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MMA Handicapper Stats: third_ai_ |
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third_ai_ : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 56 (62%)
Losing Events: 35 (38%)
Average Staked Per Event: 10.00 units
Most Staked On One Event: 25.00 units
Best Event: 11.90 units
Worst Event: -15.00 units
Average Event: 0.92 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 31.10
Max Losing Streak: Events: 7, Units: -48.75 |
third_ai_ : Year on Year Profit |
| Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
| 2025 |
100 |
-34.1 |
-34% |
-34.1 / 100 (-34%) |
|
|
2 / 8 (20%) |
-3.41 |
| 2024 |
345 |
40.4 |
12% |
40.4 / 345 (12%) |
|
|
23 / 12 (66%) |
1.16 |
| 2023 |
330 |
41.7 |
13% |
41.7 / 330 (13%) |
|
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18 / 11 (62%) |
1.44 |
| 2022 |
135 |
36.1 |
27% |
36.1 / 135 (27%) |
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13 / 4 (76%) |
2.12 |
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third_ai_ : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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third_ai_ : Profit / Loss by Organization |
| Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
|
UFC |
910 |
84.1 |
9% |
84.1 / 910 (9%) |
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third_ai_ : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Big Favorites |
100 (57%) |
75 |
75 % |
500.00 |
44.55 |
0.45 |
9% |
| Slight Favorites |
69 (39%) |
46 |
67 % |
345.00 |
29.85 |
0.43 |
9% |
| Slight Underdogs |
4 (2%) |
2 |
50 % |
20.00 |
4.65 |
1.16 |
23% |
| Big Underdogs |
2 (1%) |
1 |
50 % |
10.00 |
5.00 |
2.50 |
50% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Main Event |
19 (11%) |
13 |
68 % |
95.00 |
9.55 |
0.50 |
10% |
| Co-Main Event |
13 (7%) |
11 |
85 % |
65.00 |
25.10 |
1.93 |
39% |
| Position 3-5 |
53 (30%) |
37 |
70 % |
265.00 |
17.75 |
0.33 |
7% |
| 6+ (Undercard) |
90 (51%) |
63 |
70 % |
450.00 |
31.65 |
0.35 |
7% |
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third_ai_ : Profit by Weight Class |
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
| Heavyweight |
13 (7%) |
11 |
85 % |
65.00 |
15.80 |
1.22 |
24% |
| Light Heavy |
12 (7%) |
8 |
67 % |
60.00 |
-0.60 |
-0.05 |
-1% |
| Middleweight |
23 (13%) |
15 |
65 % |
115.00 |
-3.70 |
-0.16 |
-3% |
| Welterweight |
31 (18%) |
23 |
74 % |
155.00 |
31.10 |
1.00 |
20% |
| Lightweight |
25 (14%) |
22 |
88 % |
125.00 |
44.60 |
1.78 |
36% |
| Featherweight |
28 (16%) |
18 |
64 % |
140.00 |
4.30 |
0.15 |
3% |
| Bantamweight |
27 (15%) |
16 |
59 % |
135.00 |
-12.65 |
-0.47 |
-9% |
| Flyweight |
16 (9%) |
11 |
69 % |
80.00 |
5.20 |
0.33 |
7% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
| |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
| >65% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 50-65% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| 35-50% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
| <35% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
| Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
nan |
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0.0 (nan%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.
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Tail third_ai_ 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets for the last year, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows... To view all time stats, click here.
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
| Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
| 18th May |
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy |
20 |
4.0 |
20% |
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$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,040.00 |
| 1st Jun |
UFC 302 |
5 |
2.0 |
40% |
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$10.40 |
$1,040.00 |
$1,060.80 |
| 8th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
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$10.61 |
$1,060.80 |
$1,007.76 |
| 15th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira |
5 |
2.7 |
53% |
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$10.08 |
$1,007.76 |
$1,034.47 |
| 29th Jun |
UFC 303 |
5 |
2.0 |
40% |
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$10.34 |
$1,034.47 |
$1,055.16 |
| 13th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez |
10 |
-10.0 |
-100% |
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$10.55 |
$1,055.16 |
$949.64 |
| 20th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba |
10 |
6.0 |
60% |
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$9.50 |
$949.64 |
$1,006.62 |
| 3rd Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov |
15 |
6.7 |
45% |
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$10.07 |
$1,006.62 |
$1,074.06 |
| 10th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
$2 |
$10.74 |
$1,074.06 |
$1,018.36 |
| 24th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho |
5 |
2.0 |
40% |
$2 |
$10.18 |
$1,018.36 |
$1,036.73 |
| 7th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady |
15 |
8.8 |
59% |
$2 |
$10.37 |
$1,036.73 |
$1,125.96 |
| 14th Sep |
UFC 306 |
5 |
2.0 |
40% |
$2 |
$11.26 |
$1,125.96 |
$1,146.48 |
| 5th Oct |
UFC 307 |
15 |
-7.5 |
-50% |
$2 |
$11.46 |
$1,146.48 |
$1,058.49 |
| 12th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira |
5 |
2.5 |
50% |
$2 |
$10.58 |
$1,058.49 |
$1,082.95 |
| 19th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Hernandez |
5 |
2.5 |
50% |
$2 |
$10.83 |
$1,082.95 |
$1,108.03 |
| 26th Oct |
UFC 308 |
25 |
11.9 |
48% |
$2 |
$11.08 |
$1,108.03 |
$1,237.88 |
| 2nd Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
$2 |
$12.38 |
$1,237.88 |
$1,173.99 |
| 9th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates |
10 |
-1.9 |
-19% |
$2 |
$11.74 |
$1,173.99 |
$1,149.68 |
| 16th Nov |
UFC 309 |
10 |
4.0 |
40% |
$2 |
$11.50 |
$1,149.68 |
$1,193.67 |
| 7th Dec |
UFC 310 |
10 |
5.1 |
51% |
$2 |
$11.94 |
$1,193.67 |
$1,253.14 |
| 14th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley |
5 |
2.5 |
50% |
$2 |
$12.53 |
$1,253.14 |
$1,282.47 |
| 11th Jan |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas II |
15 |
-15.0 |
-100% |
$2 |
$12.82 |
$1,282.47 |
$1,088.10 |
| 18th Jan |
UFC 311 |
10 |
-3.0 |
-30% |
$2 |
$10.88 |
$1,088.10 |
$1,053.45 |
| 1st Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov |
10 |
-3.0 |
-30% |
$2 |
$10.53 |
$1,053.45 |
$1,019.85 |
| 15th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues |
10 |
-2.8 |
-28% |
$2 |
$10.20 |
$1,019.85 |
$989.80 |
| 22nd Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song |
15 |
-15.0 |
-100% |
$2 |
$9.90 |
$989.80 |
$839.33 |
| 8th Mar |
UFC 313 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
$2 |
$8.39 |
$839.33 |
$795.37 |
| 29th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
$2 |
$7.95 |
$795.37 |
$753.60 |
| 5th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy |
15 |
11.5 |
77% |
$2 |
$7.54 |
$753.60 |
$838.26 |
| 10th May |
UFC 315 |
10 |
3.1 |
31% |
$2 |
$8.38 |
$838.26 |
$862.67 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: -13.73% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.
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third_ai_ : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
Last 20 Losses
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Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
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| 1. |
May '25 |
 Brad Katona |
Bekzat Almakhan |
2.38 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:4) |
No |
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| 2. |
Apr '25 |
Gerald Meerschaert |
Brad Tavares |
2.75 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 3. |
Mar '25 |
Carlos Vergara |
Edgar Chairez |
3.25 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (2:30) |
No |
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| 4. |
Mar '25 |
Djorden Santos |
Ozzy Diaz |
1.53 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 5. |
Feb '25 |
Javid Basharat |
Ricky Simon |
1.44 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (3:58) |
No |
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| 6. |
Feb '25 |
Ibo Aslan |
Ion Cutelaba |
1.57 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (2:51) |
No |
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| 7. |
Feb '25 |
Jean Matsumoto |
Rob Font |
1.67 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 8. |
Feb '25 |
Ismael Bonfim |
Nazim Sadykhov |
1.50 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (5:0) |
No |
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| 9. |
Feb '25 |
Israel Adesanya |
Nassourdine Imavov |
1.57 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (0:30) |
No |
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| 10. |
Jan '25 |
Umar Nurmagomedov |
Merab Dvalishvili |
1.40 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
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| 11. |
Jan '25 |
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov |
Bruno Lopes |
1.40 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 12. |
Jan '25 |
Jose Johnson |
Felipe Bunes |
1.62 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (2:4) |
No |
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| 13. |
Jan '25 |
Uros Medic |
Punahele Soriano |
1.50 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (0:31) |
No |
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| 14. |
Nov '24 |
Cortavious Romious |
Gaston Bolanos |
1.50 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
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| 15. |
Nov '24 |
Caio Machado (2) |
Brendson Ribeiro |
1.67 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
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| 16. |
Oct '24 |
Tim Means |
Court McGee |
1.53 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (3:19) |
No |
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| 17. |
Oct '24 |
Kevin Holland |
Roman Dolidze |
1.67 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (5:0) |
No |
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| 18. |
Aug '24 |
Charalampos Grigoriou |
Toshiomi Kazama |
1.40 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (1:55) |
No |
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| 19. |
Jul '24 |
Joshua Van |
Charles Johnson |
1.50 |
5 |
TKO, R3 (0:20) |
No |
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| 20. |
Jul '24 |
Christian Rodriguez |
Julian Erosa |
1.45 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (4:49) |
No |
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* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.
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