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MMA Handicapper Stats: Dan Stuff

Dan Stuff (stufflymcstuff)


Mixed Martial Arts Management - Dan Stuff

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 10 (59%) Right 6 (86%) Right 4 (40%) Right 0 (nan%)
Wrong 7 (41%) Wrong 1 (14%) Wrong 6 (60%) Wrong 0 (nan%)
Avg Odds 2.23 Avg Odds 1.61 Avg Odds 3.06 Avg Odds nan
Units Bet 52.0 Units Bet 26.0 Units Bet 26.0 Units Bet 0.0
Avg Bet 3.06 Avg Bet 3.71 Avg Bet 2.60 Avg Bet nan
Units Profit 7.17 Units Profit 6.05 Units Profit 1.12 Units Profit 0.00
ROI % 14% ROI % 23% ROI % 4% ROI % nan%
View Handicapper's Profile

Dan Stuff: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
5th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
29th Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 3.5 1.0 29% 1.0 / 1 (100%) 0.0 / 2.5 (0%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 6 -3.3 -55% -3.3 / 6 (-55%)
1st Jul '22 PFL 2022 #6 10 0.6 6% 0.6 / 10 (6%)
4th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 33 10.8 33% 4.4 / 15 (29%) 6.4 / 18 (36%)


Winning Events: 3 (60%)
Losing Events: 2 (40%)

Average Staked Per Event: 10.90 units
Most Staked On One Event: 33.00 units
Best Event: 10.84 units
Worst Event: -3.30 units
Average Event: 1.43 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 2, Units: 11.47
Max Losing Streak: Events: 1, Units: -3.30

Dan Stuff: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2022 54.5 7.2 13% 6.0 / 26 (23%) 3 / 2 (60%) 1.43

Dan Stuff: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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Dan Stuff: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 44.5 6.5 15% 5.4 / 16 (34%) 1.1 / 28.5 (4%)
PFL 10 0.6 6% 0.6 / 10 (6%)

Dan Stuff: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 3 (43%) 3 100 % 20.00 4.94 1.65 25%
Slight Favorites 2 (29%) 2 100 % 3.00 2.11 1.05 70%
Slight Underdogs 1 (14%) 1 100 % 1.00 1.00 1.00 100%
Big Underdogs 1 (14%) 0 0 % 2.00 -2.00 -2.00 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 2 (29%) 2 100 % 11.00 1.62 0.81 15%
Co-Main Event 1 (14%) 1 100 % 5.00 2.50 2.50 50%
Position 3-5 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
6+ (Undercard) 4 (57%) 3 75 % 10.00 1.92 0.48 19%

Dan Stuff: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Light Heavy 1 (14%) 1 100 % 2.00 1.46 1.46 73%
Lightweight 2 (29%) 1 50 % 12.00 -1.38 -0.69 -11%
Featherweight 2 (29%) 2 100 % 6.00 3.50 1.75 58%
Flyweight 1 (14%) 1 100 % 1.00 0.65 0.65 65%
               
Women's Fights 1 (14%) 1 100 % 5.00 1.82 1.82 36%
Flyweight 1 (14%) 1 100 % 5.00 1.82 1.82 36%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Favorites 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (nan%) 0 nan %
0 0 nan %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 0 (0%) 0 nan %
50-65% 2 (18%) 0 0 %
35-50% 4 (36%) 3 75 %
<35% chance 5 (45%) 1 20 %
11 4 36 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Does not go to Decision 1 (9%) 0 0 % 1.87 1.87Pick was incorrect 1.87Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 1 (9%) 1 100 % 2.14 2.14Pick was correct 2.14Pick was incorrect 1.1 (114%)
X Wins by KO 1 (9%) 0 0 % 3.40 3.40Pick was incorrect 3.40Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Sub 1 (9%) 1 100 % 8.00 8.00Pick was correct 8.00Pick was correct 7.0 (700%)
X Wins by Decision 1 (9%) 0 0 % 3.60 3.60Pick was incorrect 3.60Pick was incorrect -1.0 (-100%)
X Does NOT Win by Decision 1 (9%) 1 100 % 2.00 2.00Pick was correct 2.00Pick was correct 1.0 (100%)
X Wins Inside Distance 1 (9%) 1 100 % 2.70 2.70Pick was correct 2.70Pick was correct 1.7 (170%)
Others 4 (36%) 0 0 % 3.75 15.00Pick was incorrect 1.93Pick was incorrect -3.0 (-75%)
11 4 36 % 3.02     4.8 (44%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Dan Stuff's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
4th Jun UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 33 10.8 33% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,108.43
1st Jul PFL 2022 #6 10 0.6 6% $11.08 $1,108.43 $1,115.36
2nd Jul UFC 276 6 -3.3 -55% $11.15 $1,115.36 $1,078.55
29th Oct UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 3.5 1.0 29% $10.79 $1,078.55 $1,089.34
5th Nov UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 2 -2.0 -100% $10.89 $1,089.34 $1,067.55


ROI % from starting bank balance: 6.76% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Dan Stuff: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Oct '22 Arnold Allen Calvin Kattar 2.00 1 TKO, R2 (0:8) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
2. Jul '22 Kayla Harrison Kaitlin Young 1.06 10 TKO, R1 (2:35) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
3. Jun '22 Alonzo Menifield Askar Mozharov 1.73 2 TKO, R1 (4:40) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
4. Jun '22 Erin Blanchfield J.J. Aldrich 1.36 5 Sub, R2 (2:38) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
5. Jun '22 Jeff Molina Zhalgas Zhumagulov 1.65 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker
6. Jun '22 Movsar Evloev Dan Ige 1.50 5 U Decision (3 rounds) View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Jun '22 Alex da Silva Joe Solecki 3.05 2 Split Decision (3 rounds) No View Pick Writeup MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Dan Stuff: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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