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Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2210

 
 
 
   
 

MMA Handicapper Stats: third_ai_

third_ai_ (third_ai_)


MMA MHandicapper - third_ai_

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 67 (77%) Right 67 (77%) Right 0 (nan%) Right 0 (nan%)
Wrong 20 (23%) Wrong 20 (23%) Wrong 0 (nan%) Wrong 0 (nan%)
Avg Odds 1.53 Avg Odds 1.53 Avg Odds nan Avg Odds nan
Units Bet 435.0 Units Bet 435.0 Units Bet 0.0 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 5.00 Avg Bet 5.00 Avg Bet nan Avg Bet nan
Units Profit 77.10 Units Profit 77.10 Units Profit 0.00 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % 18% ROI % 18% ROI % nan% ROI % nan%
View Handicapper's Profile

third_ai_ : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
18th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 10 6.2 62% 6.2 / 10 (62%)
11th Nov '23 UFC 295 10 4.2 42% 4.2 / 10 (42%)
4th Nov '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 10 4.7 47% 4.7 / 10 (47%)
21st Oct '23 UFC 294 10 4.2 42% 4.2 / 10 (42%)
14th Oct '23 UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
23rd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 10 5.2 52% 5.2 / 10 (52%)
16th Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 10 -1.6 -16% -1.6 / 10 (-16%)
9th Sep '23 UFC 293 15 -0.6 -4% -0.6 / 15 (-4%)
2nd Sep '23 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 10 6.2 62% 6.2 / 10 (62%)
19th Aug '23 UFC 292 10 4.6 46% 4.6 / 10 (46%)
12th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 15 -7.8 -52% -7.8 / 15 (-52%)
5th Aug '23 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 25 -9.5 -38% -9.5 / 25 (-38%)
29th Jul '23 UFC 291 5 3.4 67% 3.4 / 5 (67%)
22nd Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 25 6.4 26% 6.4 / 25 (26%)
15th Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 5 2.4 48% 2.4 / 5 (48%)
8th Jul '23 UFC 290 15 9.0 60% 9.0 / 15 (60%)
1st Jul '23 UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov 10 4.5 45% 4.5 / 10 (45%)
17th Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier 10 -3.0 -30% -3.0 / 10 (-30%)
3rd Jun '23 UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
20th May '23 UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 20 10.3 51% 10.3 / 20 (51%)
6th May '23 UFC 288 20 3.0 15% 3.0 / 20 (15%)
15th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 10 -3.0 -30% -3.0 / 10 (-30%)
25th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
18th Mar '23 UFC 286 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
18th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield 10 4.4 44% 4.4 / 10 (44%)
4th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak 5 2.2 44% 2.2 / 5 (44%)
21st Jan '23 UFC 283 10 5.9 59% 5.9 / 10 (59%)
3rd Dec '22 UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 15 -0.3 -2% -0.3 / 15 (-2%)
19th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba 10 6.5 65% 6.5 / 10 (65%)
5th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 5 2.1 41% 2.1 / 5 (41%)
22nd Oct '22 UFC 280 15 0.6 4% 0.6 / 15 (4%)
1st Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 10 5.1 51% 5.1 / 10 (51%)
17th Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 5 3.1 62% 3.1 / 5 (62%)
10th Sep '22 UFC 279 10 -1.6 -16% -1.6 / 10 (-16%)
20th Aug '22 UFC 278 5 2.7 53% 2.7 / 5 (53%)
13th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 5 2.0 40% 2.0 / 5 (40%)
6th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 5 2.0 40% 2.0 / 5 (40%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 10 6.5 65% 6.5 / 10 (65%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 5 -5.0 -100% -5.0 / 5 (-100%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 10 -2.2 -22% -2.2 / 10 (-22%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 5 2.5 50% 2.5 / 5 (50%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 10 6.3 63% 6.3 / 10 (63%)
25th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 5 2.9 57% 2.9 / 5 (57%)
18th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 5 3.1 62% 3.1 / 5 (62%)


Winning Events: 30 (68%)
Losing Events: 14 (32%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.89 units
Most Staked On One Event: 25.00 units
Best Event: 10.25 units
Worst Event: -9.50 units
Average Event: 1.75 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 25.70
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -17.30

third_ai_ : Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2023 300 41.1 14% 41.1 / 300 (14%) 17 / 10 (63%) 1.52
2022 135 36.1 27% 36.1 / 135 (27%) 13 / 4 (76%) 2.12

third_ai_ : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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third_ai_ : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 435 77.1 18% 77.1 / 435 (18%)

third_ai_ : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 51 (59%) 41 80 % 255.00 43.70 0.86 17%
Slight Favorites 36 (41%) 26 72 % 180.00 33.40 0.93 19%
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 9 (10%) 5 56 % 45.00 -6.55 -0.73 -15%
Co-Main Event 5 (6%) 4 80 % 25.00 5.25 1.05 21%
Position 3-5 26 (30%) 22 85 % 130.00 38.95 1.50 30%
6+ (Undercard) 47 (54%) 36 77 % 235.00 39.45 0.84 17%

third_ai_ : Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 10 (11%) 9 90 % 50.00 16.80 1.68 34%
Light Heavy 7 (8%) 6 86 % 35.00 9.90 1.41 28%
Middleweight 8 (9%) 5 63 % 40.00 -2.10 -0.26 -5%
Welterweight 15 (17%) 12 80 % 75.00 17.25 1.15 23%
Lightweight 15 (17%) 13 87 % 75.00 25.95 1.73 35%
Featherweight 13 (15%) 8 62 % 65.00 -4.75 -0.37 -7%
Bantamweight 13 (15%) 10 77 % 65.00 12.10 0.93 19%
Flyweight 6 (7%) 4 67 % 30.00 1.95 0.33 7%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
50-65% 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
35-50% 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
<35% chance 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
0 0 nan % nan     0.0 (nan%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail third_ai_ 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
18th Jun UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 5 3.1 62% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,031.00
25th Jun UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 5 2.9 57% $10.31 $1,031.00 $1,060.38
2nd Jul UFC 276 10 6.3 63% $10.60 $1,060.38 $1,127.72
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 5 2.5 50% $11.28 $1,127.72 $1,155.91
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 10 -2.2 -22% $11.56 $1,155.91 $1,129.90
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 5 -5.0 -100% $11.30 $1,129.90 $1,073.41
30th Jul UFC 277 10 6.5 65% $10.73 $1,073.41 $1,143.18
6th Aug UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 5 2.0 40% $11.43 $1,143.18 $1,166.04
13th Aug UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 5 2.0 40% $11.66 $1,166.04 $1,189.36
20th Aug UFC 278 5 2.7 53% $11.89 $1,189.36 $1,220.88
10th Sep UFC 279 10 -1.6 -16% $12.21 $1,220.88 $1,201.35
17th Sep UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 5 3.1 62% $12.01 $1,201.35 $1,238.59
1st Oct UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 10 5.1 51% $12.39 $1,238.59 $1,301.14
22nd Oct UFC 280 15 0.6 4% $13.01 $1,301.14 $1,308.95
5th Nov UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 5 2.1 41% $13.09 $1,308.95 $1,335.78
19th Nov UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba 10 6.5 65% $13.36 $1,335.78 $1,421.94
3rd Dec UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 15 -0.3 -2% $14.22 $1,421.94 $1,417.67
21st Jan UFC 283 10 5.9 59% $14.18 $1,417.67 $1,500.61
4th Feb UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak 5 2.2 44% $15.01 $1,500.61 $1,533.62
18th Feb UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield 10 4.4 44% $15.34 $1,533.62 $1,601.10
18th Mar UFC 286 5 -5.0 -100% $16.01 $1,601.10 $1,521.05
25th Mar UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen 5 -5.0 -100% $15.21 $1,521.05 $1,444.99
15th Apr UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 10 -3.0 -30% $14.45 $1,444.99 $1,401.64
6th May UFC 288 20 3.0 15% $14.02 $1,401.64 $1,443.69
20th May UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern 20 10.3 51% $14.44 $1,443.69 $1,591.67
3rd Jun UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi 5 -5.0 -100% $15.92 $1,591.67 $1,512.09
17th Jun UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier 10 -3.0 -30% $15.12 $1,512.09 $1,466.73
1st Jul UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov 10 4.5 45% $14.67 $1,466.73 $1,532.73
8th Jul UFC 290 15 9.0 60% $15.33 $1,532.73 $1,670.68
15th Jul UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva 5 2.4 48% $16.71 $1,670.68 $1,710.77
22nd Jul UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura 25 6.4 26% $17.11 $1,710.77 $1,821.11
29th Jul UFC 291 5 3.4 67% $18.21 $1,821.11 $1,882.12
5th Aug UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font 25 -9.5 -38% $18.82 $1,882.12 $1,703.32
12th Aug UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos 15 -7.8 -52% $17.03 $1,703.32 $1,570.46
19th Aug UFC 292 10 4.6 46% $15.70 $1,570.46 $1,642.71
2nd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac 10 6.2 62% $16.43 $1,642.71 $1,744.56
9th Sep UFC 293 15 -0.6 -4% $17.45 $1,744.56 $1,734.09
16th Sep UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II 10 -1.6 -16% $17.34 $1,734.09 $1,705.48
23rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot 10 5.2 52% $17.05 $1,705.48 $1,793.31
14th Oct UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza 5 -5.0 -100% $17.93 $1,793.31 $1,703.64
21st Oct UFC 294 10 4.2 42% $17.04 $1,703.64 $1,775.20
4th Nov UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida 10 4.7 47% $17.75 $1,775.20 $1,857.74
11th Nov UFC 295 10 4.2 42% $18.58 $1,857.74 $1,936.70
18th Nov UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig 10 6.2 62% $19.37 $1,936.70 $2,055.80


ROI % from starting bank balance: 105.58% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

third_ai_ : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Nov '23 Jose Johnson Chad Anheliger 1.50 5 Sub, R3 (4:49) MMA Bookmaker
2. Nov '23 Rafael Estevam Charles Johnson 1.73 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Nov '23 Benoit Saint-Denis Matt Frevola 1.45 5 TKO, R1 (1:31) MMA Bookmaker
4. Nov '23 Jamall Emmers Dennis Buzukja 1.40 5 TKO, R1 (0:49) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '23 Vitor Petrino Modestas Bukauskas 1.40 5 TKO, R2 (1:3) MMA Bookmaker
6. Nov '23 Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira Don'tale Mayes 1.53 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
7. Oct '23 Said Nurmagomedov Muin Gafurov 1.44 5 Sub, R1 (1:13) MMA Bookmaker
8. Oct '23 Islam Makhachev Alex Volkanovski 1.40 5 TKO, R1 (3:6) MMA Bookmaker
9. Sep '23 Bryan Battle A.J. Fletcher 1.53 5 Sub, R2 (4:32) MMA Bookmaker
10. Sep '23 Bryce Mitchell Dan Ige 1.50 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Sep '23 Jack Della Maddalena Kevin Holland 1.67 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Sep '23 Justin Tafa Austen Lane 1.44 5 TKO, R1 (1:22) MMA Bookmaker
13. Sep '23 Alexander Volkov Tai Tuivasa 1.44 5 Sub, R2 (4:37) MMA Bookmaker
14. Sep '23 Ange Loosa Rhys McKee 1.62 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
15. Sep '23 Benoit Saint-Denis Thiago Moises 1.62 5 TKO, R2 (4:44) MMA Bookmaker
16. Aug '23 Mario Bautista DaMon Blackshear 1.48 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Aug '23 Andre Petroski Gerald Meerschaert 1.44 5 Split Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '23 Martin Buday Josh Parisian 1.44 5 Sub, R1 (4:11) MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '23 Sean Woodson Dennis Buzukja 1.53 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
20. Aug '23 Billy Quarantillo Damon Jackson 1.57 5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Oct '23 Sodiq Yusuff Edson Barboza 1.57 5 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Sep '23 Fernando Padilla Kyle Nelson 1.40 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Sep '23 Shane Young Gabriel Miranda 1.63 5 Sub, R1 (0:59) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Aug '23 Tafon Nchukwi AJ Dobson 1.73 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Aug '23 Hakeem Dawodu Cub Swanson 1.44 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Aug '23 Jake Hadley Cody Durden 1.50 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Aug '23 Ignacio Bahamondes Ludovit Klein 1.44 5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '23 Kennedy Nzechukwu Dustin Jacoby 1.63 5 TKO, R1 (1:22) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jul '23 Andre Muniz Paul Craig 1.48 5 TKO, R2 (4:40) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Jun '23 Christian Quinonez Kyung Ho Kang 1.67 5 Sub, R1 (2:25) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Jun '23 Luan Lacerda DaMon Blackshear 1.67 5 TKO, R2 (3:54) No MMA Bookmaker
12. May '23 Drew Dober Matt Frevola 1.44 5 TKO, R1 (4:8) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Apr '23 Matheus Nicolau Brandon Royval 1.50 5 TKO, R1 (2:9) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Mar '23 Tucker Lutz Daniel Pineda 1.40 5 Sub, R2 (2:50) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Mar '23 Kamaru Usman Leon Edwards 1.40 5 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Dec '22 Kyle Daukaus Eryk Anders 1.44 5 TKO, R2 (2:45) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '22 Sean Brady Belal Muhammad 1.80 5 TKO, R2 (4:47) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Sep '22 Tony Ferguson Nate Diaz 1.60 5 Sub, R4 (2:6) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '22 Tom Aspinall Curtis Blaydes 1.73 5 TKO, R1 (0:15) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '22 Jack Shore Ricky Simon 1.62 5 Sub, R2 (3:28) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

third_ai_ : Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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