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MMA Handicapper Stats: dubcmd picks

dubcmd picks (dubcmd)


MMA MHandicapper - dubcmd picks

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MMA Betting Stats Summary

Overall Stats

Straight Fight Picks

Props

Parlays

Right 41 (51%) Right 20 (41%) Right 18 (67%) Right 3 (60%)
Wrong 40 (49%) Wrong 29 (59%) Wrong 9 (33%) Wrong 2 (40%)
Avg Odds 1.88 Avg Odds 1.95 Avg Odds 1.72 Avg Odds 2.11
Units Bet 183.6 Units Bet 105.1 Units Bet 62.8 Units Bet 15.7
Avg Bet 2.27 Avg Bet 2.15 Avg Bet 2.33 Avg Bet 3.14
Units Profit -6.69 Units Profit 0.01 Units Profit 2.42 Units Profit -9.12
ROI % -4% ROI % 0% ROI % 4% ROI % -58%
View Handicapper's Profile

dubcmd picks: Event by Event Predictions

The straight picks, parlays and props sections display Winnings / Bets (ROI%)

Date Event Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
8th Jul '23 UFC 290 12 -9.4 -78% 1.6 / 1 (165%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
15th Apr '23 UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 11 6.5 59% 6.5 / 11 (59%)
18th Mar '23 UFC 286 11 -11.0 -100% -11.0 / 11 (-100%)
4th Mar '23 UFC 285 42.01 -4.2 -10% -2.0 / 2.01 (-100%) -2.2 / 40 (-6%)
18th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield 1 1.6 160% 1.6 / 1 (160%)
11th Feb '23 UFC 284 6.92 -1.4 -21% -0.4 / 3.67 (-11%) -1.0 / 3.25 (-31%)
4th Feb '23 UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak 1.38 1.0 72% 1.0 / 1.38 (72%)
21st Jan '23 UFC 283 4.2 -0.0 -0% -0.0 / 4.2 (-0%)
14th Jan '23 UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov 3.8 -1.6 -41% -1.6 / 3.8 (-41%)
10th Dec '22 UFC 282 2.6 -0.8 -32% -0.3 / 2.1 (-16%) -0.5 / 0.5 (-100%)
3rd Dec '22 UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 1.3 -1.3 -100% -1.3 / 1.3 (-100%)
12th Nov '22 UFC 281 2.05 2.0 98% 2.0 / 2.05 (98%)
29th Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 1 0.9 91% 0.9 / 1 (91%)
22nd Oct '22 UFC 280 4.55 1.0 22% 1.0 / 4.55 (22%)
1st Oct '22 UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 2 -2.0 -100% -2.0 / 2 (-100%)
17th Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 1 -1.0 -100% -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
3rd Sep '22 UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 2.65 1.6 62% 1.0 / 1.65 (61%) 0.6 / 1 (64%)
20th Aug '22 UFC 278 2.95 2.0 68% 1.0 / 1.2 (83%) 1.0 / 1.75 (57%)
13th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 3 0.0 1% 1.0 / 2 (51%) -1.0 / 1 (-100%)
6th Aug '22 UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 17.3 6.7 38% 6.7 / 17.3 (38%)
30th Jul '22 UFC 277 8.76 -4.6 -52% -5.7 / 7.06 (-81%) 1.2 / 1.7 (68%)
23rd Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 6.7 1.7 26% 0.6 / 5.7 (11%) 1.1 / 1 (109%)
16th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 2.65 -2.7 -100% -2.7 / 2.65 (-100%)
9th Jul '22 UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 7 3.5 50% 3.5 / 7 (50%)
2nd Jul '22 UFC 276 8 0.1 1% -0.1 / 4.8 (-2%) 0.2 / 3.2 (6%)
25th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 2.6 2.0 77% 2.0 / 2.6 (77%)
18th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 1.35 1.0 74% 1.0 / 1.35 (74%)
11th Jun '22 UFC 275 4.5 0.7 14% 1.0 / 1.6 (63%) -0.3 / 2.9 (-12%)
4th Jun '22 UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 1.35 -1.4 -100% -1.4 / 1.35 (-100%)
14th May '22 UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 1.7 -1.7 -100% -1.7 / 1.7 (-100%)
7th May '22 UFC 274 5.5 3.3 61% 3.3 / 5.5 (61%)
30th Apr '22 UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 1 0.6 63% 0.6 / 1 (63%)


Winning Events: 18 (56%)
Losing Events: 14 (44%)

Average Staked Per Event: 5.78 units
Most Staked On One Event: 42.01 units
Best Event: 6.65 units
Worst Event: -11.00 units
Average Event: -0.21 units

Max Win Streak: Events: 5, Units: 10.32
Max Losing Streak: Events: 3, Units: -15.22

dubcmd picks: Year on Year Profit

Year Bet Won ROI Straight
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Prop
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Parlay
Won / Bet (ROI%)
Events
Won / Lost (%)
Profit
Per Event
2023 93.31 -18.5 -20% -5.3 / 37.68 (-14%) -11.0 / 11 (-100%) 3 / 6 (33%) -2.05
2022 91.51 11.8 13% 5.3 / 67.46 (8%) 1.9 / 4.7 (40%) 15 / 8 (65%) 0.51

dubcmd picks: Yearly Straight Pick Stats

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dubcmd picks: Profit / Loss by Organization

Organization Bet Won ROI Straight Picks Props Parlays
UFC 184.82 -6.7 -4% 0.0 / 105.14 (0%) 2.4 / 63.98 (4%) -9.1 / 15.7 (-58%)

dubcmd picks: Straight Pick Stats

Big favourite means >65% win chance according to bookies. Big underdog is <35% chance.

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Big Favorites 7 (13%) 5 71 % 41.20 -0.82 -0.12 -2%
Slight Favorites 23 (44%) 13 57 % 43.41 8.42 0.37 19%
Slight Underdogs 17 (33%) 5 29 % 17.35 -4.41 -0.26 -25%
Big Underdogs 5 (10%) 0 0 % 3.18 -3.18 -0.64 -100%



Betting Stats By Card Position

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Main Event 17 (33%) 10 59 % 58.55 16.09 0.95 27%
Co-Main Event 9 (17%) 6 67 % 20.97 -5.97 -0.66 -28%
Position 3-5 13 (25%) 4 31 % 13.43 -4.39 -0.34 -33%
6+ (Undercard) 13 (25%) 3 23 % 12.19 -5.72 -0.44 -47%

dubcmd picks: Profit by Weight Class

  Picks Correct % Correct Units Bet Units Profit Profit per Pick ROI
Heavyweight 6 (12%) 4 67 % 6.77 2.69 0.45 40%
Light Heavy 8 (15%) 2 25 % 24.81 -0.86 -0.11 -3%
Middleweight 5 (10%) 1 20 % 5.77 -3.42 -0.68 -59%
Welterweight 6 (12%) 0 % 5.64 -5.64 -0.94 -100%
Lightweight 9 (17%) 3 33 % 28.36 -6.68 -0.74 -24%
Featherweight 5 (10%) 4 80 % 16.90 7.98 1.60 47%
Bantamweight 3 (6%) 3 100 % 4.85 3.03 1.01 62%
Flyweight 5 (10%) 3 60 % 4.87 1.98 0.40 41%
               
Women's Fights 5 (10%) 3 60 % 7.17 0.93 0.19 13%
Bantamweight 1 (2%) 0 % 0.67 -0.67 -0.67 -100%
Flyweight 2 (4%) 2 100 % 2.90 2.60 1.30 90%
Strawweight 2 (4%) 1 50 % 3.60 -1.00 -0.50 -28%

Props & Parlay Section Stats (Individual sections of this handicapper's parlays)

Straight picks within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
Big Favorites 13 (100%) 9 69 %
Slight Favorites 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Slight Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
Big Underdogs 0 (0%) 0 nan %
13 9 69 %

 

Props bets and props within parlays

  Picks Correct % Correct
>65% chance 6 (21%) 6 100 %
50-65% 15 (54%) 10 67 %
35-50% 5 (18%) 2 40 %
<35% chance 2 (7%) 0 0 %
28 18 64 %

Prop Bets and Props within Parlays: Bet Types

Prop Type Picks Correct % Correct Avg
Odds
Longest
Odds
Shortest
Odds
1U Bet (ROI %)
Over (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 9 (32%) 6 67 % 1.75 2.15Pick was incorrect 1.57Pick was correct 2.2 (24%)
Under (e.g. 1.5 / 2.5 rnds) 2 (7%) 1 50 % 1.94 1.95Pick was correct 1.93Pick was incorrect -0.0 (-2%)
X Wins by KO 2 (7%) 0 0 % 2.10 2.65Pick was incorrect 1.74Pick was incorrect -2.0 (-100%)
X Wins by Decision 4 (14%) 1 25 % 2.71 3.65Pick was incorrect 2.20Pick was correct -1.8 (-45%)
X Wins Inside Distance 9 (32%) 9 100 % 1.40 2.00Pick was correct 1.26Pick was correct 4.0 (45%)
Others 2 (7%) 1 50 % 1.67 1.74Pick was incorrect 1.61Pick was correct -0.4 (-20%)
28 18 64 % 1.73     2.0 (7%)

* 1U Bet (ROI %): Many of the picks will have been part of a parlay, however, as a rough guide to value / profitability, this figure supposes that the handicapper put a 1U bet on each of the picks individually, showing the profit / loss they would have made and the ROI %.

Tail dubcmd picks's bets

If you had tailed this handicapper's bets since they started logging their picks with us, it would have affected your betting bank balance as follows...

This is more accurate than simply X units total profit. Under that more basic system, 1 unit is equal to the same amount of theoretical dollars, whether it was the last event or 10 events ago. However, if a handicapper has 10 events profit in a row, their betting bank balance will be significantly larger for the 10th event and 1 unit will equal a LOT more than it did 10 events ago.

Date Event Bet Won ROI Fee 1 unit = Start End
30th Apr UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera 1 0.6 63% $10.00 $1,000.00 $1,006.25
7th May UFC 274 5.5 3.3 61% $10.06 $1,006.25 $1,039.79
14th May UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Rakić 1.7 -1.7 -100% $10.40 $1,039.79 $1,022.12
4th Jun UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik 1.35 -1.4 -100% $10.22 $1,022.12 $1,008.32
11th Jun UFC 275 4.5 0.7 14% $10.08 $1,008.32 $1,014.87
18th Jun UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett 1.35 1.0 74% $10.15 $1,014.87 $1,025.02
25th Jun UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot 2.6 2.0 77% $10.25 $1,025.02 $1,045.52
2nd Jul UFC 276 8 0.1 1% $10.46 $1,045.52 $1,046.57
9th Jul UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev 7 3.5 50% $10.47 $1,046.57 $1,083.19
16th Jul UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez 2.65 -2.7 -100% $10.83 $1,083.19 $1,054.49
23rd Jul UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall 6.7 1.7 26% $10.54 $1,054.49 $1,072.85
30th Jul UFC 277 8.76 -4.6 -52% $10.73 $1,072.85 $1,023.84
6th Aug UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill 17.3 6.7 38% $10.24 $1,023.84 $1,091.96
13th Aug UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz 3 0.0 1% $10.92 $1,091.96 $1,092.24
20th Aug UFC 278 2.95 2.0 68% $10.92 $1,092.24 $1,114.09
3rd Sep UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa 2.65 1.6 62% $11.14 $1,114.09 $1,132.37
17th Sep UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song 1 -1.0 -100% $11.32 $1,132.37 $1,121.04
1st Oct UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan 2 -2.0 -100% $11.21 $1,121.04 $1,098.62
22nd Oct UFC 280 4.55 1.0 22% $10.99 $1,098.62 $1,109.61
29th Oct UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen 1 0.9 91% $11.10 $1,109.61 $1,119.70
12th Nov UFC 281 2.05 2.0 98% $11.20 $1,119.70 $1,142.09
3rd Dec UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland 1.3 -1.3 -100% $11.42 $1,142.09 $1,127.24
10th Dec UFC 282 2.6 -0.8 -32% $11.27 $1,127.24 $1,117.85
14th Jan UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov 3.8 -1.6 -41% $11.18 $1,117.85 $1,100.52
21st Jan UFC 283 4.2 -0.0 -0% $11.01 $1,100.52 $1,100.52
4th Feb UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivak 1.38 1.0 72% $11.01 $1,100.52 $1,111.53
11th Feb UFC 284 6.92 -1.4 -21% $11.12 $1,111.53 $1,095.75
18th Feb UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield 1 1.6 160% $10.96 $1,095.75 $1,113.28
4th Mar UFC 285 42.01 -4.2 -10% $11.13 $1,113.28 $1,066.32
18th Mar UFC 286 11 -11.0 -100% $10.66 $1,066.32 $949.03
15th Apr UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen 11 6.5 59% $9.49 $949.03 $1,010.44
8th Jul UFC 290 12 -9.4 -78% $10.10 $1,010.44 $915.96


ROI % from starting bank balance: -8.40% (including fees)
*Note - we don't store historical fee amounts, so we assume the fees are the same as the handicapper charges now.

dubcmd picks: Last 20 Wins / Losses (Straight Picks)

Last 20 Wins

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result    
1. Jul '23 Alexandre Pantoja Brandon Moreno 2.65 1 Split Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
2. Apr '23 Max Holloway Arnold Allen 1.59 11 U Decision (5 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
3. Feb '23 Erin Blanchfield Jessica Andrade 2.60 1 Sub, R2 (1:37) MMA Bookmaker
4. Feb '23 Yair Rodriguez Josh Emmett 1.63 2 Sub, R2 (4:19) MMA Bookmaker
5. Jan '23 Brandon Moreno Deiveson Figueiredo 1.91 1.1 TKO, R3 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
6. Jan '23 Brandon Moreno Deiveson Figueiredo 1.91 1.1 TKO, R3 (5:0) MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '23 Dan Ige Damon Jackson 1.80 1.25 TKO, R2 (4:13) MMA Bookmaker
8. Dec '22 Jairzinho Rozenstruik Chris Daukaus 1.61 1.1 TKO, R1 (0:23) MMA Bookmaker
9. Oct '22 Arnold Allen Calvin Kattar 1.91 1 TKO, R2 (0:8) MMA Bookmaker
10. Oct '22 Manon Fiorot Katlyn Chookagian 1.53 1.9 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
11. Oct '22 Aljamain Sterling T.J. Dillashaw 1.61 1.65 TKO, R2 (3:44) MMA Bookmaker
12. Aug '22 Merab Dvalishvili Jose Aldo 1.83 1.2 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker
13. Aug '22 Marlon Vera Dominick Cruz 1.51 2 TKO, R4 (2:17) MMA Bookmaker
14. Aug '22 Jamahal Hill Thiago Santos 1.38 10.3 TKO, R4 (2:31) MMA Bookmaker
15. Aug '22 Jamahal Hill Thiago Santos 1.38 7 TKO, R4 (2:31) MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '22 Sergey Pavlovich Derrick Lewis 2.00 0.67 TKO, R1 (0:55) MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '22 Curtis Blaydes Tom Aspinall 2.10 2 TKO, R1 (0:15) MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '22 Curtis Blaydes Tom Aspinall 2.15 1 TKO, R1 (0:15) MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '22 Rafael Fiziev Rafael dos Anjos 1.50 7 TKO, R5 (0:18) MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '22 Dricus Du Plessis Brad Tavares 1.74 1.35 U Decision (3 rounds) MMA Bookmaker



Last 20 Losses

  Date Straight Pick Opponent Odds Bet Result Hedge?    
1. Mar '23 Rafael Fiziev Justin Gaethje 1.44 11 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
2. Mar '23 Derek Brunson Dricus Du Plessis 3.00 0.67 TKO, R2 (4:59) No MMA Bookmaker
3. Mar '23 Jalin Turner Mateusz Gamrot 2.75 0.67 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
4. Mar '23 Geoff Neal Shavkat Rakhmonov 5.00 0.67 Sub, R3 (4:17) No MMA Bookmaker
5. Feb '23 Parker Porter Justin Tafa 2.22 1 TKO, R1 (1:6) No MMA Bookmaker
6. Feb '23 Randy Brown Jack Della Maddalena 3.75 0.67 Sub, R1 (2:13) No MMA Bookmaker
7. Jan '23 Glover Teixeira Jamahal Hill 2.05 2 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
8. Jan '23 Punahele Soriano Roman Kopylov 1.69 1.45 TKO, R2 (3:19) No MMA Bookmaker
9. Jan '23 Nassourdine Imavov Sean Strickland 1.91 1.1 U Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
10. Dec '22 Alex Morono Santiago Ponzinibbio 2.55 1 TKO, R3 (2:29) No MMA Bookmaker
11. Dec '22 Kevin Holland Stephen Thompson 1.77 1.3 TKO, R4 (5:0) No MMA Bookmaker
12. Oct '22 Charles Oliveira Islam Makhachev 2.45 1 Sub, R2 (3:16) No MMA Bookmaker
13. Oct '22 Mackenzie Dern Yan Xiaonan 1.50 2 Split Decision (5 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
14. Jul '22 Ihor Potieria Nick Negumereanu 1.87 0.71 TKO, R2 (3:33) No MMA Bookmaker
15. Jul '22 Ji Yeon Kim Joselyne Edwards 2.00 0.67 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
16. Jul '22 Rafa Garcia Drakkar Klose 3.05 0.67 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
17. Jul '22 Don'tale Mayes Hamdy Abdelwahab 1.69 1 Split Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
18. Jul '22 Rafael Alves Drew Dober 2.80 0.67 TKO, R3 (1:30) No MMA Bookmaker
19. Jul '22 Matt Semelsberger Alex Morono 1.61 1 U Decision (3 rounds) No MMA Bookmaker
20. Jul '22 Alex Perez Alexandre Pantoja 2.35 1 Sub, R1 (1:31) No MMA Bookmaker

* Hedge indicates that this handicapper also had a WINNING bet on the opponent. For example, they may have bet A to win straight up but with a hedge on the other fighter winning by decision.

dubcmd picks: Progress Chart

Chart

 

 
 
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