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MMA Handicapper Stats: Worlds BFP |
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Worlds BFP: Event by Event Predictions |
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)
Winning Events: 23 (52%) Losing Events: 21 (48%)
Average Staked Per Event: 36.65 units Most Staked On One Event: 98.00 units Best Event: 65.07 units Worst Event: -48.69 units Average Event: 2.66 units
Max Win Streak: Events: 4, Units: 88.03 Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -65.69 |
Worlds BFP: Year on Year Profit |
Year |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%) |
Events
Won / Lost
(%) |
Profit
Per Event |
2023 |
22 |
-2.9 |
-13% |
-2.9 / 22 (-13%) |
|
|
/ 1 (0%) |
-2.85 |
2022 |
1590.75 |
119.9 |
8% |
70.8 / 1292.5 (5%) |
|
-25.9 / 95.8 (-27%) |
23 / 20 (53%) |
2.79 |
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Worlds BFP: Yearly Straight Pick Stats |
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Worlds BFP: Profit / Loss by Organization |
Organization |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Straight Picks |
Props |
Parlays |
UFC |
1204.75 |
74.5 |
6% |
38.7 / 934 (4%) |
52.8 / 183.95 (29%) |
-16.9 / 86.8 (-20%) |
Bellator |
28 |
2.7 |
10% |
2.7 / 28 (10%) |
|
|
PFL |
81 |
35.3 |
44% |
22.1 / 69 (32%) |
17.2 / 8 (215%) |
-4.0 / 4 (-100%) |
Other |
299 |
4.5 |
2% |
4.4 / 283.5 (2%) |
5.1 / 10.5 (48%) |
-5.0 / 5 (-100%) |
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Worlds BFP: Straight Pick Stats |
Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Big Favorites |
77 (28%) |
59 |
77 % |
418.00 |
23.06 |
0.30 |
6% |
Slight Favorites |
97 (36%) |
59 |
61 % |
481.00 |
25.70 |
0.26 |
5% |
Slight Underdogs |
63 (23%) |
27 |
43 % |
288.00 |
3.16 |
0.05 |
1% |
Big Underdogs |
35 (13%) |
12 |
34 % |
127.50 |
16.05 |
0.46 |
13% |
Betting Stats By Card Position
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Main Event |
37 (14%) |
21 |
57 % |
216.00 |
-6.86 |
-0.19 |
-3% |
Co-Main Event |
29 (11%) |
20 |
69 % |
183.00 |
1.42 |
0.05 |
1% |
Position 3-5 |
95 (35%) |
53 |
56 % |
406.50 |
39.60 |
0.42 |
10% |
6+ (Undercard) |
111 (41%) |
63 |
57 % |
509.00 |
33.80 |
0.30 |
7% |
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Worlds BFP: Profit by Weight Class |
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Units Bet |
Units Profit |
Profit per Pick |
ROI |
Heavyweight |
23 (8%) |
12 |
52 % |
86.00 |
-18.11 |
-0.79 |
-21% |
Light Heavy |
23 (8%) |
12 |
52 % |
127.00 |
-8.80 |
-0.38 |
-7% |
Middleweight |
37 (14%) |
24 |
65 % |
241.50 |
41.03 |
1.11 |
17% |
Welterweight |
30 (11%) |
17 |
57 % |
139.50 |
67.18 |
2.24 |
48% |
Lightweight |
44 (16%) |
25 |
57 % |
165.50 |
-30.01 |
-0.68 |
-18% |
Featherweight |
22 (8%) |
13 |
59 % |
117.00 |
11.85 |
0.54 |
10% |
Bantamweight |
28 (10%) |
18 |
64 % |
138.00 |
29.66 |
1.06 |
21% |
Flyweight |
16 (6%) |
11 |
69 % |
79.00 |
16.79 |
1.05 |
21% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Women's Fights |
49 (18%) |
25 |
51 % |
221.00 |
-41.63 |
-0.85 |
-19% |
Featherweight |
1 (0%) |
1 |
100 % |
5.00 |
1.82 |
1.82 |
36% |
Bantamweight |
14 (5%) |
5 |
36 % |
47.00 |
-20.06 |
-1.43 |
-43% |
Flyweight |
16 (6%) |
9 |
56 % |
84.00 |
-0.98 |
-0.06 |
-1% |
Strawweight |
18 (7%) |
10 |
56 % |
85.00 |
-22.40 |
-1.24 |
-26% |
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Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays) |
Straight picks within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
Big Favorites |
75 (72%) |
57 |
76 % |
Slight Favorites |
15 (14%) |
6 |
40 % |
Slight Underdogs |
12 (12%) |
2 |
17 % |
Big Underdogs |
2 (2%) |
0 |
0 % |
|
104 |
65 |
63 % |
Props bets and props within parlays
|
Picks |
Correct |
% Correct |
>65% chance |
7 (8%) |
5 |
71 % |
50-65% |
15 (17%) |
6 |
40 % |
35-50% |
10 (11%) |
3 |
30 % |
<35% chance |
58 (64%) |
9 |
16 % |
|
90 |
23 |
26 % |
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Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types |
* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %. |
Tail Worlds BFP's bets |
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...
This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.
Date |
Event |
Bet |
Won |
ROI |
Fee |
1 unit = |
Start |
End |
4th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik |
68 |
22.4 |
33% |
|
$10.00 |
$1,000.00 |
$1,223.53 |
11th Jun |
UFC 275 |
58 |
12.5 |
22% |
|
$12.24 |
$1,223.53 |
$1,376.49 |
18th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett |
33 |
12.5 |
38% |
|
$13.76 |
$1,376.49 |
$1,548.37 |
24th Jun |
Bellator 282 |
18 |
4.9 |
27% |
$10 |
$15.48 |
$1,548.37 |
$1,613.68 |
24th Jun |
PFL 2022 #5 |
6 |
-6.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$16.14 |
$1,613.68 |
$1,506.86 |
25th Jun |
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot |
56 |
49.7 |
89% |
$10 |
$15.07 |
$1,506.86 |
$2,245.17 |
2nd Jul |
UFC 276 |
42 |
10.9 |
26% |
$10 |
$22.45 |
$2,245.17 |
$2,479.79 |
9th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev |
39 |
22.6 |
58% |
$10 |
$24.80 |
$2,479.79 |
$3,030.41 |
16th Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez |
29 |
-7.6 |
-26% |
$10 |
$30.30 |
$3,030.41 |
$2,791.31 |
23rd Jul |
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall |
55 |
-3.0 |
-5% |
$10 |
$27.91 |
$2,791.31 |
$2,698.48 |
26th Jul |
DWCS 2022: Week 1 |
10.5 |
4.0 |
38% |
$10 |
$26.98 |
$2,698.48 |
$2,796.54 |
29th Jul |
LFA 137 |
5 |
4.2 |
83% |
$10 |
$27.97 |
$2,796.54 |
$2,903.06 |
30th Jul |
UFC 277 |
63.5 |
-13.8 |
-22% |
$10 |
$29.03 |
$2,903.06 |
$2,492.56 |
2nd Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 2 |
36 |
-13.9 |
-39% |
$10 |
$24.93 |
$2,492.56 |
$2,135.78 |
5th Aug |
PFL 2022 #7 |
9 |
12.8 |
142% |
$10 |
$21.36 |
$2,135.78 |
$2,398.34 |
5th Aug |
LFA 138 |
12 |
-1.1 |
-9% |
$10 |
$23.98 |
$2,398.34 |
$2,362.18 |
6th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill |
27 |
1.9 |
7% |
$10 |
$23.62 |
$2,362.18 |
$2,397.73 |
9th Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 3 |
20 |
9.4 |
47% |
$10 |
$23.98 |
$2,397.73 |
$2,612.80 |
12th Aug |
Bellator 284 |
10 |
-2.1 |
-21% |
$10 |
$26.13 |
$2,612.80 |
$2,547.41 |
13th Aug |
PFL 2022 #8 |
46 |
16.7 |
36% |
$10 |
$25.47 |
$2,547.41 |
$2,962.13 |
13th Aug |
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz |
44 |
-16.5 |
-38% |
$10 |
$29.62 |
$2,962.13 |
$2,462.30 |
16th Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 4 |
44 |
-22.3 |
-51% |
$10 |
$24.62 |
$2,462.30 |
$1,902.77 |
20th Aug |
LFA 139 |
9 |
-1.1 |
-12% |
$10 |
$19.03 |
$1,902.77 |
$1,872.79 |
20th Aug |
PFL 2022 #9 |
20 |
11.8 |
59% |
$10 |
$18.73 |
$1,872.79 |
$2,084.71 |
20th Aug |
UFC 278 |
41.75 |
11.3 |
27% |
$10 |
$20.85 |
$2,084.71 |
$2,310.02 |
23rd Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 5 |
52.5 |
56.3 |
107% |
$10 |
$23.10 |
$2,310.02 |
$3,600.71 |
27th Aug |
LFA 140 |
7 |
-7.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$36.01 |
$3,600.71 |
$3,338.66 |
27th Aug |
One FC on Prime 1 |
8 |
1.8 |
23% |
$10 |
$33.39 |
$3,338.66 |
$3,389.31 |
31st Aug |
DWCS 2022: Week 6 |
38 |
-10.4 |
-27% |
$10 |
$33.89 |
$3,389.31 |
$3,027.48 |
3rd Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa |
58 |
-4.4 |
-8% |
$10 |
$30.27 |
$3,027.48 |
$2,882.85 |
6th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 7 |
12 |
-5.6 |
-47% |
$10 |
$28.83 |
$2,882.85 |
$2,710.26 |
10th Sep |
UFC 279 |
74 |
1.0 |
1% |
$10 |
$27.10 |
$2,710.26 |
$2,727.70 |
17th Sep |
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song |
76 |
65.1 |
86% |
$10 |
$27.28 |
$2,727.70 |
$4,492.70 |
21st Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 9 |
12 |
7.2 |
60% |
$10 |
$44.93 |
$4,492.70 |
$4,806.69 |
27th Sep |
DWCS 2022: Week 10 |
33 |
-17.0 |
-52% |
$10 |
$48.07 |
$4,806.69 |
$3,979.55 |
1st Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan |
57.5 |
-42.7 |
-74% |
$10 |
$39.80 |
$3,979.55 |
$2,271.26 |
15th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo |
81 |
8.9 |
11% |
$10 |
$22.71 |
$2,271.26 |
$2,463.08 |
22nd Oct |
UFC 280 |
98 |
-48.7 |
-50% |
$10 |
$24.63 |
$2,463.08 |
$1,253.86 |
29th Oct |
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen |
83 |
-17.0 |
-20% |
$10 |
$12.54 |
$1,253.86 |
$1,030.70 |
12th Nov |
UFC 281 |
11 |
16.0 |
145% |
$10 |
$10.31 |
$1,030.70 |
$1,185.10 |
19th Nov |
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba |
44 |
-8.4 |
-19% |
$10 |
$11.85 |
$1,185.10 |
$1,075.16 |
10th Dec |
UFC 282 |
33 |
15.8 |
48% |
$10 |
$10.75 |
$1,075.16 |
$1,235.43 |
17th Dec |
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland |
11 |
-11.0 |
-100% |
$10 |
$12.35 |
$1,235.43 |
$1,089.54 |
21st Jan |
UFC 283 |
22 |
-2.9 |
-13% |
$10 |
$10.90 |
$1,089.54 |
$1,048.46 |
ROI % from starting bank balance: 4.85% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now. |
Worlds BFP: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks) |
Last 20 Wins
|
Date |
Straight Pick |
Opponent |
Odds |
Bet |
Result |
|
|
1. |
Jan '23 |
Jamahal Hill |
Glover Teixeira |
1.74 |
11 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
2. |
Dec '22 |
Raul Rosas Jr |
Jay Perrin |
1.43 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (2:44) |
|
|
3. |
Dec '22 |
Dricus Du Plessis |
Darren Till |
1.59 |
11 |
Sub, R3 (2:43) |
|
|
4. |
Dec '22 |
Paddy Pimblett |
Jared Gordon |
1.42 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
5. |
Nov '22 |
Kennedy Nzechukwu |
Ion Cutelaba |
1.59 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (1:2) |
|
|
6. |
Nov '22 |
Natalia Cristina da Silva |
Tereza Bleda |
1.65 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (1:27) |
|
|
7. |
Oct '22 |
Tresean Gore |
Josh Fremd |
2.50 |
11 |
Sub, R2 (0:49) |
|
|
8. |
Oct '22 |
Marcos Rogerio de Lima |
Andrei Arlovski |
1.50 |
11 |
Sub, R1 (1:50) |
|
|
9. |
Oct '22 |
Arnold Allen |
Calvin Kattar |
2.00 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (0:8) |
|
|
10. |
Oct '22 |
Manon Fiorot |
Katlyn Chookagian |
1.50 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
11. |
Oct '22 |
Jacob Malkoun |
Nick Maximov |
2.10 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
12. |
Oct '22 |
Jonathan Martinez |
Cub Swanson |
1.50 |
11 |
TKO, R2 (4:19) |
|
|
13. |
Oct '22 |
Piera Rodriguez |
Sam Hughes |
1.56 |
11 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
14. |
Oct '22 |
Tatsuro Taira |
Carlos Vergara |
1.44 |
11 |
Sub, R2 (4:19) |
|
|
15. |
Oct '22 |
Alexa Grasso |
Viviane Araujo |
1.57 |
11 |
U Decision (5 rounds) |
|
|
16. |
Oct '22 |
Ilir Latifi |
Aleksei Oleinik |
1.57 |
1 |
U Decision (3 rounds) |
|
|
17. |
Oct '22 |
Daniel Santos |
John Castaneda |
2.65 |
5 |
TKO, R2 (4:28) |
|
|
18. |
Oct '22 |
Islam Makhachev |
Charles Oliveira |
1.67 |
5 |
Sub, R2 (3:16) |
|
|
19. |
Sep '22 |
Jack Jenkins |
Freddy Linares |
1.45 |
11 |
TKO, R3 (4:30) |
|
|
20. |
Nov '22 |
Alex Pereira |
Israel Adesanya |
2.45 |
11 |
TKO, R5 (2:1) |
|
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Last 20 Losses
* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision. |
Worlds BFP: Progress Chart |
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