MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 5951
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2210

MMA Handicapper Stats: third_ai_

third_ai_ (third_ai_)

MMA MHandicapper - third_ai_

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	67 (77%)	Right	67 (77%)	Right	0 (nan%)	Right	0 (nan%)
Wrong	20 (23%)	Wrong	20 (23%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)	Wrong	0 (nan%)
Avg Odds	1.53	Avg Odds	1.53	Avg Odds	nan	Avg Odds	nan
Units Bet	435.0	Units Bet	435.0	Units Bet	0.0	Units Bet	0.0
Avg Bet	5.00	Avg Bet	5.00	Avg Bet	nan	Avg Bet	nan
Units Profit	77.10	Units Profit	77.10	Units Profit	0.00	Units Profit	0.00
ROI %	18%	ROI %	18%	ROI %	nan%	ROI %	nan%

third_ai_ : Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
18th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	10	6.2	62%	6.2 / 10 (62%)
11th Nov '23	UFC 295	10	4.2	42%	4.2 / 10 (42%)
4th Nov '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	10	4.7	47%	4.7 / 10 (47%)
21st Oct '23	UFC 294	10	4.2	42%	4.2 / 10 (42%)
14th Oct '23	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
23rd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	10	5.2	52%	5.2 / 10 (52%)
16th Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	10	-1.6	-16%	-1.6 / 10 (-16%)
9th Sep '23	UFC 293	15	-0.6	-4%	-0.6 / 15 (-4%)
2nd Sep '23	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	10	6.2	62%	6.2 / 10 (62%)
19th Aug '23	UFC 292	10	4.6	46%	4.6 / 10 (46%)
12th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	15	-7.8	-52%	-7.8 / 15 (-52%)
5th Aug '23	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	25	-9.5	-38%	-9.5 / 25 (-38%)
29th Jul '23	UFC 291	5	3.4	67%	3.4 / 5 (67%)
22nd Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	25	6.4	26%	6.4 / 25 (26%)
15th Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	5	2.4	48%	2.4 / 5 (48%)
8th Jul '23	UFC 290	15	9.0	60%	9.0 / 15 (60%)
1st Jul '23	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	10	4.5	45%	4.5 / 10 (45%)
17th Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	10	-3.0	-30%	-3.0 / 10 (-30%)
3rd Jun '23	UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
20th May '23	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	20	10.3	51%	10.3 / 20 (51%)
6th May '23	UFC 288	20	3.0	15%	3.0 / 20 (15%)
15th Apr '23	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	10	-3.0	-30%	-3.0 / 10 (-30%)
25th Mar '23	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
18th Mar '23	UFC 286	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
18th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	10	4.4	44%	4.4 / 10 (44%)
4th Feb '23	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	5	2.2	44%	2.2 / 5 (44%)
21st Jan '23	UFC 283	10	5.9	59%	5.9 / 10 (59%)
3rd Dec '22	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	15	-0.3	-2%	-0.3 / 15 (-2%)
19th Nov '22	UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba	10	6.5	65%	6.5 / 10 (65%)
5th Nov '22	UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos	5	2.1	41%	2.1 / 5 (41%)
22nd Oct '22	UFC 280	15	0.6	4%	0.6 / 15 (4%)
1st Oct '22	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan	10	5.1	51%	5.1 / 10 (51%)
17th Sep '22	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song	5	3.1	62%	3.1 / 5 (62%)
10th Sep '22	UFC 279	10	-1.6	-16%	-1.6 / 10 (-16%)
20th Aug '22	UFC 278	5	2.7	53%	2.7 / 5 (53%)
13th Aug '22	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	5	2.0	40%	2.0 / 5 (40%)
6th Aug '22	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill	5	2.0	40%	2.0 / 5 (40%)
30th Jul '22	UFC 277	10	6.5	65%	6.5 / 10 (65%)
23rd Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	5	-5.0	-100%	-5.0 / 5 (-100%)
16th Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez	10	-2.2	-22%	-2.2 / 10 (-22%)
9th Jul '22	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	5	2.5	50%	2.5 / 5 (50%)
2nd Jul '22	UFC 276	10	6.3	63%	6.3 / 10 (63%)
25th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	5	2.9	57%	2.9 / 5 (57%)
18th Jun '22	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett	5	3.1	62%	3.1 / 5 (62%)

Winning Events: 30 (68%)
Losing Events: 14 (32%)

Average Staked Per Event: 9.89 units
Most Staked On One Event: 25.00 units
Best Event: 10.25 units
Worst Event: -9.50 units
Average Event: 1.75 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 25.70
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -17.30

third_ai_ : Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2023	300	41.1	14%	41.1 / 300 (14%)			17 / 10 (63%)	1.52
2022	135	36.1	27%	36.1 / 135 (27%)			13 / 4 (76%)	2.12

third_ai_ : Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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third_ai_ : Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	435	77.1	18%	77.1 / 435 (18%)

third_ai_ : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	51 (59%)	41	80 %	255.00	43.70	0.86	17%
Slight Favorites	36 (41%)	26	72 %	180.00	33.40	0.93	19%
Slight Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %	0.00	0.00	nan	nan%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	9 (10%)	5	56 %	45.00	-6.55	-0.73	-15%
Co-Main Event	5 (6%)	4	80 %	25.00	5.25	1.05	21%
Position 3-5	26 (30%)	22	85 %	130.00	38.95	1.50	30%
6+ (Undercard)	47 (54%)	36	77 %	235.00	39.45	0.84	17%

third_ai_ : Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	10 (11%)	9	90 %	50.00	16.80	1.68	34%
Light Heavy	7 (8%)	6	86 %	35.00	9.90	1.41	28%
Middleweight	8 (9%)	5	63 %	40.00	-2.10	-0.26	-5%
Welterweight	15 (17%)	12	80 %	75.00	17.25	1.15	23%
Lightweight	15 (17%)	13	87 %	75.00	25.95	1.73	35%
Featherweight	13 (15%)	8	62 %	65.00	-4.75	-0.37	-7%
Bantamweight	13 (15%)	10	77 %	65.00	12.10	0.93	19%
Flyweight	6 (7%)	4	67 %	30.00	1.95	0.33	7%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Favorites	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Slight Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
Big Underdogs	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
50-65%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
35-50%	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
<35% chance	0 (nan%)	0	nan %
	0	0	nan %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
	0	0	nan %	nan			0.0 (nan%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail third_ai_ 's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
18th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett	5	3.1	62%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$1,031.00
25th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot	5	2.9	57%		$10.31	$1,031.00	$1,060.38
2nd Jul	UFC 276	10	6.3	63%		$10.60	$1,060.38	$1,127.72
9th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev	5	2.5	50%		$11.28	$1,127.72	$1,155.91
16th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez	10	-2.2	-22%		$11.56	$1,155.91	$1,129.90
23rd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall	5	-5.0	-100%		$11.30	$1,129.90	$1,073.41
30th Jul	UFC 277	10	6.5	65%		$10.73	$1,073.41	$1,143.18
6th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill	5	2.0	40%		$11.43	$1,143.18	$1,166.04
13th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz	5	2.0	40%		$11.66	$1,166.04	$1,189.36
20th Aug	UFC 278	5	2.7	53%		$11.89	$1,189.36	$1,220.88
10th Sep	UFC 279	10	-1.6	-16%		$12.21	$1,220.88	$1,201.35
17th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song	5	3.1	62%		$12.01	$1,201.35	$1,238.59
1st Oct	UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan	10	5.1	51%		$12.39	$1,238.59	$1,301.14
22nd Oct	UFC 280	15	0.6	4%		$13.01	$1,301.14	$1,308.95
5th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos	5	2.1	41%		$13.09	$1,308.95	$1,335.78
19th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba	10	6.5	65%		$13.36	$1,335.78	$1,421.94
3rd Dec	UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland	15	-0.3	-2%		$14.22	$1,421.94	$1,417.67
21st Jan	UFC 283	10	5.9	59%		$14.18	$1,417.67	$1,500.61
4th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak	5	2.2	44%		$15.01	$1,500.61	$1,533.62
18th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield	10	4.4	44%		$15.34	$1,533.62	$1,601.10
18th Mar	UFC 286	5	-5.0	-100%		$16.01	$1,601.10	$1,521.05
25th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen	5	-5.0	-100%		$15.21	$1,521.05	$1,444.99
15th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen	10	-3.0	-30%		$14.45	$1,444.99	$1,401.64
6th May	UFC 288	20	3.0	15%		$14.02	$1,401.64	$1,443.69
20th May	UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern	20	10.3	51%		$14.44	$1,443.69	$1,591.67
3rd Jun	UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi	5	-5.0	-100%		$15.92	$1,591.67	$1,512.09
17th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier	10	-3.0	-30%		$15.12	$1,512.09	$1,466.73
1st Jul	UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov	10	4.5	45%		$14.67	$1,466.73	$1,532.73
8th Jul	UFC 290	15	9.0	60%		$15.33	$1,532.73	$1,670.68
15th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva	5	2.4	48%		$16.71	$1,670.68	$1,710.77
22nd Jul	UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura	25	6.4	26%		$17.11	$1,710.77	$1,821.11
29th Jul	UFC 291	5	3.4	67%		$18.21	$1,821.11	$1,882.12
5th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font	25	-9.5	-38%		$18.82	$1,882.12	$1,703.32
12th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos	15	-7.8	-52%		$17.03	$1,703.32	$1,570.46
19th Aug	UFC 292	10	4.6	46%		$15.70	$1,570.46	$1,642.71
2nd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac	10	6.2	62%		$16.43	$1,642.71	$1,744.56
9th Sep	UFC 293	15	-0.6	-4%		$17.45	$1,744.56	$1,734.09
16th Sep	UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II	10	-1.6	-16%		$17.34	$1,734.09	$1,705.48
23rd Sep	UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot	10	5.2	52%		$17.05	$1,705.48	$1,793.31
14th Oct	UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza	5	-5.0	-100%		$17.93	$1,793.31	$1,703.64
21st Oct	UFC 294	10	4.2	42%		$17.04	$1,703.64	$1,775.20
4th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida	10	4.7	47%		$17.75	$1,775.20	$1,857.74
11th Nov	UFC 295	10	4.2	42%		$18.58	$1,857.74	$1,936.70
18th Nov	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig	10	6.2	62%		$19.37	$1,936.70	$2,055.80

ROI % from starting bank balance: 105.58% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

third_ai_ : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Nov '23	Jose Johnson	Chad Anheliger	1.50	5	Sub, R3 (4:49)
2.	Nov '23	Rafael Estevam	Charles Johnson	1.73	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Nov '23	Benoit Saint-Denis	Matt Frevola	1.45	5	TKO, R1 (1:31)
4.	Nov '23	Jamall Emmers	Dennis Buzukja	1.40	5	TKO, R1 (0:49)
5.	Nov '23	Vitor Petrino	Modestas Bukauskas	1.40	5	TKO, R2 (1:3)
6.	Nov '23	Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira	Don'tale Mayes	1.53	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
7.	Oct '23	Said Nurmagomedov	Muin Gafurov	1.44	5	Sub, R1 (1:13)
8.	Oct '23	Islam Makhachev	Alex Volkanovski	1.40	5	TKO, R1 (3:6)
9.	Sep '23	Bryan Battle	A.J. Fletcher	1.53	5	Sub, R2 (4:32)
10.	Sep '23	Bryce Mitchell	Dan Ige	1.50	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
11.	Sep '23	Jack Della Maddalena	Kevin Holland	1.67	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
12.	Sep '23	Justin Tafa	Austen Lane	1.44	5	TKO, R1 (1:22)
13.	Sep '23	Alexander Volkov	Tai Tuivasa	1.44	5	Sub, R2 (4:37)
14.	Sep '23	Ange Loosa	Rhys McKee	1.62	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
15.	Sep '23	Benoit Saint-Denis	Thiago Moises	1.62	5	TKO, R2 (4:44)
16.	Aug '23	Mario Bautista	DaMon Blackshear	1.48	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
17.	Aug '23	Andre Petroski	Gerald Meerschaert	1.44	5	Split Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Aug '23	Martin Buday	Josh Parisian	1.44	5	Sub, R1 (4:11)
19.	Aug '23	Sean Woodson	Dennis Buzukja	1.53	5	U Decision (3 rounds)
20.	Aug '23	Billy Quarantillo	Damon Jackson	1.57	5	U Decision (3 rounds)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Oct '23	Sodiq Yusuff	Edson Barboza	1.57	5	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
2.	Sep '23	Fernando Padilla	Kyle Nelson	1.40	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Sep '23	Shane Young	Gabriel Miranda	1.63	5	Sub, R1 (0:59)	No
4.	Aug '23	Tafon Nchukwi	AJ Dobson	1.73	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
5.	Aug '23	Hakeem Dawodu	Cub Swanson	1.44	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Aug '23	Jake Hadley	Cody Durden	1.50	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
7.	Aug '23	Ignacio Bahamondes	Ludovit Klein	1.44	5	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
8.	Aug '23	Kennedy Nzechukwu	Dustin Jacoby	1.63	5	TKO, R1 (1:22)	No
9.	Jul '23	Andre Muniz	Paul Craig	1.48	5	TKO, R2 (4:40)	No
10.	Jun '23	Christian Quinonez	Kyung Ho Kang	1.67	5	Sub, R1 (2:25)	No
11.	Jun '23	Luan Lacerda	DaMon Blackshear	1.67	5	TKO, R2 (3:54)	No
12.	May '23	Drew Dober	Matt Frevola	1.44	5	TKO, R1 (4:8)	No
13.	Apr '23	Matheus Nicolau	Brandon Royval	1.50	5	TKO, R1 (2:9)	No
14.	Mar '23	Tucker Lutz	Daniel Pineda	1.40	5	Sub, R2 (2:50)	No
15.	Mar '23	Kamaru Usman	Leon Edwards	1.40	5	Split Decision (5 rounds)	No
16.	Dec '22	Kyle Daukaus	Eryk Anders	1.44	5	TKO, R2 (2:45)	No
17.	Oct '22	Sean Brady	Belal Muhammad	1.80	5	TKO, R2 (4:47)	No
18.	Sep '22	Tony Ferguson	Nate Diaz	1.60	5	Sub, R4 (2:6)	No
19.	Jul '22	Tom Aspinall	Curtis Blaydes	1.73	5	TKO, R1 (0:15)	No
20.	Jul '22	Jack Shore	Ricky Simon	1.62	5	Sub, R2 (3:28)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

third_ai_ : Progress Chart

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