MMA Handicapper Directory
Total MMA Handicappers: 6728
Profitable MMA Handicappers: 2451

MMA Handicapper Stats: THE MONEYLINE

THE MONEYLINE (MoneyLine)

MMA MHandicapper - THE MONEYLINE

MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats		Straight Fight Picks		Props		Parlays
Right	99 (30%)	Right	29 (57%)	Right	42 (22%)	Right	28 (31%)
Wrong	231 (70%)	Wrong	22 (43%)	Wrong	148 (78%)	Wrong	61 (69%)
Avg Odds	3.55	Avg Odds	1.69	Avg Odds	4.60	Avg Odds	4.13
Units Bet	864.4	Units Bet	224.9	Units Bet	262.1	Units Bet	377.5
Avg Bet	2.62	Avg Bet	4.41	Avg Bet	1.38	Avg Bet	4.24
Units Profit	166.83	Units Profit	-2.51	Units Profit	6.74	Units Profit	162.61
ROI %	19%	ROI %	-1%	ROI %	3%	ROI %	43%

THE MONEYLINE: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
24th Aug '24	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho	20	-10.7	-53%	1.0 / 5.5 (18%)	-0.7 / 3.5 (-19%)	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
17th Aug '24	UFC 305	22.2	-6.7	-30%	3.8 / 8.2 (46%)	0.5 / 3 (17%)	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
13th Aug '24	Contender Series 2024: Week 1	4	-4.0	-100%			-4.0 / 4 (-100%)
10th Aug '24	UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II	16	-0.4	-3%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	4.1 / 11.5 (35%)
3rd Aug '24	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov	15.5	38.4	248%	-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	1.2 / 2.5 (50%)	39.2 / 11 (356%)
27th Jul '24	UFC 304	19	-11.0	-58%		6.0 / 2 (300%)	-17.0 / 17 (-100%)
25th Jul '24	Cage Warriors 175	7	13.3	189%			13.3 / 7 (189%)
20th Jul '24	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba	9	13.0	145%		-2.0 / 2 (-100%)	15.0 / 7 (215%)
13th Jul '24	UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez	23.85	-14.3	-60%	-1.0 / 4.1 (-24%)	1.2 / 5.25 (24%)	-14.5 / 14.5 (-100%)
29th Jun '24	UFC 303	9	-9.0	-100%	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)		-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
22nd Jun '24	UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov	21.5	36.6	170%	2.9 / 9 (32%)	-0.4 / 2.5 (-16%)	34.1 / 10 (341%)
15th Jun '24	UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira	17	-12.3	-73%	-1.3 / 6 (-22%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
8th Jun '24	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov	38	-33.6	-88%	-13.6 / 18 (-75%)	-7.0 / 7 (-100%)	-13.0 / 13 (-100%)
8th Jun '24	PFL Europe 2: 2024 Regular Season	6	-6.0	-100%			-6.0 / 6 (-100%)
1st Jun '24	UFC 302	34.5	30.6	89%	3.2 / 6 (54%)	-10.5 / 10.5 (-100%)	37.8 / 18 (210%)
18th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy	20.25	-11.4	-56%	0.5 / 2 (25%)	0.6 / 5.75 (10%)	-12.5 / 12.5 (-100%)
18th May '24	Road to UFC: Episode 2	5	2.7	54%			2.7 / 5 (54%)
17th May '24	Bellator Champions Series	14.55	17.4	119%	2.0 / 4.55 (44%)		15.4 / 10 (154%)
17th May '24	ACA 175	5.8	-1.0	-17%	-2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)		1.8 / 3 (60%)
11th May '24	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	23.25	4.8	21%		9.2 / 10.25 (90%)	-4.5 / 13 (-34%)
10th May '24	PFL MENA 1: Riyadh	11	9.8	90%			9.8 / 11 (90%)
4th May '24	UFC 301	32.25	68.3	212%	-2.5 / 2.5 (-100%)	3.0 / 12.25 (24%)	67.8 / 17.5 (387%)
27th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	16	-3.0	-19%		8.0 / 5 (160%)	-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
13th Apr '24	UFC 300	45.5	-33.8	-74%	-8.0 / 8 (-100%)	-13.8 / 25.5 (-54%)	-12.0 / 12 (-100%)
6th Apr '24	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	8	-8.0	-100%			-8.0 / 8 (-100%)
30th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	31.5	-18.3	-58%	-6.0 / 14 (-43%)	-0.3 / 5.5 (-6%)	-12.0 / 12 (-100%)
23rd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	24.8	-17.0	-69%		2.0 / 5.8 (34%)	-19.0 / 19 (-100%)
22nd Mar '24	Bellator Champions Series	7	10.9	156%			10.9 / 7 (156%)
16th Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	48.75	-18.1	-37%	3.2 / 7.5 (42%)	-7.8 / 27.75 (-28%)	-13.5 / 13.5 (-100%)
15th Mar '24	Cage Warriors 167	11	-11.0	-100%			-11.0 / 11 (-100%)
9th Mar '24	UFC 299	56.75	-5.5	-10%	-1.9 / 21 (-9%)	-11.3 / 19.75 (-57%)	7.7 / 16 (48%)
2nd Mar '24	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	73	45.0	62%	11.5 / 33 (35%)	12.4 / 27 (46%)	21.2 / 13 (163%)
24th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	27.6	22.2	80%	2.9 / 9 (32%)	-0.8 / 9.6 (-8%)	20.1 / 9 (223%)
24th Feb '24	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	4	-4.0	-100%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	-3.0 / 3 (-100%)
17th Feb '24	UFC 298	56.1	84.1	150%	12.8 / 16 (80%)	20.2 / 34.1 (59%)	51.0 / 6 (851%)
10th Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	35.05	-2.3	-7%	-6.5 / 26 (-25%)	4.2 / 9.05 (47%)
3rd Feb '24	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	22.7	22.2	98%	2.0 / 4.2 (48%)	5.5 / 15.5 (35%)	14.7 / 3 (489%)
20th Jan '24	UFC 297	24	-5.1	-21%	2.9 / 10 (29%)	-7.0 / 13 (-54%)	-1.0 / 1 (-100%)
13th Jan '24	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	6	-6.0	-100%			-6.0 / 6 (-100%)

Winning Events: 15 (38%)
Losing Events: 24 (62%)

Average Staked Per Event: 22.37 units
Most Staked On One Event: 73.00 units
Best Event: 84.08 units
Worst Event: -33.75 units
Average Event: 4.28 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 3, Units: 84.08
Max Losing Streak: Events: 5, Units: -80.06

THE MONEYLINE: Year on Year Profit

Year	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Won / Bet (ROI%)	Prop Won / Bet (ROI%)	Parlay Won / Bet (ROI%)	Events Won / Lost (%)	Profit Per Event
2024	872.4	166.8	19%	-2.5 / 224.85 (-1%)		162.6 / 377.5 (43%)	15 / 24 (38%)	4.28

THE MONEYLINE: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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THE MONEYLINE: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization	Bet	Won	ROI	Straight Picks	Props	Parlays
UFC	797.05	138.8	17%	-1.7 / 217.5 (-1%)	7.7 / 269.05 (3%)	132.7 / 310.5 (43%)
Bellator	21.55	28.3	131%	2.0 / 4.55 (44%)		26.3 / 17 (155%)
PFL	21	-0.2	-1%		-1.0 / 1 (-100%)	0.8 / 20 (4%)
Other	32.8	-0.0	-0%	-2.8 / 2.8 (-100%)		2.8 / 30 (9%)

THE MONEYLINE: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Big Favorites	22 (43%)	20	91 %	117.10	28.73	1.31	25%
Slight Favorites	12 (24%)	5	42 %	55.75	-11.35	-0.95	-20%
Slight Underdogs	14 (27%)	3	21 %	48.00	-22.20	-1.59	-46%
Big Underdogs	3 (6%)	1	33 %	4.00	2.30	0.77	58%

Betting Stats By Card Position

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Main Event	9 (18%)	4	44 %	27.60	2.60	0.29	9%
Co-Main Event	1 (2%)	1	100 %	8.00	5.16	5.16	65%
Position 3-5	12 (24%)	7	58 %	62.50	3.12	0.26	5%
6+ (Undercard)	29 (57%)	17	59 %	126.75	-13.40	-0.46	-11%

THE MONEYLINE: Profit by Weight Class

	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Units Bet	Units Profit	Profit per Pick	ROI
Heavyweight	4 (8%)	1	25 %	15.50	-11.10	-2.78	-72%
Light Heavy	3 (6%)		0 %	14.00	-14.00	-4.67	-100%
Middleweight	8 (16%)	5	63 %	42.00	13.49	1.69	32%
Welterweight	7 (14%)	4	57 %	26.20	-8.22	-1.17	-31%
Lightweight	4 (8%)	3	75 %	10.00	0.06	0.02	1%
Featherweight	9 (18%)	4	44 %	44.20	2.29	0.25	5%
Bantamweight	5 (10%)	3	60 %	17.00	-0.57	-0.11	-3%
Flyweight	4 (8%)	3	75 %	27.50	6.93	1.73	25%

Women's Fights	7 (14%)	6	86 %	28.45	8.61	1.23	30%
Featherweight	1 (2%)	1	100 %	1.55	1.00	1.00	65%
Bantamweight	3 (6%)	3	100 %	19.80	7.01	2.34	35%
Flyweight	3 (6%)	2	67 %	7.10	0.60	0.20	8%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
Big Favorites	258 (89%)	217	84 %
Slight Favorites	28 (10%)	9	32 %
Slight Underdogs	4 (1%)	2	50 %
Big Underdogs	0 (0%)	0	nan %
	290	228	79 %

Props bets and props within parlays

	Picks	Correct	% Correct
>65% chance	114 (33%)	87	76 %
50-65%	60 (17%)	37	62 %
35-50%	20 (6%)	8	40 %
<35% chance	153 (44%)	22	14 %
	347	154	44 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type	Picks	Correct	% Correct	Avg Odds	Longest Odds	Shortest Odds	1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	138 (40%)	103	75 %	1.47	6.00	1.20	15.8 (11%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds)	14 (4%)	8	57 %	1.40	1.74	1.15	-2.1 (-15%)
Does not go to Decision	2 (1%)	2	100 %	1.36	1.42	1.31	0.7 (36%)
X Wins by KO	5 (1%)	1	20 %	3.41	7.50	2.00	-3.0 (-60%)
X Wins by Sub	3 (1%)	1	33 %	2.94	4.00	2.45	-0.3 (-8%)
X Wins by Decision	29 (8%)	11	38 %	3.38	19.00	1.57	8.4 (29%)
X Wins Inside Distance	4 (1%)	2	50 %	1.92	2.55	1.40	-0.1 (-1%)
X Wins in Round X	57 (16%)	9	16 %	8.59	31.00	4.00	12.8 (22%)
Others	95 (27%)	17	18 %	4.13	36.00	1.09	-26.2 (-28%)
	347	154	44 %	2.34			6.0 (2%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail THE MONEYLINE's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date	Event	Bet	Won	ROI	Fee	1 unit =	Start	End
13th Jan	UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker	6	-6.0	-100%		$10.00	$1,000.00	$940.00
20th Jan	UFC 297	24	-5.1	-21%		$9.40	$940.00	$891.66
3rd Feb	UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov	22.7	22.2	98%		$8.92	$891.66	$1,089.46
10th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer	35.05	-2.3	-7%		$10.89	$1,089.46	$1,064.52
17th Feb	UFC 298	56.1	84.1	150%		$10.65	$1,064.52	$1,959.56
24th Feb	PFL vs. Bellator: Champs	4	-4.0	-100%	$25	$19.60	$1,959.56	$1,856.17
24th Feb	UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval	27.6	22.2	80%	$25	$18.56	$1,856.17	$2,243.16
2nd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev	73	45.0	62%	$25	$22.43	$2,243.16	$3,228.69
9th Mar	UFC 299	56.75	-5.5	-10%	$25	$32.29	$3,228.69	$3,027.10
15th Mar	Cage Warriors 167	11	-11.0	-100%	$25	$30.27	$3,027.10	$2,669.12
16th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura	48.75	-18.1	-37%	$25	$26.69	$2,669.12	$2,159.70
22nd Mar	Bellator Champions Series	7	10.9	156%	$25	$21.60	$2,159.70	$2,370.22
23rd Mar	UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas	24.8	-17.0	-69%	$25	$23.70	$2,370.22	$1,942.28
30th Mar	UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot	31.5	-18.3	-58%	$25	$19.42	$1,942.28	$1,561.73
6th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis II	8	-8.0	-100%	$25	$15.62	$1,561.73	$1,411.79
13th Apr	UFC 300	45.5	-33.8	-74%	$25	$14.12	$1,411.79	$910.31
27th Apr	UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs Perez	16	-3.0	-19%	$25	$9.10	$910.31	$858.01
4th May	UFC 301	32.25	68.3	212%	$25	$8.58	$858.01	$1,419.04
10th May	PFL MENA 1: Riyadh	11	9.8	90%	$25	$14.19	$1,419.04	$1,533.80
11th May	UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento	23.25	4.8	21%	$25	$15.34	$1,533.80	$1,582.29
17th May	ACA 175	5.8	-1.0	-17%	$25	$15.82	$1,582.29	$1,541.29
17th May	Bellator Champions Series	14.55	17.4	119%	$25	$15.41	$1,541.29	$1,784.09
18th May	Road to UFC: Episode 2	5	2.7	54%	$25	$17.84	$1,784.09	$1,807.46
18th May	UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy	20.25	-11.4	-56%	$25	$18.07	$1,807.46	$1,576.08
1st Jun	UFC 302	34.5	30.6	89%	$25	$15.76	$1,576.08	$2,032.84
8th Jun	PFL Europe 2: 2024 Regular Season	6	-6.0	-100%	$25	$20.33	$2,032.84	$1,885.87
8th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov	38	-33.6	-88%	$25	$18.86	$1,885.87	$1,227.76
15th Jun	UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira	17	-12.3	-73%	$25	$12.28	$1,227.76	$1,051.33
22nd Jun	UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov	21.5	36.6	170%	$25	$10.51	$1,051.33	$1,410.94
29th Jun	UFC 303	9	-9.0	-100%	$25	$14.11	$1,410.94	$1,258.95
13th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez	23.85	-14.3	-60%	$25	$12.59	$1,258.95	$1,054.55
20th Jul	UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba	9	13.0	145%	$25	$10.55	$1,054.55	$1,167.13
25th Jul	Cage Warriors 175	7	13.3	189%	$25	$11.67	$1,167.13	$1,296.81
27th Jul	UFC 304	19	-11.0	-58%	$25	$12.97	$1,296.81	$1,129.16
3rd Aug	UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov	15.5	38.4	248%	$25	$11.29	$1,129.16	$1,538.06
10th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac II	16	-0.4	-3%	$25	$15.38	$1,538.06	$1,506.27
13th Aug	Contender Series 2024: Week 1	4	-4.0	-100%	$25	$15.06	$1,506.27	$1,421.02
17th Aug	UFC 305	22.2	-6.7	-30%	$25	$14.21	$1,421.02	$1,300.81
24th Aug	UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho	20	-10.7	-53%	$25	$13.01	$1,300.81	$1,137.27

ROI % from starting bank balance: 13.73% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

THE MONEYLINE: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result
1.	Aug '24	Jacqueline Cavalcanti	Josiane Nunes	1.43	2.3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
2.	Aug '24	Viacheslav Borshchev	James Llontop	1.45	2.2	Split Decision (3 rounds)
3.	Aug '24	Valter Walker	Junior Tafa	2.20	2	Sub, R1 (4:56)
4.	Aug '24	Casey O'Neill	Luana Santos	2.30	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
5.	Aug '24	Kenan Song	Rick Glenn	1.50	2	U Decision (3 rounds)
6.	Jul '24	Rose Namajunas	Tracy Cortez	1.48	2.1	U Decision (5 rounds)
7.	Jun '24	Sharabutdin Magomedov	Antonio Trocoli	1.20	3	TKO, R3 (2:27)
8.	Jun '24	Rinat Fakhretdinov	Nicolas Dalby	1.30	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
9.	Jun '24	Nasrat Haqparast	Jared Gordon	1.45	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
10.	Jun '24	Melquizael Costa	Yilan Sha	1.56	3	Sub, R3 (1:50)
11.	Jun '24	Raul Rosas Jr	Ricky Turcios	1.48	3	Sub, R2 (2:22)
12.	Jun '24	Andre Lima	Mitch Raposo	1.45	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)
13.	Jun '24	Randy Brown	Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos	1.63	3	U Decision (3 rounds)
14.	May '24	Tom Nolan	Victor Martinez	1.25	2	TKO, R1 (3:50)
15.	May '24	Aspen Ladd	Ekaterina Shakalova	1.65	1.55	U Decision (3 rounds)
16.	May '24	Patrick Mix	Magomed Magomedov	1.33	3	U Decision (5 rounds)
17.	Mar '24	Caolan Loughran	Angel Pacheco	1.33	6	U Decision (3 rounds)
18.	Mar '24	Macy Chiasson	Pannie Kianzad	1.42	7.5	Sub, R1 (3:54)
19.	Mar '24	Michel Pereira	Michal Oleksiejczuk	1.74	11	Sub, R1 (1:1)
20.	Mar '24	Steve Erceg	Matt Schnell	1.33	11	TKO, R2 (0:26)

Last 20 Losses

	Date	Straight Pick	Opponent	Odds	Bet	Result	Hedge?
1.	Aug '24	Jared Cannonier	Caio Borralho	3.15	1	U Decision (5 rounds)	No
2.	Aug '24	Tai Tuivasa	Jairzinho Rozenstruik	3.10	1	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
3.	Aug '24	Joshua Culibao	Ricardo Ramos	1.83	1.2	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
4.	Aug '24	Marcin Tybura	Sergey Spivak	2.30	2.5	Sub, R1 (1:44)	No
5.	Aug '24	Marlon Vera	Deiveson Figueiredo	2.25	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
6.	Jul '24	Drew Dober	Jean Silva	2.05	2	TKO, R3 (1:28)	No
7.	Jun '24	Jiri Prochazka	Alex Pereira	2.40	3	TKO, R2 (0:13)	No
8.	Jun '24	Josh Quinlan	Adam Fugitt	1.77	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
9.	Jun '24	Jared Cannonier	Nassourdine Imavov	2.06	3	TKO, R4 (1:34)	No
10.	Jun '24	Julian Marquez	Zachary Reese	1.74	3	TKO, R1 (0:20)	No
11.	Jun '24	Miguel Baeza	Punahele Soriano	1.63	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
12.	Jun '24	Andrea Lee	Montana De La Rosa	1.77	3	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
13.	Jun '24	John Castaneda	Daniel Marcos	2.11	3	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
14.	May '24	Vladimir Palchenkov	Ali Mashrapov	1.36	2.8	Split Decision (3 rounds)	No
15.	May '24	Kevin Borjas	Alessandro Costa	2.30	2.5	TKO, R2 (1:35)	No
16.	Apr '24	Sodiq Yusuff	Diego Lopes	2.40	3	TKO, R1 (1:29)	No
17.	Apr '24	Calvin Kattar	Aljamain Sterling	2.50	2	U Decision (3 rounds)	No
18.	Apr '24	Jamahal Hill	Alex Pereira	2.35	3	TKO, R1 (3:14)	No
19.	Mar '24	Bill Algeo	Kyle Nelson	1.45	8	TKO, R1 (4:0)	No
20.	Mar '24	Jailton Junior	Curtis Blaydes	2.10	10	TKO, R2 (0:36)	No

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

THE MONEYLINE: Progress Chart

Chart

Betting Favorites vs Underdogs
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