|
MMA Handicapper Stats: third_ai_ |
|
third_ai_ : Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 30 (68%) Losing Events: 14 (32%)
Average Staked Per Event: 9.89 units Most Staked On One Event: 25.00 units Best Event: 10.25 units Worst Event: -9.50 units Average Event: 1.75 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 25.70 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -17.30 |
third_ai_ : Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
300 |
41.1 |
14% |
41.1 / 300 (14%) |
|
|
17 / 10 (63%) |
1.52 |
2022 |
135 |
36.1 |
27% |
36.1 / 135 (27%) |
|
|
13 / 4 (76%) |
2.12 |
|
third_ai_ : Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
To view these stats, you need to be a VIP
|
third_ai_ : Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
435 |
77.1 |
18% |
77.1 / 435 (18%) |
|
|
|
third_ai_ : Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
51 (59%) |
41 |
80 % |
255.00 |
43.70 |
0.86 |
17% |
Slight Favorites |
36 (41%) |
26 |
72 % |
180.00 |
33.40 |
0.93 |
19% |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
Big Underdogs |
0 (0%) |
0 |
nan % |
0.00 |
0.00 |
nan |
nan% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
9 (10%) |
5 |
56 % |
45.00 |
-6.55 |
-0.73 |
-15% |
Co-Main Event |
5 (6%) |
4 |
80 % |
25.00 |
5.25 |
1.05 |
21% |
Position 3-5 |
26 (30%) |
22 |
85 % |
130.00 |
38.95 |
1.50 |
30% |
6+ (Undercard) |
47 (54%) |
36 |
77 % |
235.00 |
39.45 |
0.84 |
17% |
|
third_ai_ : Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
10 (11%) |
9 |
90 % |
50.00 |
16.80 |
1.68 |
34% |
Light Heavy |
7 (8%) |
6 |
86 % |
35.00 |
9.90 |
1.41 |
28% |
Middleweight |
8 (9%) |
5 |
63 % |
40.00 |
-2.10 |
-0.26 |
-5% |
Welterweight |
15 (17%) |
12 |
80 % |
75.00 |
17.25 |
1.15 |
23% |
Lightweight |
15 (17%) |
13 |
87 % |
75.00 |
25.95 |
1.73 |
35% |
Featherweight |
13 (15%) |
8 |
62 % |
65.00 |
-4.75 |
-0.37 |
-7% |
Bantamweight |
13 (15%) |
10 |
77 % |
65.00 |
12.10 |
0.93 |
19% |
Flyweight |
6 (7%) |
4 |
67 % |
30.00 |
1.95 |
0.33 |
7% |
|
Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Favorites |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Slight Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
Big Underdogs |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
50-65% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
35-50% |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
<35% chance |
0 (nan%) |
0 |
nan % |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
|
Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
Prop Type |
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Avg
Odds |
Longest
Odds |
Shortest
Odds |
1U Bet (ROI %) |
|
0 |
0 |
nan % |
nan |
|
|
0.0 (nan%) |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail third_ai_ 's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
18th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett |
5 |
3.1 |
62% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,031.00 |
25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot |
5 |
2.9 |
57% |
|
$10.31 |
$1,031.00 |
$1,060.38 |
2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
10 |
6.3 |
63% |
|
$10.60 |
$1,060.38 |
$1,127.72 |
9th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev |
5 |
2.5 |
50% |
|
$11.28 |
$1,127.72 |
$1,155.91 |
16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
10 |
-2.2 |
-22% |
|
$11.56 |
$1,155.91 |
$1,129.90 |
23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$11.30 |
$1,129.90 |
$1,073.41 |
30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
10 |
6.5 |
65% |
|
$10.73 |
$1,073.41 |
$1,143.18 |
6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
5 |
2.0 |
40% |
|
$11.43 |
$1,143.18 |
$1,166.04 |
13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
5 |
2.0 |
40% |
|
$11.66 |
$1,166.04 |
$1,189.36 |
20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
5 |
2.7 |
53% |
|
$11.89 |
$1,189.36 |
$1,220.88 |
10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
10 |
-1.6 |
-16% |
|
$12.21 |
$1,220.88 |
$1,201.35 |
17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song |
5 |
3.1 |
62% |
|
$12.01 |
$1,201.35 |
$1,238.59 |
1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
10 |
5.1 |
51% |
|
$12.39 |
$1,238.59 |
$1,301.14 |
22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
15 |
0.6 |
4% |
|
$13.01 |
$1,301.14 |
$1,308.95 |
5th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos |
5 |
2.1 |
41% |
|
$13.09 |
$1,308.95 |
$1,335.78 |
19th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba |
10 |
6.5 |
65% |
|
$13.36 |
$1,335.78 |
$1,421.94 |
3rd Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland |
15 |
-0.3 |
-2% |
|
$14.22 |
$1,421.94 |
$1,417.67 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
10 |
5.9 |
59% |
|
$14.18 |
$1,417.67 |
$1,500.61 |
4th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak |
5 |
2.2 |
44% |
|
$15.01 |
$1,500.61 |
$1,533.62 |
18th Feb |
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield |
10 |
4.4 |
44% |
|
$15.34 |
$1,533.62 |
$1,601.10 |
18th Mar |
UFC 286 |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$16.01 |
$1,601.10 |
$1,521.05 |
25th Mar |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.21 |
$1,521.05 |
$1,444.99 |
15th Apr |
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen |
10 |
-3.0 |
-30% |
|
$14.45 |
$1,444.99 |
$1,401.64 |
6th May |
UFC 288 |
20 |
3.0 |
15% |
|
$14.02 |
$1,401.64 |
$1,443.69 |
20th May |
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Dern |
20 |
10.3 |
51% |
|
$14.44 |
$1,443.69 |
$1,591.67 |
3rd Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$15.92 |
$1,591.67 |
$1,512.09 |
17th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier |
10 |
-3.0 |
-30% |
|
$15.12 |
$1,512.09 |
$1,466.73 |
1st Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov |
10 |
4.5 |
45% |
|
$14.67 |
$1,466.73 |
$1,532.73 |
8th Jul |
UFC 290 |
15 |
9.0 |
60% |
|
$15.33 |
$1,532.73 |
$1,670.68 |
15th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva |
5 |
2.4 |
48% |
|
$16.71 |
$1,670.68 |
$1,710.77 |
22nd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura |
25 |
6.4 |
26% |
|
$17.11 |
$1,710.77 |
$1,821.11 |
29th Jul |
UFC 291 |
5 |
3.4 |
67% |
|
$18.21 |
$1,821.11 |
$1,882.12 |
5th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font |
25 |
-9.5 |
-38% |
|
$18.82 |
$1,882.12 |
$1,703.32 |
12th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos |
15 |
-7.8 |
-52% |
|
$17.03 |
$1,703.32 |
$1,570.46 |
19th Aug |
UFC 292 |
10 |
4.6 |
46% |
|
$15.70 |
$1,570.46 |
$1,642.71 |
2nd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac |
10 |
6.2 |
62% |
|
$16.43 |
$1,642.71 |
$1,744.56 |
9th Sep |
UFC 293 |
15 |
-0.6 |
-4% |
|
$17.45 |
$1,744.56 |
$1,734.09 |
16th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko II |
10 |
-1.6 |
-16% |
|
$17.34 |
$1,734.09 |
$1,705.48 |
23rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot |
10 |
5.2 |
52% |
|
$17.05 |
$1,705.48 |
$1,793.31 |
14th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza |
5 |
-5.0 |
-100% |
|
$17.93 |
$1,793.31 |
$1,703.64 |
21st Oct |
UFC 294 |
10 |
4.2 |
42% |
|
$17.04 |
$1,703.64 |
$1,775.20 |
4th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Almeida |
10 |
4.7 |
47% |
|
$17.75 |
$1,775.20 |
$1,857.74 |
11th Nov |
UFC 295 |
10 |
4.2 |
42% |
|
$18.58 |
$1,857.74 |
$1,936.70 |
18th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig |
10 |
6.2 |
62% |
|
$19.37 |
$1,936.70 |
$2,055.80 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 105.58% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
third_ai_ : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Nov '23 |
Jose Johnson |
Chad Anheliger |
1.50 |
5 |
Sub, R3 (4:49) |
|
|
2. |
Nov '23 |
Rafael Estevam |
Charles Johnson |
1.73 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
3. |
Nov '23 |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
Matt Frevola |
1.45 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:31) |
|
|
4. |
Nov '23 |
Jamall Emmers |
Dennis Buzukja |
1.40 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (0:49) |
|
|
5. |
Nov '23 |
Vitor Petrino |
Modestas Bukauskas |
1.40 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (1:3) |
|
|
6. |
Nov '23 |
Rodrigo Nascimento Ferreira |
Don'tale Mayes |
1.53 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
7. |
Oct '23 |
Said Nurmagomedov |
Muin Gafurov |
1.44 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (1:13) |
|
|
8. |
Oct '23 |
Islam Makhachev |
Alex Volkanovski |
1.40 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (3:6) |
|
|
9. |
Sep '23 |
Bryan Battle |
A.J. Fletcher |
1.53 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (4:32) |
|
|
10. |
Sep '23 |
Bryce Mitchell |
Dan Ige |
1.50 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Sep '23 |
Jack Della Maddalena |
Kevin Holland |
1.67 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Sep '23 |
Justin Tafa |
Austen Lane |
1.44 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:22) |
|
|
13. |
Sep '23 |
Alexander Volkov |
Tai Tuivasa |
1.44 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (4:37) |
|
|
14. |
Sep '23 |
Ange Loosa |
Rhys McKee |
1.62 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
15. |
Sep '23 |
Benoit Saint-Denis |
Thiago Moises |
1.62 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (4:44) |
|
|
16. |
Aug '23 |
Mario Bautista |
DaMon Blackshear |
1.48 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Aug '23 |
Andre Petroski |
Gerald Meerschaert |
1.44 |
5 |
Split Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
18. |
Aug '23 |
Martin Buday |
Josh Parisian |
1.44 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (4:11) |
|
|
19. |
Aug '23 |
Sean Woodson |
Dennis Buzukja |
1.53 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
20. |
Aug '23 |
Billy Quarantillo |
Damon Jackson |
1.57 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
Last 20 Losses
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
Hedge? |
|
|
1. |
Oct '23 |
Sodiq Yusuff |
Edson Barboza |
1.57 |
5 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
2. |
Sep '23 |
Fernando Padilla |
Kyle Nelson |
1.40 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
3. |
Sep '23 |
Shane Young |
Gabriel Miranda |
1.63 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (0:59) |
No |
|
|
4. |
Aug '23 |
Tafon Nchukwi |
AJ Dobson |
1.73 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
5. |
Aug '23 |
Hakeem Dawodu |
Cub Swanson |
1.44 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
6. |
Aug '23 |
Jake Hadley |
Cody Durden |
1.50 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
7. |
Aug '23 |
Ignacio Bahamondes |
Ludovit Klein |
1.44 |
5 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
No |
|
|
8. |
Aug '23 |
Kennedy Nzechukwu |
Dustin Jacoby |
1.63 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (1:22) |
No |
|
|
9. |
Jul '23 |
Andre Muniz |
Paul Craig |
1.48 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (4:40) |
No |
|
|
10. |
Jun '23 |
Christian Quinonez |
Kyung Ho Kang |
1.67 |
5 |
Sub, R1 (2:25) |
No |
|
|
11. |
Jun '23 |
Luan Lacerda |
DaMon Blackshear |
1.67 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (3:54) |
No |
|
|
12. |
May '23 |
Drew Dober |
Matt Frevola |
1.44 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (4:8) |
No |
|
|
13. |
Apr '23 |
Matheus Nicolau |
Brandon Royval |
1.50 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (2:9) |
No |
|
|
14. |
Mar '23 |
Tucker Lutz |
Daniel Pineda |
1.40 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (2:50) |
No |
|
|
15. |
Mar '23 |
Kamaru Usman |
Leon Edwards |
1.40 |
5 |
Split Decision (5 rounds) |
No |
|
|
16. |
Dec '22 |
Kyle Daukaus |
Eryk Anders |
1.44 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (2:45) |
No |
|
|
17. |
Oct '22 |
Sean Brady |
Belal Muhammad |
1.80 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (4:47) |
No |
|
|
18. |
Sep '22 |
Tony Ferguson |
Nate Diaz |
1.60 |
5 |
Sub, R4 (2:6) |
No |
|
|
19. |
Jul '22 |
Tom Aspinall |
Curtis Blaydes |
1.73 |
5 |
TKO, R1 (0:15) |
No |
|
|
20. |
Jul '22 |
Jack Shore |
Ricky Simon |
1.62 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (3:28) |
No |
|
|
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
third_ai_ : Progress Chart |
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