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MMA Handicapper Stats: Tomas

Tomas (Tomas)

MMA MHandicapper - Tomas

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays
Right 91 (34%) Right 20 (40%) Right 58 (32%) Right 13 (35%)
Wrong 177 (66%) Wrong 30 (60%) Wrong 123 (68%) Wrong 24 (65%)
Avg Odds 2.87 Avg Odds 2.35 Avg Odds 2.92 Avg Odds 3.68
Units Bet 220.6 Units Bet 47.1 Units Bet 149.9 Units Bet 23.6
Avg Bet 0.82 Avg Bet 0.94 Avg Bet 0.83 Avg Bet 0.64
Units Profit -21.89 Units Profit -0.80 Units Profit -23.26 Units Profit 2.17
ROI % -10% ROI % -2% ROI % -16% ROI % 9%
View Handicapper's Profile

Tomas : Event by Event Predictions
The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
20th Jan '24 UFC 297 6.5 -0.3 -5% -0.3 / 6.5 (-5%)
19th Aug '23 UFC 292 7.6 -7.6 -100% -7.1 / 7.1 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
8th Apr '23 UFC 287 6.05 -4.8 -79% 0.3 / 0.5 (65%) -3.3 / 3.75 (-88%) -1.8 / 1.8 (-100%)
18th Mar '23 UFC 286 4.25 1.4 33% 1.1 / 1.25 (88%) 0.3 / 3 (10%)
11th Mar '23 UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili 12 -12.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -10.0 / 10 (-100%)
4th Mar '23 UFC 285 15.25 2.2 14% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) 0.4 / 12 (3%) 2.3 / 2.75 (85%)
25th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen 4.5 0.3 8% 0.3 / 4.5 (8%)
18th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield 6.5 -4.0 -62% -2.5 / 2.5 (-100%) -1.5 / 4 (-38%)
11th Feb '23 UFC 284 9.5 -6.9 -73% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -6.4 / 9 (-72%)
4th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak 5.5 -1.9 -34% -1.9 / 5.5 (-34%)
21st Jan '23 UFC 283 7.35 -1.4 -19% -0.8 / 2 (-42%) 0.9 / 3.85 (25%) -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%)
14th Jan '23 UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov 3.75 -1.0 -28% 0.3 / 0.75 (47%) -1.4 / 3 (-46%)
10th Dec '22 UFC 282 5 1.4 27% -0.9 / 2 (-45%) 0.2 / 1.5 (13%) 2.1 / 1.5 (138%)
19th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba 2 -2.0 -100% -1.5 / 1.5 (-100%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
12th Nov '22 UFC 281 6 -1.8 -31% -1.5 / 4 (-39%) -0.3 / 2 (-15%)
5th Nov '22 UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 2 -0.8 -40% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%) -0.3 / 1.5 (-20%)
22nd Oct '22 UFC 280 9.86 -0.9 -9% 1.1 / 5 (22%) -1.4 / 3.24 (-42%) -0.6 / 1.62 (-36%)
1st Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 2.5 -2.0 -79% -1.5 / 2 (-74%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
10th Sep '22 UFC 279 1.5 2.3 155% 1.5 / 1 (155%) -0.3 / 0.25 (-100%) 1.0 / 0.25 (408%)
20th Aug '22 UFC 278 3.34 1.4 42% 2.7 / 2 (137%) -0.2 / 0.15 (-100%) -1.2 / 1.19 (-100%)
13th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 2.25 2.0 91% -1.0 / 1 (-100%) 3.0 / 1.25 (244%)
6th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 0.5 -0.5 -100% -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 8.8 1.3 15% -1.8 / 3.8 (-47%) 3.6 / 4.5 (81%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 16 -4.8 -30% 2.0 / 2.5 (79%) -6.8 / 13.5 (-50%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 3.91 3.3 85% 1.8 / 2.5 (74%) 1.5 / 1.41 (106%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 6.93 0.4 5% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) 2.4 / 4 (59%) -0.0 / 0.93 (-3%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 6 -0.1 -2% -0.6 / 4.25 (-15%) 0.5 / 1.75 (30%)
25th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 6.5 -2.4 -36% -2.0 / 2 (-100%) -1.0 / 3.5 (-28%) 0.6 / 1 (63%)
18th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 8.62 3.5 40% 3.5 / 8.62 (40%)
11th Jun '22 UFC 275 10.25 0.7 7% 2.2 / 2 (112%) -4.3 / 4.25 (-100%) 2.7 / 4 (67%)
4th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 13.5 5.7 42% 2.3 / 4.25 (54%) 3.4 / 9.25 (37%)
21st May '22 UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 1.8 0.7 42% 0.7 / 1.8 (42%)
14th May '22 UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 5 5.1 103% 1.6 / 0.5 (320%) 3.6 / 4.5 (79%)
7th May '22 UFC 274 10.1 1.4 14% 2.2 / 9.3 (23%) -0.8 / 0.8 (-100%)


Winning Events: 16 (47%)
Losing Events: 18 (53%)

Average Staked Per Event: 6.50 units
Most Staked On One Event: 16.00 units
Best Event: 5.70 units
Worst Event: -12.00 units
Average Event: -0.64 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 6, Units: 17.14
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -15.25

Tomas : Year on Year Profit
Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)		 Events
Won / Lost (%)		 Profit
Per Event
2024 6.5 -0.3 -5% / 1 (0%) -0.30
2023 82.25 -35.7 -43% -5.7 / 8.75 (-65%) -1.2 / 9.55 (-12%) 3 / 8 (27%) -3.24
2022 132.36 14.1 11% 4.9 / 38.35 (13%) 3.3 / 14.04 (24%) 13 / 9 (59%) 0.64

Tomas : Yearly Straight Pick Stats
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Tomas : Profit / Loss by Organization
Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 221.11 -21.9 -10% -0.8 / 47.1 (-2%) -23.3 / 150.42 (-15%) 2.2 / 23.59 (9%)

Tomas : Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan % 0.00 0.00 nan nan%
Slight Favorites 11 (22%) 5 45 % 14.50 -2.19 -0.20 -15%
Slight Underdogs 29 (57%) 14 48 % 26.50 1.79 0.06 7%
Big Underdogs 11 (22%) 2 18 % 6.10 -0.40 -0.04 -7%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 7 (14%) 4 57 % 7.50 0.57 0.08 8%
Co-Main Event 4 (8%) 0 0 % 3.50 -3.50 -0.88 -100%
Position 3-5 11 (22%) 4 36 % 9.05 -0.79 -0.07 -9%
6+ (Undercard) 29 (57%) 13 45 % 27.05 2.91 0.10 11%

Tomas : Profit by Weight Class
  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 3 (6%) 0 % 2.80 -2.80 -0.93 -100%
Light Heavy 12 (24%) 7 58 % 12.80 2.87 0.24 22%
Middleweight 6 (12%) 3 50 % 4.50 -0.48 -0.08 -11%
Welterweight 6 (12%) 5 83 % 6.50 7.59 1.26 117%
Lightweight 5 (10%) 1 20 % 5.00 -2.54 -0.51 -51%
Featherweight 1 (2%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -1.00 -100%
Bantamweight 11 (22%) 3 27 % 8.75 -3.25 -0.30 -37%
               
Women's Fights 7 (14%) 2 29 % 5.75 -1.20 -0.17 -21%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 1 100 % 1.00 1.55 1.55 155%
Flyweight 4 (8%) 1 25 % 3.75 -1.75 -0.44 -47%
Strawweight 2 (4%) 0 % 1.00 -1.00 -0.50 -100%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 14 (37%) 10 71 %
Slight Favorites 2 (5%) 0 0 %
Slight Underdogs 13 (34%) 6 46 %
Big Underdogs 9 (24%) 5 56 %
38 21 55 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 28 (12%) 20 71 %
50-65% 50 (21%) 30 60 %
35-50% 50 (21%) 23 46 %
<35% chance 111 (46%) 17 15 %
239 90 38 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types
Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds		 Longest
Odds		 Shortest
Odds		 1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 7 (3%) 6 86 % 1.63 9.00Pick was correct 1.21Pick was correct 9.1 (130%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 33 (14%) 21 64 % 1.81 2.90Pick was incorrect 1.30Pick was correct 5.1 (15%)
Does not go to Decision 13 (5%) 10 77 % 1.59 2.31Pick was incorrect 1.20Pick was correct 3.3 (25%)
Fight Starts Round X 1 (0%) 1 100 % 1.30 1.30Pick was correct 1.30Pick was incorrect 0.3 (30%)
Fight Doesn't Start Round X 3 (1%) 1 33 % 1.45 1.70Pick was incorrect 1.30Pick was incorrect -1.7 (-57%)
X Wins by KO 36 (15%) 8 22 % 3.27 12.00Pick was incorrect 1.55Pick was incorrect -13.1 (-36%)
X Wins by Sub 27 (11%) 6 22 % 4.62 25.00Pick was incorrect 2.10Pick was incorrect -1.6 (-6%)
X Wins by Decision 13 (5%) 6 46 % 2.71 4.70Pick was incorrect 1.80Pick was correct 1.6 (12%)
X Wins Inside Distance 38 (16%) 11 29 % 2.52 6.00Pick was incorrect 1.65Pick was correct -10.2 (-27%)
X Wins in Round X 18 (8%) 2 11 % 6.43 30.00Pick was incorrect 2.10Pick was incorrect -10.1 (-56%)
Others 50 (21%) 18 36 % 2.64 69.98Pick was incorrect 1.12Pick was correct -15.9 (-32%)
239 90 38 % 2.60     -33.2 (-14%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail Tomas 's bets
If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
7th May UFC 274 10.1 1.4 14% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,013.80
14th May UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 5 5.1 103% $10.14 $1,013.80 $1,066.01
21st May UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira 1.8 0.7 42% $10.66 $1,066.01 $1,074.01
4th Jun UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 13.5 5.7 42% $10.74 $1,074.01 $1,135.23
11th Jun UFC 275 10.25 0.7 7% $11.35 $1,135.23 $1,143.06
18th Jun UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 8.62 3.5 40% $11.43 $1,143.06 $1,182.72
25th Jun UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 6.5 -2.4 -36% $11.83 $1,182.72 $1,154.81
2nd Jul UFC 276 6 -0.1 -2% $11.55 $1,154.81 $1,153.47
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 6.93 0.4 5% $11.53 $1,153.47 $1,157.54
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 3.91 3.3 85% $11.58 $1,157.54 $1,196.20
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 16 -4.8 -30% $11.96 $1,196.20 $1,138.54
30th Jul UFC 277 8.8 1.3 15% $11.39 $1,138.54 $1,153.91
6th Aug UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 0.5 -0.5 -100% $11.54 $1,153.91 $1,148.14
13th Aug UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 2.25 2.0 91% $11.48 $1,148.14 $1,171.68
20th Aug UFC 278 3.34 1.4 42% $11.72 $1,171.68 $1,188.20
10th Sep UFC 279 1.5 2.3 155% $11.88 $1,188.20 $1,215.77
1st Oct UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 2.5 -2.0 -79% $12.16 $1,215.77 $1,191.76
22nd Oct UFC 280 9.86 -0.9 -9% $11.92 $1,191.76 $1,181.50
5th Nov UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos 2 -0.8 -40% $11.82 $1,181.50 $1,172.05
12th Nov UFC 281 6 -1.8 -31% $11.72 $1,172.05 $1,150.48
19th Nov UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba 2 -2.0 -100% $11.50 $1,150.48 $1,127.47
10th Dec UFC 282 5 1.4 27% $11.27 $1,127.47 $1,142.95
14th Jan UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov 3.75 -1.0 -28% $11.43 $1,142.95 $1,131.09
21st Jan UFC 283 7.35 -1.4 -19% $11.31 $1,131.09 $1,115.25
4th Feb UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak 5.5 -1.9 -34% $11.15 $1,115.25 $1,094.34
11th Feb UFC 284 9.5 -6.9 -73% $10.94 $1,094.34 $1,018.39
18th Feb UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield 6.5 -4.0 -62% $10.18 $1,018.39 $977.66
25th Feb UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen 4.5 0.3 8% $9.78 $977.66 $981.08
4th Mar UFC 285 15.25 2.2 14% $9.81 $981.08 $1,002.66
11th Mar UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili 12 -12.0 -100% $10.03 $1,002.66 $882.34
18th Mar UFC 286 4.25 1.4 33% $8.82 $882.34 $894.83
8th Apr UFC 287 6.05 -4.8 -79% $8.95 $894.83 $852.15
19th Aug UFC 292 7.6 -7.6 -100% $8.52 $852.15 $787.38
20th Jan UFC 297 6.5 -0.3 -5% $7.87 $787.38 $785.02


ROI % from starting bank balance: -21.50% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

Tomas : Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)
Last 20 Wins
  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Apr '23 Israel Adesanya Alex Pereira 1.65 0.5 TKO, R2 (4:21) MMA Bookmaker
2. Jan '23 Daniel Marcos Saimon Oliveira 2.30 0.5 TKO, R2 (2:18) MMA Bookmaker
3. Jan '23 Sean Strickland Nassourdine Imavov 2.20 0.5 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
4. Dec '22 Chris Curtis Joaquin Buckley 2.20 0.5 TKO, R2 (2:49) MMA Bookmaker
5. Nov '22 Daniel Hooker Claudio Puelles 1.64 1.5 TKO, R2 (4:6) MMA Bookmaker
6. Oct '22 Belal Muhammad Sean Brady 2.03 3 TKO, R2 (4:47) MMA Bookmaker
7. Sep '22 Johnny Walker Ion Cutelaba 2.55 1 Sub, R1 (4:37) MMA Bookmaker
8. Aug '22 Ange Loosa A.J. Fletcher 2.30 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
9. Aug '22 Leon Edwards Kamaru Usman 3.60 1 TKO, R5 (4:4) MMA Bookmaker
10. Jul '22 Nick Negumereanu Ihor Potieria 2.00 1 TKO, R2 (3:33) MMA Bookmaker
11. Jul '22 Victoria Leonardo Mandy Bohm 2.00 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
12. Jul '22 Volkan Oezdemir Paul Craig 1.65 1.5 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Jul '22 Dustin Jacoby Da Un Jung 2.00 0.5 TKO, R1 (3:13) MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '22 Li Jingliang Muslim Salikhov 2.30 0.5 TKO, R2 (4:38) MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '22 Ricky Simon Jack Shore 2.20 1 Sub, R2 (3:28) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jun '22 Kyung Ho Kang Danaa Batgerel 2.15 1 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jun '22 Jake Matthews Andre Fialho 2.10 1 TKO, R2 (2:24) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jun '22 Alonzo Menifield Askar Mozharov 1.60 3 TKO, R1 (4:40) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jun '22 Alonzo Menifield Askar Mozharov 1.75 1 TKO, R1 (4:40) MMA Bookmaker
20. May '22 Ketlen Vieira Holly Holm 2.55 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '23 Ryan Spann Nikita Krylov 2.40 1 Sub, R1 (3:38) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '23 Tony Gravely Victor Henry 2.10 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '23 Viviane Araujo Amanda Ribas 1.95 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '23 Jessica Andrade Erin Blanchfield 1.85 2 Sub, R2 (1:37) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '23 Jordan Wright Zac Pauga 3.20 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '23 Parker Porter Justin Tafa 2.05 0.5 TKO, R1 (1:6) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '23 Mounir Lazzez Gabriel Bonfim 2.30 0.5 Sub, R1 (0:49) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '23 Terrance McKinney Ismael Bonfim 1.80 1 TKO, R2 (2:17) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '23 Raoni Barcelos Umar Nurmagomedov 7.40 0.25 TKO, R1 (4:40) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '22 Bryce Mitchell Ilia Topuria 2.20 1 Sub, R2 (3:10) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '22 Jay Perrin Raul Rosas Jr 3.00 0.5 Sub, R1 (2:44) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Nov '22 Ion Cutelaba Kennedy Nzechukwu 2.45 1.5 TKO, R2 (1:2) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Nov '22 Carla Esparza Weili Zhang 4.00 0.5 Sub, R2 (1:5) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Nov '22 Frankie Edgar Chris Gutierrez 2.70 1 TKO, R1 (2:1) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Nov '22 Wellington Turman Andre Petroski 2.68 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Nov '22 Mark O. Madsen Grant Dawson 2.70 0.5 Sub, R3 (2:5) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Oct '22 T.J. Dillashaw Aljamain Sterling 2.45 2 TKO, R2 (3:44) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Aug '22 Jay Perrin Qileng Aori 2.15 0.5 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Aug '22 Charlie Ontiveros Gabriel Benitez 3.60 1 TKO, R1 (3:35) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '22 Anthony Smith Magomed Ankalaev 4.10 0.8 TKO, R2 (3:9) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

Tomas : Progress Chart
Chart

 
 
 
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