 256% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 5.9 / 1.6 (367%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 18.5 -4.5 -24% -0.9 / 13 (-7%) -3.5 / 5.5 (-64%)


Winning Events: 5 (56%)
Losing Events: 4 (44%)

Average Staked Per Event: 12.17 units
Most Staked On One Event: 25.30 units
Best Event: 13.25 units
Worst Event: -11.78 units
Average Event: 0.62 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 25.49
Max Losing Streak: Events: 2, Units: -11.78

GIll Billy : Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2023 36.5 7.7 21% 9.6 / 25.5 (38%) -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) 2 / 2 (50%) 1.91
2022 73 -2.1 -3% 3.2 / 48.9 (7%) 1.0 / 6.5 (15%) 3 / 2 (60%) -0.41

GIll Billy : Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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GIll Billy : Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 109.5 5.6 5% 12.8 / 74.4 (17%) -5.7 / 26.1 (-22%) -1.5 / 9 (-17%)

GIll Billy : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 6 (14%) 6 100 % 10.50 5.18 0.86 49%
Slight Favorites 15 (34%) 11 73 % 39.50 15.36 1.02 39%
Slight Underdogs 10 (23%) 3 30 % 9.50 -2.85 -0.28 -30%
Big Underdogs 13 (30%) 3 23 % 14.90 -4.87 -0.37 -33%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 4 (9%) 3 75 % 21.00 11.15 2.79 53%
Co-Main Event 4 (9%) 1 25 % 6.00 -2.94 -0.73 -49%
Position 3-5 11 (25%) 5 45 % 13.50 0.41 0.04 3%
6+ (Undercard) 25 (57%) 14 56 % 33.90 4.20 0.17 12%

GIll Billy : Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (7%) 3 100 % 16.00 13.94 4.65 87%
Light Heavy 2 (5%) 0 % 1.50 -1.50 -0.75 -100%
Middleweight 3 (7%) 1 33 % 3.00 -1.00 -0.33 -33%
Welterweight 9 (20%) 5 56 % 16.50 -1.93 -0.21 -12%
Lightweight 7 (16%) 5 71 % 8.00 5.86 0.84 73%
Featherweight 6 (14%) 3 50 % 7.50 0.93 0.15 12%
Bantamweight 3 (7%) 2 67 % 5.50 3.05 1.02 55%
Flyweight 3 (7%) 1 33 % 4.40 -1.52 -0.51 -35%
               
Women's Fights 8 (18%) 3 38 % 12.00 -5.00 -0.63 -42%
Bantamweight 4 (9%) 2 50 % 9.00 -2.96 -0.74 -33%
Flyweight 3 (7%) 1 33 % 2.50 -1.55 -0.52 -62%
Strawweight 1 (2%) 0 % 0.50 -0.50 -0.50 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 24 (63%) 19 79 %
Slight Favorites 9 (24%) 4 44 %
Slight Underdogs 4 (11%) 1 25 %
Big Underdogs 1 (3%) 1 100 %
38 25 66 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 2 (6%) 2 100 %
50-65% 5 (14%) 3 60 %
35-50% 7 (20%) 1 14 %
<35% chance 21 (60%) 4 19 %
35 10 29 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (6%) 2 100 % 2.80 6.00Pick was correct 1.83Pick was correct 5.8 (291%)
Goes to Decision 1 (3%) 1 100 % 2.01 2.01Pick was correct 2.01Pick was correct 1.0 (101%)
Does not go to Decision 3 (9%) 1 33 % 1.68 1.79Pick was incorrect 1.53Pick was correct -1.5 (-49%)
X Wins by KO 10 (29%) 1 10 % 3.35 13.00Pick was incorrect 1.87Pick was correct -8.1 (-81%)
X Wins by Sub 8 (23%) 1 13 % 4.90 11.00Pick was incorrect 2.55Pick was incorrect -4.0 (-51%)
X Wins by Decision 2 (6%) 1 50 % 3.48 4.05Pick was incorrect 3.05Pick was correct 1.0 (52%)
X Wins in Round X 6 (17%) 1 17 % 3.24 15.00Pick was incorrect 2.00Pick was incorrect -1.4 (-24%)
Others 3 (9%) 2 67 % 1.86 3.00Pick was incorrect 1.36Pick was correct 0.2 (6%)
35 10 29 % 3.00     -7.0 (-20%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail GIll Billy 's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
2nd Jul UFC 276 18.5 -4.5 -24% $10.00 $1,000.00 $955.25
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 2.1 5.4 256% $9.55 $955.25 $1,006.61
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 12.2 1.4 12% $10.07 $1,006.61 $1,021.15
30th Jul UFC 277 25.3 -11.8 -47% $10.21 $1,021.15 $900.86
20th Aug UFC 278 14.9 7.4 50% $9.01 $900.86 $967.34
11th Feb UFC 284 8 4.9 61% $9.67 $967.34 $1,014.35
4th Mar UFC 285 15 13.2 88% $10.14 $1,014.35 $1,148.76
5th Aug UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 9.5 -6.5 -68% $11.49 $1,148.76 $1,074.66
19th Aug UFC 292 4 -4.0 -100% $10.75 $1,074.66 $1,031.67


ROI % from starting bank balance: 3.17% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

GIll Billy : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Mar '23 Jon Jones Ciryl Gane 1.85 5 Sub, R1 (2:4) MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '23 Jon Jones Ciryl Gane 1.90 10 Sub, R1 (2:4) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '23 Joshua Culibao Melsik Bagdasaryan 1.90 2 Sub, R2 (2:2) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '23 Yair Rodriguez Josh Emmett 1.53 2 Sub, R2 (4:19) MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '22 Leon Edwards Kamaru Usman 3.90 1 TKO, R5 (4:4) MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '22 Merab Dvalishvili Jose Aldo 1.80 2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '22 Lucie Pudilova Yanan Wu 1.87 2 TKO, R2 (4:4) MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '22 Ange Loosa A.J. Fletcher 2.35 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '22 Qileng Aori Jay Perrin 1.65 3 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '22 Alexandre Pantoja Alex Perez 1.44 2 Sub, R1 (1:31) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '22 Sergey Pavlovich Derrick Lewis 1.69 1 TKO, R1 (0:55) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '22 Drew Dober Rafael Alves 1.56 3 TKO, R3 (1:30) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '22 Drakkar Klose Rafa Garcia 1.42 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '22 Orion Cosce Mike Mathetha 1.49 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '22 Victoria Leonardo Mandy Bohm 1.91 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '22 Nicolas Dalby Claudio Silva 1.42 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '22 Ludovit Klein Mason Jones 4.05 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '22 Marc Diakiese Damir Hadzovic 4.10 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '22 Jonathan Pearce Makwan Amirkhani 1.57 1 TKO, R2 (4:10) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '22 Alex Pereira Sean Strickland 2.00 1 TKO, R1 (2:36) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Aug '23 Gavin Tucker Diego Lopes 2.40 0.5 Sub, R1 (1:38) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Aug '23 Raoni Barcelos Kyler Phillips 2.60 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Aug '23 Jeremiah Wells Carlston Harris 1.77 5 Sub, R3 (1:50) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '23 Elise Reed Loma Lookboonmee 3.90 0.5 Sub, R2 (0:44) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '22 Luke Rockhold Paulo Costa 4.70 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '22 Francisco Figueiredo Amir Albazi 4.75 0.4 Sub, R1 (4:34) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jul '22 Matt Semelsberger Alex Morono 1.65 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jul '22 Kai Kara-France Brandon Moreno 2.60 2 TKO, R3 (4:34) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '22 Anthony Smith Magomed Ankalaev 4.40 1 TKO, R2 (3:9) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '22 Ji Yeon Kim Joselyne Edwards 1.95 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '22 Julianna Pena Amanda Nunes 3.45 5 U Decision (5 rounds) Yes MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '22 Kyle Nelson Jai Herbert 3.30 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '22 Charles Rosa Nathaniel Wood 5.05 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '22 Jordan Leavitt Paddy Pimblett 3.65 0.5 Sub, R2 (2:46) Yes MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '22 Alexander Gustafsson Nikita Krylov 2.55 0.5 TKO, R1 (1:7) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '22 Hannah Goldy Molly McCann 4.75 1 TKO, R1 (3:52) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '22 Max Holloway Alex Volkanovski 2.50 1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '22 Robbie Lawler Bryan Barberena 1.87 2 TKO, R2 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '22 Brad Tavares Dricus Du Plessis 2.20 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '22 Gabriel Green Ian Garry 2.50 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

GIll Billy : Progress Chart
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